Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (12/14/13/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (3/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (3/9/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (13/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-12   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-13   Win (14/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT-11:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNEM         (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
2  CATIRE VIZCAYA Jul20         (avila carl)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  SECRET LOVER Aug10         (sano antonio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 ★    
4  THREEWHITESOLDIERS Jul20         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRE BRIGADE         (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
6  UNCLE EDDIE Aug04 Jul20 Jun28     (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
7  FIRST TRUMPET Aug10 Jul09       (baker char)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
8  WALSTIB Aug10         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
9  AWESOME FOR SURE Aug06         (abreu fernando)TORRES A 114 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CITY MISCHIEF Jul28 Dec22 Nov27 Jan27   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80    
SCR  IMAGE OF QUALITY Aug17 Jul22       (englehart chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80    
SCR  ORTUS Jul04 Jun09 May06 Mar17   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00    
3  DREAMPOINT Jun01 May06 Jan12 Dec15 Nov18 (sells rachel)COA J 124 15.00    
4  FEATHERS ROAD Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 May13 Apr15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  KREESA Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 May29 May05 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
6  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Jul28 Apr25 Nov08 Oct30 Oct01 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
7  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Aug02 Jul07 Jun18 May26 Oct20 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  VOLKERT Jul29 Jun23 May26 Mar10 Feb05 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
SCR  ATHENRY Jun09 May13 Nov26 Oct30 Sep04 (nevin michelle)TORRES A 117 15.00    
10  EMPIRE SKY Jul14 Jun18 Mar17 Jan12 Nov18 (crook-demasi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
11  HE'S GOT IT Jun02 Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 Oct20 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
12  GOLDEN ARM Aug05 Jul04 May29 Apr27   (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
13  HIGH TONE Aug16 Jul14 Jul03 May19 May04 (englehart s)RIDER TBA 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
14  NEWPORT BRIDGE Jun09 May05 Apr07     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-3   08/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT-12:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S UP DOC Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun18 Jun04 (ginter raymond)TORRES A 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  ST. ELMO Jul07 Jun10 Apr14 Dec29   (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
3  MONEY SUPPLY Aug20 Apr01 Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  MISTICAL CURLIN Aug12 Jul04 May20 Apr08 Feb02 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  SKYLANDER Jul03 Jun09 May11 Apr13 Jan28 (trites lands)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  WATASHA Aug17 Jun25 May26 May19 Apr01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
7  MIGHTY ATLAS Aug10 Jul09 Jun10 May05 Mar31 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOCCIATORE Jul29 Jun09 May20 Apr30 Mar30 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  MY HARBORS DREAM Aug17 Jul29 Jun25 Apr21 Apr08 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
3  OSBOURNE Jul29 Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Oct08 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
4  MONDAY MORNING QB Mar05 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Dec03 (ginter raymond)TORRES A 117 20.00    
SCR  SHIVAREE (GB) Dec22 Dec10 Oct01 Aug13 Jun12 (david a)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  LORD CAPTAIN Aug02 Jul23 May13 Feb23 Feb03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  MILTON THE MONSTER Jul08 May21 Apr27 Mar04 Jan28 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
8  SKY AND SAND Aug04 Jun22 May05 Apr08 Mar16 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
9  BOLD JOURNEY Jul29 Jun09 May13 Apr08 Feb10 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 126 8.00 5% 18.40    
10  CHAMPIONS DREAM Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Nov06 Oct01 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/26/2023 6270ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNADRIVE Jun17 May06 Nov26 Oct09 Sep05 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr02 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
2  CATCH THAT PARTY Jul21 Jun23 May28 Nov11 Oct13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
3  ENGLISH CONQUEROR Jul16 Jun18 May20 Apr27 Dec04 (banach darw)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
4  BEAR OAK Aug02 Jul02 May27 Apr23 Mar30 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  THE REDS Jul21 Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 Nov13 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
6  NOBEL (IRE) Aug27 May17 Apr20 Mar11 Feb12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
7  JAMES ALOYSIUS Jul20 May27 Apr15 Mar08 Apr23 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
8  CROSS BORDER Jun09 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15 Sep24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  IRON WORKS Jun09 Apr30 Mar12 Apr09 Feb04 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT Jul08 Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr06 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.60    
 
