Handicappers' Racing Form
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Kentucky Downs
Sunday - September 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KD-1   Win (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-2   Win (10/5/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-3   Win (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-4   Win (2/5/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-5   Win (6/9/12/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-6   Win (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-7   Win (4/9/6/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-8   Win (11/6/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-9   Win (6/7/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-10   Win (7/1/2/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-11   Win (7/8/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KD-1   09/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN EILEEN Aug08         (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  MARCINKOWSKI         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
3  STUBBY Aug17         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  GLOBAL ALLURE         (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 10.00    
5  LADY SPUN SUGAR Aug10         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 30.00    
6  TIGER DIVISION Aug12         (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 ★    
7  BLUE DAZZLER Aug04         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 ★    
8  GIANT STORM         (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
9  MAKE A MILLION Aug10         (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
10  IT'S JUST A GAME         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 8.00    
 
KD-2   09/01/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 F PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR LUCK         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RISUKO Jul27         (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
3  HI BARBIE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 5% 17.60    
4  NECESSITY         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
5  EVERYBREATHYOUTAKE         (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  PURE BREEZE         (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOOD REASON         (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
8  BEMBRIDGE LEDGE         (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
9  HUMBLED         (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
10  CORRETO         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
11  LESLIE'S STAR         (mott i)TORRES A 119 6.00    
12  KINZIE QUEEN Aug03         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY Aug13         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00    
SCR  SUMMER AFFAIR Jul30         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  REMATCH Aug08         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  TOODLES         (mccarthy mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
 
KD-3   09/01/2024 7920ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARIA'S HONOR Aug14 Jun14 Oct19 Jul27 Jul13 (sancal mura)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
SCR  DOT MARIE Jun22 Jun06 Nov25 Oct11 Aug31 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
3  EMBRACE ME Aug14 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 (rutledge la)TORRES A 122 8.00    
4  HOLY FOLEY Jul07 May25 Apr24 Apr07 Mar09 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GENEROUS LOVER Aug10 Jul19 Jun15 May02 Mar21 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  I HAD THAT ONE TOO Aug14 Jul11 Jun12 Nov23 Oct15 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
7  MIRARI Jul25 May30 Apr04 Jan28 Oct26 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50    
8  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Aug08 Oct19 Sep22 Jul26   (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 41% 1.50    
 
KD-4   09/01/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($210K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATESBORO Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May30 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 30.00    
2  AMBIVALENT Jul27 Jun14 Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 (forster t)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  JUDGE DAVIS Jul27 Jun23 May25 Apr19 Apr05 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.50    
4  ANTARES Jun14 May06 Mar22 Mar09 Jan27 (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 10% 8.70    
5  AXTHELM Jun16 May04 Apr19 Mar01 Feb04 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
6  BAL A KAZOO Jul25 Jun28 May06 Nov09 Oct08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
7  OTAGO Aug03 Jun25 May23 Apr27 Mar24 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
8  DHABAB (IRE) Jul29 Apr19 Dec30 Oct08 Sep02 (vaughan edward)SPENCER P 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  STEP FORWARD Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 Jun01 Apr28 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
KD-5   09/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL KABONG Jul29 Jun19 May09 Apr11 Feb17 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
2  GASOLINE Jul17 Jun12 May11 Mar23 Feb17 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
3  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jul29 Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
4  PIKE PLACE Jul31 Jul04 May31 May02 Apr17 (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
5  BLACK POWDER Aug03 Jun19 May24 Apr21 Jul08 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 20.00    
6  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Jun15 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Jan27 (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  WEST COAST CRUISER Aug06 Jul13 Jun23 Jun06 May21 (jarvis kathy)MORALES EDGAR 118 50.00    
8  FRANZ JOSEF Jul24 Jun25 Jun05 May13 Nov30 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  DUCALE Jul20 May25 Dec29 Nov23 Oct25 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 25% 3.00    
10  YES THIS TIME Jun30 Nov25 Oct01 Aug31 Jul21 (ramsey nolan)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 Nov05 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
12  FUERTEVENTURA Aug03 Jul14 Jun06 Apr04 Mar14 (morse l)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  DEER DISTRICT Jul20 Jun19 Feb08 Jan20 Jul28 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
SCR  DOMINICAN PIONEER May27 Apr06 Nov11 Sep13 Jul30 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00    
SCR  OSCAR'S WORLD Aug03 Jul06 Jun07 Apr05 Mar09 (lynch a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  BLACK WHITE N GOLD Jul31 Jul16 Jul06 Jun10 May22 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
 
KD-6   09/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 ALL PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER CONTROLLER         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAZLO         (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
3  WARLANDER Jul27         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  SHOGUN (IRE) Aug11 Jul05       (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
5  BLUE CHAIR BAY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 9% 10.00    
6  ETHICS Aug01         (mott riley)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  FLYING MOHAWK Jul27         (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
8  ENGLISH LAW Jul20         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
9  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 ★    
10  SMOOTH N SILKY Jul29         (maker michael )TORRES A 119 15.00    
11  LUMBER LEGACY Aug11         (ennis john)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
12  CULTURE WAR         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  LAWLESS WAYS         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  TKAC Aug01         (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  ACADEMY Jul20         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  SPRINT OUT PASS Jul22         (medina robe)TORRES A 119 30.00    
 
