Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/6/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(2/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3)-(2/8/5/3)-(1/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/3)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/3)-(1/4/7)-(3/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(3/4/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(3/4/9/8)-(6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8/1)-(3/4/9/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/9/8)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/8)-(6/1/7)-(2/4/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(2/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(2/4/9/3)-(2/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/3)-(2/4/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/3)-(2/4/9/3/1)-(2/4/9/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/9/3)-(2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/3)-(2/7/8)-(3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/5/4/8)-(2/7/5/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(3/6/2)-(6/8/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLYATTHESHOE Nov21 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
2  FRANCO (MEX) Dec26 Dec06 Nov29 Oct31 Oct02 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Dec05 Nov22 Oct24 Aug17 Jul27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EMPEROR'S GOLD Dec06 Nov05 Sep26 Sep08 Sep02 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 126 6.00 10% 9.30    
5  WILE E PEYOTE Dec12 Oct31 Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  SOUTHERN WILL Dec12 Oct29 Sep27 Sep03 Aug04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 4.50 ★    
7  CONGRATS THIS Dec06 Oct18 Sep20 Sep08 Jul27 (rhoden carlt)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
8  EXECUTIVE PRIZE Dec13 Dec03 Nov07 Oct31 Oct11 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 126 20.00    
9  OPEN OUT Sep27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug14 Jul27 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING JACK Nov07 Oct31 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 (kocijan boris)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
2  WIZARD WILLIE Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  REINSURE Nov06 Jul06 Jun07 May20 May01 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 10% 8.80    
4  BROADWAY JONES Dec07 Nov22 Nov06 Oct21 Sep14 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 4.00    
5  UNCLE KEVIN Dec12 Jun24 May31 Jan26 Dec28 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  GIANT TRICK Dec04 Nov20 Oct07 Sep23 Dec12 (rho)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
7  OMEGA GOLD Dec05 Nov15 Nov06 Oct03 Aug29 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 126 15.00    
8  UNCLE EARL Dec07 Nov30 Oct30 Oct05 Aug09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 25% 3.10    
 
MVR-3   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE CHAPTER Nov22 Nov08 Sep05     (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov27 Nov06 Jul14 Jun14 Nov22 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Dec13 Apr11 Mar09 Feb09 Jan11 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
4  WHAT A RUSH Nov28 Oct09 Sep20 Jul29 Sep06 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  BLUE MONARCH Dec19 Mar08 Feb02 Jan11 Dec20 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
6  MCGRAW Sep23 Aug12 Jul29 Jul06 Jun02 (fad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.50 ★    
7  WILDCAT BILL Dec14 Nov06 Oct13 Sep19 Aug07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-4   01/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSHI Q Dec11 Nov29 May10 Apr26 Mar16 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 ★    
2  CATABOUT Dec11 Nov14 Oct06 Sep11 Aug17 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
3  THE LAST APPLE Nov29 Nov01 Sep30 Aug09 Jul22 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  CHLOES ANGEL Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep19 Aug30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  CITY SIGNS Nov28 Nov20 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
6  J J'S FANCY Dec11 Nov20 Oct12 Jul04 Jun13 (morales sa)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
7  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Nov30 Nov08 Oct23 Oct03 Sep11 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
8  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Nov29 Nov01 Sep26 Aug30 Aug10 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
9  GRIZABELLA Dec18 Mar16 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-5   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURROUNDER Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep13 Sep04 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Nov06 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  PECKS NOT BAD Dec26 Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
4  JUST CHESTER Dec19 Jun07 May20 May08 Mar14 (schuster ro)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
5  MUCHO PRIMO Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct30 May16 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
6  KEEPING SCORE Nov28 Nov06 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  STUNT MAN Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 Jul13 Jun24 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 5.00 10% 9.10    
8  PRIMITIVO Nov08 Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZA MAGIC Nov28 Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  CAT'S RHYTHM Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov01 Oct06 (rivera nes)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
3  DANCIN' ROSIE Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 Sep11 Aug21 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 6% 17.10    
4  TALE OF THE LYON Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep06 (poole m)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 Sep26 Aug31 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
6  COWCHI Dec18 Nov29 Nov20 Oct12 Jun15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
7  CHECK OUT LINE Dec11 Nov29 Nov01 Sep19 Aug31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
8  APPEALING SENORITA Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 Nov02 Oct28 (gon)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
9  LADY ABRIL Dec18 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
10  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Oct28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 20.00    
11  BISCAYNE BAY Jul04 Jun12 May29 May10 Apr26 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO CLASICO Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Nov09 Oct16 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
2  BRION Dec21 Dec02 Nov11 May28 May19 (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 3.50 60% 0.70    
3  SEEING RED Dec12 Dec04 Nov16 Jul19 Jul07 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
4  ESTILO FAVORITO Dec19 Dec04 Nov09 Oct29 Oct09 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 ★    
5  AWESOME ENOUGH Dec21 Dec04 Nov09 Nov01 Sep21 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
6  CONSIDER ME Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct22 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
7  ON HIS TOES Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct16 Oct05 (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
8  SILVER MATT Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Jul11 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARMOR PIERCING Dec21 Dec04 Nov16 Sep19 Aug30 (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE'S PEPINO Dec13 Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 Aug31 (pappada jul)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★    
2  EXONERATED PREZ Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
3  FROG TOWN Dec18 Dec07 Nov25 Nov04 Oct18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER Dec07 Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
5  MANGA MAN Sep28 Jul31 Jul11 May23 May08 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
6  ORO DE MORO MORO Dec20 Dec04 Mar10 Feb24 Jan06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  AULD LANGE SYNE Dec18 Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
8  CONTROLLER Dec18 Nov30 Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-9   01/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM GIVER Nov13         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 126 20.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DREAM SOFTLY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
2  VIMISOFA Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun26 May12 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SISTER CODE Dec19 Oct31 Oct05 Jun14 May25 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
4  DONT CROSS BOUDICA Nov17 Oct24       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SMOOTH STRIDE by CASTLEDALE (IRE))
5  WAR VOW Dec13 Nov18 Nov09 Oct21 Sep30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 5.00 11% 7.70    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
6  URBAN COWGIRL May11 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09   (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of J J'S CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
7  FAITHFUL STEPS Dec19 Nov27       (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
8  AMENSET Nov13 May12 Apr13 Mar03 Jan22 (reed r)HALDAR J 126 3.50 17% 4.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.