Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/6/1)-(2/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/6/3)-(6/1/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/1/8/3)-(4/9/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3)-(4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/3)-(4/9/1)-(15/12/7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/1)-(15/12/7/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1)-(15/12/7/4/8)-(8/7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (15/12/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (15/12/7/4/8)-(15/12/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (15/12/7/4/8)-(15/12/7/4/8)-(15/12/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (15/12/7/4/8)-(8/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (15/12/7/4/8)-(8/7/5/3)-(9/7/12/13) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/3)-(9/7/12/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/3)-(9/7/12/13)-(15/5/11/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/7/12/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/12/13)-(9/7/12/13/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/12/13)-(9/7/12/13/6)-(9/7/12/13/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/12/13)-(15/5/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (15/5/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (15/5/11/7)-(15/5/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (15/5/11/7)-(15/5/11/7)-(15/5/11/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMQUIST Apr19 Jan28 Nov05 Oct07 Sep20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
1A  REMEMBER THE NAME Apr19 Jan05 Dec14 Nov10 Oct05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
SCR  RETAIL MAN Apr19 Mar24 Mar07 Jan06 Dec08 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 120 12.00    
IN A MINUTE Apr19 Mar21 Mar08 Dec02 Nov18 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUAZARAH Apr26 Apr11 Mar10 Jan27 Dec07 (potts wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
IRIDESCENT May05 Apr20 Feb25 Jan27 Jan05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.40    
COLLECTED SPECIAL Apr26 Mar21 Feb04 Nov04 Oct20 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING COLORS Apr12 Mar15 Feb11 Jan07 Dec14 (follett norm)HARKIE K 124 8.00 7% 14.20    
AMITY ISLAND Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
KHALI MAGIC Mar15 Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Oct19 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
SARATOGA KISSES Mar28 Jan07 Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
HARLAN'S BOND May05 Apr12 Mar17 Feb29 Feb03 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Apr18 Apr04 Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 8% 12.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYONELOVESLINDA Apr25 Apr07 Feb29 Dec14 Oct27 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
MOSIENKO Apr18 Jan27 Dec17 Dec01 Oct12 (lalman dennis)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
I'M BUZZY Apr25 Mar30 Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP DEFIANT Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 Jan28 Jan11 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 4.50    
FRAU DIABLO Apr14 Mar07 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00    
MY FLICKER Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Jan14 Dec23 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
BAQ-4   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETEEN OYSTERS Apr20 Mar21 Feb03 Jul15 May06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
HARVARD Apr28 Apr04 Feb23 Jul02 Apr30 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50    
BIG SAVE Apr28 Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MO REWARDS Apr20 Mar17 Feb17 Jan15 Dec17 (maker mi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
MAGIA NERA Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jun23 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00    
BEST BET Apr04 Mar08 Feb16 Dec16 Jun19 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 8.00 33% 2.10    
SKI COUNTRY Apr04 Jun23 Jun02 May14 Apr16 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
PINEAPPLE MAN Apr20 Mar29 Feb24 Aug31 Jul03 (giangiulio )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
BAQ-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER TAY (IRE) Apr07 Sep03 Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Nov24 Nov02 Sep15 Aug13 Jul16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  LATEST EDITION Oct26 Oct06 Aug12 Sep30 Aug12 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00    
LINARITE Nov19 Oct26 Oct06 Aug27 Aug11 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.00 54% 0.80    
ROJA LIGERA Apr05 Mar16 Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 (follett norm)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
SCR  ATMIDNIGHT Apr18 Sep25 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 (saville niall)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
SCR  QUICK POWER NAP Mar16 Feb17 Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
DEVILLY Apr28 Apr05 Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 125 15.00    
COOLCALM COLLECTED Oct08 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Mar17 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 19% 4.40    
10  WILL BE FAMOUS Apr07 Mar24 Feb17 Dec17 Dec03 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
11  MAGGIE Mar28 Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 Dec03 (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICCATA PRINCE Apr06 Nov10 Sep14 Sep03 Aug04 (bernardini juan)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
