Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (2/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (7/13/12/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (9/4/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (6/9/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-8   Win (9/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (8/4/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-11   Win (6/2/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAIRY CAKES (GB) May08 Apr19 Nov29 Nov15 Oct24 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
MARKSWOMAN May12 Nov17 Sep27 May19 Mar05 (delong ben)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAZOKU Apr30 Apr10 Mar15 Feb14 Jan03 (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 3.50 15% 5.90    
CALTHA Feb03 Dec28 Dec06 Oct20 Sep16 (bahena isma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
CONDIMENT GIRL Apr30 Mar09 Jan28 Dec12 Nov25 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
PROTOMAGIC May11 Apr10 Mar27 Feb28 Feb03 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF May03 Apr06 Mar02 Feb16 Dec30 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
 
CD-2   05/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUAL MONARCHY May01 Apr11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan06 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00    
VIA DELLA SPIGA Feb12         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 33% 2.00    
HASKELLED May14 Apr27 Apr11 Mar15 Feb23 (delacruz mejia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIVERTON (GB) May02 May01 Mar29 Mar03 Oct19 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 120 5.00    
FORGE IN FIRE May01 Apr14 Feb21 Jun01 Apr20 (bahena ismael)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
STINGY Apr14 Feb10 Dec29 Dec01 Oct25 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 3.50    
CASHMEUP Apr27 Feb17 Nov09 Oct06 Dec31 (miller f)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
GOD OF WINE May01 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Nov24 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
CD-3   05/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTWORK MOM May03 Mar17       (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
MO FOR US Apr27 Mar24       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
INNOCENT NYGHT Sep28 Aug23       (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
SOMBRA DORADA         (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
ZEN MOMENT Apr20 Mar28       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PENNY'S SMILE Apr20         (sims a)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 9% 10.60    
WOWSERS May03 Apr07 Feb25     (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00    
DESPO'S DREAM May03 Sep20 Aug04     (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Apr20 Mar28 Feb21 Jan18 Dec13 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
10  CRAZY CAMI Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 Aug13 Jul19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
CD-4   05/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIETLY         (mott riley)TORRES A 118 12.00    
CELEBRITY RO Feb16 Jan28       (lynch brian )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
HAND IT OVER Apr25 Apr05 Mar06 Jan17   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00    
I AM THE SAUCE         (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 12.00    
DIAL HOME Apr25 Mar23       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 5% 17.70    
ARGENTINIDAD Apr13 Mar06       (seglin e)RIQUELME J 118 20.00    
EVERYTHING BUGS ME Apr05 Dec02       (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  TOFFEE APPLE Apr21 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
ABOVE ALL ELSE Apr20         (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
10  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 Dec13 Nov16 (capps steve)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  WESTPHALIA Mar15 Feb25       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
12  MYSTICAL CHANT Apr27 Apr07 Mar06 Sep16 Jul23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 9% 10.10    
13  CLARET BERET Apr21 Mar23       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MARINA GAMBA Apr24         (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE Mar07 Feb21 Jan10 Nov25   (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
SCR  SEMANTICS Apr21 Mar07       (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
 
