Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/4)-(8/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/4)-(8/5/1/7)-(7/4/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (8/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7/6)-(8/5/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/1/7)-(7/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/7)-(7/4/2/5)-(10/1/9/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(10/1/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(10/1/9/7)-(4/11/10/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-4   WIN (10/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/7)-(10/1/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/7)-(10/1/9/4/7)-(10/1/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/9/7)-(4/11/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9/7)-(4/11/10/2)-(2/1/9/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-5   WIN (4/11/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/10/2)-(4/11/10/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/11/10/2)-(4/11/10/2/9)-(4/11/10/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/11/10/2)-(2/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/11/10/2)-(2/1/9/6)-(1/4/6/10/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/6)-(2/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/6)-(2/1/9/6)-(2/1/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/9/6)-(1/4/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9/6)-(1/4/6/10/3)-(8/2/9/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/4/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3)-(1/4/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/10/3)-(8/2/9/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/10/3)-(8/2/9/3/5)-(8/11/7/2/14) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TP-8   WIN (8/2/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/3/5)-(8/2/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/3/5)-(8/2/9/3/5)-(8/2/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/9/3/5)-(8/11/7/2/14) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TP-9   WIN (8/11/7/2/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/7/2/14)-(8/11/7/2/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/7/2/14)-(8/11/7/2/14)-(8/11/7/2/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE WIRE Dec20 Nov30 Sep25     (roberson dennis)FELIX E 120 3.50 9% 10.70    
2  I FEELUCKY TONITE Jul22         (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
SCR  NON FUNGIBLE Nov18 Oct20 Sep07     (short thomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 12.00    
4  TINO         (meah m)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
5  TRACK TYRANT         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  TAPITBOY Dec08 Nov11 Sep29 Aug20   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  CASSIUS Dec01 Nov07 May25     (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
8  STEAL THE RHODE Oct03         (castaneda ma)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
9  SOLIDIFIED GOLD Dec14         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
 
TP-2   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CHARGING Oct25 Oct26 Oct11 Sep23 Sep15 (hester hale)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING Oct06 Sep15 Sep08 Aug31 Aug01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
3  DR. BELLA Dec27 Dec01 Oct07 Sep04 Jul20 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
4  DEEP DISH Nov09 Sep26 Aug11 Jul21 May24 (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 120 12.00    
5  KAELY'S CANDY Dec17         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  C F V TU BRUTUS Dec15 Oct05 Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 (gonzalez lil)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00 ★    
7  INNER HARBOR Dec01 Sep22 Sep07 Aug01 Jul07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MORNIN' BOSS Dec06 Oct03 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 (hernandez re)MONCADA IRVING 110 3.00 41% 1.40    
9  SCAPITURE Dec01 Oct31 Oct14 Sep08 Jul25 (wells duane)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
10  SNUGGLER Oct28 Sep14 Aug28 Jul03 Jun13 (klopp randy)FUENTES ERICK 110 15.00    
SCR  RUM RUNNER READY Dec06 Oct01 Jun17 May18 Apr16 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50    
 
TP-3   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT LIVIN Dec01 Nov10 Jul07 Jun22 May30 (fontenot daw)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
2  LADY HAMILTON Dec21 Aug31 Jul09 May28 Apr01 (contreras cipr)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00 11% 7.70    
3  KRISPY RICE Nov29 Sep18 Aug16 Jul05 Jun13 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00    
4  MUSED (GB) Oct22 May29 Apr30 Jan02   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  SKYLERVILLE Oct23 Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 Jul15 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCK THE NILE Nov08 Oct11 Aug31 Aug01 Jul08 (danner doug)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
7  JURADICIAL Oct28 Oct10 Aug28 Aug03 Jun22 (caramor)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 33% 2.10    
8  SOCIAL MANDATE Dec20 Nov29 Sep20 Jun24 May27 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
 
TP-4   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREG'S HONOR Dec13 Oct26 Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  PADDY'S HOUSE Dec06 Jul06 Jun17 Jun01 May03 (dobbsjr)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
3  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Dec16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep20 Aug31 (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
4  ELIZA'S HONOR Dec13 Sep02 Jul22 Jun16 May13 (orantes r)MCKEE J 120 3.50 ★    
5  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Dec15 Dec03 Nov26 Sep23 Aug20 (lepiane )RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00    
6  MISTER MAN Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
7  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Dec16 Oct25 Oct03 Aug29 Aug05 (estvanko richa)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONE LUCKY DAY Dec13 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 Aug03 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
9  NICHOLAS JONES Dec16 Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug05 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
10  GUN RUSH Dec16 Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (watkins m)FELIX E 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
11  COUNT FROST Dec16 Dec08 Nov20 Oct23 Oct06 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
12  FAST FALL Dec11 Oct26 Sep27 Sep10 Aug16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
 
