Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - February 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(4/3/7)-(9/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(9/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(9/1/8/7)-(1/9/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (9/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/7)-(9/1/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/7)-(9/1/8/7/4)-(9/1/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/8/7)-(1/9/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/7)-(1/9/4/11)-(4/8/11/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/9/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/11)-(1/9/4/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/11)-(1/9/4/3/11)-(1/9/4/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/4/11)-(4/8/11/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4/11)-(4/8/11/3/7)-(6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (4/8/11/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/11/3/7)-(4/8/11/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/11/3/7)-(4/8/11/3/7)-(4/8/11/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/11/3/7)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/11/3/7)-(6/5/3)-(4/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/9/2/7)-(7/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7/6)-(4/9/2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/2/7)-(7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/7)-(7/1/3/6)-(4/9/8/3/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(4/9/8/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (4/9/8/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/3/11)-(4/9/8/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/3/11)-(4/9/8/3/11)-(4/9/8/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST CHANCE DANCE Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Oct07 Sep27 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 126 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  BIRD SET FREE Oct07 Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jun29 (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 126 15.00    
CASINO ANNIE Jan17 Dec15 Nov29 Oct05 Sep21 (parker r)MCKEE J 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTIVE STAR Jan17 Dec27 Nov15 Oct07 Sep15 (cline r)DE CRUZ 126 4.50 21% 3.80    
HONEYTOWN Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 Aug16 Jun06 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
ENGLISH CHARM Jan17 Dec23 Oct19 Sep23 Aug28 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 8.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 May15 Apr25 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 4.00    
HEAVENLY HASH Aug23 Jul10 Jun13 May15 Mar18 (walsh d)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
TP-2   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY'S HOME Jan13 Jan04 Dec14 Oct23 Sep26 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 125 6.00    
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Dec22 Nov22 Oct30 Sep14 Aug22 (jarvis kathy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
PHAT CHANCE FANCY Jul22 Jul09 Jun17     (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 115 4.00 28% 2.50    
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY Jan13 Dec21 Nov25 Oct12 Sep15 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  DUCHESSOFBAYRIDGE Jan04 Aug31 Aug05 Jun04 Apr23 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 5.00    
SCR  WING AND A PLAYER Mar23 Mar02       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 3.00    
BEATRICE KIDDO         (reed r)FELIX E 125 8.00 16% 5.30    
GLAMOUR ANNA Dec21 Jun24 May13 Apr23   (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00    
 
TP-3   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT RICHIE M Jan18 Dec28 Nov18 Oct11   (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
KARLWITHANARL Dec29 Dec21 Nov19 Oct18   (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
QUENCIO Jan18 Dec22 Nov23 Nov01 Sep22 (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 6.00    
BOURBON LIFE Dec15 Nov25 Sep05     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
MIDNIGHT STORMY Jan18 Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 May29 (minnock wayn)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
EPIC KNIGHT Jan18 Dec21 Oct11     (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
BAYTOWN BRUISER Jan06 Nov30 Oct05 Sep20   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MENDELSFLY Jan06 Dec09 Oct12 Sep10   (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
NOAHS ARK (IRE) Jan18 Nov30       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
TP-4   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT SPECTRE Dec21 Oct11       (morey e)FELIX E 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
BALLYCOTTON BAY Jan11         (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
CASINO BOSS Sep29         (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
DOUBLE GOLD Dec29 Dec06 Nov14     (garcia ge)CORREA L 120 20.00 7% 13.70    
SOLIDIFIED GOLD Jan04 Dec14       (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
CHAPS KNIGHT Jan04 Dec20 Nov08 Sep16   (radosevich jake )LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
SCR  AGENT KOSTA Jan04 Dec14 Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
SCR  FULL DRESS BLUES Jan11 Oct03 Aug22     (waltz brian)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
ALVIN Jan11 Nov30       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
10  FIRST CHOICE Oct31 Sep09       (spicer t)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
11  MOON CHARGER Jan11 Dec27 Dec14 Sep13 Aug26 (alvarez nery)ROMAN A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST STRIKE Apr15 Feb11 Dec16 Oct18   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
EMIRATES ROAD Jan05 Nov17 Jan20 Dec29 Oct12 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
MUCHO MOJO Jan06 Dec08 Nov03 Sep10 Aug27 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE BARREL Jan05 May17 Apr18     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
NOW AND LATER Jul01 Jun16 May04 Jan28 Dec03 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 20.00    
ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) Dec23 Nov07 Sep09 Aug03 Jun20 (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
EVAN HARLAN Jan05 May19 Apr19 Feb05 Jan02 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALEMAN Dec20 Oct12 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 (contreras)CORREA L 124 10.00 28% 2.50    
ARCHIE THE GIZA Jan05 Nov22 Oct06 Sep21 Aug01 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 124 4.00    
10  YORK TAVERN May28 Apr15 Mar04 Jan25 Dec17 (devaux cherie)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
11  SUGOI Dec23 Dec09 Sep17 Aug27 Aug11 (bah)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
12  CHIRON Jan05 Dec18 Dec02 Nov05 Aug12 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00    
SCR  VANBRUGH Jan12 Dec15 Nov05 Sep02 Nov26 (esq)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  WILD SEAN Jan25 Dec08 Nov26 Oct31 Oct09 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
 
