Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Saratoga
Wednesday - July 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(10/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(10/7/5)-(9/7/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-2   WIN (10/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/5)-(10/7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/5)-(10/7/1/3/5)-(10/7/1/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/7/5)-(9/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5)-(9/7/6/8)-(5/9/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-3   WIN (9/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/6/8)-(5/9/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/8)-(5/9/8/4)-(1/6/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-4   WIN (5/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/4)-(5/9/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/4)-(5/9/8/4/7)-(5/9/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/8/4)-(1/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8/4)-(1/6/5/7)-(7/3/5/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/10/7)-(1/6/5/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(7/3/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(7/3/5/2/8)-(8/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-6   WIN (7/3/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2/8)-(7/3/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2/8)-(7/3/5/2/8)-(7/3/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2/8)-(8/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/2/8)-(8/1/5)-(4/11/2/3/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-7   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(4/11/2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(4/11/2/3/1)-(4/6/7/2/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-8   WIN (4/11/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/2/3/1)-(4/6/7/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SAR-9   WIN (4/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2/3)-(4/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2/3)-(4/6/7/2/3)-(4/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAR-1   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO TONS OF FUN Jul06 Apr06 Mar07     (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  MACAW (IRE) Jun23 Jun12 May11     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 0.80    
HOURS IN A DAY Jul07 Jun28 Jun06 May25 Apr28 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00    
BEACH BLANKET Jul12         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SHAKIN THE BELLE Jun28 May25 Apr21 Mar30 Jul30 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
PICCATA PRINCE Jul07 May12 Apr06 Nov10 Sep14 (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
COWBOY LUKE May30 Apr24 Oct07 Aug10   (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
CONNIVING May12 Apr12 Mar10 Mar03 Feb16 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 119 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-2   07/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANDEMIC HERO         (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MY DIXIE DOODLE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  RESILIENT HERO May27         (jimenez jose)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SKY MASTERSON Jul07 Jun20       (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KITTY MADDNES by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  EPITAPH         (contessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BARB'S ON EDGE by INTO MISCHIEF)
IRON MAX         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ROYAL ALPHA by ALPHABET SOUP)
STRAND ROAD         (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SOUL OPPOSITION by THUNDER GULCH)
LEON BLUE         (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
CLASSIC RUBY Jun20         (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of JUST ASK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
PAY THE JUICE         (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
NONNO JOE         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ST. MALO'S GATE by DYNAFORMER)
ARMY PROUD         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of JC'S SHOOTING STAR by MIRACLE MAN)
10  OUT ON BAIL Jun20 May10       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
 
SAR-3   07/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEHANAH Jul05 Jun20 May04 Apr06   (de h)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
DUCKPHAT May24 Apr18 Mar24 Mar02 Dec30 (corrao james)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Jun23 May24 Apr25 Mar22 Jan27 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCARLET'S DREAM Jul07 May25 Apr20 Mar03 Jan19 (reynolds p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  STRONG PLAY Jun27         (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
MEL'S BABY SISTER Jun09 May10 Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 (giddings melani)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
MALU Jul17 Jun12 May23 Mar29 Feb16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
STARRY MIDNIGHT Jul11 Jun13 Apr28 Apr04 Mar28 (ferraro j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHASING DAYLIGHT Jun20 May24 Apr18 Mar28 Mar02 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-4   07/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG EGO Jun09 May11 Mar24 Feb11   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.20    
TWO JAY'S WAY Jul05         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
TRIPLE WORD SCORE May19 May10 Apr19 Apr11 Mar16 (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
JAKE'S ORCHARD Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jul28 Jul16 (torelli stac)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BARRON'S BOUNCE May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar10 Feb25 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
CAN'T STAND DISCO Jun27         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
FOUR EYES Jun28 Jun09 May17 Feb03 Jan18 (follett norman)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
STANLEY ROUGH Jun27 May25 Apr28     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
JANSSEN Jul05 May19 Apr19 Apr11 Mar08 (lakeman andre)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
10  IRIE MAN May25 May10 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERNAL CAPITAL Jun08 May23 Sep02 Jul22 Oct22 (moubarak)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
1A  DEVILSGOTACAUSE Jul13 Jun21 May04 Mar23 Feb17 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 55% 0.80    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Jul06 Jun30 Jun14 Apr19 Mar17 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
HERONEANDONLY May20 Oct19 Sep04 Aug19 Aug09 (goodwin gabriel)DAVIS KATIE 123 50.00    
IMAGE OF QUALITY Jun23 Apr21 Nov11 Aug17 Jul22 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
BRAMITO Apr12 Sep24 Aug20 Jul02   (casse no)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 10% 9.10    
SCAT TU TAP Jul04 May25 Apr13 Mar20 Feb15 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
FUNNY UNCLE Jun23 May30 May12 Apr21 Mar23 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SANDERSON Jun07 Nov19 Oct22 Sep30 Sep01 (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
UNION EXPRESS Jun14 Apr20 Mar03 Jan28 Dec31 (toscano t)VAZQUEZ A 125 8.00    
10  WAITLIST Jun09 May12 Apr12 Mar09 Feb03 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  SMILE MON Jun08 Apr18 Feb18 Dec08 Nov17 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 3.00    
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Jun15 Jun07 May10 Apr19   (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  ANDY CANT Jul06 Jun28 May18 Apr25 Mar28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  MORE VINO Jun23 Mar10       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   07/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNT AGAIN Jan28 Dec14 Oct27 Aug16 Jul19 (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
IM JUST KIDDIN Jan04 Sep17 Aug16 Jul19 Jun24 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 6% 15.20    
SPOOKY LADY Jun28 May24 Apr25 Nov19 Oct06 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
MUNNY GRAB Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 Mar14 Feb18 (de hor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SPINNING COLORS Sep14 Aug12 Jul03 May27 Nov27 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
CAN'T FOOL ME Jun23 May25 Nov19 Oct01 Sep03 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
OVERACTING Jun09 Apr27 Oct27 Sep04 Jul29 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
AUTUMN GLORY Jun28 May24 Nov09 Oct26 Jul02 (quick patri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SNOWY EVENING Jul07 Jun28 May24 Apr25 Nov09 (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
10  LADY OF THOROTON Jun23 May25 Apr20 Nov19 Jul15 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR Jun20 May24 Apr18 Mar29 Feb24 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SCR  MAGGY'S PALACE Jun30 Jun15 Nov06 Sep25 Aug15 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jul05 Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jul18 Jun20 May12 Apr18 Apr04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00    
 
