Handicappers' Racing Form
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Kentucky Downs
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KD-1   Win (8/11/5/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-2   Win (7/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-3   Win (9/2/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-4   Win (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-5   Win (8/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-6   Win (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-7   Win (8/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-8   Win (7/5/12/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-9   Win (12/13/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-10   Win (10/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-11   Win (12/1/11/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KD-1   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 F PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MUSIC (CHI)         (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXINGTON         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
3  PRINCESS IRENE         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
4  TICKIN TIME BLONDE         (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
5  TACO CAT BACKWARDS Aug16 Jul26       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALCETINES Jun29 Jun04 May27 May02 Apr18 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
7  LUCKY MAMA Jul21 Jun14       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  RAMSEY POND Jul19         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
9  GIGGLE GIGGLE         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 20.00    
10  FLIRTING WITH TIME Aug08 Jul18       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
11  STARRY NIGHT (ARG) Jul20         (attard kevin)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
12  RHAENYS         (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 6.00    
SCR  BREAD TO RUN Jul29 Jul04       (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
SCR  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Aug04 Jul06       (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
SCR  REMATCH Aug08         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SCR  MOR LUCK         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
KD-2   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN BARACUS Aug10 Jun17 May14 Apr25 Apr05 (mcentee paul)VILLARREAL OSCAR 108 30.00    
2  SEXAGENARIAN Aug05         (maker michael )TORRES A 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE Jul27 May11       (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
4  MO HAIR SAM Jul22 Jun30 Jun13 May09 Apr21 (hancock joh)TORRES A 120 8.00    
5  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 Jun19 Jun06 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
6  TIZTASTIC Jul27         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
7  BLUE COAST Aug10         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
8  PURSE THIEF Jul22 Jun19 May26     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  HEAT Aug11 Jun30 May11     (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 18.80    
 
KD-3   08/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLER Sep04 Aug07       (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
2  PARIS SURPRISE Jun21 Dec10 Nov04     (ramsey nolan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 8% 11.80    
3  OSCAR SEASON         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
4  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Jul28         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
5  GOLDENTOWN Aug08 Jul15 Jun02 Apr19 Mar07 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
6  LEBOMBO Jun12 May17 Apr19     (medina robert)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
7  BLACK IRON Jul14         (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 12.00    
8  CREEK Sep24 Aug31 Aug05     (mott i)TORRES A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  ROWDY RIOT Jul28 Aug20       (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 64% 0.60    
10  TOM COLLINS Jul12 Oct13 Sep02 Aug19   (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 ★    
11  HIGH FIVE SY Jul28         (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
12  KARADIA Aug13         (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  CRUSADER CONRAD Jul28 Jun16 May21     (mcsorley jo)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00    
 
KD-4   08/29/2024 6930ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLISH SUE Jul13 Jun21 May28 May04 Mar14 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00    
SCR  EMBRACE ME Aug14 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 (rutledge la)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
3  SABALENKA Aug08 Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
4  LUCKY SPEECH Jul27 Jun15 May17 Apr05 Feb29 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
5  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY Jul13 Mar09 Dec31 Nov10 Sep30 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
6  LUCKY COMBINATION Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Dec18 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  FLATTER ME SILLY Jun20 May19 Apr21 Mar23 Feb22 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUEENS COMMAND (IRE) Jun20 May03 Feb24 Jan07   (lynch brian)TORRES A 122 15.00 6% 16.60    
9  BROADWAY BOOGIE Jul31 Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 Oct23 (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★    
10  BOSS LADY BAILEY Jul25 Jun21 May11 Apr14 Mar03 (ortiz ale)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
 
KD-5   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 F PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERWASHED Aug04         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★    
2  THATSALRIGHTMAMA         (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
3  SWEET AMBITION Aug15 Jul26       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
4  MECHAYA         (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
5  MAJESTIC BAY Jul20         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00    
6  ONE HAPPY ISLAND Jul06 Jun14       (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KITTENS STORMY GAL         (bindner m)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
8  BIRKIN GIRL Aug12         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
9  PEPPER GIRL Jul31         (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
10  BEACH WEDDING         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
11  DREAMING OF LILIES         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
12  SWEET BEBSI Jul13         (walsh d)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
SCR  BEMBRIDGE LEDGE         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  LESLIE'S STAR         (mott i)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGH SUMMER Jul31         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
SCR  BLUSHING KAM         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
 
KD-6   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BLAZE Jul14 Jun14 Apr27 Mar16 Mar01 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50 ★    
2  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Aug10 Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Oct12 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOVE MAMI LOVE Jul27 Jul05 Mar28 Jan18 Nov24 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 4.00 56% 0.80    
4  STEAMPUNK Aug10 Jun12 Oct15 Aug31 Aug02 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
5  SMART WITH HEART Aug14 Jul18 Jun27 Jun08 May12 (bahena)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00    
6  BAYTOWN LOVELY Aug04 Jul20 Jul05 Jun13 May16 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 114 6.00    
7  CANDY LOVER Jul27 May23 Apr18 Mar13 Feb04 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB) Aug11 Jul14 Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
9  SWEET LILIBET Jul16 Jun19 May20 Apr13 Mar27 (walsh d)ELLIOTT JANE 118 50.00    
10  MISS TAPPY TONE Jul13 Jun01 Apr30 Mar21 Mar07 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
11  GATITA SUAVE Aug10 Jul09 Jun20 May20 Mar28 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
KD-7   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS ATTITUDE Aug02         (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 ★    
2  WILLOW OAK Jul13 Jun17       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
3  BELLAVININO Jul28         (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROYAL PRINCESS Aug07         (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 20.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT Aug28 Jul13       (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun26       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
7  SWIFTWIND Jul05 Jun22 May17     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 30.00 ★    
8  RICH CITY GIRL Aug11 Jul06       (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
9  KUKU Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun04 May25 (chapman james )TORRES A 118 50.00    
10  TALKSALOT Jul30 Jul06 Jun16     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
11  IT'S WITCHCRAFT Aug02 Jun22       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
12  LA MARINERA Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 May26 May14 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
13  BAYTOWN STORM Aug17 May19 May13 Apr26 Apr11 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
SCR  DAISY DUKE Jun30 May27 May10     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
 
