Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-4   Win (4/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-8   Win (10/6/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (8/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYOPIC Apr15 Mar25 Feb07 Jan23 Nov19 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
FERRYBOAT Mar31 Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 Nov03 (miller f)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
PEEKACHO May03 Apr08 Jan20 Jan08 Nov12 (vance r)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
CELERITY Apr13 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb05 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
BAJAN RUM May03 Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Feb09 (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 2.50    
CO CONSPIRATOR May03 Mar10 Feb21 Jan12 Dec19 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 6% 16.20    
ESTILO PELIGROSO Mar23 Feb22 Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 (kordenbrock )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 
CD-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Apr28 Mar04 Jan22 Jan06 Dec09 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
BACK TO NORMAL Apr15 Dec21 Nov17 Feb11 Jan15 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.60 64% 0.60    
OUR TEAM Apr27 Jul14 Jun11 May22   (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
WESTERN COMMAND Mar16 Feb02 Nov17 Sep29   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
KENTUCKY BOURBON Apr15 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 Jan14 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 123 3.50    
SPURS UP Apr23 Sep06 Jul18 May29 Apr28 (mccutchen ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
 
CD-3   05/20/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD FOOT May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb26 Jun18 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
SUPER CAT LADY Apr16 Nov09 Sep29 Aug29   (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 123 4.00    
SONADOR May02 Apr13 Sep25 Sep16 Sep05 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 12.00    
NEED SOME MONEY Apr28 Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
KLIMT'S MUSE Apr23 Mar31 Feb22 Jan26 Dec15 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 33% 2.10    
CENTER STAGE Apr23 Mar25 Feb16 Feb02 Dec21 (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.00    
THE CLUB Apr22 Mar26 Jan18 Nov23 Aug19 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALM COOL Feb26 Feb09       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  MILIEU Apr27 Mar16 Jan29 Dec11 Oct22 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE May02 Sep24       (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
CALLIE'S GRIT Apr19 Sep03 Jul31     (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  MY LILY MAE Mar31 Mar11 Aug14 Jul29 Jul02 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 118 10.00    
SCR  TIME TO RACE Apr23 Apr13 Mar09 Jan11 Dec14 (nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA Nov05 Aug21 Jul24     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
WORDS OF PRAISE Nov06 Oct16 Sep13     (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00    
GOLDEN RUNNER Apr23 Apr01 Feb23 Jan25   (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  PAINT ME PERFECT Apr19 Feb26 Jan16 Oct14 Sep18 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY APPOINTED         (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
12  TIGER TAP Apr01 Feb11 Dec26 Sep08   (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 15% 5.90    
13  GUNS N' LILIES Mar18 Nov12 Oct12 Aug14 Jul22 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  BOPPY Mar25         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
15  ARMY KITTEN Mar01 Feb03 Dec11     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
16  BAG LADY         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDO Apr16 Mar09 Jan14 Sep16 Aug05 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 15% 5.80    
CODE VIOLATION Apr28 Mar28 Mar06 Dec31 Dec11 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
CLASSIC MARK Apr13 Mar11 Jul01 May21 Apr14 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
FREEZE POP Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
MAC'S TIME Feb22 Nov25 Nov04     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.50    
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR May04 Apr08 Jan23     (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLED FIREBALL         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 6% 16.10    
SASSY WALKER Apr21         (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
ISLANDINTHESTREAM Mar08         (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAUCY SECRET         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
RUBY TAP         (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
SWANSON LAKE Feb17         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
SPICY ITALIAN         (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
PELICAN LANE Jan07         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
MISS ARLINGTON May02 Apr15 Mar31 Mar01   (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 7% 14.30    
 
CD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT THE BOB May03 Feb10 Jan11     (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
SCR  GABE Apr29 Mar19 Jan22 Jan11 Nov23 (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
TIVY Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 Jun09 May20 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
GOLD LUCK Apr26 Mar09 Feb10 Dec28 Nov26 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  STREET SWAGG Apr12 Mar16 Nov03 Sep21   (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
CHISELER Mar09 Jan19 Dec28 Nov05 Oct08 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
CD-8   05/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODBINE WAY Dec29 Nov20 Oct30 Aug27 Aug04 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 5% 17.90    
MASSARD Apr20 Nov07 Oct06 Aug08 May28 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00    
DAISY BEE Mar15 Feb08 Oct13 Sep10   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
DEVINE CHARGER Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 May14 Apr10 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 6% 15.00    
LURE'EM IN Mar12 Jan21 Sep06     (goldfine mic)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 9% 10.40    
ALL THAT Apr27 Mar31       (cox h)LANERIE J 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
GOLDBLOODED Jan20 Dec31 Nov16 Oct04 Sep10 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
MISCHIEVOUS DOLL Mar25 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
SNARK Oct02 Sep04 Aug04 May27 May07 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
10  SECRET MONEY Apr23 Apr02       (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
11  NUMERO SEIS Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 Jul20 Jun19 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00    
12  OSIRIA Apr01 Aug19 Jul24 May27 Apr09 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00    
SCR  MANORELLI Feb18 Jan22 Dec31 Nov20 Mar27 (o'neill do)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES Mar30 Feb08 Jun15 May26 May06 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 30.00    
SCR  SURE CAN Mar25 Mar01 Jan27 Jan08 Nov24 (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Mar31 Mar11 Jan21 Dec08 Apr27 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
 
CD-9   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE ENOUGH Mar16 Dec11 Nov11 Oct21 Sep02 (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Mar16 Feb23 Dec30 Nov11 Oct13 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 10.00    
DE' ANS EIGHTY Mar23 Feb25       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
MS HAYLEY May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
ELLIE DELI May04 Mar15 Jan13 Dec29 Dec07 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
DRE ME LESS May02 Mar30 Feb23 Dec14 Oct30 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Mar24 Feb19 Jan28 Nov26 Aug20 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50    
BALI DREAMIN Feb19 Feb05 Jul16 May28 Apr15 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
HALO OF FIRE Apr08 Jan25 Mar17 Feb23   (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
10  OBRIGADA Apr29 Mar30       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
CD-10   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMENCEMENT         (rodriguez darie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
WITH THIS RING Oct16         (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
LITTLE HOT MESS Apr23         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
DRIANA         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 10.10    
GREEN FAIRY         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8% 11.30    
YANIRA Sep03         (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
ARMY GIRL         (wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 9% 10.10    
LADY IRENE Nov26         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.50 52% 0.90    
LACIE BE GOOD Oct02 Aug06       (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
10  MIRUS Aug07         (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
 
CD-11   05/20/2023 7920ft TURF RC12 GOOD Louisville Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED LIABILITY Apr23 Oct22 Sep06 Jul09 Jun04 (mcgaughey iii)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
BAY STREET MONEY Apr01 Feb18 Jan13 Nov18 Oct12 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 9% 10.20    
MOUNT RUNDLE Apr19 Mar10 Oct26 Sep05 Aug07 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
TIZ THE BOMB Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 Aug05 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
ENGLISH CONQUEROR Apr27 Dec04 Nov13 Oct13 Sep09 (banach darw)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
TIME FOR TROUBLE Apr20 Mar04 Jan28 Nov12 Oct27 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
THERAPIST Apr01 Feb11 Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
YAMATO Apr29 Mar31 Mar04 Jan20 Nov20 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
ANOTHER MYSTERY Apr22 Mar25 Jan28 Dec17 Oct15 (goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
10  FOREIGN RELATIONS Apr19 Mar10 Feb16 Jan25 Dec17 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 (cundiff waylon)COHEN DAVID 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.