SAR-7   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Honorable Miss Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEDE Jun15 Apr24 Oct14 Sep02 Jul14 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JIBBOOM by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun07 May12 Apr25 Apr07 Feb29 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 116 30.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of ARTY'SKENTUCKYGIRL by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS Jul06 Apr16 Oct22 Sep13 Aug19 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of WICKED SPEED by MACHO UNO)
CLEARLY UNHINGED May27 Apr30 Dec26 Nov04 Sep29 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
STERLING SILVER Jun23 May04 Apr06 Mar09 Nov17 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SPIRIT WIND May27 May04 Mar09 Dec23 May29 (joseph a)SMITH E 120 3.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of SACRED PSALM by AWESOME OF COURSE)
SCR  HOT FUDGE Jun15 May18 Apr06 Mar09 Jan27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
MUNNYS GOLD Jun07 Aug05 Jun09 May05 Mar26 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HARAAWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-8   07/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Jul05 May18 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON DAY Jun04 May13 Mar10 Feb08 Dec22 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 10% 8.60    
HIGH TIDE Jul05 May26 Apr14 Mar10 Feb08 (atras rob)TORRES A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
STREET READY Mar30 Feb29 Dec23 Sep23 Aug31 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 38% 1.70    
AMERICAN DIAMOND Jun19 May02 Mar03 Jan06 Dec14 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SAFE CONDUCT Apr11 Mar15 Nov03 Aug24 Aug13 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
WILD BANKER Jun27 May02 Apr06 Mar24 Feb23 (metivier richa)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  KALIK Jun23 May17 Aug20 Jul08 Jun03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
BAY STREET MONEY Jul14 Jun06 May09 Jun17 May20 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
10  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Dec29 Nov17 Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
11  PAROS Jul05 Jun15 May10 Jul07 May13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
12  LANDBISCUIT May26 May12 Apr26 Oct28 Oct06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT Jun21 Mar29 Mar01 Jan12 Oct13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.60    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO Jun30 Jun16 May18 May02 Apr05 (jones e)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
 
SAR-9   07/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADULT ENTERTAINER Jul07 Jun28 Jun14 Apr26 Mar22 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
QUITE CONTINENTAL Mar29 Jan28       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
HOLDER CLOSE Jun22 Jun09 Feb16 Jan12 Dec16 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jul04 Jun09 May11 Mar28 Dec31 (giddings melan)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
TONGUE TWISTER Jul04 Apr25 Oct29     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
LU'S REDEMPTION Jun14 May04 Oct29 Oct01 Aug30 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 8% 12.00    
ROOKIE LEAGUE Apr25         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
ALOTTA JAYS Mar03 Feb03 Jan11 Nov24 Oct20 (schettino do)TORRES A 118 20.00    
10  SAVING MEMORIES Jul04 May04 Dec09 Nov16 Oct29 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  TONE OF SILENCE Jun27 Jun09 Nov09     (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
SCR  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Jul04 Jun20 Feb24     (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.