Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (8/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (10/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (14/7/9/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (11/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLT ON THE ROCKS Mar30 Mar01       (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  AVA'S STORM Mar27 Feb29 Jan31 Dec22 Jul04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17   (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
LYNNA Feb10 Jun02 Mar12     (cohn g)LANERIE J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY Aug31 Oct16 Sep09 Aug18   (reed r)MCKEE J 125 20.00    
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Mar09 Feb08       (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SHE'S SPLENDID Mar09 Feb08 Jan18 Dec16 Nov17 (tomlinson mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
GREYHOUND STATION Mar08 Jan27 Jan06 Nov25   (stall m)TORRES A 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
KEE-2   04/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL CAROL         (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00    
KING HAZELTON         (spraggins kenneth )RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
BALTIMORE HEART Mar13 Feb13 Jan12 Dec16   (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
TOO FRACING LUCKY         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
MONSIEUR CANDY Mar10 Nov03 Oct20     (cohn g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDENTOWN Mar07 Jan15 Oct22     (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
MAINTAIN Oct22 Sep07 Aug05     (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
BOLT ACTION Mar07 May21       (stall m)TORRES A 125 5.00 10% 9.10    
BEER RUN Sep02 Jul15 Jun17 Apr26   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 2.00 64% 0.60    
10  DON CORLEONE Feb19 Jan21 Dec09 Mar26 Feb20 (miller peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00    
11  COWBOY CACHE Mar24         (dutrow e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
12  STEEL LINK Mar01 Dec22 Jun17     (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SCR  PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Mar24 Feb10 Dec15     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  GLACIAL POWER Mar06 Jul08       (camejo m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  PLUNDER         (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  SIDE EYE Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 Dec17 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.50    
 
KEE-3   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUPKAR Mar03 Feb03 Nov17 Oct07 Jun03 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 42% 1.40    
ATLANTIC STRIKE Mar27 Feb17 Feb07 Jan11 May28 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Nov29 Nov15 Oct24 Oct13 Sep28 (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
ABITIBI Mar27 Mar09 Feb21 Jan24 Dec27 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00    
STAND BY YOU Sep06 Aug09 Jul14 May31 May06 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  HOPE OVER FEAR Mar15 Feb10 Jan17 Dec30 Nov18 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 10.00    
SCR  LA TOURISTA Mar13 Jan11 Dec06 Nov18 Oct01 (pino michael )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD MY BOURBON Mar23         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
RUNAWAY JOKE Mar13 Jan21 Dec14 Nov22 Oct18 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
KNICKS HERO         (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 17.10    
SIZE LORD         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL         (heath g)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
SAVE THE TREES         (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
EL PELIGRO Jun22 Jun06       (torres concepc)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
RUN JALEN RUN Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Dec09 Nov22 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  COWBOY LUKE Oct07 Aug10       (quartarolo antho)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
10  LEBOMBO         (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
11  ADRIFT Feb09 Dec21 Nov22     (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  ORIZZONTE Mar21         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  TALBINGO         (lynch a)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  CASA LIMON         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
SCR  TOSCANO         (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE ARTIST Sep02 Jul21 Jun11 May07 Apr09 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
FEBRUARY SON Mar07 Feb17 Dec23 Nov02 Sep01 (granitz anth)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
FREEDOM'S WAY Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Nov02 Feb12 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
COMMON BOND Mar30 Feb17 Jan25 Jul02 Apr15 (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
JUDGE DAVIS Apr05 Mar01 Oct26 Sep13 Aug20 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
JOHN DUTTON Mar06 Feb22 Jan01 Nov15 Oct24 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
EVAN HARLAN Mar16 Feb25 Feb02 Jan05 May19 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
BANISHING Feb12 Jan13 Nov30 Nov02 Feb18 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) Oct28 May17 Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  GREEK ORDER (GB)         (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
