Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/6)-(2/12/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/12/3/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/3/9/4)-(2/12/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/3/9/4)-(2/12/3/9/4)-(2/12/3/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/12/3/9/4)-(1/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/12/3/9/4)-(1/4)-(8/6/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(8/6/2)-(8/11/3/12/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-4   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(8/11/3/12/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(8/11/3/12/6)-(1/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-5   WIN (8/11/3/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/3/12/6)-(8/11/3/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/3/12/6)-(8/11/3/12/6)-(8/11/3/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/11/3/12/6)-(1/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/11/3/12/6)-(1/8/4/3)-(6/8/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/3)-(6/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/3)-(6/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1/4)-(6/8/7/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/6/3)-(2/7/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3)-(12/11/6/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-9   WIN (8/1/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3)-(8/1/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5/3)-(12/11/6/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-10   WIN (12/11/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/11/6/8/9)-(12/11/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/11/6/8/9)-(12/11/6/8/9)-(12/11/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERHERO Nov11         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00    
2  DANTHECONCRETEMAN Nov20 Oct21 Sep23     (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
3  LUCKY IS MY NAME Aug19         (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
4  LEAD FOOT Nov18 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Aug13 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
5  PLAY THE TRUMPET Sep25 Sep05 Jun08     (williams )TORRES A 121 5.00    
6  BLOWOUT MOUNTAIN         (compton g)DE CRUZ 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROFESSIONAL GRADE Nov04 Sep13 Jul22     (williams sea)FUENTES A 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
8  MIRAGE (IRE)         (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
OP-2   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHISHOLM TRAIL Oct08 Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
2  MAN ON THE MOON Nov16 Aug19 Jul27 May20 Apr22 (martin ke)TORRES A 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
3  RIVER BOY Nov26 Nov10 Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
4  KHOZY MY BOY Oct14 Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALIPARI Oct26 Sep16 Aug24 Jul03 Jun10 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
SCR  MULBERRY STREET Nov03 Oct14 Sep05 Aug16 Jul05 (silva mig)BEALMEAR C 110 10.00    
7  VIM AND VIGOR Nov23 Oct21 Sep02 Jul23 Jul02 (villafranco ma)CHUAN MARTIN 120 20.00    
8  YAK Sep27 Sep11 Jul05 Jun08 May09 (broberg k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
9  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Oct13 Aug26 Jun16 May28 May05 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 12% 7.40    
10  FETCHS BRAHM Sep04 Jul22 Jun24 May06 Mar31 (fires h)COURT K 115 30.00    
11  GEORGIA DEPUTY Nov08 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Jun10 (petalino joe)WALES T 120 30.00    
12  TOMA TODO Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Sep01 Jun07 (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
OP-3   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($60.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE RADIO Oct02 Sep11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun05 (rone mike)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  BRESLAU Oct23 Oct01 Aug20 Jun27 May29 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  BOURBON SPIRIT Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 Aug06 Jul13 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 1.60    
4  HOME RUN TRICK Nov24 May04 Mar16 Feb11 Oct02 (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 8% 12.30    
5  SHADOW MATTER Feb17 Jan14 Nov17 Oct15 Sep23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 15.00    
6  FULL AUTHORITY Nov02 Sep09 Jul30 Jul02 Jun14 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  MACRON Dec30 Dec09 Oct15 Sep25 Aug06 (haran john)ZIMMERMAN R 123 8.00    
 
OP-4   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL MATADOR Nov09         (mott rile)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
2  SILVER TONE         (compton greg)FUENTES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  REDFIELD Oct14 Sep10 Aug04     (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
4  MONEYSHOT Nov04 Oct11 Sep21 Aug05   (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
5  CRUSADING Nov12 Oct01 Sep03 Aug12   (asmussen )TORRES A 122 3.50 ★    
6  REVELATION         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  WARP NINE Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00    
8  CHARLESTON Nov15 Oct26       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
OP-5   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT'S GAL Sep13 Sep04 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 118 10.00    
2  ELMO'S SECRET Sep05 Aug03 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (cravens r)TORRES A 118 15.00    
3  SMARTY'S ANGEL Jun26 May05       (cates al)HARR KELSI 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
4  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Oct26 Sep22 Sep07 Jun08 May05 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 111 30.00    
5  DIXIE GIRL TO Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 (westermann r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
6  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE May04 Apr21 Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 (soto fermin)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Sep11 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr28 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
8  BETTY JO May04 Apr21 Apr08 Feb12 Jan14 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
9  THURSDAY MORNING Nov16 Oct27 Sep03 Aug19 Jun17 (espinoza e)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 15.00    
10  SHUTUP PLEASE Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Sep01 Jul06 (dixon tim)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
11  PETULA Aug07 Jun26 Jun04 May04 Apr22 (mckellar joe)FUENTES A 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
12  COROMANDEL Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jun10 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00 6% 16.80    
 
