Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/3)-(1/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/3)-(1/8/9/3)-(1/8/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/9/3)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/3)-(5/1)-(4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/5/1)-(1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/6/3)-(8/1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(8/1/3/7)-(5/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/5/7)-(8/1/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(5/3/8)-(6/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(6/2/1/3)-(1/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/3)-(1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(1/2/8)-(8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(8/2/3)-(10/6/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(10/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-10   WIN (10/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/8)-(10/6/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/8)-(10/6/5/2/8)-(10/6/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID'S LAST LAUGH Nov10 Oct28 May05 Apr12 Jan21 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  GRACEFUL Oct06 Aug16 Jul29 Jun02 May26 (friedman m)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
3  IT WASN'T ME Oct26 Aug06 Jul05 Sep03   (diprima greg)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  FRAU DIABLO Aug25 Jul30       (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
5  PARTY IS OVER Oct20 Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
6  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 May14 Nov06 (metivier richar)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
7  LADY ASTORIA Oct20         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00    
8  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug18   (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
9  PUT THE CRAZY AWAY Oct12 Sep15       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
AQU-2   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISAPPEARANCE Nov02 Oct06 Aug31 Jul04 Jun10 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  PROVEN HOPE Oct15 Oct04 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 (barker edw)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
3  JEEPER Oct31 Jun18 Apr20 Mar26 Feb25 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
4  DADS GOOD RUNNER Oct04 Sep17 Jul07 Jun23 Jun11 (fisher)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00    
5  ICE ROAD Oct21 Aug31 Aug12 Jul03 Jun09 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 49% 1.10    
6  BLAME D RULE MAKER Nov02 Oct13 Aug19 Jun04 Apr15 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-3   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST COAST Nov03 Oct13 Oct06 Jul29 Jun11 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
2  SHASI Nov03 Oct08 Sep24 Apr08 Mar12 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
3  LEMON TAFFY Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec01 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
4  AFILADA Apr27 Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 Jan26 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  K D KAKES Oct05 Jun17 May19 Apr06 Mar12 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
6  ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug20 Jul13 Jul02 May18 Apr28 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
7  MOULY Oct12 Sep03 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
 
AQU-4   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL MEGHAN Oct27 May07 Mar10 Jan27 Dec31 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Oct04 Sep02 Aug16 Aug06 Jun10 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
2  GOOD PENNY Oct15 Jul20 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 (camejo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50    
2B  FANCY AZTECA Oct05 Aug09 Jul02 Apr27 Apr07 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 ★    
3  CARBON Nov16 Oct19 Oct08 Sep24 Aug09 (youngh)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HALO CITY Nov02 Aug30 Jul20 Jun02 May26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
5  HYDRA Oct27 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 May12 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 117 10.00    
6  PRETTI XTREME Oct27 Aug30 Jul20 Apr07 Mar05 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  FREDDYMO FACTOR Nov05 Oct08 Sep24 Aug14 Jul25 (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
8  I'M BUZZY Oct27 Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May07 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
 
AQU-5   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DRIVE Nov11 Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jun24 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00    
1A  FLAMINGO HAWK Nov03 Oct04 Sep16 Aug19 Jul02 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 9% 10.10    
2  FOREVER WICKED Jun16 May18 Apr14 Mar26 Mar18 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
3  MY FRIENDS BEER Oct28 Sep21 Aug10 Jun25 May27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 7% 13.30    
4  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Nov04 Oct12 Aug06 Jul19 Jun24 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
5  BLAKE B. Oct22 Jun24 May27 Apr01 Mar12 (romero jes)RIVERA R 116 6.00 ★    
6  GANDY DANCING Nov11 Oct14 Sep28 Jul14 Jun11 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00    
7  MOUNT TRAVERS Oct27 Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun17 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAMMERIN AAMER Oct28 Oct12 Sep03 Aug06 May04 (falcone robert)LUZZI J 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
9  GOLDINI Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 Aug06 Jul27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVON Oct19 Aug11 Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
2  REIGNING CHICK Nov03 Jul27 Jul03 Jun15 May21 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
3  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Nov03 Oct08 Sep02 Aug11 Mar11 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  STELLA MARS Oct27 Oct13 Sep14 Aug12 Jul09 (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 ★    
5  BETTER HUMOR ME Oct12 Aug12       (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  QUEENS OVER THREES Aug27 Jul19 Jun17 May18 Mar12 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 20.00    
7  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Oct08 May14 Mar24 Feb17 Nov19 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00    
8  YANKEE AGATE Jul12 Jun17 May28 Apr21 Mar26 (miller m)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 Jul07 Jun03 (lakeman an)RIVERA R 117 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  LITTLE SKIPPY Nov02 Oct05 May05 Apr07 Mar19 (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  EQUALIZER Jul09 Jun15 May26 Apr08 Feb25 (metivier richar)RUIZ ELISEO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAGIADORO Sep28 Aug26 Nov06 Oct01   (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
5  GRAND AGAIN Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Apr29 Apr01 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
6  ALIBI IKE Jun18 Apr26 Feb03 Jul22 Apr13 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  TUESDAY'S CHILD Oct14 Jul22 Jul02 May28 May05 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
8  BORLETTI (IRE) Oct13 Sep04       (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
9  PINE ALLEY Jun04 May20 May05 Mar20 Feb09 (ryerson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
 
AQU-8   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY Oct27 Sep24 Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
2  INTO HAPPINESS Nov05 Oct04 Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
3  CRYPTO MAMA Oct06 Sep17 Jul02 Apr29 Apr15 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
4  COMPARATIVE May19 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Oct29 Sep04 Aug27 Jul26 Jul02 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
6  MISSY GREER Oct27 Jun15 Dec30 Dec01 Oct02 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
7  MISS BONNIE T Aug31 Dec29 Dec02 Sep30 Aug19 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
8  TONED UP Oct27 Oct05 Sep04 Jul30 May18 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 8% 11.50    
 
AQU-9   11/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Comely Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICHIBAN Oct29 Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
2  JULIA SHINING Oct28 Aug19 Apr07 Feb11 Dec03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
3  HONOR D LADY Sep24 Aug04 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  JUST KATHERINE Sep23 Sep04 Jul14 Jun16 Apr01 (jimenez jos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of REVE ENCHANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CORNINGSTONE Nov24 Oct27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ICE WOMEN by STREET SENSE)
SCR  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  DEFINING PURPOSE Oct28 Sep23 Aug19 Jul08 May05 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEFINING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
8  RAGING SEA Oct20 Sep04 Aug09 Nov04 Oct07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by CURLIN out of STORMY WELCOME by STORM CAT)
 
AQU-10   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUREST PERFORMANCE Nov05 Oct15 Jun24 May18   (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
2  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Nov10 Jul23 Jun24 May13 Oct09 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 ★    
3  DARLING CAT Oct26         (sciacca ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
4  SWEET LIBERTY Oct26 Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (quick pa)DAVIS A 122 4.00    
5  BELLA ISOLA         (lugovich l)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00 9% 10.00    
6  CHIARA (URU) Oct24 Jan05 Nov12 Sep03 Jul20 (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  COUNTESS CONSTANCE Oct26         (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
8  BANK HOLIDAY Oct26 Dec02 Nov04 Sep17   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FOLLOW THE FED Nov10 Oct06 Sep03 Aug04 Jul13 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 117 8.00    
10  LADY BANKER Nov03 Oct15 Sep08 Jul23 Jun24 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.