Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (9/7/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (6/5/4/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (2/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (5/6/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (10/7/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (7/3/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROYALTY         (tomlinson mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
AUNT DIXIE         (hobby steve)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLASH MASTER         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 5.00    
ALLTAIL         (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CENTIMORGAN Nov08 Oct18       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
MOM'S CHEESECAKE Oct23 Sep21 Sep04     (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNETIC BEACH Nov06 Oct11       (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.30    
RANCH LIFE Oct31 Oct13 Sep20     (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 4.00    
MEZCALIFORNIA Nov06 Oct13 Sep27 Aug22 Aug07 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
 
CD-2   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS Nov02 Sep28 Aug18 Jul13 Jun14 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 8.00    
LOOKIN ROYAL Nov02 Sep27 Dec20 Nov26 Nov08 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLAZE ON Nov02 Oct02 Aug22 Jul25 Jun13 (wagner karin)LANERIE J 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
CHICA CHULA Oct28 Sep28 Sep18 Aug15 Jul27 (calvo kelsie)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
SECRET GLENDA Oct31 Oct05 Sep03 Aug07 Jul11 (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00    
GHOSTLY NIGHT Sep28 Aug12 Jul18 Apr30 Apr10 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  SAY CHEESE Oct19 Oct03 Sep10 Aug24 Nov18 (mcdonnell ber)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 10.00    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 Aug29 Aug14 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 1.20 33% 2.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEBRANCHO Oct20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug26 Jul13 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.50    
WICKED MELODY Oct30 Sep18 Aug25 Aug13 Jul06 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER Oct31 Oct12 Sep12 Aug04 Jun14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
GATLINBURG Oct20 Oct04 Sep11 Aug03 Jul04 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
SAGITTARIUS Nov07 Sep26 Jul29 Jun28 May18 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 20% 4.00    
MO RHODES Nov07 Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 Jun29 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
MY FRIEND LOUIE Sep14 Aug17 Jun07 May04 Apr12 (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
HIGH ENOUGH Nov10 Oct20 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 (habeeb donal)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
ODE TO BALIUS Sep11 Aug24 Jul29 Jul14 Jun18 (torres conc)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS Oct16 Sep18 Aug26 Jul29 Jun28 (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
11  WHAT'S UP DOC Apr18 Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Nov16 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
 
CD-4   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT CALL         (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
REDEPOSIT Sep15 Feb08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
LEVEE WAS DRY Nov10 Oct27 Sep14     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 8% 11.50    
STINGER BEE Jun30 Apr26 Mar23 Jan26 Nov11 (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
SKYLER Nov10 Oct19 Sep28     (barrett ro)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00    
VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS Oct05         (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
ADDED MISCHIEF Nov09 Nov17 Oct25     (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
ZAPPING STRIKE Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Jul16 Jun26 (labra rogelio)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 8.00    
HOLSTER Sep20 Aug18       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00    
10  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Nov09 Oct19 Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
11  TO MY TASTE Jul04 Jun13 Jul20     (olivo k)MONCADA IRVING 117 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING BEACHY Oct09 Aug11 Jul05 Sep04   (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
SCR  ONE FRONT WAR Oct23 Aug31 Jul11     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
ARGENTINIDAD Nov02 Oct09 Sep13 Aug07 Jun17 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00    
JUST A COED Oct25 Sep21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov02 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
RIPASSARE Sep11         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL Oct23 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 Oct24 (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
REDO Oct23 Sep24 Sep07 Aug11 Jun27 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
HIGH SHOT Oct23 Sep27 Sep07 Oct04 Sep16 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 7% 14.40    
SMOKIN HOT BLONDE Nov02         (kelley a)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ZAPPERA Oct23 Sep11 Dec14 May27 Apr08 (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Oct28 Sep01 Aug18 Jan27 Dec27 (salas marce)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
12  FIFTH OF MAY Oct09 Aug31       (colebrook b)TORRES A 121 15.00    
13  FREAK CITY Nov05 Oct11       (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00    
SCR  BUNDCHEN Oct31 Aug31 Apr28     (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
SCR  MISS SUSAN B Oct10 Sep04 Aug08 Jul16 Jun05 (labra rogelio)FELIX E 121 20.00    
SCR  SHEZALITTLESTINKER Oct10 Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun08 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 3.50    
 
