Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(5/2/1)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/6/2/5)-(1/6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-3   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(1/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(1/6/3/2)-(4/6/8/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-4   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/2)-(4/6/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2)-(4/6/8/3/5)-(5/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-5   WIN (4/6/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/3/5)-(4/6/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/3/5)-(4/6/8/3/5)-(4/6/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/8/3/5)-(5/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/3/5)-(5/2/6)-(1/7/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/7/5/8)-(11/12/9/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/8)-(11/12/9/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/8)-(11/12/9/2/4)-(5/1/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (11/12/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/9/2/4)-(11/12/9/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/9/2/4)-(11/12/9/2/4)-(11/12/9/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/12/9/2/4)-(5/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/12/9/2/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(6/2/7/9/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-9   WIN (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/6)-(6/2/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-10   WIN (6/2/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/9/3)-(6/2/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/9/3)-(6/2/7/9/3)-(6/2/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE FOR MY BROTHER Jun01 Apr26       (donk david)TORRES A 114 6.00    
MODERN MIDAS May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12   (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
TWO CHUCKLES Jun04 Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 Oct27 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
MAJESTIC HEART         (gross)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 12.00 15% 5.80    
WOODSIDE WARRIOR Jun09 Apr27 Mar04     (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
MILAGROSO Jun18 May19 Apr23 Feb11 Jan21 (brown bruc)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
TUNNEL VISION Jun04 May13 Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
FORWARD CAST Jun11 Apr22 Mar10     (dunham b)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
 
BEL-2   07/01/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POND WALKER (GB) Jul02         (asmussen ste)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 7% 13.20    
DIAMOND HANDS Jun03 Apr13 Feb26 Sep30 Aug12 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
VIENNA CODE Jun03 May18 May06 Jan12 Dec16 (williams and)TORRES A 121 15.00    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Jun04 May20 Apr15 Mar22 Feb23 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
GAL IN A RUSH Jun03 Apr16 Nov17 Oct14 Aug12 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 126 1.80 40% 1.50    
CANDLE Jun16 Apr08 Feb12 Nov04 Aug28 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.40    
 
BEL-3   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS Jun10 May06 Apr21 Mar25 Jan27 (goberdhan c)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00    
WHITTINGTON PARK May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 Dec29 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 9% 10.20    
FILM STAR May21 May06 Apr19 Feb24 Dec16 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
RESERVE CURRENCY Apr23 Mar11 Feb02 Nov03 Sep18 (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 3.50    
SHIPSATIONAL Jun10 Apr14 Mar11 Feb11 Jan13 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 6% 15.60    
VICTORY WAY Apr08 Mar04       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 28% 2.50    
COSTA TERRA May13 Apr01 Mar03 Mar27 Feb26 (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
MR. SWAGGER May29 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 15.00    
 
BEL-4   07/01/2023 6600ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Q F SEVENTY FIVE May27 May04 Jun30 Jun03 May06 (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00    
1A  DRIPPING GOLD May27 Apr12 Mar05 Nov19 Oct21 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
BRAZILLIONAIRE May30 Dec04 Oct26 Aug14 Jul23 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
CHULAINN May19 Nov19 Oct22 Jun19 May15 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
SPACE LAUNCH May27 Nov19 Sep16 Jul01 May29 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
GOOD SKATE Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 Jan12 (maker michael)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
DAUNT May27 May11 Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ALFIO Jun10 May16 Apr26 Apr05 Mar06 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 126 3.50    
 
BEL-5   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENGE May21 Apr21 Jan14 Dec16   (ribaudo rob)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
GOLD FRANC (IRE) May14 Apr20       (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ARMURE BLEUE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
FAST BOAT TO SKYE Jun17 May05 Apr13 Feb11 Jan21 (donk david)TORRES A 113 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
NORTHERN INVADER Jun04 May06       (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 43% 1.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of ANDROEAH by ARCH)
TORIGO Oct02 Aug13       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WEYHILL ROAD May20 Mar11 Jan14 Oct21   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CATCH THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
MEMPHIS         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DAYFA by TIZNOW)
RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) May07 Mar12       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ENJOYABLE by HOLY BULL)
CUBANO         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FADE TO BLACK by LASTING APPROVAL)
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jun03 May07 Oct02 Aug07 Jul03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TASHA'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
11  PAXSATIONAL May28 Jan06 Dec16     (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BEL-6   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Dwyer Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE RIGHT May20 Apr08 Mar31 Mar06 Feb11 (chapman jam)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SAUDI CROWN May21 Apr16       (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 14% 6.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of NEW NARRATION by TAPIT)
HARRODSBURG May06 Mar26       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
ALTERNATE REALITY May27 Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 Dec29 (englehar)DAVIS A 118 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PANCAKE by CORINTHIAN)
FORT BRAGG May06 Apr01 Mar04 Dec17 Nov04 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MARCH X PRESS by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
JOEY FRESHWATER May20 May12 Apr08 Mar19 Feb11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAKE TURKANA by MORE THAN READY)
 
