Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (5/1/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (11/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (7/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (2/3/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (7/10/2/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-12   Win (12/1/10/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPENITE         (asmussen m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LE GRIS         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INNATE (IRE) Jun11 May28 May15 Apr02 Mar19 (o'brien p)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  AGATE ROAD         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
5  ALLIED ATTACK         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
6  DRILLING FOR GOLD         (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  WALLEY WORLD         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
8  FALFURRIAS Jul09         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
9  TRADE IMBALANCE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 31% 2.30    
 
SAR-2   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE YOU         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  HAMILTON'S WAY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PENTATHLON         (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
4  LOCKED         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
5  DOMESTIC PRODUCT         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  CENTZ         (martin carlos )TORRES A 114 30.00    
7  OZONE Jun29         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
8  BADLANDS RULER         (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CREEK         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
10  UNO MAS BOURBON Jul01         (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15% 5.90    
11  JUST STEEL Jul15 Jun17       (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
 
SAR-3   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGTIME BLUES Jul02 May13 Apr20 Mar25 Feb12 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
2  WINNING DRIVE Jun24 May26 Mar26 Feb26 Feb09 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  BEACHWALKER Jul05 May15 May01 Apr05 Mar06 (guerrero car)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  IN SKY WE TRUST Jul03 May30 May09 Apr05 Mar15 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
5  NO MORE TALK Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 May26 May15 (chichakly amira)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
6  GLORY ROAD May27 Apr27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  DONTBELATE Jul19 May18 Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 8.00 6% 17.10    
8  VICTORIOUS WAVE Jun27 Apr20 Mar26 Mar04 Jan07 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 19% 4.10    
 
SAR-4   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRICCO May28 May14 Apr16 Nov05 Jul22 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 (morley thomas)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 May19 Apr13 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
4  SELL SOMETHING Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr16 Nov26 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
5  GIMMEDAMONEY Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May22 May02 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE OF COURAGE Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 Nov05 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
7  SHARED SUCCESS Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 (acquilano jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 12.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  BORN DANCER Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
SCR  ORTUS Jul04 Jun09 May06 Mar17   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
SCR  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jul02 Jul15 May30     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00    
11  ZEEBEAR Jul15 May29 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-5   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK TO ACCUSE Dec03 Oct30 Oct07 Aug26   (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar24 Dec16 Sep10 Jul17 Jun09 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50    
3  TWO FOR CHARGING May29 Apr22 Jul28 May29 Apr30 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
4  GOLDEN ARM Jul04 May29 Apr27     (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jul03 Jun03 May05 Mar10 Feb12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
6  THANK YOU JON Jul07 Jun09 Sep29     (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
7  BE THE BOSS Jul04 Jun09 May21 Nov19 Sep24 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  KAZ SUGAR BANK Jul12 Jun01 May11 Apr06 Mar03 (synnefias dimitri)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
9  ASAP RESTORATION Jul10 Jun27 Jun02 May24 Nov23 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 124 50.00    
10  STRAIGHT ARROW Jul02 Jun11       (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC12 SOFT Troy Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIN WHITE DUKE Jul26 Jul04 Jun10 May06 Apr13 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
2  IKIGAI Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr20 Mar04 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 30.00    
3  COGBURN Jun24 May29 Apr15 Mar18 Feb05 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  CARAVEL Jun10 May05 Apr08 Nov05 Oct16 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 0.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun18 May28 May04 Oct23 Sep24 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
6  MISTER MMMMM Jun23 Jun01 May02 Apr08 Mar05 (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
7  NOBALS Jul07 May06 Apr22 Mar23 Aug13 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
8  REMUDA Jun16 Apr16 Jan15 Nov23 Apr23 (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
SAR-7   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Fasig-Tipton Lure Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Jul04 May27 Apr15 Jan01 Oct29 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 12% 7.70    
2  SMOKIN' T May27 May05 Mar04 Jan28 Jul04 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  DAKOTA GOLD Jul03 May29 Mar04 Dec26 Nov19 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Jun10 May06 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
5  SPEAKING SCOUT Jun17 May20 Apr14 Jan28 Dec03 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50    
SCR  CHAZZESMEE (IRE)         (stack a)MURPHY OISIN 120 12.00    
7  TIZ THE BOMB Jun17 May20 Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DOCTOR DAVIS Jun17 May19 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 (delacour arnaud)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 20.00    
9  MID DAY IMAGE Jul22 Jul01 Jun01 Apr13 Dec07 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 8% 11.00    
 