KD-7   09/01/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Nov11 Aug19       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00    
2  BINT AL DANDY (IRE)         (falcone robert)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
3  MINK STOLE Aug09 Jun29       (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00    
4  SATIN BLUE Jul27 Jun26 Jun02 Apr26 Oct19 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
5  FOREVER AGAIN Aug16 Jul13       (schuh tim)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
6  SHEZTHEFACTOR Jul15 Jun26 Nov19 Oct21 Sep27 (hamilton sar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  I AM THE SAUCE Jul21 Jun28 May25     (lovell michell)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MILVEN         (hill f)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
9  MIYAKO Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 Apr25   (lynch brian)TORRES A 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
10  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Aug18 Jan27 Dec27 Nov25 Oct29 (salas marcelino)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
11  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Aug19 Jul21 May25 Apr05 Mar01 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  GO GEMMA Jul20 Jun08 Apr17 Mar23   (medina robert)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
SCR  DAY DAWNING Jul27 Jun18 Apr25     (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00    
SCR  NOVARA Jul21 Jun07 Apr19 Mar09 Aug26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
SCR  MAMBO MASTER Apr18         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  ONE FRONT WAR Aug31 Jul11       (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 3.50    
 
KD-8   09/01/2024 6930ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($190K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHMAN Jul22 Dec23 Nov04 Sep29   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  COMMON DEFENSE Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
3  LUNA TAP Aug06 Jun09 May09     (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
4  COPPER MISSILE Jul06 Jun02 Apr26 Oct26 Sep30 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
5  VESTURE Jul20 Jun08 Apr24 Apr06 Nov26 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9% 10.20    
6  KING D'ORO Jul27 Jun27 May04 May28 Apr29 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
7  BERNIN TUNE Jul31 Aug27       (morey william )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRITISH ISLES Jul21 Jun16 May04 Apr07 Feb18 (baltas richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
9  CONSPIRACTHERAPIST Jul13 May30       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
10  GORILLA TREK Jul20 May11 Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
11  CIRO  DI MARZIO         (ward a)SPENCER P 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
12  HAMILTON'S WAY Jul26 May26 Apr24 Mar09 Jan21 (handal raymo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  EL MATADOR Aug31 Aug03 Jul08 Jun14 May11 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  SWORE Jul28 Feb28 Jan21 Dec24 Oct19 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ABOVE Jul20 Sep03 Jun29 May13 Apr19 (nihei michelle)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
SCR  IBN AL ARABI Aug19 Jul28 Jul04 Jun10   (cano m)BEALMEAR C 115 50.00    
SCR  CIRO DI MARZIO         (ward a)SPENCER P null      
 
KD-9   09/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLIAD May27 Mar03 Feb03 Jan07 Dec03 (mandella richa)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON Aug29 Aug04 Jun15 May04 Mar02 (toner j)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
3  CASH EQUITY (FR) Jul20 Jun28 Jun06 Jan27 Nov02 (joseph saff)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 8% 12.00    
4  MINNESOTA READY Jun29 May27 May04 Apr06 Feb17 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
5  NOISES OFF Jul06 May31 Apr19 Jan05 Sep30 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 116 20.00    
6  SMOKIN' T Jun01 May02 Mar30 Mar02 Nov11 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  DATAMAN Jul20 May25 Apr20 Oct07 Sep09 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  MONEY SUPPLY Aug11 Jul06 May03 Mar23 Feb17 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN May27 Mar23 Jan05 May20 Mar25 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 5.00    
10  ATONE Jul20 Jun23 May18 Mar23 Mar02 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  WEBSLINGER Jul20 Jun15 May04 Mar23 Jan27 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 5.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT Jul22 Jun09 May05 Apr13 Mar17 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 20.00    
SCR  WINE COLLECTOR Aug04 Jul13 Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 (sanchez-salomon )BOYCE FOREST 111 30.00    
SCR  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jul14 Jun15 May04 Mar30 Sep23 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 115 20.00    
15  WHAT SAY THEE Aug04 Jun29 May31 Apr17 Mar03 (maker michael )TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS Aug29 Aug03 Jun22 May31 May02 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 117 15.00    
 
KD-10   09/01/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM National Thoroughbred League J Purse ($1000K) 2 ALL PT- 6:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACH FOR THE ROSE Aug03 May11       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  PHAROAH'S DYNASTY Jun23         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  COMPLEX MUSIC Jul06 Jun21 May01     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  HOMIE Jun05         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
5  UNDER WHO'S RADAR Jul19         (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
6  WILLIAMS EMPIRE Aug15 Jul06       (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
7  BLACK FORZA         (o'call)MCMONAGLE BROWNE 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  ESSAY Jun28         (calhoun willia)TORRES A 120 30.00    
9  CHASING LIBERTY Jul28         (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EIGHTY WEST Aug08 Jun23       (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
11  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Jul28         (baumgardner )VAN DRAYDEN 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
 
KD-11   09/01/2024 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTING DEBUT Jul15 Jun08 Apr14     (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
2  SAN MARTIN Jul15 Jun08 Apr24     (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 8% 12.00    
3  THE DOVER SPECTER Jul22 Jun20 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  COME TO PAPA Aug10 Jul13 Jun09 May11 Mar16 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 6.00    
5  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Jul22 Jun16 May18 Apr24 Mar08 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 10% 8.60    
6  GET AHEAD NOW Aug18 Jun05 Apr30 Jan11 Dec10 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
7  PADIDDLE Aug03 Jun23 Jun02     (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
8  THE JACKAL Jul20 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
9  TELESCOPIC Jul20 Jun08 May10 Apr06 Feb23 (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 10.00    
10  SMART UNCLE Aug13 Oct13 Jul28 Jun11 May25 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00    
11  ON THE CUFF Jun28 Jun06 Dec28     (jones e)HESS SARA 117 50.00    
12  MOTOR CITY MENACE Aug01         (heath destin)VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 30.00    
SCR  ZEVON Jul25 Jul18 Jun12 May23 Jun16 (hodsdon dani)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 15.00    
SCR  CRUSADER CONRAD Jul28 Jun16 May21     (mcsorley jo)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
SCR  AWOL Jul22 Jun02       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.