Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (5/8/4/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (9/3/8/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-10   Win (1/4/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-11   Win (4/2/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO'S FURY Sep16 Aug18 Jun28 Dec16 Oct29 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
MESSI THE MAGICIAN Jun22 May02 Apr19 Mar24 Mar09 (shivmangal lolita)OTERO AAROM 113 4.50 38% 1.60    
J J VALENTIN Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jul14 Jun01 (sanchez loz)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
ALEAH ALEAH Aug16 Jul12 Jun07 May10 Apr20 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
BEARY FUNNY Sep21 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun14 (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Sep27 Aug18 Oct06 Aug17 Aug06 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS Sep27 Aug22 Aug07 Jun28 Jun06 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
SCR  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Aug30 Aug18 Jul18 Jun08 Apr28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
CLUBHOUSE Apr28 Apr20 Mar24 Jan13 Dec16 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 45% 1.20    
NIGHT EFFECT Sep21 Jul31 Jul18 May27 May18 (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
SIN NOMBRE Sep14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 Apr11 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Oct16 Sep18 (zito nicholas)MARTINEZ R 123 15.00    
DEBATE Sep20 Aug24 Aug01 Jun16 Jun07 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DILLINGER Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 May23 Apr21 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-3   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRING MAGIC Sep22 Jul11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 0.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Aug17 Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80    
DOLCE SERA Sep28 Aug14 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 (delauro edwa)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Sep28 Sep16 Aug12 Jun27 May26 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00 14% 6.10    
STARRY MIDNIGHT Sep19 Sep02 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRITUAL LADY Sep02 Aug10 Jul18 Jun22 May09 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
FULLMOONMAGIC Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Jun11 (sanchez loz)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
BALENCIAGA BETTY Sep28 Sep05 Aug22 Jul20 Jun28 (arriaga antonio)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
SCR  KAREN'S HONOR Sep28 Aug16 Aug07 Jun27 May16 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Aug28 Jul27 Jul13 Jun07 Mar29 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  SUPER CHIEF Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jul31 Jun07 (kantarmaci il)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50    
2B  RYAN'S CAT Apr27 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 Feb03 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKET ALERT Sep01 Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 May04 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00    
PAPA ROCKET Sep14 Aug28 Jun26 May25 May04 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON'S HOPE Sep24 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul28 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
CHARGING AERO Aug29 Aug11 Aug01 Jul12 Jun12 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 125 5.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
POGI Aug03 Jul06 May19 Dec30 Nov18 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jul12 Jun07 May19 May11 Apr28 (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 7% 12.90    
RIDER'S SPECIAL Aug07 Jul14 Jun28 Nov05 Sep14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC13 FIRM Sands Point Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO FOX GIVIN Sep11 Aug04 Jun29 May03 Apr06 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPALIDAY Aug17 Jul13 Jun08 May04 Apr13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 25% 3.00    
SHADE OF PALE Sep15 Jun15 Aug05     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
MACANGA Sep14 Aug02 Jun22 May05 Mar02 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
COURBE Aug24 Jul12 Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
STYLE POINTS Sep07 Jul08 Apr25 Mar09 Feb03 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
JUSTDENY Sep14 Aug22 Jul25 Jun20 May18 (gargan dan)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
SCR  AUDACIOUS Sep14 Aug03 Jun06     (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 May24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKE HOME THE CUP         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
ANTISOCIAL Sep07         (duarte jorge )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 15% 5.60    
SKYRUSH         (gargan danny)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
FORT NELSON         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
DR. INSEL         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
KEEWAYDIN Aug24         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  A. P. KID         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  STARS AND STRIPES         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
VOLT Aug22         (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/12/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Floral Park Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOON CRY Sep14 Aug03 Jun15 Mar23 Nov17 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
HOLLYWOOD WALK Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May17 (trombetta michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE APPEALS Sep14 Aug11 Jul19 May26 Apr04 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SECRET MONEY Aug31 Jul25 Jun01 May03 Apr13 (walsh p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Sep14 Jun28 Apr21 Feb23   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