11  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Jan04 Dec16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep20 (jarvis kathy)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
KEE-6   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLE AMADA Sep23 Aug06       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  PRINCESA CELINA Feb21 Aug06 May04     (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
EMERY Oct07 Aug30       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 30% 2.30    
THESE APPLES Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 Dec20   (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  ANTIQUE SILVER Apr12 Mar15       (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
RHAPSODY Oct08 Sep16 Aug20 Jul01   (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
YUMA'S SHADOW Mar28         (kubinova eliska)ROMAN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S COOL Mar02 Aug05       (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLE SOUL Jul08 Jun01 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINFROMWITHIN Mar01 Feb03 Dec23 Nov05 Sep21 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11% 7.80    
AMBIVALENT Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Sep17 Aug31 (forster t)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
OLYMPIC RUNNER Feb03 Dec30 Oct07 Sep09 Aug05 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  NICE ACE Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 Oct23 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  OUTLAW KID Sep16 Aug05 Jul26 Jul01 Jun15 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
AXTHELM Mar01 Feb04 Jan05 Dec01 Oct21 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DEVIL'S TOWER Feb23 Jan05 Dec17 Sep23 Aug20 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
MARK OF THE Z Oct15 Jun21 Apr22 Apr08 Dec03 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 12.00 16% 5.10    
10  OCEANIC Dec15 Oct08 Aug06 Jul01 May23 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
11  JUST MIGHT Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 Nov12 Oct15 (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY Mar22 Mar02 Feb04 Jul22 Jul01 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
13  LET MY PEOPLE GO Apr06 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 Oct07 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
14  CHERUBIC FACTOR Sep02 Jul29 Jun17 May06 Mar31 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  KANTHARI Mar09 Jan05 May28 Apr08 Feb19 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONEMONT REUNION Mar01 Jan25 Dec08 Nov05 Apr15 (rider m)MOJICA JR 118 50.00    
SCR  HURRY HURRY Dec22 Nov16 Oct11 Aug19 Jun30 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
DREAMLIKE Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 Jul14 Apr08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 37% 1.70    
HAVILDAR Mar16 Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 Jun14 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
GAME WARDEN Feb18 Jan19 Dec07 Oct06 Sep15 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
BRIGADE COMMANDER Mar07 Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 Sep30 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 118 6.00 27% 2.60    
EGON Mar28 Apr29 Apr08     (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GLEN AIRY Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 Oct19 Aug08 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SINGLE DOT YAHT Dec22 Nov17 Oct21 Sep21 Jul16 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
10  CAGLIOSTRO Sep24 Aug22 Jul08 Jun03 Mar25 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 
KEE-9   04/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING SEA Nov25 Oct20 Sep04 Aug09 Nov04 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
QUEEN OF MISSOULA Feb15 Dec06 Nov16 Oct08 Aug04 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCYLLA Mar17 Jun02 Apr15     (mott i)CASTELLANO J 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
LOVED Jul22 Jun11 May12 Apr21 Mar13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
SADDLE UP JESSIE Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Dec23 Nov04 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
HIDDEN CONNECTION Jan27 Dec22 Nov18 Sep16 Aug13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CURL GIRL Feb28 Jan10 May05 Apr13 Feb05 (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
KEE-10   04/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELOUNI (FR) Mar02 Jul07 Jun03 Apr22 Mar04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
CHIRON Mar23 Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Dec02 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Mar16 Jan20 May20 Apr07 Mar04 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
DHABAB (IRE) Dec30 Oct08 Sep02 Jul30   (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
LOYAL COMPANY Mar02 Jan20 Dec16 Oct21 Sep23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCOOBIE QUANDO Mar23 Feb23 Jun03 May06 Apr08 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Oct23 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
WICKED FINN Mar21 Dec02 Nov12 Sep04 Aug11 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
10  NOISES OFF Jan05 Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 Jun22 (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
11  NORTHERN INVADER Mar16 Dec30 Nov26 Oct06 Aug12 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.