Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (6/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (8/7/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (8/6/11/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (2/3/6/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (12/5/6/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCAFEE Nov01         (dutrow rich)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
GREATDAYFORHOCKEY Oct16 Sep12 Aug24     (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MORAL Oct27 Sep25       (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
ROCK SOLO Nov08 Sep27       (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  COUNTTHEBRAVE Oct17 Sep25       (correas igna)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
OPTICAL Nov01 Oct05 Sep18 Sep05 Aug19 (desormeaux j )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
CHRIS'S REVENGE Oct24 Sep28       (russell brit)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
 
CD-2   11/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYES STRIKE Nov09 Oct20 Sep19 Jun08 May11 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 10% 9.00    
J. P. RACE Nov03 Sep21 Jul20 Jun12 May25 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
THUNDERIAN Nov07 Sep25 Jul31 Jul04 May26 (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
MOWINS Oct02 Sep06 Aug27 Aug12 Jul13 (lauer micha)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GO EMI Sep15 Aug08 Jul06 Jun08 May11 (gonzalez a)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
SCR  ETHEREAL ROAD Nov06 Sep22 Jul22 Mar30 Mar02 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.00    
 
CD-3   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD LIKE MAGIC Oct16 Aug25 Nov10 Sep24 Aug26 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
DEWY'S BEAST Nov10 Oct24 Sep03 Jul15 Aug26 (salas marcelino)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO AGAIN Nov13 Oct16 Aug25 Jul04 May16 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
TRIPLE ELVIS Aug11 Jul19 Jun16 Mar22 Feb11 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
ISLAND CRUISER Oct20 Aug24 Jul20 May04 Mar16 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
MR MCGREGOR Nov01 Sep26 Sep14 Aug26 Jul21 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
HUNTER JOHN Sep28 Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jan16 (ortiz a)NOLASCO JONATHAN 110 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH RIDE Oct24 Sep29 Aug11 Nov25 Oct14 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.00    
LAMBETH Nov06 Sep15 Aug06 Jun27 Dec31 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
PARCHMENT PARTY Nov09 Oct12 Nov09 Sep15   (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
VITALITY Oct24 Sep10 Aug23 Jul19 May25 (ladauceur h)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
DONEGAL DESTINY Sep10 Aug01       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
STAR OF WONDER Oct24 Sep14 Jun02     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
CD-5   11/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULLY Oct13 May27 Apr20 Jan15 Nov13 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
DEMETRIUS Oct24 May10       (frazier matt)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
FAYETTE SPIRIT Oct10 Sep07 Mar23 Jan27 Nov29 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
ALRASIKH Apr13         (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY SEVEN Oct30 Oct03 Sep18 Aug08 Aug28 (spraggins r)FELIX E 124 30.00    
ROCKY JOY Oct24 Aug31 Jul15 Jun16 May02 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.20 69% 0.50    
GHOST NATION Sep22 Aug20       (matejka pavel)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00    
FINN MCSORLEY Nov03 Oct10 Dec15 Nov14   (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
TAKE TOMORROW         (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TECHNE Oct30 Oct03 Sep17 Jul14 Jun22 (guerre)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00    
11  PUBLICITY Oct24 Sep07 Jun27 May30   (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
12  FARM TEAM Feb17 Jan06 Oct29 Sep15 Aug06 (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00    
SCR  FOUR TOP Sep07 Jul20 Jun30 May19 Mar10 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  BISATE Nov10 Dec23       (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
SCR  SWEET FREEDOM Oct24 Sep29 Aug25 Jul05 May26 (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
 
