Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/1/9/2)-(8/4/1/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/9)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9)-(3/1/7)-(10/2/1/12/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(10/2/1/12/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(10/2/1/12/8)-(7/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (10/2/1/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/12/8)-(10/2/1/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/12/8)-(10/2/1/12/8)-(10/2/1/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/1/12/8)-(7/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/12/8)-(7/2/8)-(3/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/10/8)-(7/2/10/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(3/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(3/5/4/8)-(1/7/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/10/4/8)-(3/5/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/4/8)-(1/7/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/8)-(1/7/6/2/10)-(1/10/7/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/7/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2/10)-(1/7/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2/10)-(1/7/6/2/10)-(1/7/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2/10)-(1/10/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2/10)-(1/10/7/11)-(7/5/3/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/10/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/7/11)-(1/10/7/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/7/11)-(1/10/7/6/11)-(1/10/7/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/7/11)-(7/5/3/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/5/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/2/10)-(7/5/3/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/2/10)-(7/5/3/2/10)-(7/5/3/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICELY UNIFIED Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Sep10 Aug13 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
CUSTOM COMEDY Dec08 Nov25 Mar25     (terre david)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
MY SUGAR FIX Dec08 Aug21       (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 15.00    
BRIELLE EVANGELINE Sep02 Aug03 Jul09     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ Aug06 Jul29 Jul03 Jan13 Dec18 (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
STRUMMIN MARY Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Jul22 Jul01 (duke steven)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
HOT GOLDEN GIRL May18 Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 Feb18 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
CAROLINA JACY Aug03 Jul14       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
AVIE J Jun22 May27 Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 (ladner herman)RIQUELME J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DREAMED I AM FAST Dec14 Nov30 Oct28 Oct06 Aug05 (jackson dwayn)HERNANDEZ K 122 30.00    
 
FG-2   12/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC KING Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 Jun24 May28 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
MY BARILEY Dec16 Nov23 Oct13 Sep17 May26 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 3.00    
KNIGHT'S CROSS Nov01 Oct09 Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
MILLARD'S SMILE Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Sep26 Sep16 (rodriguez eduar)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
BLURT Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 Sep03 Aug09 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
WARRIOR'S RUN Dec09 Oct28 Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 (guillor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
NATE'S REVENGE Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Jul08 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 7% 12.90    
 
FG-3   12/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Dec08 Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 Sep09 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 6% 15.40    
TELEPHONE TALKER Dec14 Oct13 Aug25 Aug18 Jun24 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 Aug19 Jun24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.50    
NILES CHANNEL Dec08 Nov17 Aug28 Jul19 Mar10 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
SCORING DRIVE Dec08 Nov23 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 30.00    
DEVAMANI (FR) Nov23 Nov01 Oct06 Aug31 Jul22 (govea cesar)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
ONE TIME GEM Nov23 Sep12 Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 (johnston d)PARKER L 120 12.00    
EASTER SNAP Nov17 Nov11 Nov01 Sep29 Sep12 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
OF THE MOMENT Dec07 Oct21 Sep27 Oct23 Sep27 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
10  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 Aug26 Jan04 (falcone rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
11  BAKENEKO Dec08 Nov17 Oct07 Aug30 Jul16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
12  NOBLE PURSUIT Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 Aug16 Aug09 (rodriguez hug)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 18.20    
 
FG-4   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET PERFECTION Dec10 Nov25 Aug20 Jun25 Feb12 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
NO NANNETTE NO Dec10 Nov17 Oct21 Aug24 Jul30 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 12% 7.00    
SHE'S A BIG STAR Dec15 Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May28 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00    
AVERI EVER AFTER Nov17 Sep09 Aug26 Jul01 Jun10 (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 12.00    
SCR  LADY LANA Dec10 Nov17 Sep26 Aug30 Jul17 (vitali j)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
MORNING LINE NEWS Dec10 Nov17 Oct05 Sep23 Sep02 (alba-hernande)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
WATRUGONNADOKAREN Nov18 Sep11 Aug20 Jul03 Jan13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
PELLETIER Dec10 Nov30 Oct25 Sep20 Sep02 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
RYAN'S GRACE Oct14 Jul20 May20 Apr28 Apr12 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
10  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Dec10 Nov17 Aug21 May22 Feb24 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 5.00    
 
