Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (4/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/5/10/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-5   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (9/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (2/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (10/2/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (3/5/14/15/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-10   Win (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-11   Win (2/9/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-12   Win (1/5/4/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTANDING Aug15 Jul13       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
LUCA ON POINT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
PARTY WITH SMARTY Sep19 Sep02 Apr21 Apr11 Mar09 (gutierrez james)IORIO MELISSA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
TOMORROW'S WISH Aug10         (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
MASMAK Sep01 Dec17 Nov12 Sep22   (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 31% 2.30    
CUANDO Sep01 Aug15 Jul06 Jun15 May19 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
IRON SIGHT         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIGER         (schettino)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00 12% 7.20    
STEGOSAURUS Sep09         (schauer )GRISALES DANILO 119 50.00    
SCR  MAGNI Sep22         (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
VIKING WARRIOR         (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
PAPA PAULIE P         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
SARATOGA WARRIOR Jul19         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
MONTE AVI Aug31 Jul19       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
NYIKOS         (sacco d)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
ROCKED OUT Sep02 Jul19       (de h)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
10  BOOKITWITHHADDAD Jul25         (de horacio)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
11  GIMME GIMME Sep14         (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEDDY Aug23 Jul27 Dec16 Nov12 Nov04 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 50.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Apr28 Apr12 (kantarmaci il)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
TIVY Aug23 Jul14 Jun23 Jun06 Apr26 (antonucci m)RUIZ JORGE 121 4.00    
EQUIVOQUE May06 Apr08       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
SILVER SATIN Aug25 Jul20 Jun06 Apr20 Mar24 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
BRAMITO Aug30 Jul24 Apr12 Sep24 Aug20 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK TO ACCUSE Jun08 Apr26 Mar24 Jan13 Nov18 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR SHOW Sep14 Jan12 Dec09 Nov03 Sep16 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
SCR  ROCKET AND ROLL Jul12 Jul05 Jun27 May26 May11 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 10.00    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jun29 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar21 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
HONORARY DEGREE Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul19 (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 121 15.00    
NATURAL HARBOR Aug28 Jul27 May18 Mar27 Mar01 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
SUPER CHIEF Sep14 Aug18 Jul31 Jun07 Mar16 (kantarmaci il)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
ALTERNATE REALITY Sep19 Jul20 Jul12 Jul05 May19 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOKING WAY Aug22 Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 May19 (arenas ma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00    
PERFECT FLIGHT Sep19 Jul27 Jun19 May31 Apr12 (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 9% 9.80    
10  LEGAL DEAL Sep23 Aug16 Jul17 Jun25 May27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/05/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Jockey Club Derby Invitational Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESVIO Sep07 Jul08 May18 Apr19 Mar16 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00    
DASHMAN Sep01 Jul22 Dec23 Nov04 Sep29 (lynch a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
CARSON'S RUN Aug31 Aug11 Jun23 Apr27 Nov03 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
YO DADDY Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
DETERMINISTIC Sep07 Aug11 Jun29 May11 Apr06 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
EL REZEEN Aug23 Jul20 May26 Apr06 Mar02 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  LEGEND OF TIME (GB) Aug11 Jul06 May25 May04   (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/05/2024 3960ft TURF RC12 FIRM Belmont Turf Sprint Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AXTHELM Sep07 Sep01 Jun16 May04 Apr19 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL Sep11 Aug24 Jun07 Apr28 Aug11 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  OUTLAW KID Aug25 Aug10 Jul04 Jun28 Apr20 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
MAYA PRINCE Sep07 Aug22 Jul27 Jun23 May26 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SENBEI Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 Oct29 Aug24 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SON OF A BIRCH Jul04 May26 Mar24 Jan04 Dec07 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DETERMINED KINGDOM Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 Sep23 (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
ALOGON Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 May04 Nov18 (allard edward)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
NOTHING BETTER Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun08 May04 (duarte jr)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  PRINCE OF JERICHO Sep20 Jul28 Jul08 May18 Apr13 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC14 FAST Frizette Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWYTE Sep01         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
THE QUEENS M G Aug31 Aug04 Jul11 Jun06 Apr07 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 28% 2.60    
PONDERING Aug31 Jul22       (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
WHATINTHELITERAL Sep14 Aug04 Jul11 Jun06 Apr24 (antonucci m)RUIZ JORGE 120 50.00    
SCOTTISH LASSIE Sep01         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  PARADISE CITY Sep06         (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
ANOTHER CLEESHAY Aug30         (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  SENZA PAROLE Aug23         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 0.60    
SOCIAL FORTRESS Aug24 Jul13       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ICONA MAMA Sep14 Aug18 Jul22     (stites w)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-8   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC14 FAST Champagne Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J ZO ZO Sep07 Aug25 Jul26 Jul04   (sanchez lozan)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