CD-6   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRODSBURG Oct30 Sep14 Aug04 Jun28 May24 (tomlinson mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
BANJO CHRIS Oct19 Sep18 Aug15 Jul27 Jun23 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
GROVELAND Sep24 Aug06 Jun18 Mar11 Feb11 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
BANISHING Nov06 Oct18 Aug24 Jun06 Apr19 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50    
SCR  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Oct24 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May19 (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Oct06 Sep22 Jul14 Jun15 May25 (banks chris)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 30.00    
UNDERHILL'S TAB Sep20 Jul22 Jun07 May02 Mar30 (medina robe)TORRES A 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
WICO (IRE) Oct19 Apr06 Feb22 Nov26 Oct08 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
 
CD-7   11/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARTARIAN Oct23         (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
YINZER         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00    
KNICKS GLORY Oct11         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
TROUBLESHOOTING Nov01 Sep26       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
RESTLESS RENEGADE Oct27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OH PLEASE Nov05         (elliott michel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00    
SEA VISTA Aug03         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
AERATE         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
TOMASELLO         (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
10  MO QUALITY Oct23         (davis christ)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WISE DECISION         (lukas wayne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  PUTTING EAGLE Nov01 Sep12       (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
13  VEKOMA KID         (black kenneth )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
SCR  SOLID LEFT         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 Chilukki Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMONRA Sep21 Aug17 Jun29 May18 Apr04 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
PIGALLE Sep14 Aug11 May26 Nov16 Nov05 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50    
TAXED Sep14 Aug11 Jun29 May27 Apr13 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
TWO SHARP Oct12 Aug31 Aug02 Jun29   (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 43% 1.40    
ROYAL SPA Oct13 Jun22 May27 Apr26 Mar30 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
POSITANO SUNSET Oct25 Sep14 Aug24 Jun22 May27 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
OEUVRE Oct24 Sep29 Jul28 Jun16 May19 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 31% 2.20    
FANCY Oct11 Aug11 Jun26 May26 May03 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTIFREAK Oct30 Sep21 Aug04 Jun30 Mar20 (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
AJAAYB Oct04 Sep11 Aug18 Jul28 May30 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
SCR  ATTACHE Oct30 Sep14 Jul07 Jun06 Nov22 (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
COLORADO CRUISER Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Oct21 Sep30 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
RISK IT Jun19 May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb03 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 11% 7.90    
TRUST ISSUES Nov08 Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Dec14 (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT Oct31 Sep22 Aug29 Jul28 Aug20 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
WIND RIDER Nov26 Nov07       (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
BANNED FOR LIFE Oct04 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 May04 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  PRESIDENT Z Nov20 Nov02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 (dutrow richard)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
SCR  AGOO Oct10 Sep14 Jul13 May26 Feb13 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC12 Commonwealth Turf Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY PRINCE Oct26 Sep14 Aug23 Jul20 Jun09 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  TELESCOPIC Nov21 Oct25 Oct06 Sep01 Jul20 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
DASHMAN Oct05 Sep01 Jul22 Dec23 Nov04 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
AK SAR BEN DERBY Oct06 Aug25 Jul22 Jun08 May18 (ortiz al)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PIPER'S FACTOR Oct03 Aug31 Jul20 Jun29 May12 (vassilieva k)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
WILL TAKE IT Oct18 Sep19 Aug24 Jun30 Jun02 (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
LAGYNOS Oct26 Aug31 Aug02 Jun29 Jun01 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
HERCHEE Oct26 Sep08 Jul27 Jun30   (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
EVADE (FR) Oct26 Sep07       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
CD-11   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEEBEE Oct12         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
LOBBY RENDEZVOUS Nov02         (shirer matt)TORRES A 119 20.00    
GIRL MATH Oct27 Sep22 Aug25     (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
SERAPHIA Oct18         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
CALAMITY         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
MADELINE'S PROMISE Oct24         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN GAMBLE Oct27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA Oct27 Sep26       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEART'S COMPASS Sep08 Aug03       (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.