FG-5   12/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAITH RUNNER Oct13 Sep11 Aug09 Jun07 Sep28 (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00    
EL PERFECTO Dec07 Nov17 Sep04 Jul23 Jun11 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Dec07 Sep18 Sep04 Jun24 Apr26 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 50% 1.00    
KAHALA Nov30 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 May21 (stidham mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST BATTLE Nov17 Oct08 Sep07 Jul04 Jun09 (stall m)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
HE GOTS TO GO Dec07 Oct25 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
BUBBA CAN DANCE Nov30 Oct09 Aug08 Jan22 Dec31 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
SIR LIAM Dec07 May25 May04 Apr13 Feb25 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
VORTEX (GB) Dec03 May12 Mar11 Feb10   (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 20.00    
10  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Dec07 Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 (handal raymo)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  SINGLE RULER Nov10 Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
SCR  OVERANALYTICAL Dec07 Oct11 Sep12 Jul07 Jun04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
 
FG-6   12/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENOIT Mar25 Feb25 Dec19 Nov11 Sep27 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 31% 2.20    
CAJUN EDDIE Oct21 Oct12 Sep02 Aug05 Jun25 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
DUVEE Dec07 Mar10 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
RANCH BADGE Dec07 Nov18 Mar24 Mar01 Feb06 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
RANCH WATER Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 Jul21 Apr28 (landry ra)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
BIG BOO Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 Aug27 Jul01 (singh s)SINGH R 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
STAR REDEMPTION Dec07 Nov18 Sep03 Jul21 Jul16 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
DUDE DROP KID Aug05 Jul17 Jun18 May28 May07 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Oct07 Aug28 Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
10  JOEY'S GAME Nov24 Oct26 Oct07 Aug21 Aug12 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SYVESTAR Nov24 Sep11 Aug12 Jul06 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00    
 
FG-7   12/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLAINE Nov25 Oct06       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of CASH RETURN by CASH DEPOSIT)
PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE Oct06 Sep16       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SENTIMENTAL by HONOR CODE)
CATAPULTED         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of C D'CAT by D'WILDCAT)
LADY CHAI Nov17 Oct06       (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of INDIAN BAY by ARCHERS BAY)
LA SCALONETA Nov17 Oct11 Sep16     (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GOLDEN STATE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
BROOKLYNN DREW         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of LULU BAINS by CONSTITUTION)
LIGHTNING MYQUEEN Sep29         (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
ALLEGRODIMOLTO         (sharp joe)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHEZA DIVA by UNCLE MO)
SHARPER GAL Aug05         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GAL FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
10  TIPSY RUNNER Nov17 Aug28 Aug04     (amoss m)LANERIE J 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  FLEET FROST Nov24 Oct18       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
12  JOKE MASTER Nov17 Oct19 Sep07 Aug01 Jul07 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUEEN NEGWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  HUB CITY Nov25         (walsh brenda)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KEIRA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  CANDY LOVER Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 Aug20 Jul23 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
SCR  HAYAI UMA         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  SYBARITE Dec16 Nov19       (vaccarezza carl)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
FG-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE YOUR BIZ Dec01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 May26 (peterson je)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 15.00    
STAR READY Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 May22 May06 (balderas a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 10.00 7% 12.50    
FLASH N CLASS Sep05 Aug20 Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
SPIRIT OF DREAMS Sep11 Aug05 Jun03 Feb10   (terre davi)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00    
VERO CAMPIONE Dec17 Dec01 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (duke steven)MURRAY M 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
QUEENIE'S LEROY Dec01 Dec01 Nov02 Jun08   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Oct20 Aug25 Jul14     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL Dec01 Feb17 Jan01 Dec16 Dec02 (zenon char)ALBERT S 124 20.00    
INGLIS Dec13 Nov29 Nov10 Oct07 Sep05 (patt jr)MCMAHON J 124 6.00    
10  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Dec01 Sep12 Aug20 Aug05 Jun24 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.