CD-6   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE BABY Oct24 Aug17       (wilkes r)RAMOS D 118 12.00    
LOOKATMYBUCKLE Nov02 Oct02 Sep12 Aug28 Aug17 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
TALKSALOT Nov02 Sep28 Aug29 Jul30 Jul06 (desormeaux j )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
HEARTS UNITED Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 Jul21   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00    
BISA Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50    
THUNDER KIN Nov01 Oct04 Aug04     (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
BARBARINA Oct25 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 29% 2.40    
POUNDS IN TOWN Oct23 May19 May02 Apr07   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   11/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO BELLA         (forster t)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIGHT TO SEE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
MISS AUTHENTIC         (kenneally e)TORRES A 119 12.00    
WHIPPOORWILL         (danner kelsey)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
BROWN SUGAR         (correas iv)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIL DRUMMER GIRL         (wilkes r)RAMOS D 119 20.00    
PRETTY SASSY         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
KEEPSAKE Oct12         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
GOOD GAME         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
10  QUICK TO CHARM Oct18         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
11  SHARED VISION         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
12  TRADING SECRETS Oct27 Sep15 Aug15 Jul21 Jun28 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
SCR  FOIE GRAS         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
SCR  LOST AND FOUND         (walden will)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C'EST CHEESE Oct04 Jan10 Nov29 Oct29 Oct06 (beckman wh)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
AMY Z Sep13 Jul29 Jun22 Jun06 May12 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
CLIQUE Sep24 Sep04 Jul27     (irion heath)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY MITOLE Oct12 Aug23       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
COME AS YOU ARE Nov13 Sep15 Sep07 Jun20 May25 (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT SHOT Feb17 Jan20 Nov25 Oct29 Sep21 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
OUR KEEPSAKE Oct31 Jun05 May16 Apr26 Apr04 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00    
UNDERCOVER Oct31 Sep21 Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
TENNESSEEHONEYBEE Oct30 Sep03 Aug08     (hughes g)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
10  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Dec29 Sep29 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
11  HARBOR SPRINGS Oct16 Sep15 Aug17 Jun26 May26 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COASTAL INVASION Oct12 Dec17 Oct29     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
 
CD-9   11/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DHABAB (IRE) Oct05 Sep01 Jul29 Apr19 Dec30 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
COPPOLA Oct05 Sep07 Aug04 Jul05 Jun08 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
RUN CARSON Oct18 Oct06 Aug11 Jul11 Jun13 (danner kelsey)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
CHARCOAL Oct05 Sep07 Aug04 Jul05 Jun08 (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
DURANTE Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 May11 May04 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
JOE SHIESTY Nov03 Oct06 Sep07 Aug04 May01 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
LET MY PEOPLE GO Oct05 Aug31 Jul20 Jul01 Jun14 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SOSUA SUMMER Oct23 Aug31 Jun08 Apr06 Jan20 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 124 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Oct17 Sep11 Aug03 Jun30 May31 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
10  BLING Oct24 Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May12 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 117 30.00    
SCR  BEAR RIVER Nov03 Oct06 Sep07 Aug11 Jul04 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
12  STITCHED Jun01 May02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep02 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 18.80    
 
CD-10   11/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Oct30 Oct11 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 (brafford michell)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
FURIOUS ANGER Nov03 Sep22 Jul18 Jun23 May30 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
RUN JALEN RUN Nov07 Jul04 Jun12 Apr19 Mar30 (manley steve)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  B SUDD Nov06 Oct10 Sep15 Aug05 Jun28 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
MORUNNING Oct10 Sep15 Jul28 Jul07 Mar08 (davis christ)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
LIAM'S JOURNEY May31 Apr18 Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
MO RUM Nov10 Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 Jun06 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
GLEN AIRY Sep19 Jul21 Jun27 May27 Apr19 (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00    
SCR  AL AMEEQ Oct11 Sep15 Aug03 Jun09 May24 (mckeever and)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH Nov06 Oct11 Sep15 Aug12 Jun28 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 120 20.00    
11  PURSUIT OF POWER Sep25 Aug17 Jul18 Jun12 May11 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00    
12  ATTACHE Oct30 Sep14 Jul07 Jun06 Nov22 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
13  TRUST DADDY Nov06 Oct11 Sep07 Aug17 Jun16 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.