TP-5   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCHESSOFBAYRIDGE Aug31 Aug05 Jun04 Apr23   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of HATPIN by SMART STRIKE)
2  CHELSEA PIER Feb15         (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of KIND OF MAGIC by GALILEO (ARG))
3  UNDER ADVISEMENT Jul21 May28 Apr21     (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
4  VICTORIOUS Nov26         (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CASHING TICKETS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  STAGFLATION Nov24 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  SARISSA         (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 122 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of TREVI FOUNTAIN by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  TARTAN GREEN (IRE)         (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of ON LOCATION by OLYMPIO)
8  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 Sep03   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
9  REACTIVE Dec07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  VICKI ROSE Nov16 Mar11 Jun03 May13   (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
11  UPPER CASE Jun13 May18 Apr07 Feb15 Aug14 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RIGGED SMART by SMART STRIKE)
 
TP-6   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY HITTER Dec06 Nov02       (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  REVENGE TOUR Nov27 Oct31 Oct05 Sep23 Aug26 (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  CHAPS KNIGHT Dec20 Nov08 Sep16     (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 120 20.00    
4  RUMORS TO BLAME Dec06 Nov10       (west w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  HEARTFELT KARTER Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug18 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
6  THE RUSH IS ON Dec14 Nov26 Oct26 Oct14 Sep17 (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AGENT KOSTA Dec14 Oct06 Sep23 Aug26   (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
8  CALON LAN Dec14 Oct28       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
9  RAISERICHIESRANSOM Dec27 Dec14 Oct17     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
TP-7   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA WIND Nov09 Aug10 Jul16 Jun03 May12 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  NEOLITHIC NATION Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct21 Oct10 (lepiane )RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
3  ALEATORY Jan28 Oct24 Sep26 Sep05 Aug14 (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUTE KHLOE Dec01 Oct22 Sep01 Jul29 Jun25 (ruis mi)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  DIVINA DULCE Mar05 Jan14 Dec19     (delacour a)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
6  KATE'S CONCERTO Dec14 Jul08 May29 May09 Apr15 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
7  SALLY BALI Apr22         (hamilton willia)MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
8  LILY'S HOME Dec14 Oct23 Sep26 Aug28 Mar09 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 3.00    
9  ALWAYS DREAM BIG May22 May09       (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
10  BOURBON AND HONEY Oct20 Aug25 Jul19     (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-8   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY ON OUT Dec07 Oct13 Sep12 Aug22 Jul23 (tooley jen)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
2  P K WOOD Dec01 Nov01 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  LIAM THE BRAVE Dec20 Dec07 Nov19 Sep11 Aug06 (garcia )DE CRUZ 121 4.00 8% 10.90    
4  BOLSHIE Dec20 Nov26 Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 (barrett r)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
5  PERFECT PAINTING Dec07 Oct24 Sep20 Jul27 Jun24 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STOP THE SPREAD Dec20 Oct17 Sep20 Aug04 Jul20 (caramori eduar)PAULY SUMMER 111 8.00    
7  HUNTINGTON Dec09 Sep22 Aug30 Jul23 Jul07 (delacruz me)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 5.00    
8  GUNLEATHER AL Dec01 Sep13 Aug16 Oct18   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 45% 1.20    
9  ENGLISH TIDE Dec13 Jul11 Jun17 May25 May11 (hester hale)PETERSON FERRIN 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
10  MR. PETERKIN Dec07 Nov02 Sep15 Aug20 May27 (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
11  J'S NAUGHTY BOY Nov30 Nov13 Oct30 Oct10 Sep28 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 121 15.00    
 
TP-9   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLTO VIVACE Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
2  DRAGON DREW Nov17 Sep03 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (cook brian)FUENTES ERICK 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAST ROO Dec21 Dec08 Jun14 May19 Apr29 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
4  JOVA Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 (contreras ci)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
5  MERLIN'S SONG Dec07 Oct18 Oct09 Sep05 Jul14 (foster )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
6  FENESTRA Nov17 Oct16 Sep20 Sep05 Aug10 (garcia israel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
7  SPYCRAFT Dec07 Nov05 Oct19 Sep13 Aug19 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 8% 12.20    
8  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep15 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  ONE FOR RICHIE Oct23 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 12.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN WARRIOR Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (mcentee paul)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00    
11  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Dec07 Dec08 Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
12  BOISE Dec08 Nov17 Sep30 Sep02 Jun04 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  MALIGATOR Dec21 Dec08 Oct30 Jul16 Jun25 (meraz antonio)COLON H 120 20.00    
14  LIMIT UP Dec13 Nov20 Sep06 Aug26 Aug10 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.