Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/11/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (12/13/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (3/1/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (7/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-11   Win (9/4/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-12   Win (3/10/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIQUITA REINA Feb14 Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 Nov24 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  MORNING MIRACLE Mar30 Feb25       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60    
IUKA MISS Nov16 Oct25 Sep14 Jul22   (stall m)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
GATHER THE FACTS Mar10 Feb18 Jan06 Oct29 Oct08 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00    
PAYNT YOUR WAY         (howey quinn)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 14% 6.10    
LADLE Jan24 Dec30 Nov23 Nov01 Aug15 (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
MAYLEN Apr11 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
WEST COAST HARBOR Apr20 Mar07 Feb19     (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAPWRIT WARRIOR Mar15 Jan13 Dec30 Nov24 Jul01 (vasquez german)GILES EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
10  MS I SPEIGHT Apr20         (heath desti)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
11  DIGITAL CURRENCY         (camejo m)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SNAP JUDGEMENT (IRE) Apr11 Mar16       (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 124 20.00    
 
CD-2   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR HAPPY HOURS Apr14 Mar29 Jan20 Dec11 Nov10 (vance d)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.50    
AMERICAN MAESTRA Apr14 Feb29 Jun25 Apr15   (gallagher )RODRIGUEZ A 125 30.00    
VALERIE BLUE Mar29 Mar14 Feb22 Feb03 Dec28 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
K'ANTHEIA Mar22 Feb11 Dec29 Apr13 Mar25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 49% 1.00    
LADY JUNE Apr10 Oct30 Sep06     (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
TERRITORIALITY Mar30 Mar16       (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00    
FASTA LAVISTA BABY Apr14 Mar08 Feb13 Jan18 Dec21 (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE BERNADETTE Mar30 Mar10 Feb18 Feb01 Jan01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
PITTORE D'ORO Apr11 Mar06 Feb22 Feb03 Jan06 (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 118 8.00    
10  VOSTRA Oct04 Sep13 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 (jones s)GILES EMMANUEL 125 20.00    
 
CD-3   05/02/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ELLE         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SLANDEROUS         (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
CALCETINES Apr18         (fernandez kelly )HISBY RONALD 119 20.00    
MINTY         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
POUNDS IN TOWN Apr07         (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
MISS MAKENNA         (brinkerhoff)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
KEYANA         (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
LA FANTASTICA         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00    
10  EMY         (torres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
SCR  RUN CAMILA RUN Apr07         (decker anna)MELENDEZ MARIANO 119 20.00    
12  PRECISENESS         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
13  LONG NECK PAULA         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  ACHIEVE         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
 
CD-4   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAVOD Apr07 Mar14 Feb13 Jan19 Dec23 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GILCREASE Mar16 Jan28 Nov23 Oct13 Sep22 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00    
SCOTLAND Sep23 Aug26 Jul21 Jun03 Apr23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 1.40 35% 1.80    
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR Sep18 Sep09 Aug13 Jun05 Aug31 (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
MAJOR BLUE Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan27 Dec16 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00    
ANGKOR Nov23 Oct25 Sep29 Aug05 May21 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.00    
 
