Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-3   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-5   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (1/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (2/6/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-10   Win (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY BOSS Aug27 Jul22 Jun10 Apr02 Feb17 (van tho)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50    
EL FRANCO Sep10 Aug20 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
CHISHOLM TRAIL Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 Aug19 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
G T FIVE HUNDRED Aug30 Jul13 May28 May04 Apr16 (mason ingrid)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
MOHAAFETH Sep14 May22 May06 Jan21 Dec11 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
NAVY SOUL Sep19 Aug27 Jul21 Jun15 May04 (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.50    
 
KEE-2   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES OF GOLD Aug04 Jul22 Nov24 Oct22 Sep22 (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
QUEEN OF MISSOULA Aug04 Jul15       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
SCR  MY LILY MAE Sep09 Jul22 Jul10 May24 Mar31 (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
STAGFLATION Sep15 Aug18       (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
GATHER (ARG) Aug18         (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH Sep03 Aug01       (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARELLA STAR Sep18 Jul27 Jun17 May20 Feb04 (orantes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
CHOCTAW BINGO Sep17 Aug28 Jun06 May06 Apr12 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Aug16 Jul08 Jun14 Mar31 Dec15 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00    
BREWHOUSE Jul30 Jul01 Sep08 Aug13 Jul16 (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
ICY STARE DOWN Oct01 Jul28 Jul04 May04 Mar12 (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
LOVE OF MY HEART Aug06 Jun23 May13 Jun25 May05 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
SLACK TIDE Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-4   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEN REAL BUSY Aug30 Jul16       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
COLLECTED SUCCESS Sep06         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 68% 0.50    
NORTHERN ROAD Sep13         (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
LOST LOVE Sep20         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50    
TWILIGHT SONATA Sep02         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
COLLIER Sep14 Aug18       (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
ABOVE THE SUN Sep07 Jul22       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
CHOCTAW GRACE Sep20 Aug11       (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00    
 
KEE-5   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER QUEST Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Dec08   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 38% 1.70    
BAL A KAZOO Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May28 May06 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 20.00    
CROCODILEHUNTER Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun18 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Aug13 May13 Apr16 Nov05 Oct09 (ward a)LANERIE J 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
HIDDEN PATH Sep07 Aug05 Jul01 Jun01 May04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
MOUNSIEUR COCO Sep09 Aug19 Jul08 Nov26 Oct09 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 10.00    
CHISELER Aug19 Jul08 May20 Mar09 Jan19 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-6   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BATTLE Sep07 Jul04 Jun09     (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
CANT BE DOIN THAT Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 Nov03   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEEKING UNITY Jun03 May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
CAN'T HUSH THIS Sep14 Aug13 Jul21 Jun29 Jun10 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00    
TRACK MATE Sep22 Aug19 Sep15 Aug27 Aug06 (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
WICO (IRE) Jul22 May21 Apr28 Mar25 Oct28 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Sep29 Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 (manning j)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
ANTARES Aug30 Jul22 Jun06 Sep01   (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-7   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED AGAIN Sep10 Aug04 Apr08 Mar02   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
CITIZEN Jun04 Apr02 Jan14 Dec16   (moquett ron)TORRES A 121 12.00    
STUDY COMMITTEE Aug31 Aug04 Jun25     (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
TUNISIAN SPRING Sep10         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
CITY OF LOVE Mar25         (stewart dallas)TORRES A 116 30.00    
HALMSTAD Sep14         (rutledge lanc)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
GIVE HIM TIME         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
ATLANTIC DANCER Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May02 Mar23 (zito nicholas )GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00    
MICROBEASTIE         (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
10  RUNANDSCORE Sep21 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17   (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
KEE-8   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Indian Summer Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARDS Sep07 Aug05 Jun10     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
AMIDST WAVES Aug20 Jul29 Jun11 May04   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 117 3.00 31% 2.30    
COWES Sep03         (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPONGE BATH Aug31 Jul30       (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
CANDYMAKER May22         (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
COMMITTEE OF ONE Sep07 Aug19       (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
BLEDSOE Sep13 Apr07       (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
FAIRHOPECURLY Sep13 Aug19       (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 115 15.00    
RIPAROUND Sep13 Aug23 Jun16     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00    
10  PINOTSLILGIRL Sep09 Jul07 Jun16     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 115 8.00    
 
KEE-9   10/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Juddmonte Spinster Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXTYTHREECALIBER Aug25 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May05 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
IDIOMATIC Aug25 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Mar25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
NEST Aug25 Jul23 Nov05 Oct09 Aug20 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 44% 1.30    
LE DA VIDA (CHI) Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Mar11 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BELLAMORE Jul01 May29 Apr29 Mar25 Nov24 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 May19 (maker j)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
MALLOY Aug25 Jul13 Apr01 Oct08 Aug07 (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 30.00    
 
KEE-10   10/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Castle Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALM TREE Sep07 Aug11       (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
GORILLA TREK Sep24         (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
DEPICTION Aug27 Jul31       (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 10.00    
CAN GROUP Sep02 Jul21 Jun29     (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
NOTED Aug26 Jul22 Jun22     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
VOTE NO Sep13 Aug23       (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40    
FORTUNE SELLER Sep20 Sep10 Jul22     (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
TOK TOK Sep09 Jul27       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
COIN MINER Aug31 Jul30       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
10  NOMOS Aug31 Aug06       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
11  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY Sep09 Aug19       (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
12  FIRST WORLD WAR Sep13         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  GOOD BALI Sep10 Jul14 May22     (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Sep10 Aug20       (block chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  TIRELESS Sep13         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.