OP-6   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN BAND May04 Mar11 Jan27 Jan13 Sep17 (haran john)FUENTES A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  RIGHT TRAPPE Oct03 Sep06 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
3  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Nov11 Oct15 Aug31 Aug19 Jul23 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIMONA'S CHOICE Oct25 Sep13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 120 3.00 12% 7.70    
5  DIVA TREVA Nov14 Oct12 Dec09 Nov21 Nov13 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 20.00    
6  CARTEL QUEEN May20 May01 Apr14     (mott rile)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
7  COST A FORTUNE Nov25 Nov02 Mar14 Feb12 Jan15 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 120 8.00    
8  ROCK STAR PARKING Nov01 Sep30 Aug01 Jun23 Jan14 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
 
OP-7   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE SOME MO Nov10 Oct19 Sep25 Aug30 Jul30 (rosin w)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
2  ROCKING ROCKET Nov22 Apr14 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 117 20.00    
3  LUNA VIEJA Nov16 Sep15 Aug26 Jun29 Jun02 (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 3.00    
4  CANAVALL Oct14 Sep08 Aug08 Jun25 Dec16 (williams)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 ★    
5  LIFE ON THE NILE Oct14 Sep03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
6  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Dec02 Nov10 Nov02 Jul04 May13 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  FIGHTERTOWN Oct11 Sep30 Aug06 Jun15 May21 (mason ing)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  KOBLA MAS Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Jun23 May24 (ward dan)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
9  LUCKY BOSS Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Aug06 Jun10 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
OP-8   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL VARGO Nov24 Nov09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50    
2  BORN FLAWLESS Nov22 Oct28 Sep27 Sep14 Aug20 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.00 57% 0.70    
3  SPOTTED BULL Oct28 Oct18 Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Nov04 Oct17 Sep30 Aug18 Jul14 (becker scott)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
5  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Nov14 Oct14 Sep24 Aug24 Jul04 (broberg karl)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Oct11 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 ★    
7  ATOMIC TONE Jul05 Jun15 May29 May02 Apr11 (rone mike)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
8  COST BASIS Aug21 Jun18 May27 Apr14 Mar18 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 119 20.00    
9  GOLDEN LUNA Sep18 Sep10 Sep01 Jul28 Jul14 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 20.00    
 
OP-9   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Nov11 Oct14 Sep09 Jun22 May25 (sharp joe)TORRES A 125 3.00 14% 6.40    
2  SILVER PROSPECTOR May29 Apr01 Mar18 Feb11 Jan14 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00    
3  BUCK MOON Oct27 Sep26 Aug17 Jul19 Jun10 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PATS PROPERTY Jul08 Jun01 May06 Apr16 Apr02 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
5  TONKA WARRIOR Jun21 May06 Apr01 Mar03 Feb10 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 7% 12.50    
6  HOZIER Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
7  WHELEN SPRINGS Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 May05 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 11% 8.30    
8  FULL SCREEN Nov24 Nov02 Oct01 Aug12 Jul20 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
9  DECISION MAKER Nov04 Sep21 Aug20 Jun11 May03 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
10  FROSTED DEPARTURE Nov20 Oct13 Sep09 Aug12 Jul02 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 115 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN Nov24 Oct28 Oct14 Sep10 Sep04 (ginter raymond)CHUAN MARTIN 123 12.00    
 
OP-10   12/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOGIE BODE Nov07 Sep28 Aug17 Jun17 May29 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  LAST OUTLAW Nov08 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
2  HOWL YEAH Sep11 Aug19 Jul22 May21 May05 (wilson m)HERNANDEZ J 114 30.00    
3  UNBOWED Aug11 Jun26 May29 Apr23 Apr08 (morse randy )FUENTES A 119 30.00    
4  UNSTABLE PRINCE Oct12 Oct02 Aug27 Aug13 Jul28 (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
SCR  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Nov24 Oct27 Oct12 Sep09 Aug24 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 15.00    
6  CAPTAIN JACK Nov10 Oct07 Sep14 Aug26 Apr12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00 9% 10.00    
7  PASSION OF JOE'S Nov13 Apr29 Mar27 Mar12 Jan29 (rarick wade)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00    
8  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jul19 May20 Apr28 Mar04 Jan22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  IMMORAL Nov14 Oct28 Oct17 Sep09 May06 (jansen ke)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DIRECTIONAL Dec01 Nov22 Nov09 Aug27 Aug07 (villafran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
11  MASTER OF ARMS Nov02 Oct07 Mar10 Feb17 Sep24 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
12  LORD GRANTHAM Nov15 Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Nov26 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.