CD-5   05/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCCHESI Mar13         (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
MODERN DAY WARRIOR         (ward a)FLORES R 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
HEART OF OSCAR Oct03 Sep06 Aug08     (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKY JOY Mar30 Feb17 Jan06     (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 52% 0.90    
SPOONIE Feb17 Aug18       (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SARPEDON Jan05         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
BRILLIANT BERTI Feb15         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
TORNADO ROAD Apr13 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Sep01 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
THERMOSCOPE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  TAPIT FOR THE WIN Mar30         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
11  CURLIN GUNNER Mar23 Jan13 Dec15 Oct29   (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
12  CHASING KITTY Apr06 Mar08 Jan26 Dec29   (bindner m)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  DEMETRIUS         (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00    
SCR  JUAN VALDEZ Mar16 Jan18 Jun02 May06 Oct13 (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME Mar21 Aug26 Aug05     (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  BOOKIE BRENT Apr06         (bauer a)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
CD-6   05/02/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOPPER'S REVENGE Mar30 May06 Mar25 Feb18 Jan14 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 4.50    
EARL OF DASSEL Jan25 Dec15 Nov08 Sep09 Jul02 (ramirez ricardo )CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
COLD AS HELL Apr07 Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNDERHILL'S TAB Mar30 Feb24 Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
SCR  MR. KEATING Feb24 Jan28 Dec16 Jun02 Apr22 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
CASTLEWARDEN Mar15 Apr28 Mar25     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
CLASSIC LEGACY Apr12 Mar10 Jun10 May06 Mar11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
CD-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN COLOR Apr10 Mar06 Feb07 Dec09 Nov01 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 123 4.00    
CHANISA Feb16 Jan27 Oct19 Sep12 Aug01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
ITSABLINGTHING Apr10 Jan31 Dec19 Nov16 Sep15 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
NEUTRALIZE Feb22 Jan07 Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00    
THREE POLKS Feb17 Jan13 Dec15 Nov10 Oct07 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00    
SASSY WALKER Apr13 Mar27 Feb15 Jan11 Dec21 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
JUDY ELAINE Mar07 Jan26 Sep13 Aug19 Jul20 (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
GENEROUS LOVER Mar21 Feb29 Jan26 May02 Mar01 (schultz lind)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
CD-8   05/02/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIPPING GOLD Sep09 Jul27 Jul01 May27 Apr12 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
AMERICAN DIAMOND Mar03 Jan06 Dec14 Oct19 Sep10 (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
SIR LONDON Mar30 Mar03 Oct19 Aug12 Jul03 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 60% 0.70    
RISK MANAGER Mar23 Mar02 May19 Mar25 Mar05 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50    
RECKONING FORCE Mar02 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Nov04 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Apr10 Mar07 Feb03     (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
BARBERINI Mar02 Jan05 Nov30 Mar04 Feb04 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
MIRANDA RIGHTS Dec03 Nov05 Sep07 Jul09 Jun17 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Apr14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug13 Jul16 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
10  READY TO PURRFORM Mar02 Apr20 Jan21 Oct29 Sep05 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00    
11  FREEDOM'S WAY Apr19 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Nov02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
12  TALL BOY Apr12 Mar07 Dec09 Nov05 Oct12 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Apr12 Mar07 Nov24 Sep28 Sep03 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
SCR  FAIR DINKUM Dec23 Nov02 Sep07 Aug05 Jan29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  WIND TWIST Apr14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov10 Oct07 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
SCR  HIDDEN STASH Apr14 Feb16 Jun17 May19 Apr13 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
 
CD-9   05/02/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kentucky Juvenile Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUXEDO PARK Apr10         (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
AKINMUSIRE Apr10         (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS M G Apr07         (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00    
STRUMMIN Apr17 Apr05       (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 8.00    
JET SWEEP JOE Apr17         (mcentee paul)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
WEST MEMORIAL Apr07         (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 115 12.00    
SHOOT IT TRUE Apr05         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 1.40 32% 2.20    
TURNBUCKLE Apr05         (rutledge la)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
MENSA Apr12         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-10   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST St. Matthews Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECKER ISLAND Dec30 Dec09 Nov04 Oct06 Sep16 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SURVEILLANCE Apr06 Mar16 Feb13 Jan19 Jul01 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
SCR  RICHIESONAROLL Apr21 Apr06 Dec02 Nov07 Aug30 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MANNY WAH Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 Nov04 Oct06 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
BANGO Nov04 Oct06 Sep16 Jul01 Jun03 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
BOURBON BASH Mar30 Jan26 Jan01 Oct15 Sep23 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
O BESOS Nov23 Oct28 Sep30 Jul22 Nov05 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
CD-11   05/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Opening Verse Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AH JEEZ Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Sep30 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
CHURCHTOWN Mar30 Feb03 Nov05 Sep02 Jul23 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUALITY G Mar30 Mar02 Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
SMOKIN' T Mar30 Mar02 Nov11 Sep16 Sep02 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
HARLAN ESTATE Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov11 Oct07 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Nov18 Oct08 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
SKYRO Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec30 Dec02 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
ACCREDIT Apr06 Nov30 Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Sep01 Aug11 May06 Feb25 Jan21 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
10  TALK OF THE NATION Oct28 Sep02 Jul07 Jun03 Mar11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
11  STITCHED Nov11 Oct07 Sep02 Jul01 Jun01 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
12  TIVERTON (GB) May01 Mar29 Mar03 Oct19 Sep30 (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
 
CD-12   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEVEN FLAT Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 Nov12 Oct11 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
MY ROMEO LIMA Mar06 Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Oct13 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.00    
MUCHO MOJO Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan06 Dec08 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
HARLEEZY Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 Jan27 Dec17 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 10.00    
MR. PETERKIN Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 Dec07 (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
SCR  POWER ALLEY Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov02 Sep24 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
AMERICAN HERO Apr11 Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 (leonard ii)COHEN DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONG CROW Apr12 Feb16 Jan28 Oct11 Sep20 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
SANT' ANTIMO Apr11 Mar01 Feb03 Dec09 Nov03 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
10  PIKE PLACE Apr17 Feb25 Jan15 Oct11 Sep12 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.