Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (5/6/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (8/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-4   Win (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (6/2/3/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (7/5/6/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (3/8/10/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (6/5/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (8/5/11/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOKE UP QUICK         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
RED BURGUNDY Aug09         (de hor)SANTANA JR 116 4.00 12% 7.40    
STATE OF READINESS         (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
PLAY FREE BIRD Aug09 Jul09 Jun23     (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 116 20.00    
MARCO T. May11         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 116 2.00 39% 1.60    
SPLIT STRIKE Jul28 Jun23       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 19% 4.10    
DIXIE PHARAOH Aug23 Jul16       (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
KHADULLAH Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 May28   (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 10% 9.50    
WINE RESPONSIBLY         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
10  SOLO RYE'D         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE IS ALL BUSINES         (de hor)SANTANA JR 116 6.00    
SCR  CHARGING FAST         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY         (paragallo jennife)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
SCR  MAMA'S DREAM         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Jul26 Jun15 May12     (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 12.00    
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK Aug24         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   09/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONED UP Jul30 May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMANDA'S FOLLY Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 May20 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
JUST KATHERINE Jul14 Jun16 Apr01 Mar04 Jan15 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
TOWER BRIDGE Jul15 May28       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
WISHING ON A STAR Jun16 May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar05 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
COPPA GIRL Aug09 Jul15 Jun10 May05   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
MARIAH'S APPEAL Jul29 Jan21       (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
RAGING SEA Aug09 Nov04 Oct07 Aug07   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
SAR-3   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Bernard Baruch Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING ME A CHECK Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 Jun04 May19 (reynolds pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 May11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) May27 Oct09 Sep10 Aug06 Jul15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
WIT Jan28 Dec03 Oct29 Aug28 Aug05 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
EMARAATY (GB) Jun10 Sep05 Aug04 Jul03   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Jul26 Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 (schettino dominick )RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
 
SAR-4   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOAT ON Aug13 Jun06 Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7% 12.40    
FLINT RIDGE Jul26 May12 Apr16 Feb21 Jan15 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00    
JEMOGRAPHY Aug13 Feb26 Feb10 Jan01 Dec02 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCILLY CAY Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May13 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Aug13 Jul08 Sep10 Aug20 Jul01 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SWIFTSURE Aug13 Jul09 Nov06 Sep30 Aug14 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
SENOR JOBIM Aug13 Jul22 Feb12 Nov06 Sep24 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  LORD CAPTAIN Aug02 Jul23 May13 Feb23 Feb03 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
SCR  H P MOON Aug13 May20 Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
10  ROYAL TRYST Aug09 Jul23 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 20.00    
 
SAR-5   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSI Aug17 Jul14 Apr27 Mar04 Jan07 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50    
1A  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun11 Apr07 Dec15 Nov18 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50    
DOCTOR JERRY         (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
2B  BUSTINO SANTINO Aug02 Jan07 Dec17 Nov12   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 15% 5.70    
OKALOOSA Aug19         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 39% 1.50    
VOLEUSE Jul22 Dec16 Nov17 Aug26 Jul31 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
VAUNTED Aug17 Jul21 Jun18 May19   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
SCHERZANDO Jul14 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr07 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  Z DANCER Aug31 Aug09 Jun23 May29 May05 (romero raf)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
PRINCE OF TRUTH Aug17         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
HERONEANDONLY Aug19 Aug09 Jul08 Jun01 Nov20 (goodwin gabriel)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
10  SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO         (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
SCR  LADY BANKER Jul23 Jun24 Feb26 Jan28   (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
SAR-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORORITY PRANK         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
SMILE TAKES CHARGE         (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
AZ U CHASE ME         (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DIANNESRETIRING         (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BONNE CHANCE         (levine bru)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SOLO'S FURY         (englehart jerem)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
ARCO AUGUSTA         (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
WINWOOD         (david carlos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
WISECRACKER         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
10  NIPPY FITZ         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AGGELOS THE GREAT Jul28         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  CATALINA CRUSH Aug11         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
SCR  CANIGETALOAN Aug11         (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
SCR  VETTRIANO (IRE) Aug11         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
SCR  STRAWBERRY KWIK Aug12         (torelli stacy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  QUIET WISDOM Aug12         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
 
