Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(2/1/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(2/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (2/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/9)-(2/1/6/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/9)-(2/1/6/9/8)-(2/1/6/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/6)-(2/11/1/5/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(2/11/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(2/11/1/5/10)-(6/11/8/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (2/11/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/1/5/10)-(2/11/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/1/5/10)-(2/11/1/5/10)-(2/11/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/1/5/10)-(6/11/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/1/5/10)-(6/11/8/12)-(2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (6/11/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/12)-(6/11/8/13/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/12)-(6/11/8/13/12)-(6/11/8/13/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/11/8/12)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/8/12)-(2/7/4)-(2/5/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(2/5/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(2/5/1/10)-(11/4/9/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/5/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/10)-(2/5/1/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/10)-(2/5/1/10/12)-(2/5/1/10/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/10)-(11/4/9/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/10)-(11/4/9/5/12)-(13/8/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/4/9/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/9/5/12)-(11/4/9/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/9/5/12)-(11/4/9/5/12)-(11/4/9/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/9/5/12)-(13/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (13/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/8/5/1)-(13/8/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/8/5/1)-(13/8/5/3/1)-(13/8/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE HIM TIME Oct08         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
TOMS CREEK         (greenhi)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 5% 17.70    
COTE D'IVOIRE Dec16 Jun09 May26 Feb23 Jan19 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Oct03 Jul29       (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  PURE CANE SUGAR Dec07 Nov16 May06 Jan27 Dec07 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
DOOQ Nov30 Oct13 Sep22 Aug12 May30 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHADRON Dec08 Nov01       (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
SCR  SECRET EDGE Jul31 Jul16 Jun10 Apr29 Aug27 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00    
POGOERIACH Oct18 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul26 (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 124 6.00    
10  COAL BOSS Nov11 Oct15 Aug20 Jul21 Mar09 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00    
SCR  TEXCOCO Dec15 Nov30 Nov11 Oct27 Aug29 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
 
TP-2   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATTERING HEART Dec01 Nov01       (kenneally eddi)ROCCO S 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
COMIC BOOK         (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
MISSY BEE Dec13 Oct27 Sep27 Aug12   (nihei michelle)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
SACRED CONNECTION Nov24 Oct30       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
ROUTE SIXTY SIX Dec16 Nov24 Nov05     (engler jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00    
LUNA ROSSO Dec09 Aug30       (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 8.00 10% 8.90    
SWEET GETAWAY Dec13 Aug12       (mcpeek kenneth)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
CRUISIN LUCY Dec16 Dec02 Oct27 Sep10   (foster eric)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 5.00    
BLUE GUITAR         (douaihy mich)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RICHIE'S GAL Dec16 Dec01 Jul09     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
TP-3   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTERING Nov15 Sep12 Jul12     (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
NEON DEION Oct19 Sep27 Sep03 Aug20   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
INNOCENT MAN Nov09 Aug22 Aug03 Jun30 May11 (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Nov16 Nov06 Sep02 Aug26 Aug17 (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 15.00    
JIMMY THE HAT Dec08 Nov11       (catalano )HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
DUNPHY Dec20 Nov05 Oct19 Oct07 Aug31 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
J T'S IMAGINATION Dec01 Nov05 Oct01 Aug31 Jul31 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
DON'T STOP Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 Sep21   (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
 
TP-4   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENOUGH ALREADY Nov29 Nov01 Sep17 Aug05 Jul14 (blair jord)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
MORE THAN FIVE Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 Mar26 Feb25 (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
POWER ALLEY Dec08 Nov02 Sep24 Aug30 Jul30 (garcia ge)CORREA L 118 5.00    
MAGNA RULER Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul11 May25 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 30.00    
SIX MISSIONS Dec08 Nov14 Sep25 Sep02 Aug11 (meah m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
JUDO Dec14 Nov14 Oct19 Sep14 Jul23 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
I NINETY FIVE Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun15 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
LAST COOKIE Nov30 Nov21 Nov01 Sep30 Aug29 (urieta johann)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
LOOKING GOOD LEWIS Dec08 Nov16 Oct28 Oct16 Sep21 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 8.00    
10  SAGE RUNNER Jun23 Jun01 May05 Oct28   (brooks gera)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  MEADOW VALUE Dec15 Nov20 Oct31     (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
TP-5   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHREDDIE MAC Nov25 Oct12 Sep15 Aug28 Jul21 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
GAMBLIN GEORGE Dec01 Oct12 Sep10 Jul27   (kelley j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
WHO'S THE KING Dec01 Oct07       (casse mark)CEDILLO ABEL 119 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WILLET by JUMP START)
AGAPEE MOU Dec01 Oct12 Aug05     (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
NEW SPELL Oct24 Oct03 Aug26 Aug11   (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BROKEN SPELL by BROKEN VOW)
RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Dec01 Oct05       (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
CHASING KITTY         (bindner )MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTEN'S SLEW by KITTEN'S JOY)
NAPATREE Dec01         (maker michael )CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HIGH FASHION DIVA by GIROLAMO)
STINGY Dec01 Oct25       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PAULISTINHA by TAPIT)
10  WINTER IS COMING         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ONE SMART CAT by DISTINCTIVE CAT)
11  ENCINO         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
12  COSTNER         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CORAL SUN by A.P. INDY)
13  COLLINS Nov12 Sep15 Aug13 Jul08   (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 119 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY LAVERY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  MEET YOU NOW Nov10         (acevedo israel)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
  (by QURBAAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TP-6   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY Nov04 Sep30 Jul15 Jun17 May20 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00    
VICOUNTESS Dec08 Oct10       (girten tim)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
TOASTED ROLL Nov26 Oct29 Sep28 Aug31   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00    
MILA JUNES Dec13 Nov08 Oct09 Sep29 Aug20 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KRICKLE Dec08 Nov08 Oct29 Sep27 Sep16 (holsapple hutc)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00    
TOO FAST FOR YOU Nov17 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 Jun30 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Oct21         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
DESIGNATED Dec08 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep13 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 12.00    
 