SCR  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Jan01 Oct28       (bernardi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  PAPPOU'S LAUGH Apr21 Dec14       (martin car)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  NO SURRENDER Mar28 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Apr21 Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 Dec28 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STATES UNITED Apr12 Feb25 Dec29 Oct01   (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  BOLT D'PLATA Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 Jan06 Oct22 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00    
CONNIVING Apr12 Mar10 Mar03 Feb16 Sep29 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 118 10.00 6% 15.90    
GUILE Apr26 Apr06       (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE ONE Mar28 Feb25 Feb02 Dec10 Nov30 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  EL ALACRAN Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 Nov25 Sep03 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
11  BIG NIGHT OUT Mar27 Jul21 Jun22     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 125 5.00    
12  BE THERE Apr21 Mar16 Dec23 Nov22 Nov04 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
13  PUJOL Nov16 Oct28       (ibrahim em)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
SCR  TRANSCENDENTAL Mar04 Dec06 Oct28     (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
15  DON VINO VICI Apr19 Mar14 Feb16 Dec14 Oct13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
BAQ-7   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEPENDENT PAUL Apr20 Apr05 Mar24 Mar16 Feb10 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 4.00    
SCR  GRAYWING Apr29 Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 Jan25 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
STARQUIST Apr19 May13 Apr13 Feb25 Jan15 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
ON THE HILL Jul15 Dec11 Nov13 Aug27 Jul29 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
CAMM' DUKE Apr27 Dec04 Nov16 Sep06 Aug17 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Apr14 Feb25 Feb03 Dec16   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
ROLLIN IN DOUGH Feb24 Dec09       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/12/2024 3960ft TURF RC12 GOOD Soaring Softly Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER BELLE (IRE) Mar24 Nov03       (joseph saff)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DARK ACCLAMATION by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  BUTTERCREAM BABE Apr05 Jan06 Dec09 Nov03 Oct08 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  BARAYE Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov10 Sep02 (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
SCR  EL TERRENO Mar24 Dec15 Oct25     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
KAIRYU (IRE) Apr06         (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
  (by KUROSHIO out of VEGATINA by LOPE DE VEGA)
KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) Apr12 Sep10 Jul20 Jun11   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AMIDST WAVES Nov03 Oct08 Aug20 Jul29 Jun11 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Mar30 Feb03 Jan12 Dec02 Aug31 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PIPSY (IRE)         (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
10  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Jan06 Nov29 Sep07 Aug17   (delacour arna)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
11  CARESS Apr14 Mar15 Feb11 Jan07 Dec03 (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FUN AFFAIR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  ARTEMIS SOUND Apr13 Mar08 Feb09 Jan14   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MAX'S WARRIOR by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
13  MARCO T. May02 Mar29 Nov04 Sep04 May11 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  VALUE AREA Mar28 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov19 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
BAQ-9   05/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Nov19 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 125 12.00    
SCR  IN MY SHADOW Aug06 Jul03 May19 Apr22 Feb26 (martin car)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
UNAUDITED Nov03 Oct14 Aug03 Jun23   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
PODERE Nov17 Oct20       (bond h)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
AIR FORCE CROSS Mar21 Feb18       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  UNAFFECTED Apr13 Sep04 Aug06 Jun23 Jun01 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
FELINE TREASURE Apr26 Feb17       (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME FORCE Jul01 May19 May06 Apr14 Feb26 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 125 12.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Oct14 Aug03 Jul07     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  ALL GOOD HERE Jul21 Jun23 Apr14 Mar15   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.40    
11  MALIBU MARGARITA Apr11 Mar14 Jan13 Dec17 Nov04 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  DANCINGINTHEPARK         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
13  ROAD SODA Apr27 Mar24       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  YOUR MISSION Nov04 Oct05 Jul26 Jul01 May13 (bernardini g)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
15  CHARMING JIM Mar09 Jan26 Nov19 Sep21 Jul14 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  WISECRACKER May10 Oct13 Sep04     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.