KD-8   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($210K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET ALYSSA Jul28 Jul06 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (husak j)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
2  UNIFYING Jul06 May27 Apr26 Mar09 Feb10 (mott riley)TORRES A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ORNELA (CHI) Jul14 Jun08 May19 Mar27 Nov17 (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00    
4  L J'S EMMA Aug03 Jun07 Apr18 Oct06 Sep02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
5  LAURA'S CHARM Jul28 Jun23 May26 Apr30 Feb08 (kerrick lacy)COHEN DAVID 123 10.00 27% 2.70    
6  JILL JITTERBUG Aug04 Jun07 Apr18 Dec02 Nov03 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
7  ALL I WANT IS YOU Aug12 Jun23 Apr20 Mar09 Oct22 (correas ignacio )ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
8  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL Jun29 May27 May04 Mar10 Jan27 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLING Aug03 Jun22 May12 Apr13 Dec02 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50    
SCR  RILEYS REDEMPTION Jul28 Jun18 Apr08 Nov16 Nov09 (maker michael )TORRES A 123 8.00    
11  WILD EXPRESS Jul14 Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar02 (eoff terry)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
12  TEQUILERA Jul06 Jun08 May18 Dec30 Nov04 (matz michae)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
KD-9   08/29/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($190K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON SPUN Jun15 May16 Mar29 Mar08   (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  STORM MIAMI (IRE) Aug05 Jul13 Jun08 Apr20   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  READY FOR TROUBLE Jul06 May25 May09 Apr14 Mar21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Aug13 Jul07 Jun13 Jun05 May23 (king barry )BEALMEAR C 114 30.00    
5  DI'S SURPRISE Jul07 Jun09 May19 Mar31   (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
6  DON'T SAY IT Aug05 Oct21 Sep16     (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
7  LA FORET Jul20         (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE AMAZING MIZZEN Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Apr26 (cooney susa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 50.00    
9  DREAM ON STORMY Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun29 Jun07 (winston d)RIQUELME J 121 30.00    
10  COPPER EM Aug10 Mar20 Feb23 Feb02 Nov26 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 20.00    
11  BEDAZZLE 'EM Jul05 Jun09 May01 Apr05 Jan14 (mott i)TORRES A 118 10.00    
12  SAM'S TREASURE Jul19 Jun07 Apr05 Sep14 Jul23 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
13  MRS. GAMBOLINI Jul07         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
14  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Jul20 Jun29 Sep10 Aug12 May12 (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  GET TWISTED Aug04 Oct22 Sep15     (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  FANTASTICAL Jul27 Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov16 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
 
KD-10   08/29/2024 5490ft TURF RC11 FIRM Big Ass Fans Tapit Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINEELEVENTURBO Jul13 May26 Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 (drysdale neil)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
2  MIRANDA RIGHTS Aug03 Jun22 May31 May02 Dec03 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
3  SIEGE OF BOSTON Aug04 Jun15 May04 Mar02 Feb03 (toner j)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 ★    
4  IRISH ACES Jul13 Jun01 Mar23 Feb03 Dec23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN May27 Mar23 Jan05 May20 Mar25 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80    
SCR  ATONE Jul20 Jun23 May18 Mar23 Mar02 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
7  EAMONN Aug11 Jul20 Jun16 May04 Apr06 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 20.00 ★    
8  HARLAN ESTATE Jul20 May02 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHAMPIONS DREAM Jun23 Mar30 Feb25 Jan27 Aug26 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 12.00    
10  CHASING THE CROWN Jun29 Jun01 May09 Feb17 Jan20 (maker j)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
11  ENGLISH BEE May18 Apr20 Mar21 Mar02 Oct07 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
12  HOWLING TIME Aug08 Jun28 May31 Mar02 Jun01 (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 50.00    
SCR  NOISES OFF Jul06 May31 Apr19 Jan05 Sep30 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE Aug04 May27 Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT Jul22 Jun09 May05 Apr13 Mar17 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00    
 
KD-11   08/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOCK TOWER Aug10 May24       (ward a)SPENCER P 119 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  BET ON BRET Jul14         (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00    
3  HAMLIN         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
4  MAJOR MISCHIEF         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
5  TARIFF Jul28         (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 11% 8.10    
6  HARD AS LIFE Jul22         (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  IBRAHIMOVIC Jul20         (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
8  SERGEANT CAPPS Jul22 Jul02 Jun22 May30 May09 (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  TEQUILA N' SALT         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
10  SOUND CAUSE Jul18 Jun21       (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
11  GEOMETRY         (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
12  CHAPMAN'S PEAK         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  WARLANDER Jul27         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  TKAC Aug01         (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  LUMBER LEGACY Aug11         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  RESTORE (FR) Jul27         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.