Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/3/6)-(9/2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(9/2/4/6)-(7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/6)-(7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/6)-(7/1/2)-(6/7/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(6/7/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(6/7/5/10)-(6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/10)-(6/7/5/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/10)-(6/7/5/10/2)-(6/7/5/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/10)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/10)-(6/3)-(6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/1/4)-(1/10/8/4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/10/8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/10/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3)-(1/10/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDEN SHIFT Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Jul25 May24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  SAY HEY KID Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 Sep27 Aug24 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
3  POWER (BRZ) Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Sep07 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
4  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Oct21 Oct12 Sep01 Aug04 Jun24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
5  DEBDURITE Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 Oct04 Sep05 (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
6  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Nov20 Sep29 Jul16 Jul03 May30 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
7  MAXIMIZER Nov21 Oct31 Oct21 Sep12 Aug31 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-2   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO GUNS Nov20 Nov01 Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  MONTAUK COVE Nov21 Oct10 Sep18 Aug16 Aug01 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
3  CRYO Nov21 Nov08 Sep24 Sep01 Aug02 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 20% 4.10    
4  UNCLEJACKOMO Nov15 Oct31 Sep28 Sep13 Jul27 (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 10.00    
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Nov08 Oct31 Oct03 Sep18 Aug03 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
6  THE COOKIE MAN Nov12 Oct10 Sep27 Sep07 Jul31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-3   12/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIDSTREAM Nov21 Nov13 Oct13 Sep27 Sep11 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
2  FRANCO (MEX) Nov29 Oct31 Oct02 Aug31 Aug15 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  SCAT SHACK Nov20 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00    
4  SMASH Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 Jul31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  TAMANRASSETT Nov21 Nov07 Oct18 Oct11 Sep28 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
6  DON'T POKE THE CAT Nov15 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
7  BOURBON OVER ICE Nov02 Oct10 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
8  SHELL FIRE Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
9  TUSKEGEE CAT Oct31 Oct09 Sep01 Aug24 Aug05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  ITASCA Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 May30 (schuster rob)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM RIDER Nov05 Oct02 Sep17 Aug25 Jul31 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  OVER THE HILLS Nov20 Oct24 Oct10 Sep17 Aug21 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  BACKATYA Nov21 Oct22 Aug27 Jul14 Jul06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
SCR  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Oct23 Oct06 Sep26 Aug07 Jul23 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  STATESBORO Nov02 Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jul14 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
6  SUMMERFEST Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
7  DOCTOR WU Oct24 Sep17 Aug16 Jul25 Jul01 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-5   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Nov15 Nov07 Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
2  MACHEN REIGNS Oct09 Aug29 May28 May06 Nov16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 ★    
3  PENNY'S TREASURE Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Aug12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
4  TITEBLUEJEANS Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Aug31 Aug01 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
5  RUBY LAYNE Jun22 May31 Sep15 Aug13 Jul05 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 6% 14.60    
6  DANCE DRAMA Nov21 Oct25 Oct04 Sep11 Aug09 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  SWEET AS MERRIE Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 (reed r)HALDAR J 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  HALO EFFECT Nov15 Nov06 Oct21 Oct03 Aug29 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
9  BONNIE'S BEST Apr27 Apr12 Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
10  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Sep30 Sep15 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SPEED Oct13 Sep09 Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 (delacruz mejia)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
SCR  DANZING CHICK Nov19 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (trevino st)COLINA ALEJANDRO 123 6.00    
3  SPLASH OF TONIC Nov15 Oct28 Oct17 Oct10 Sep05 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  BACKSPLASH Nov16 Oct25 Sep25 Sep05 Aug21 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
SCR  MUSICAL RIDE Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug28 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
6  EPICUREAN Nov21 Nov04 Oct25 Sep13 Aug23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
7  JOYFUL NOISE Oct07 Sep22 Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Oct02 Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 Mar28 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 7% 14.10    
2  BLAZING ZENNA Sep27 Sep07 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (mah)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
SCR  J P'S GLADYS Nov28 Nov09 Aug01 Jul09 Sep27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
4  CEVICHE Nov09 Oct13 Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul20 Jun19 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50    
6  SWEET QUEEN BEE Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 Aug29 Aug08 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 71% 0.40    
7  JEN'S BATTLE Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
8  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Nov14 Oct23 Oct09 Sep06 Aug23 (sabine )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★    
9  HERO'S DAUGHTER Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  LUCKY SMILE Nov21 Nov16 Nov08 Oct30 Oct16 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
3  LONG RAP SHEET Nov19 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  STRASBOURG Nov22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUBINSTEIN Nov16 Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 8.00    
6  MASTER Nov16 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
7  KING SOCIAL Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
8  FISHING FOR FUN Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 Sep13 Aug22 (calderon i)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
9  ALEXIS N NIKO Nov15 Oct30 Oct05 Aug26 Aug13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00    
10  MAYITO Nov22 Oct17 Oct02 Sep23 Sep12 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.