TIP TOP THOMAS Aug24         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
LETHAL SPEED Sep07         (parbhoo sh)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 50.00    
MO PLEX Aug25 Jul13 Jun20     (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  UNCAGED Aug03         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
VEKOMA RIDES Sep14         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SMOKEN WICKED Sep02 Aug10 Jun30 Jun01   (stewart dallas)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
COLONEL BOB Aug20         (reid e)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 30.00    
EXECUTIVE ORDER Aug31         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
10  CHANCER MCPATRICK Sep02 Jul27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 32% 2.20    
 
BAQ-9   10/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S GOT IT Sep15 Aug15 Jan27 Jan04 Dec10 (abreu r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
OUTTAWATERBURY Aug28 Jul26 Jul20 Jun22 May03 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Aug23 Jul13 Nov20 Sep24 Aug19 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FUNNY UNCLE Jul24 Jun23 May30 May12 Apr21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
PALACE VIEW (IRE) Sep15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun23 Mar24 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  NOSTALGIC ONE Sep05 Aug04 Jun21 Nov16 Sep03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
MIZTERTONIC Aug31 Jul25 Jun29 Apr29   (brion keri)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
VICTORY DASH Sep14 Aug10 Jul05 May04 Apr07 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
BARNSTORMING Aug23 Jul14 Jun28 May27 May09 (miceli micha)RIVERA R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MICKEY SHILLELAGH Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Dec02   (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
11  ADDICTED TO YOU Aug24 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 May04 (de horaci)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00    
12  TOPIC CHANGER Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Mar25 Nov13 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
SCR  MORE VINO Sep19 Aug21 Jun23 Mar10   (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
14  FRONT MAN Sep19 Aug24 Jul12 Jun29 May26 (kantarmaci il)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 12% 7.50    
15  OUR COUNTRY Sep19 Jul12 Sep14 Aug10 Jul14 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  TREATY OBLIGATION Aug24 Jun30 May16 Jul21 Jun22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60    
 
BAQ-10   10/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  USHA Aug31 Aug18 Jul27     (baffert bob)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00    
ENDLESS VOW Aug08         (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 29% 2.50    
OFF SCRIPT Aug30 Jul26       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  KAY CUP Aug30         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
MATERIAL GIRL         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAM'S BLISS KISS Aug25         (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOWER TWENTY TWO Sep13         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 50.00    
AMELIA         (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
BERNIEANDTHEROSE         (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 50.00    
10  OPEN FLAME Aug21 Jul26       (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
11  ELENI         (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SCR  INEEDAPOP         (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
13  FIFI LA FUME Sep13         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 50.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/05/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCUTTLEBUZZ Sep01 Aug15 Aug01 Dec15 Nov25 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
1A  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Sep01 Aug17 Jul24 Dec29 Nov17 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
RUN CURTIS RUN Sep01 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 May10 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50 47% 1.10    
ICY FLAVOR Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUSSI Sep01 Jul14 May25 Apr21 Nov11 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
TALL PAUL Sep14 Oct16 Sep25 Aug12 Jul23 (baffert bob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
KREESA Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 May25 Apr21 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
ROUGH DRAFT Sep27 Sep01 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
VACATION DANCE Aug24 Jun15 Mar01 Nov18 Oct27 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
YARROW Sep01 Jul12 Jun08 Apr28 Jul13 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
10  FEATHERS ROAD Sep19 Aug14 Jul13 May26 May18 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
11  LOTSA TROUBLE Mar10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov12   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  BIG PRANKSTER Sep01 Aug21 Jun28 May25 Apr21 (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-12   10/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADFAST RESOLVE Aug29 Jul12 May26 Jan20   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  STILL A SOLDIER May10 Mar31       (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
FLICKER (GB) Sep14 Aug04 Jun29 May03   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Aug24 Jul12 Jun06 May12 Apr21 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
BOURBON OUTLAW Sep01 Jul20 Jun15 Mar30 Feb24 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
CHASING MO MONEY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Sep01 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 Jan01 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
GET READY TO ROCK Sep01 Dec08 Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
VERY SATISFACTORY Jul15 Jun16 Mar24 Mar07 Nov30 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 6% 15.10    
HURRICANE EXPRESS (FR) Aug29 Aug02 Feb17     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
10  BOLT D'PLATA Aug04 Jul11 May23 Apr11 Mar08 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  FIRE BARON Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Jun06 May01 (paragallo jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00    
12  MIDWAY LIGHTS May27 Mar09       (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
SCR  SALACIOUS Sep14 Aug17 Jul31 Apr20 Mar24 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR NAME Sep01 Aug17       (lee joseph)RIDER TBA 120 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART Jul31 Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.