SAR-7   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOPTHEREITIS Aug07 Jul17 Jun13 May16   (englehart jer)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug11 Jul15 May29 Apr08 Mar17 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SPOOKY LADY Jul22 Jun03 Apr22 Mar12 Feb02 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
SNOWY EVENING Aug16 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May27 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SALS DREAM GIRL Jul15 Jun25 May29 Mar26 Jan25 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SMOKIE EYES Aug16 May29 May04 Nov27 Oct28 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
OVERACTING Jul29         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SARATOGA CHROME Aug23 Jul29 Jul15 Nov06 Oct08 (brown r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 15.00    
CRIMSON PRINCESS Feb01 Jan04 Nov13 Oct05 Sep02 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
10  WATERVILLE Aug12 Jul15 May29 Apr08 Nov06 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
11  JOEYBIGNOSE Jun18 May18 Apr16 Apr02 Feb26 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
12  SHESASCOLDASICE Jul26 Jul11 Jun14 May30 Nov15 (ferraro an)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Apr28 Nov17 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO Aug16 Jul30 Dec18 Nov19 Jun19 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  LAVON Aug11 Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 Feb24 (coffey marialice)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  YOGI Aug12 Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Aug18 Mar24 Dec16 Sep10 Jul17 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  TEN CENT TOWN Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 Mar17 (sciacca gary)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
THANK YOU JON Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 Sep29   (summers ch)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  AGILITY Jul15 May29 Apr22 Mar24 Feb05 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 10% 8.80    
NEWPORT BRIDGE Aug26 Jun09 May05 Apr07   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
BE THE BOSS Aug05 Jul04 Jun09 May21 Nov19 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50    
FAST BUCK FREDDY Aug02 Jun09       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
WIN FOR GOLD Aug17 Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr15 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
CALLALOO Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 Jan19 Jan12 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 7% 12.50    
10  ALWAYS CHARMING Jul15 Jun17 May12 Apr01 Jun16 (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
 
SAR-9   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIUMPHANT ROAD Sep17 Aug19 Aug03     (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Aug21 Jul11 Jun05 May03   (preciado guadalu)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
AMERICAN KNOW HOW Aug13 Jul15 Jun17 May21 May05 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
BE THERE Aug13 Jun24 Aug28 Jul21 Apr02 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00    
BORLETTI (IRE)         (duggan p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
IRON MAN JIMMY Oct13 Aug31       (summers chad)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Jul02 May26 Apr14     (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Aug06 Jul22       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
OFF THE CLOCK Aug10         (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Jun24 Apr26 Mar25     (walsh p)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
11  KASIMBA Aug10 Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr27 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Aug20 Oct21       (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 114 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Hopeful Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST STEEL Aug05 Jul15 Jun17     (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
YO YO CANDY Jul15 Jun11 May23     (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
NUTELLA FELLA Jul26         (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
MISSION BEACH Aug05         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
TIMBERLAKE Jul21 Jun15       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
GOLD SWEEP Jul15 Jun11 May18     (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 6.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  MUTH Aug13 Jun18       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Aug13 Jul12 Jun24 May29   (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 122 50.00    
VALENTINE CANDY Jul22         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
10  BE YOU Aug05         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
11  PIRATE Jul15         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
 
SAR-11   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUGSY FURY Aug09 Jul07 Jun09     (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
UNAFFECTED Aug06 Jun23 Jun01 Apr21 Mar26 (romero raf)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
THE MANTICORE Jun19 Jun21       (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
BASTION Jul04         (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00    
FAKE CELEBRITY         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
PASCHAL MOON Aug17         (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
KID KREESA Aug09 Jul14       (dixon lind)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHULLIGAN Jun23 Oct07 Aug26     (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
DOLLY'S BANK Aug23         (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 15.00    
10  PRIX DE WEST Aug06 Apr27       (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
11  LT. MITCHELL Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 Jun01 May06 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 11% 8.50    
12  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Feb26 Jan07 Dec03     (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Aug09 Jul03 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 (albright geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  ZAPRUDER Aug06 Jul03 Jun01 Dec17 Dec08 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  HARI Jun03         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
SCR  AULA Jul26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Oct27 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.