Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (3/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (10/5/7/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (1/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (4/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-10   Win (5/4/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZ U CHASE ME Oct04 Sep04       (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
ALLIED ATTACK Aug05         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
IN A MINUTE Oct13 Sep14       (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
ELYSIAN MEADOWS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
NANO MAN Oct04 Sep03       (kimmel c)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 27% 2.80    
BIG PRANKSTER Oct04         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
V LO         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
ROB THE BANK Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Aug24   (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 8.00    
SIX FORTYFIVE Oct05         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
10  BALI AMOUR Oct20 Sep18 Sep05 Aug22 Jul27 (whylie herol)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
 
AQU-2   11/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGINEER EMPIRE Mar26 Feb26       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
QUICK TO ACCUSE Oct01 Aug05 Dec03 Oct30 Oct07 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
BOURBON CHASE Oct20 Sep17 Aug18 Jul21 May11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
KID BILLY Dec31         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
SUPREME BEING Oct31 Oct18 Sep24 Sep05 Jul26 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
BOYS CODE Oct20 Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 8.00    
LEO AND ROYAL Oct23 Oct09 Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
 
AQU-3   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CAJUN CASANOVA Oct04 Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May15 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Jul31 May21 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Jul15 Jun30 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
CHARGING AERO Nov03 Oct14 Sep01 May13 Apr21 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
MR PHIL Oct22 Sep30 Jul16 Jun22 May13 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
DOT'S DOLLAR Oct14 Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 Apr28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
POGI Nov03 Sep04 Aug27 Aug12 Jun16 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
CHATEAU Oct14 Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 May04 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Nov06 Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 Sep20 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-4   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Notebook Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE THE KICKER Oct22 Jul16       (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
BONNE CHANCE Oct29 Sep24 Sep04     (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
AGGELOS THE GREAT Oct29 Sep24 Sep14 Jul28   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
DETECTIVE TOM Sep24 Aug24       (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
WINE RESPONSIBLY Oct29 Oct14 Sep04     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
WORKS FOR ME Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 Jun23 May18 (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 10% 9.50    
PERLIANO Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 Jul07   (atras rob)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Sep24 Aug27 Jul16     (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPORICAL Nov01 Oct19 Aug30 Aug03 Jul15 (sells ra)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   11/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Hill Prince Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM TRAIL Sep21 Jul15 Jun03 Apr07 Mar11 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
LAUREL VALLEY Oct26 Sep16 Aug23 Jun25 Jun11 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
INTEGRATION Sep09 Aug12       (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
EQUITIZE (GB) Mar15         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
FARADAY Sep10 Jul28 Oct23     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
TOOFAREASTISWEST Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jun16 May20 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUALITY CHIC Nov05 Oct21 Sep28 Sep14 Aug20 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
I'M VERY BUSY Oct04 Sep02 Jul22 Nov04 Oct02 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
CLASSIC CATCH Oct07 Aug09 Jun17 May13 Apr08 (pletcher todd)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRUPI Nov03 Sep23 Aug18 Jul07 Apr08 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80    
 
AQU-6   11/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE'S DREAM Oct06 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 Oct16 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
HOLD THE SALSA Oct19 Sep16 Jun24 May27 May04 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
OMNI KING Oct19 Sep09 Jul04 May13 Apr15 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 May27 Nov19 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 10% 9.50    
HARRY HOOD Oct13 Sep03 Jul28 Jun22 May21 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
CLASSIC CREATION Oct19 Jun25 May07 Apr15 Feb04 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SO HIGH (GB) Nov11 Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (chatterpaul na)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00 12% 7.00    
REGISTER Nov04 Sep28 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
FRONT MAN Oct13 Sep17 Aug16 Jul13 Jun17 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
10  BARRAGE Oct06 Aug17 Jun23 May28 Jan28 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
11  CYBER NINJA Oct19 Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 Jun02 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
12  KINGFISH STEVENS Sep17 Aug10 Jul13 Jul01 May20 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
SCR  QUALITY G Oct28 Sep17 Jul26 Jun10 Jun26 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SCR  MACALLAN Oct21 Feb11 Jun09 Apr09 Feb12 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00    
SCR  LEADING CONTENDER Oct22 Sep03 Jul22 Aug13   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Oct22 Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 116 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Key Cents Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SHEA D LADY Sep24 Aug27 Jul01     (david a)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Oct01         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
CARA'S TIME Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 Jun23   (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  BROWN SUGA BABE Oct25 Sep28 Sep01     (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00    
TRICKY TEMPER Oct27 Oct08 Aug27 Aug09   (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SOLOSHOT Sep25 Aug27       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  ASHBURN ALLEY Oct21         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
UNICORN CAKE Oct16 Sep25 Sep01     (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   11/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEFORE YOU GO GO Oct05 Aug30 Aug06     (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 40% 1.50    
DANCING DEAN Sep03         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
CELTIC ELEGANCE         (mcpeek kennet)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Sep30 Aug31       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
MAGIC EIGHT BALL Oct20 Aug13 Jun02     (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
PAST TENSE Oct20         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SAVE US MELANIA Oct13         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPENDALOT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
WASKESIU Aug30 Jul30       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 9% 10.10    
10  THEFORCEBEWITHYOU         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
11  SCANDALOUS (GB)         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
12  SPINNING CLASS         (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
13  CLASSIC CARA Oct13 Oct01       (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  MARTINGALE Sep17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  WYNNING TOUCH Oct14         (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  BY THE GLASS Oct14         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
 
AQU-9   11/18/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Aqueduct Turf Sprint Champions Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIT Oct07 Sep04 Jan28 Dec03 Oct29 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
ALOGON Oct07 Sep09 Aug22 Jul22 Jun18 (allard t)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
VACATION DANCE Oct27 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 (kimmel c)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 30.00    
OUR SHOT Oct07 Sep02 Jul26 Jun18 Apr26 (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
BOAT'S A ROCKIN Oct12 Aug22 Aug10 Jun20 May22 (kirby t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
NOTHING BETTER Sep22 Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr13 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
FORE HARP Oct24 Sep23 Aug21 Jul22 Jul01 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 20.00    
WITTY Oct14 Sep16 Aug21 Jul22 Jul01 (merryman eliza)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRATEFUL BRED Oct14 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 Jun16 (meyers f)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00    
10  RUN CURTIS RUN Oct27 Nov25 Oct23 Sep10 Jul17 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
11  THIN WHITE DUKE Oct29 Oct07 Sep02 Aug23 Aug05 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
12  DANCING BUCK Oct07 Sep02 Nov25 Oct01 Sep02 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 (reynolds patrick)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 Jun09 Apr20 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
SCR  DURANTE Oct27 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Aug02 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
AQU-10   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY KIM Oct26 Sep22 Aug05 Jun30 Sep30 (frangella james)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA Oct26 May18 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (klesaris p)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Aug19 Sep30       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
ICY REPLY Oct26 Sep28 Aug31 Aug12 Jul30 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 117 6.00 19% 4.30    
SHE'S AWESOME Nov09 Oct08 Sep20 Jun12 May13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Oct26 Sep14 Jul22 Jun16 Apr29 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SPUN SPECIAL Oct20 Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May13 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MERAVIGLIOSO Oct20 Sep02 Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
PROUD FOOT Oct22 Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
10  WILL BE FAMOUS Nov03 Sep22 Aug16 Apr02 Mar03 (toscano t)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
11  MY GIRL JAL Nov03 Sep14 Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 (legall e)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Oct26 Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.