CECILE (IRE) Aug31 Jul20 Jun28 May30 Aug13 (schultz lindsay)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA Aug29 Jul06 Jun08 May18 Dec30 (matz micha)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Aug31 Aug12 Jun01 May04 Apr07 (joseph s)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
SCR  MOHAWK TRAIL Mar24 Mar02 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 (danner kel)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
10  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Sep20 Jul14 Sep30 Aug28 Aug06 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE Sep29 Jul31 Jun15 May18 Apr06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  DREAM CONCERT Sep20 Apr27 Apr05 Mar09 Feb10 (o'connell kathleen)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
SCR  SECURITY CODE Aug16 Jun23 Mar24 Feb17 Jan05 (serpe m)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Sep20 Aug07 Jun07 May12 Apr25 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RABAJA Sep21 Aug24 Jul27 Jun14 Apr27 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
SCR  BALDIZAR Aug01 May26 Feb19 Jan06 Dec08 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
CLEAR CONSCIENCE Sep15 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 May27 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
SCR  COINAGE Aug30 Jul13 Oct15 Oct01 Jul02 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
BORN DANCER Sep19 Aug23 Jul21 Jun21 May24 (nevin michelle)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May24 Nov10 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 Jun20 Apr27 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
GEM MINT TEN Sep15 Jul27 Jun20 Apr28 Oct26 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
UNION TRAIL Sep15 Aug23 Jul21 Jun09 May03 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 20.00    
LOCKE AND KEY Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May17 (ryerson t)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
LAUREL VALLEY Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 May03 (maker michae)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Sep21 Aug24 Jul26 Jun23 May11 (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
11  AGENT CREED Sep15 Aug17 Jul19 May17 May02 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 May17 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.50    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jul11 Apr26 (duggan david)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASMODEUS Aug03 Jul09 May27 May09 Apr12 (morey wil)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
COLLOQUY Aug18 Aug04 May26 Apr26 Apr07 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ESCALATION CLAUSE Sep21 Nov11       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
MAMA'S GOLD Sep20 Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 Dec03 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep20 Jul31 Jun22 Apr18 Mar09 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 May25 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
GENERAL BANKER Sep21 Aug28 Jul27 Feb17 Jan28 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
PENTATHLON Sep20 Aug15 Jun30 Jun07 Oct06 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
ROCKETEER Aug17 Jul21 Jun09 Apr10 Oct26 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-10   10/12/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLASHY Aug28 Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 Oct26 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
FREUD'S FANCY         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MAXING THE BANK Sep26 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Feb17 (parker j)GRISALES DANILO 124 50.00    
TOP OF THE TABLE Aug25 Jun08 May16 Apr14 Mar02 (hennig mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
CHILI BEAN         (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
ADDAGIRL ADDIE Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 May04 (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
MISS UPROAR Apr07 Feb08 Jan18 May21 Apr12 (abreu fe)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
REPEAT AFTER ME Aug28 Jun22       (bond harold )RIVERA R 124 20.00    
BETTER BE SMART Aug28 Jul19 Jun21 May16 Apr06 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
10  SUPERSTARSUSAN Aug28 Jul26 Jul07 May19 Nov19 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Aug28 Nov17 Nov10 Oct20 Aug27 (weaver george)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
SCR  MAJULU Aug28 Jul26 Jun27     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  ARTISTIC SUCCESS Aug28         (sharp joe)RIVERA R 121 5.00    
SCR  CORRI FELICE Sep15 Aug18 Jul05 Jun02 May16 (toner j)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  LU'S REDEMPTION Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 Jun14 May04 (duggan p)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
SCR  FOCUS POCUS Aug23 Jun16 May16 Apr06 Sep01 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-11   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE WARDEN Sep15         (salvaggio v)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 7% 14.10    
ATOMIC AGE Jul27         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Sep27         (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
DAVY CROCKETT Sep14 Aug17       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
NO MERLOT Sep14         (kimmel john )RIVERA R 119 30.00    
STRATEGIST Sep14 Aug24       (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00    
DRAGONEER Aug17         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 11% 8.50    
SNOOKIE BEAR Sep07         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOMINICAN PIRATE Sep02         (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 119 50.00    
10  TOM'S WAY         (mcgaughey )SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
11  TIZ FREEDOM Aug17 Jul06       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
12  ENGLISH LAW Sep01 Jul20       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  FREEDOM GLIDER Sep28         (duarte jorge )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.