Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(2/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(2/4/3/8)-(4/8/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/8)-(4/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/8)-(4/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/1)-(2/7/5/6)-(8/5/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(8/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(8/5/2/1)-(2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/1)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/1)-(2/3/7)-(5/11/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(5/11/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(5/11/7)-(6/1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/11/7)-(5/11/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/7)-(5/11/7/3/1)-(5/11/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/11/7)-(6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/11/7)-(6/1/5/2)-(9/7/10/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2)-(9/7/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (9/7/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/10/1/5)-(9/7/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/10/1/5)-(9/7/10/1/5)-(9/7/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Dec02         (reynolds patri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
2  CAROL T Oct22 Sep23 Sep01     (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
  (by FROSTED out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SOHANA         (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  ZHEN LOU Dec01         (d'alessandro )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of LOUWALA CLOUGH by DON'T GET MAD)
5  CITY BLOCKS Oct01         (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
6  MEL'S BABY SISTER Nov19 Oct22       (giddings melani)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHILDHOOD DREAM by FREUD)
7  PRINCESS VINO Dec01         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LUNAR GAZE by MALIBU MOON)
8  TROUBLED LUCK Dec17 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13   (delauro edward)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
AQU-2   12/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN HOT Nov30 Nov03 Feb02 Jan28 Nov27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
2  GEORGE'S VICE Dec08 May13 Mar05     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
3  K D KAKES Nov25 Oct05 Jun17 May19 Apr06 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
4  LADY BANKER Nov25 Nov03 Oct15 Sep08 Jul23 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  ROSEMARY POTATOES Nov25 Aug20 Jul13 Jul02 May18 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
6  LEMON TAFFY Dec10 Nov25 Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
7  DEVILLY Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
8  ACTIVE LANE Aug18 May22 Apr07     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 10% 9.30    
 
AQU-3   12/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOPTHEREITIS Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 Sep04 Aug07 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
2  BOY IS SHE A LADY Oct31 Oct23 Sep20 Aug22 Jul24 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 113 6.00    
3  SYNONYMOUS Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 Aug31 Aug02 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
4  MAGGIE T Dec14 Jun18 May04 Apr28 Mar12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  ICE LOVE Nov20 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Aug14 (ferraro )DAVIS A 123 10.00    
6  JOEY THE FISH Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Aug09 Jul30 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
7  EMBRACEABLE GAL Nov30 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
8  VINTAGE Nov30 Aug28 Jul30 Jun04 May11 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 May11 (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
2  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  MIA BEA STAR Nov30 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 Jul13 (levine bru)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
4  AMITY ISLAND Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Jun16 May18 (fisher linda)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
5  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Nov14 Oct24 Oct02 Aug14 Jul12 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 21% 3.90    
6  KHALI MAGIC Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 Jun23 Jun03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 8% 11.10    
7  STONE CREATOR Apr21 Mar03 Feb09 May27 Apr29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  APRIL ANTICS Dec07 Oct29 Sep24 Aug23 Jul26 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
AQU-5   12/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMING DIFFERENCE Nov15         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 15.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BERNADREAMY by BERNARDINI)
1A  UNIQUE INSIGHT Nov11 Oct06       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  KING MENDELSSOHN Dec02         (mcpeek)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CROWN ROYAL QUEEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  LAMBETH Oct08         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
4  CAPITAL IDEA         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of REVER DE VOUS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  UNION BULLDOG Dec08 Oct21       (de hor)RIVERA R 114 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUNNING DEBI C by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT Dec02 Nov04 Sep16     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
7  MCQUEEN Nov04         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BELLA VERDE by TAPIZAR)
8  CAROLO RAPIDO         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CATHRYN SOPHIA by STREET BOSS)
 
AQU-6   12/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD FOREST Nov30 Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 Jul14 (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
2  WAKE SURF Nov12 Oct06 Sep02 Jun24 May13 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  TRAFALGAR Dec09 Dec02 Oct01 Sep14 Aug05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Oct12 Sep02 Jul23 May12 Mar19 (david carl)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 May19 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
6  LISTENTOYOURHEART Jun09 May06 Apr07 Feb17 Jan21 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 5.00    
7  AMERICAN MONARCH Nov11 Apr30 Mar27 Feb12 Jan08 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-7   12/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKY TICO Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Jul03 Jun04 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
1A  WYNN GIANT Nov14 Oct25 Oct09 Aug28 Jul17 (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 6.00 ★    
2  SALUTE TO AMERICA Dec01 May07 Apr13 Mar05 Feb19 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 8.00    
3  HOMETOWN HERO Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 Sep20 Aug26 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 ★    
4  NORGAY Dec01 Jul16 Jun18 May21 May13 (barrera )DAVIS A 123 12.00    
5  SKI PATROL Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 Sep03 Jul28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  MINEOLA MIKE Nov04 Oct21 Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 (deiter kelly )OLVER MADISON 118 8.00    
7  KHAFRE Nov16 Sep14 Jun02 Apr21 Feb12 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MACH ONE Dec17 Dec08 May21 May13 Apr16 (persaud ed)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 20.00    
9  STRONG LIGHT Dec07 Nov26 Nov11 Oct15 Oct04 (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CAT Dec06 Nov28 Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
11  AMANI'S EAGLE Dec01 Nov16 Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
AQU-8   12/31/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Queens County Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Nov26 Oct13 Sep17 Jul21 May21 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LAWYER BROCKMEYER by LAWYER RON)
2  FOREWARNED Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug12 Jul22 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  LOST ARK Nov11 Oct07 Sep01 Jul21 Jun09 (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
4  CRUPI Nov03 Sep23 Aug18 Jul07 Apr08 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
5  SIGNATOR Nov12 Oct21 Oct06 Aug30 Aug05 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by TAPIT out of PENSION by SEEKING THE GOLD)
6  KINETIC SKY Dec28 Nov17 Sep21 Sep15 Jun15 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
7  KING KUMBALAY Nov25 Oct17 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.50    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of LOVELY STAY by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  QUALITY CHIC Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 Oct21 Sep28 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
 
AQU-9   12/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CINCO Nov26 Oct27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
2  ICHIBAN Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Aug27 Jul26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
3  SWEET MYSTERY Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 Aug24 Jul26 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
4  VIENNA CODE Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug09 Jul22 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
5  TO A T Dec14 Oct27 Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN ROCKET Dec07 Nov09 Oct13 Sep14 Aug27 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50    
7  LISA'S VISION Dec03 Nov05 Oct22 Aug27 Jul19 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  VALLELUJAH Dec03 Oct29 Aug30 Aug11 Jul07 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
9  SWEETEST PRINCESS Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 Oct01 Sep04 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 4.50 33% 2.00    
10  PROUD FOOT Nov18 Oct22 Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.