SAR-6   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S WICKED SMART         (falcone robert)TORRES A 114 10.00    
2  COLONIAL ROSE Jul23         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  ANTENNA Jul29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 34% 2.00    
4  SHOP LIFTING         (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
5  LADY DE BERRY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
6  COWGIRL CHARM         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  WILLOWY         (catalano m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
8  HERE'SYOURTROUBLE         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
9  JUST F Y I         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 20% 3.90    
10  LIFE'S JOY Jul23         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RINGY DINGY Jul30         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  ICE COLD Jul30         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  CLEARLY A TEST Aug13 Jul13       (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Forego Purse ($500K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH OAK Jul29 Jun09 May06 Mar30 Mar04 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
2  GUNITE Jul29 Jun03 Jan28 Nov05 Oct22 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 30% 2.30    
3  ELITE POWER Jul29 Jun10 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 48% 1.10    
4  PIPELINE Aug03 Nov05 Aug27 Jul23 Apr22 (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
5  SYNTHESIS Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May18 Apr29 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELUSIVE EDGE Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr20   (hemingway miche)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
2  MONET NEVER (IRE) Jul15 Apr26 Mar19 Feb19   (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
3  HANDSOME CAT Aug19 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
4  TALKIN PHAROAH Jul15 May27 Apr14 Aug07 Apr20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
5  HARRY TIME (IRE) Aug13 May20 Apr01 Mar11 Jan14 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
6  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Jul20 Jun24 May28 Apr23 Jun11 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
7  ACOUSTIC AVE Jul16 Jun26 Nov25 Oct17 Sep26 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
8  DETROIT CITY Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 Dec22 (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMMORTALIZATION Sep17 Aug18 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
10  EXTENDO Jul16 Jun17 May20 Jan18 Nov04 (david a)TORRES A 115 10.00    
11  NOTAH Jun17 May29 Apr08 Feb12 Jan14 (terranova )SANTANA JR 120 30.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Apr23 Apr08 Feb11 Jun19 May13 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
13  SOUPER QUEST Jul27 Dec08       (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  KIGALI Jul16 Jun24 May04 Mar25 Feb18 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May19 Feb18 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
SCR  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Aug19 Jul22 Jun22 May29 May05 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 1.80    
 
SAR-9   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREW'S GOLD Aug13 Jul28 Jun10 May12 Feb11 (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONE IN VERMILLION Aug06 Jul08 Jun21 Jun03 May06 (martinez esteban)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
3  VERIFYING Jul08 Jun11 May06 Apr08 Feb25 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
4  FORT BRAGG Jul01 May06 Apr01 Mar04 Dec17 (baffert bob)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50    
5  NEW YORK THUNDER Jul28 Apr30 Dec30 Nov27   (delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  ARABIAN LION Jun10 May20 Apr15 Feb04 Dec17 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Ballerina Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STERLING SILVER Jul29 Jun25 May29 Apr22 Mar11 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 116 30.00    
2  MATAREYA Jun24 May06 Mar31 Aug06 Jun11 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
3  MARYQUITECONTRARY Jul26 Apr08 Jan28 Dec31 Oct16 (mcgaughey claude )PANICI LUCA 120 15.00    
4  DR B Jul26 Jun17 May14 Dec03 Oct29 (reid e)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  WICKED HALO Jul23 Jun17 May06 Mar31 Nov05 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
6  ECHO ZULU Jul26 May29 Nov05 Sep24 May06 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
7  GOODNIGHT OLIVE Jun17 May06 Apr08 Nov05 Aug28 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
8  CARAMEL SWIRL Jun17 May14 Feb11 Aug28 May20 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
 
SAR-11   08/26/2023 7920ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Resorts World Casino Sword Dan Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDIER RISING (GB) Jul30 Jun10 May13 Nov26 Oct08 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  VERSTAPPEN Jul30 Jul08 May13 Apr22 Mar25 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
3  BOLSHOI BALLET (IRE)         (o'brien p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
4  DAUNT Jul30 Jul01 May27 May11 Nov26 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
5  PIONEERING SPIRIT Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 May11 Apr22 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
6  CHANNEL MAKER Jul30 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan28 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
7  STONE AGE (IRE) Nov05 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 60% 0.70    
 
SAR-12   08/26/2023 6600ft DIRT RC14 MUDDY Travers Purse ($1250K) 3 ALL PT- 6:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTE Jul29 Jun10 Apr01 Mar04 Nov04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 126 1.40 40% 1.50    
2  ARCANGELO Jun10 May13 Mar18 Jan14 Dec17 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  TAPIT TRICE Jul22 Jun10 May06 Apr08 Mar11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 12.00    
4  MAGE Jul22 May20 May06 Apr01 Mar04 (delgado gustavo)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.00 15% 5.90    
5  NATIONAL TREASURE Jun10 May20 Apr08 Jan08 Nov04 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00    
6  DISARM Jul29 Jun11 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 126 8.00    
7  SCOTLAND Jul21 Jun03 Apr23 Mar04   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 12.00    
 
SAR-13   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Apr16 Feb26 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Jul01 May07 Mar12     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.40    
SCR  FLY RIGHT Jul30 Jul07 Jun03 Nov06 Oct02 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00    
SCR  CONVERSING Oct02 Aug20       (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
4  FLAT TOP BOX Jul15 Jun17 May05     (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CREATE TROUBLE Jul21 Jun11 Oct30 Sep17   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
6  PARTY WITH SMARTY Aug04 Jul15       (gutierrez james)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
7  ARRO SMASH Jul30 Jul02       (bauer a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  TORIGO Jul01 Oct02 Aug13     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
9  MAGIADORO Nov06 Oct01       (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 113 50.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND Aug13 Jun03 Mar17 Jan26   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE Jul15 Sep25 Aug13 Jul23   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SCR  MINDTAP Oct14 Sep03       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
13  MOTIVO Jul21 May25 Apr30     (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
14  COALVILLE Jul21 Jun22       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 68% 0.50    
SCR  LUCENCY Jul21         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.