Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/1)-(2/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/6/7)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-3   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(2/5)-(1/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/8/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/4/7)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(8/6/5/2)-(1/4/10/3) 48 $1.00 $144 
KEE-6   WIN (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2)-(1/4/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/2)-(1/4/10/3)-(2/6/4/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
KEE-7   WIN (1/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/3)-(1/4/10/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/3)-(1/4/10/3/9)-(1/4/10/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/10/3)-(2/6/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/10/3)-(2/6/4/1/3)-(3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-8   WIN (2/6/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1/3)-(2/6/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1/3)-(2/6/4/1/3)-(2/6/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1/3)-(3/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1/3)-(3/2/4)-(5/1/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-9   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(5/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-10   WIN (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/12/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/12/8)-(5/1/6/12/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BOSS Aug27 Jul22 Jun10 Apr02 Feb17 (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50    
2  EL FRANCO Sep10 Aug20 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
3  CHISHOLM TRAIL Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 Aug19 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
4  G T FIVE HUNDRED Aug30 Jul13 May28 May04 Apr16 (mason ingr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  MOHAAFETH Sep14 May22 May06 Jan21 Dec11 (donjuan ser)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  NAVY SOUL Sep19 Aug27 Jul21 Jun15 May04 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.50    
 
KEE-2   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES OF GOLD Aug04 Jul22 Nov24 Oct22 Sep22 (demeritte )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  QUEEN OF MISSOULA Aug04 Jul15       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
SCR  MY LILY MAE Sep09 Jul22 Jul10 May24 Mar31 (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
4  STAGFLATION Sep15 Aug18       (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
5  GATHER (ARG) Aug18         (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
6  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH Sep03 Aug01       (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARELLA STAR Sep18 Jul27 Jun17 May20 Feb04 (orantes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
2  CHOCTAW BINGO Sep17 Aug28 Jun06 May06 Apr12 (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Aug16 Jul08 Jun14 Mar31 Dec15 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00    
4  BREWHOUSE Jul30 Jul01 Sep08 Aug13 Jul16 (robertson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
5  ICY STARE DOWN Oct01 Jul28 Jul04 May04 Mar12 (cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
6  LOVE OF MY HEART Aug06 Jun23 May13 Jun25 May05 (asmussen )TORRES A 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  SLACK TIDE Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-4   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEEN REAL BUSY Aug30 Jul16       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
2  COLLECTED SUCCESS Sep06         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 68% 0.50    
3  NORTHERN ROAD Sep13         (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
4  LOST LOVE Sep20         (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 ★    
5  TWILIGHT SONATA Sep02         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLLIER Sep14 Aug18       (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
7  ABOVE THE SUN Sep07 Jul22       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
8  CHOCTAW GRACE Sep20 Aug11       (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 ★    
 
KEE-5   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER QUEST Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Dec08   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 38% 1.70    
2  BAL A KAZOO Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May28 May06 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 20.00    
3  CROCODILEHUNTER Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun18 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
4  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Aug13 May13 Apr16 Nov05 Oct09 (ward a)LANERIE J 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  HIDDEN PATH Sep07 Aug05 Jul01 Jun01 May04 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
6  MOUNSIEUR COCO Sep09 Aug19 Jul08 Nov26 Oct09 (gutierrez)TORRES A 118 10.00    
7  CHISELER Aug19 Jul08 May20 Mar09 Jan19 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-6   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BATTLE Sep07 Jul04 Jun09     (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
2  CANT BE DOIN THAT Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 Nov03   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEEKING UNITY Jun03 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
4  CAN'T HUSH THIS Sep14 Aug13 Jul21 Jun29 Jun10 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00    
5  TRACK MATE Sep22 Aug19 Sep15 Aug27 Aug06 (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  WICO (IRE) Jul22 May21 Apr28 Mar25 Oct28 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Sep29 Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
8  ANTARES Aug30 Jul22 Jun06 Sep01   (morey william)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-7   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED AGAIN Sep10 Aug04 Apr08 Mar02   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
2  CITIZEN Jun04 Apr02 Jan14 Dec16   (moquett r)TORRES A 121 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DISTRACTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  STUDY COMMITTEE Aug31 Aug04 Jun25     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
4  TUNISIAN SPRING Sep10         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SPRING PARTY by SMART STRIKE)
5  CITY OF LOVE Mar25         (stewart dall)TORRES A 116 30.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of JERRY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  HALMSTAD Sep14         (rutledge la)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
7  GIVE HIM TIME         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
8  ATLANTIC DANCER Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May02 Mar23 (zito nichola)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
9  MICROBEASTIE         (catalano wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MICROBURST by ABEL PROSPECT)
10  RUNANDSCORE Sep21 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17   (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
KEE-8   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Indian Summer Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARDS Sep07 Aug05 Jun10     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
2  AMIDST WAVES Aug20 Jul29 Jun11 May04   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 117 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  COWES Sep03         (catalano wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SAILING SHIKSA by BERNSTEIN)
4  SPONGE BATH Aug31 Jul30       (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FOREVER VOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  CANDYMAKER May22         (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  COMMITTEE OF ONE Sep07 Aug19       (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
7  BLEDSOE Sep13 Apr07       (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by IQBAAL out of SHRINKING VIOLET by CONGAREE)
8  FAIRHOPECURLY Sep13 Aug19       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 115 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLE AMIDST by BELLAMY ROAD)
9  RIPAROUND Sep13 Aug23 Jun16     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
10  PINOTSLILGIRL Sep09 Jul07 Jun16     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 115 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
KEE-9   10/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Juddmonte Spinster Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Aug25 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May05 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
2  IDIOMATIC Aug25 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Mar25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LOCKDOWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
3  NEST Aug25 Jul23 Nov05 Oct09 Aug20 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
4  LE DA VIDA (CHI) Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Mar11 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of VIENE CANTANDO by GSTAAD (GB))
5  BELLAMORE Jul01 May29 Apr29 Mar25 Nov24 (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SMART N SOFT by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MISTY VEIL Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May19 (maker j)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of GENUINE CLASS by BIRDSTONE)
7  MALLOY Aug25 Jul13 Apr01 Oct08 Aug07 (catalano wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 124 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of HELLO MAGGIE MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
 
KEE-10   10/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Castle Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALM TREE Sep07 Aug11       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
2  GORILLA TREK Sep24         (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MONKEYS UNCLE by UNCLE MO)
3  DEPICTION Aug27 Jul31       (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
4  CAN GROUP Sep02 Jul21 Jun29     (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BLUE GALLINA by STREET SENSE)
5  NOTED Aug26 Jul22 Jun22     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SEA VIEW MILLIE by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  VOTE NO Sep13 Aug23       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  FORTUNE SELLER Sep20 Sep10 Jul22     (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
8  TOK TOK Sep09 Jul27       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of IN TUNE by IN CASE)
9  COIN MINER Aug31 Jul30       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of REQUIRE by BLAME)
10  NOMOS Aug31 Aug06       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY Sep09 Aug19       (lynch br)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of AESCULUS by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
12  FIRST WORLD WAR Sep13         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SUNDAYSATTHEBEACH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GOOD BALI Sep10 Jul14 May22     (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of IN GOOD COMPANY by SOUVENIR COPY)
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Sep10 Aug20       (block chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CELESTIAL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  TIRELESS Sep13         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KITTY UNION by UNION RAGS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.