Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(1/7/6)-(4/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/8/5)-(6/9/4/7/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(6/9/4/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(6/9/4/7/1)-(2/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/9/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/7/1)-(6/9/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/7/1)-(6/9/4/7/1)-(6/9/4/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/4/7/1)-(2/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/7/1)-(2/6/1/7)-(9/1/6/2/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(9/1/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(9/1/6/2/7)-(1/7/2/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (9/1/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/2/7)-(9/1/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/2/7)-(9/1/6/2/7)-(9/1/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/6/2/7)-(1/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/2/7)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/5)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/5)-(1/4/3)-(6/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURROUNDER Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
2  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jan02 Dec13 Nov06 Sep28 Aug29 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
3  WEEKEND BUZZ Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct11 Sep18 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
4  BABA LOOEY Dec04 Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  PRIMITIVO Jan01 Nov08 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STONE COLD CAT Sep11 Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 May15 (calderon ivan)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
7  MISTER MOBIL Jan02 Dec04 Sep25 Aug21 Jul31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  GARRETT Nov28 Sep13 Aug23 Apr12 Mar13 (galloway kh)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00    
 
MVR-2   01/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAIL OF HONOR Dec27 Dec16 Nov15 Oct30 Oct15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  RUBINSTEIN Jan10 Dec27 Dec06 Nov16 Nov01 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
3  ALEXIS N NIKO Dec30 Dec06 Nov15 Oct30 Oct05 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 4.00 ★    
4  SWELTER Dec30 Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
5  DIXIE GIANT Dec29 Nov05 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
6  KING SOCIAL Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAYITO Dec06 Nov22 Oct17 Oct02 Sep23 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-3   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A RUSH Dec19 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
2  THE MAN CAN Dec19 Dec04 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
3  OHIO PLAYER Dec14 Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 Sep18 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 ★    
4  MUTINY Dec14 Sep25 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  ACCURATE Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATTACK ANGLE Dec04 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 Oct03 (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  HENRY THE CAT Dec14 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Jul31 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 124 2.50    
8  BISCUITS AND GRITS Dec04 Nov14 Sep18 Nov09 Sep21 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-4   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY CHARM Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Aug24 Mar05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY JENNY Jan03 Oct16 Oct02 Sep05   (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
3  MALI BALI Dec27 Nov29 Nov07 Oct24 Oct17 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50    
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 6% 16.80    
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA Jan04 Dec11 Nov27     (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 15.00    
6  NOT TODAY Jan04 Dec11 Nov27 Oct19   (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  I GOT ANALYZED Jan04 Oct16 Sep11 Aug08 Jul20 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRIKING MELODY Dec26 Oct28 Aug16 Aug04 Jun15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
9  SISTER CODE Jan01 Dec19 Oct31 Oct05 Jun14 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING PATRIOT Dec11 Sep27 Sep12 Sep23 Sep05 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 10.00 8% 12.10    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Dec28 Nov27 Mar02 Feb16 Jan31 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  PLAYING BALL Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Sep07 Aug30 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
4  NOSEY POWER Dec11 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
SCR  SLICK EDDIE May22 Jan04 Dec19 Dec03   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
6  HARSH TRUTH Dec28 Dec11 Nov27 Oct11 Aug28 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  WHISKEY HELPS Dec28 Dec11 Nov27 Nov16 Sep21 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAMMY'S TOY Dec26 Jan17 Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 5.00    
9  HAPPY TAKEOVER Dec26 Dec11 Aug10 Jul17 May20 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TRUCK Dec28 Nov30 Nov01 Aug26 Aug05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  BREEZY MONEY Dec21 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Sep18 (rivera n)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  ROSE'S PEPINO Jan01 Dec13 Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 (pappada jul)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 5.00    
4  HUNTER SCOTT Dec28 Nov02 Sep26 Aug06 Jul16 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00    
5  TEST PILOT May25 May13 Apr21 Feb28 Jan21 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
6  CONFESSOR Dec20 Nov06 Oct15 Oct01 May20 (clouston edwa)BRACHO A 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
7  SO DIALED IN Dec21 Nov14 Nov01 Oct02 Aug28 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  THRU THE VINE Dec21 Nov29 Nov01 Aug29 Jul24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
9  STAR HAWK Dec28 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 Sep26 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  STRIKE APPEAL Dec28 Nov20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY INCLUSIVE Dec20 Nov13 Oct25 May06 Apr10 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  WEEKENDING Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 Aug29 Aug09 (calderon ivan)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Dec30 Nov28 Nov02 Oct12 Aug31 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
4  LADY FORTUNE Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 Sep18 Jun26 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Dec30 Dec21 Nov02 Oct03 Sep04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Dec07 Nov13 Jun30 May25 Mar02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
7  ANGEL WINGS Dec30 Dec21 Jul06 Jun15 May17 (flores israel)DIAZ I 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE Dec30 Nov02 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELICO Dec26 Sep24       (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
2  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Jul05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
3  ORVILLE B Dec26 Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
4  PRESSLEY RIDGE Dec26 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Sep14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 1.40 17% 4.80    
5  BIG TIME FLIRT Dec26 Dec07 Nov16 Oct02 Sep14 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
6  ORLEANS STORM Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-9   01/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARM Jan13 Dec27 Dec08 Sep25 Aug26 (smith m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  EL CUERVO FELIS Dec05 Nov02 Oct16     (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  MEADOW VALUE Jan03 Dec29 Dec15 Nov20 Oct31 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
SCR  HERE COMES ELI Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct16   (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
5  AURA OF GOLD Nov09 Sep03 Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  POKER PARTNER Dec28 Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 Aug21 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.50 39% 1.50    
7  PLAIN OR PEANUT Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 (alessi james)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
9  SIR MASON Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 Oct27 Sep30 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.