CD-5   05/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE KITTEN May05 Apr27 Apr14 Mar14 Feb22 (cambray andr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
FRIAR LAURENCE Mar14 Dec30 Dec08 Nov26 Nov11 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
PAPA ROCKET May04 Apr19 Mar09 Nov14 Oct24 (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
INFILTRATOR Mar29 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 May21 (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
FLAGS UP May10 Apr19 Mar24 Dec29 Nov11 (salas feli)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
W W CRAZY Apr20 Apr05 Mar23 Feb19 Jan06 (lauer micha)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00    
DIVINE ARMOR Apr20 Mar30 Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
DIRECT LINE Apr20 Mar04 Dec30 Aug12 Dec03 (kubinova eliska)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
ZIPPIN GIGI Apr18 Feb29 Feb03 May03 Mar22 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
10  GLOBAL SENSATION May10 Mar22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec22 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RARE AFFAIR Oct28         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 124 20.00    
NOT GUILTY         (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S IT Mar17         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE Apr26 Jun25 Dec29 Nov24 Oct30 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00    
MOONLIT MISCHIEF Apr18 Oct23 Sep17 Nov25 Sep24 (medina robert)TORRES A 124 15.00    
GENETICS Nov11 Oct13 Sep03 Aug13   (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
PRIDES CROSSING         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  CONQUEST DANCER Apr25         (catalano m)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
HALSTYN ROSE Apr20 Mar08 Feb09     (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  PENNY ROYAL         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  FLAWLESS QUALITY May03         (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE Apr27 Mar20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00    
DUCALE Dec29 Nov23 Oct25 Apr16   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
BOUND FOR NOWHERE Jul23 May26 Apr26 Oct08 Jul02 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 75% 0.30    
KIGALI Apr27 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug30 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
B D VALESKI Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 Oct21 Sep22 (foley greg)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
CLEAR THE AIR Apr21 Mar30 Feb23 Feb09 Dec16 (walden william)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
BUSHIDO Apr27 Feb10 Dec23 Jun15 Apr16 (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
GASLIGHT DANCER Apr27 Feb22 Dec16 Nov09 Sep30 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
RED DANGER Apr02 Feb04 Dec26 Nov27 Jun03 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
10  COUNTERSTRIKE Apr27 Apr05 Jan27 Dec30 Dec02 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
11  ZOOMBIE Apr27 Dec15 Oct21 Sep18 Jul03 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN May04 Apr06 Dec31 Dec01 Oct07 (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
13  WAKE SURF Mar30 Feb23 Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
SCR  INSOLITO Apr21 Mar14 Feb10 Dec15 Oct23 (estvanko ri)CORREA L 121 30.00    
SCR  ON YOUR MARK Mar20 Feb25 Mar16 Sep14 Aug18 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER Sep20 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE May02 Apr06 Mar16 Feb13 Jan19 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 2.50    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Apr21 Apr05 Mar03 Jan07 Jul29 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun01 Apr16 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
SCR  PRO OXIDANT May16 Mar14 Jan19 Nov23 Oct28 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00    
 
CD-8   05/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESSURE May03 Apr12 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00    
J. P. RACE Apr07 Feb22 Feb03 Jan06 Dec16 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 10.00    
JAY VEE BEE May12 Jun22 May12 Apr22 Mar25 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00    
SCR  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov17 Oct22 (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 30.00    
MUCHO MOJO May02 Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan06 (walsh brend)TORRES A 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
MOTORCADE Apr28 Apr07 Feb25 Apr23 Feb04 (ewing michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
CITY OF CLOUDS May05 Apr21 Mar24 Feb25 Feb16 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAGLIATELLE May09 Apr12 Mar20 Mar08 Jan06 (foster eric)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
LANDLORD Apr28 Apr06 Mar02     (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  SUPREMELY Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 Nov22 Nov02 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50    
 
CD-9   05/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KRICKLE May09 Jan26 Dec29 Dec08 Nov08 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  PLUM TRICKY Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  HARBOR SPRINGS May03 Apr07 Feb17 Jan20   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SILVER ROSE Dec09 Nov05 Sep27     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
OPPOSITE THE CROWD Apr28 Mar22 Feb25     (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
READY FOR TROUBLE May09 Apr14 Mar21 Feb02 Dec31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NAY V BELLE Apr21 Mar09 Feb18     (foley greg)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00    
SHE CALLED Apr27 Mar17       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
HIDDEN CLASS Dec22 Oct29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
10  WINAKACHING Apr20 Mar28       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 9% 9.90    
11  FIBBER May11 Apr05 Dec23 Nov25 Oct27 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
12  ZADORSKY Nov25 Oct29 Sep14 Aug13 Jul07 (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/25/2024 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Keertana Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY APPOINTED Apr21 Feb25 Jan21 Dec08 Oct05 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHOP CHOP Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Jan26 Dec21 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  TOWER BRIDGE Apr26 Mar30 Feb14 Jan03 Nov16 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) Apr26 Nov12 Oct08 Sep09 Jul15 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
VERGARA Apr26 Nov12 Oct22 Sep09 Aug03 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
SAND AND SEA May06 Jan27 Dec31 Dec03 Oct31 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
HOLY FOLEY Apr24 Apr07 Mar09 Oct18 Sep09 (lynch brian)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00    
 
CD-11   05/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHEZALITTLESTINKER         (catalano m)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
CANDY LANDY Mar31 Feb14 Oct29 Sep21 Aug01 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  A LITTLE CANELA May09         (salas felip)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
FUN LOVING Apr18 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep02 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
BOUGIE NOT BASIC Apr18         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
QUEEN OF PARIS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
ILLUSION Apr20 Mar28       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RENDEZVOUS Sep02 Aug01       (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
COME AS YOU ARE         (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
10  QUEEN CLANCY Apr28 Mar22 Jan26 Dec29 Nov08 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
11  MONARCH Feb18 Jan14       (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.