TP-6   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Leonatus Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BALI Dec01 Oct26 Sep10 Jul14 May22 (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of IN GOOD COMPANY by SOUVENIR COPY)
SCR  AWESOME ROAD Nov25 Oct07 Aug27     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ORATE by A.P. INDY)
BLUE EYED GEORGE Oct26 Sep10 Jul31     (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 13% 7.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of ACTING NAUGHTY by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  MUGATU Jan18 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct12 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
EPIC RIDE Jan05 Dec08       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by BLAME out of PICK A TIME by GIO PONTI)
VOTE NO Jan06 Oct08 Sep13 Aug23   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)
SALVATTORE PRINCE Dec17 Nov04 Sep23     (d'angelo jose )CONNER TYLER 118 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PATRICIA'S RING by MALIBU MOON)
BETTERING Jan12 Dec29 Nov15 Sep12 Jul12 (garcia ge)CORREA L 118 20.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of MS. RUBIN by SKY MESA)
 
TP-7   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS EAGLE Jan10 Dec14 Nov02 Oct18 Oct09 (cline r)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
RANDELLO Jan25 Dec16 Nov03 Sep27 Sep02 (garcia ge)CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 18.80    
WHEREWEGOIN Nov17 Oct03 Sep21 Sep13 Aug23 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00    
CLEAR FOR ACTION Jan10 Dec13 Oct07 Sep07 May27 (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
CLEARING WAIVERS Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Nov08 Sep26 (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
NOT SO EASY Jan10 Dec13 Jul05 Jun25 May30 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 12.00    
LORD REVELSTOKE Dec14 Oct10 Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 (ride)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKYINKENTUCKY Dec22 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 May18 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
JERICHO EXPRESS Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 123 4.00 10% 9.30    
 
TP-8   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON MAN JIMMY Dec20 Nov24 Oct13 Sep04 Oct13 (summers chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 1.60 30% 2.30    
FREAKY Z Jan06 Dec09       (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00    
ERASMUS Jul13 Jun17 May20 Mar25   (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 9% 10.50    
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Jan10 Dec20       (raines linds)ALENCAR WALBER 125 20.00    
PAPA ALDEN Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 Apr16   (kerrick lacy)LEON SONNY 125 3.50    
DOOQ Dec29 Nov30 Oct13 Sep22 Aug12 (alvarez nery)CANUTO THIAGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKE WAGON Dec24 Dec16 Nov09 Oct12 Sep02 (engler jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TP-9   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROJA REDEMPTION Nov08 Sep03 Aug18 Jun17 Apr21 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
KARMA DIRECTOR Dec08 Nov05 Aug02 Jul12   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
ENOUGH ALREADY Dec29 Nov29 Nov01 Sep17 Aug05 (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAMILO Jan06 Nov10 Oct07 Apr20 Mar18 (thomas jonatha)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
NAGA'S BOY Dec14 Aug18 Jul23 Apr21 Mar11 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 124 12.00    
CAIRO'S GHOST Jan06 Nov08 Oct12 Sep16 Aug11 (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
MORE THAN FIVE Dec29 Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 Mar26 (garcia ge)CORREA L 124 12.00    
WINSTON WOLF Jan10 Dec14 Nov10 Oct19 Sep03 (baez sergio)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
WRITE OFF JERRY Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 Oct09 Sep25 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
10  TALKSCHEAP Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 (alessi james)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 30.00    
11  STIRLING'S GOLD Jan06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (dobbsjr)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  GO CATS Dec29 Nov11 Oct15 Sep28 Sep03 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.