Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(8/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(8/5/4)-(3/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(3/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(3/6/5/8)-(7/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8/4)-(3/6/5/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/8)-(7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/8)-(7/6/2/4)-(1/5/3/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4/10)-(7/6/2/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/4)-(1/5/3/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/4)-(1/5/3/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/5/3/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/9/10)-(1/5/3/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/9/10)-(1/5/3/9/10)-(1/5/3/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/3/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10)-(4/2/9/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/7/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10)-(4/7/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/5/9/10)-(4/2/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/9/10)-(4/2/9/10)-(2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/9/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/9/10/7)-(4/2/9/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/9/10)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/10)-(2/1/3)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICHOLAS JAMES Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Jul19 Jun27 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
2  ROCK ON KITTEN Dec30 Nov30 Nov06 Oct10 Sep10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
SCR  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 Jul26 May19 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
4  NEWS BOX Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 Aug28 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Sep29 Jul16 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
6  APACHE Jan03 Nov26 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
7  QUICK ENTRY Dec30 Dec06 Nov26 Nov05 Oct22 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  ENZOEXPRESS Jan03 Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMART COVERAGE Dec01 Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
2  RED GUN Dec30 Dec04 Nov01 Oct22 Oct04 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
3  BARRELHOUSE Dec27 Dec09 Dec01 Oct05 Sep09 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 8.00    
4  SCRATCHOFF Oct22 Aug03 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
5  FIELDSTONE Nov15 Oct05 Aug04 Jul15 May26 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  NAPA DUDE Dec12 Nov30 Nov09 Sep20 Aug30 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
7  GOLD HERITAGE Dec30 Nov09 Jun10 May17 Apr27 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
8  ERNIE'S MARTINI Dec20 Nov27 Oct10 Sep11 Aug08 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
MVR-3   01/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO CLASICO Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Nov09 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
2  THE EQUINEST Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
3  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  JOYFUL CANDY Jul05 Jun06 May30 May15 Apr27 (brinsfield b)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00 ★    
5  SILVER MATT Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
6  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Dec10 Nov21 Nov12 Sep23 Aug25 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  SEEING RED Jan01 Dec12 Dec04 Nov16 Jul19 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
8  GIZMO'S MISSION Dec27 Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 Oct25 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  ALPHA WHISKEY Jan05 Dec04 Nov18 Sep16 Aug03 (joy j)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
10  ARMOR PIERCING Jan01 Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Sep19 (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
SCR  GAMING SOUL Dec27 Dec03 Nov06 Sep28 Sep02 (gotera car)LEON A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBERBURG Dec06 Nov20 Oct04 Aug16 Jul24 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
2  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Oct04 Sep14 Aug21 Aug02 Jun21 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLYING BUSINESS Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 Sep27 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00    
4  LUCKY ROAD Dec30 Nov29 Oct05 Sep11 Feb01 (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOTHERWELL Dec05 Nov12 Oct30 Oct17 Oct04 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
6  NORTHERN JOURNEY Dec18 Nov29 Nov01 Sep19 Aug31 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 7% 13.70    
7  TIDAL WATERS Aug30 Aug22 Sep22 Aug01 Jul13 (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE Dec30 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Sep20 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 126 4.00    
9  BIRDIE BLUE Dec30 Nov20 Oct29 Dec11 Nov27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
10  WOLF EYES Dec30 Aug27 May24 Jan31 Jan12 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO GUNS Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Oct22 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Sep26 (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
3  ROYAL MAHOGANY Dec01 Nov02 Oct21 Sep15 Aug18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 8% 11.10    
4  KOSCIUSZKO Oct31 Oct21 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
5  ONE MORE RING Dec11 Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 25% 3.10    
6  PERFECT WAGER Dec13 Dec04 Nov04 Oct26 Oct07 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
7  ANOTHER BREEZE Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  LOCK ON Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 (haehn terry )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 8.00    
9  GILLIGAN Dec28 Dec11 Nov21 Nov02 Oct24 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  OVERBEARING Dec11 Nov29 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLOAD Dec26 Nov08 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Dec26 Dec14 Dec04 Nov08 Aug30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
3  THANKSDAD Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 May24 May03 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
4  OHIO STRONG Dec26 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 Sep11 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
5  BAD BOY BOOGIE Dec26 Dec14 Nov16 Oct25 Oct03 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLEVELAND POWER Dec30 Dec14 Nov22 Aug28 Aug15 (poole jam)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00    
7  BUCKEYE RED Dec26 Dec11 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
9  RED HOT POWER Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 Nov08 Sep28 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  STARS N SPACE Dec26 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Sep25 (overhol)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  RED COMET Jan02 Dec26 Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 Sep03 Aug27 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
2  FREEDOM RIDER Dec20 Dec06 Nov05 Oct02 Sep17 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
3  DOCTOR WU Dec20 Dec06 Oct24 Sep17 Aug16 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
4  OUT OF CENTS Dec20 Nov15 Oct18 Oct01 Sep09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 43% 1.40    
5  NINETIES COUNTRY Dec12 Nov26 Aug14 Mar18 Jan21 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
6  LIMIT UP Jan04 Dec13 Nov20 Sep06 Aug26 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
7  TWO BIT KID Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Dec13 Nov23 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 ★    
8  GOLDEN SPOKE Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct06 Sep13 (joy ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
9  AUGER Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 Sep07 Jul31 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
10  DAVID'S GEM Nov29 Oct11 Sep04 Aug08 Jun27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
11  DISCLOSURE Dec28 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 Nov01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSECUTOR Dec26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  EAGLE NEST Dec26 Oct24       (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 61% 0.60    
3  AINT NO BANDLEADER Dec14 Mar29 Feb27 Feb16 Dec30 (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PALACE TEMPTATION Dec26 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 Sep30 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
SCR  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Sep30 Aug01 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
6  G T THREE FIFTY Dec28 May16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan13 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
7  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Jun07 May26 Apr24 Jan26 Dec29 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 (tooley jennifer)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-9   01/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUETZALY         (atala jose)HALDAR J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
2  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
3  OLYMPIC WINGS         (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
4  COMPUTE THIS Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Oct11   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  STICK AROUND Dec30         (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of OPIE by KOKAND)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
7  COLLECT GOLD Dec14         (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
8  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Sep27 Aug30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.