BEL-7   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD TO THE BONES May28 May03 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
VARATTI May19 Jun03 Apr13     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00    
BREW PUB May21 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS Jun11 May11 Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.00    
TWELTH MAN Jun10 May19 Feb18 Jan13 Dec17 (nevin michel)TORRES A 118 12.00 8% 11.80    
SOUTH STREET Jun02 May06 May15 Apr16 Feb24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
BARESE May29 May06 Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 125 8.00 28% 2.60    
WINTERS LION May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNEXPECTED (JPN) Jun03 Apr28 Mar22 Jan05   (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00    
 
BEL-8   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG VENEZUELA May28 May14 Apr16 Mar26 Feb18 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00    
TIMBUKTU May11 Apr13 Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 12% 7.30    
MORNING CUP May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 Nov16 (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
APOLLO RISING May28 Apr21 Oct26 Sep24   (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 8% 11.20    
FORWARDLY Dec24 Oct26 Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SHINSUN May11 Oct29 Aug17 Jul23 Jun17 (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
URBAN MYTH Jun04 Mar15 Feb19 Feb16   (brion keri)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00    
LORD GATLING May13 Apr16 Mar26 Feb02 Jan14 (pringle ed)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 20.00    
BROKEN SPUR May27 Mar30 Jul03 May22 Apr03 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50 13% 6.90    
10  MO REWARDS Jun04 Apr29 Apr16 Feb11 Jan27 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 125 15.00    
11  MORE THAN WORK Jun04 May21 Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 (martin carlo)TORRES A 120 12.00 25% 3.00    
12  KINGFISH STEVENS May20 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 Dec03 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION Jun04 May21 Apr27 Apr02 Mar11 (reynolds patr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50    
 
BEL-9   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST John Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN ROCKET May13 Apr15 Feb25 Jan21 Feb05 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of KENNY LANE by FORESTRY)
THREE TECHNIQUE May27 May06 Apr08 Nov05 Oct01 (cook b)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WEYBURN May05 Apr01 Mar04 Aug21 Jul04 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUNDAY AFFAIR by A.P. INDY)
TWISTED RIDE May13 Apr24 Mar07 Feb13 Jan30 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DIVA'S GOLD by TENPINS)
LITTLE VIC Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 Nov26 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ROCK AND GLORY by ROCK HARD TEN)
SHERIFF BIANCO May29 Apr30 Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SYNTHESIS Jun10 May18 Apr29 Feb05 Jan28 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TRUST IN HOPE by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-10   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULA May19 Apr22 Oct27     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
MIRACLE MIKE May13 Mar26 Feb09 Jul17 Jun03 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK May19 Jun17       (klesaris robe)CASTILLO AMIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
METAMORPHOSES May19 Apr22 Mar11 Jan05 Nov27 (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
FAST STUDY May13 Jan29 Dec30 Oct22 Sep22 (schettin)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
YOUR MISSION May13 Jan05 Nov05 Aug06 Jul15 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
OCTOBER BLISS May19 Apr22 Mar18 Feb09 Dec30 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
AWESOME FORCE May19 May06 Apr14 Feb26 Jan26 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN May06 Apr14       (miceli micha)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DRUID Oct17 Aug11 Jul29 Jun17   (goodw)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00    
SCR  MAYTHISBETHEONE May19 Apr22 Dec01 Nov13 Apr22 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
SCR  BIG BOULDER Jun04 May19       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  CONQUIST May29 Dec21 Nov20 Oct21 Sep23 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00    
SCR  OVER THE CAP Jun01 Apr22       (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  SOCIAL SIDEKICK Feb24 Oct16 Jul29     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug11   (albright)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.