SAR-8   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Test Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS Jun09 May05 Mar25 Feb18 Dec26 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  CLEARLY UNHINGED Jun16 Apr08 Feb05     (mccarthy micha)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
3  TAPPIN JOSIE Jun26 Jun02 May11 Mar18 Mar06 (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 50.00    
4  JERSEY PEARL Jul08 May27 Jan26 Dec31 Oct08 (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  INTERPOLATE Jul08 Apr16 Feb05 Jan03 Oct14 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
6  DORTH VADER Jun09 May05 Apr01 Mar04 Jan14 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
7  MUNNYS GOLD Jun09 May05 Mar26 Jan25 Jun17 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  MAPLE LEAF MEL Jul08 May19 Mar24 Aug26 Aug10 (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
SAR-9   08/05/2023 6270ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Saratoga Derby Invitational Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 5:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONDEGO (GB) Jul08 Jun02 May07 Apr08 Feb18 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
2  PROGRAM TRADING (GB) Jun25 May14       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  ASPEN GROVE (IRE) Jul08         (stack a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 11% 8.00    
4  THE FRANCHISE (IRE)         (o'brien patr)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
5  FAR BRIDGE Jul08 Jun03 May06 Mar11 Jan21 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  WEBSLINGER Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr07 Mar04 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
7  BATTLE OF NORMANDY May19 Apr21 Nov04 Oct02 Aug31 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
8  LION OF WAR (GB)         (johnston charlie)MURPHY OISIN 122 8.00    
SCR  TRULY QUALITY Jul07 May28 May17     (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
 
SAR-10   08/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Whitney Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZANDON Jun10 May05 Dec03 Sep24 Aug27 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
2  CHARGE IT Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 Mar04 Feb05 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIANT GAME Jul08 May11 Apr01 Feb25 Jan13 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
4  LAST SAMURAI Jul01 May05 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHITE ABARRIO Jun10 Mar04 Jan28 Dec03 Sep24 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
6  CODY'S WISH Jun10 May06 Nov05 Aug27 Jul04 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 0.50 67% 0.50    
 
SAR-11   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Jun25 Apr14 Nov19 Oct08 Apr14 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIGNATOR Oct14 Sep16       (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
3  BREW PUB Jul01 May21 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
4  BAD TO THE BONES Jul01 May28 May03 Sep03 Aug07 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00    
5  FRAT PACK Jul04 Jul21       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50    
6  TWELTH MAN Jul01 Jun10 May19 Feb18 Jan13 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS Jun22 May06 Feb11     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
8  BOURBON BASH Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr01 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
9  CAPTURE THE FLAG Jul30         (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
10  CARAMEL CHIP Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May04 Apr12 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
SAR-12   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUTTERS Jun17 Apr07 Sep15 Jul16   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Jun17 May27 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
3  RUSE Jul03 Jun17 Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Jul13 Jun24 May11 Mar17 Jan29 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
5  WHAT SAY THEE Jul08 Apr12 Mar05 Feb18 Jan01 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAIR DINKUM Jan29 Dec16 Nov02 Sep18   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00    
7  DRAKON Jul08 May28 Apr02 Feb26 Jan15 (diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
8  HILLIARD Jul21 Jun22 Mar30 Feb22 Nov20 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ALFIO Jul14 Jul02 Jun10 May16 Apr26 (quartarolo an)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 50.00    
10  AL'S ROCKET Jun17 May04 Nov20 Oct26 Sep24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jun24 May27 May04 Nov27 Oct21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 15.00    
12  BEUYS (IRE) Mar04 Jan01       (walsh p)MURPHY OISIN 125 3.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  WINTERS LION Jul01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK Jul01 May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 (englehart jeremiah )RIDER TBA 125 1.80    
SCR  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Jul07 Jun11 May28 Apr14 Mar18 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.00    
SCR  CRUPI Jul07 Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Nov20 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.