TP-7   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAST U TURN Dec14         (rodrique)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 6% 17.10    
FAVORITE HAUNT Dec09 Oct11 Sep08     (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 66% 0.50    
CHEESESTEAK Dec06 Sep23 Aug19     (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 20.00    
DOUBLE GOLD Dec06 Nov14       (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
SUMMER IN AIKEN Dec14 Nov26 Nov02 Oct01 Sep10 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 2.50 7% 13.10    
GOOD POINT Dec09 Nov14 Oct20 Sep25   (wisner tr)CORREA L 119 12.00    
SCR  LUCERITO BLANCO Dec08 Oct03 Sep15 Jul29   (salas felip)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
BROADWAY RED Dec08 Nov09 Oct20     (delo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00    
KARLWITHANARL Dec21 Nov19 Oct18     (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
10  WITHOUT OBJECTION Oct24         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  VINO CALDO Dec06 Nov18       (davis j)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
12  MIDNIGHT AWARD Dec06 Oct03 Sep02     (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 119 12.00    
 
TP-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO BALI GO Dec01 Jun17 Apr29 Mar30 Mar10 (nance jonat)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
FADETHENOISE Dec08 Sep16 Jul15 Jun23 May20 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
MOTIVATING Oct28 Sep27 Nov18 Sep07 Aug24 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
FORCED RANKING Nov26 Nov04 Oct06 Sep01   (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
TRUE JEDI Sep27 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 May22 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAVER Nov26 May19 Apr28 Feb11 Jan01 (arnold )DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
CHANCE Nov22 Oct12 Sep17 Jul21 Jun14 (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
SUPREMELY Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Jul31 Jun29 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
GOLD LUCK Dec01 Nov08 Oct12 Sep14 Jul13 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 5.00 6% 16.80    
10  BRAZEN BOY Jun25 May19 Mar25 Mar09 Feb03 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
11  PAGE ONE Jul09 May21 Apr13 Feb24 Jan27 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
12  ZARTOWNIS Nov18 Oct26 Sep13 Aug11 Jul15 (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINFIRE Dec09 Nov04 Sep14 Jan21 Dec16 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 3.00    
SCR  STORM TRAPPE Nov17 Nov05 Oct21 Aug26 Aug10 (figgins ollie )ROCCO S 120 15.00    
 
TP-9   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNS SON Nov29 Nov01 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 (hill f)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GO CATS Nov11 Oct15 Sep28 Sep03 Aug11 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
GIOVANNINO Dec02 Nov19 Oct29 Sep17 Jun18 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00    
QAADER Oct19 Aug11 Jul05 Jun07 May28 (trujillo el)JIMENEZ J 124 15.00    
SILVER RALEIGH Dec08 Oct18 Sep28 Aug20 Jul21 (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 10% 9.30    
MY SANCTUARY Nov22 Oct21 Sep10 Aug12 Jan07 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00    
SCR  HARBOR MOON Dec08 Nov12 Oct26 Oct06 Sep11 (brooks gerald )CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
MY FRIEND LOUIE Dec02         (murphy conor)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
WE WILL CONQUER Nov22 Nov01 May29     (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00    
SCR  ORA CERTA Oct23 Oct09       (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00    
11  PEARSE Nov09 Oct09 Aug09 Jun24 Apr20 (amoss m)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00    
12  CUORE D'ORO         (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00    
13  THE THUNDERER Nov24 Sep23 Aug20 Jun18 May07 (carroll jo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
14  STARFORCE Nov26 Mar11 Jan28 Dec17   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.