Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (3/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7)-(3/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/7)-(5/8/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/7)-(5/8/9/10/1)-(9/10/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (5/8/9/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/10/1)-(5/8/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/10/1)-(5/8/9/10/1)-(5/8/9/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/9/10/1)-(9/10/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/9/10/1)-(9/10/7/4)-(3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (9/10/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/4)-(9/10/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/4)-(9/10/7/4/5)-(9/10/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/7/4)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/7/4)-(3/5/4)-(12/7/4/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/7/8)-(3/5/4/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(12/7/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(12/7/4/13)-(2/3/1/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (12/7/4/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/7/4/13)-(12/7/4/13/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/7/4/13)-(12/7/4/13/10)-(12/7/4/13/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/7/4/13)-(2/3/1/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/7/4/13)-(2/3/1/10/12)-(9/4/5/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/3/1/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/10/12)-(2/3/1/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/10/12)-(2/3/1/10/12)-(2/3/1/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/1/10/12)-(9/4/5/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/10/12)-(9/4/5/8/2)-(3/2/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-7   WIN (9/4/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2)-(9/4/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/5/8/2)-(3/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/8/2)-(3/2/8/4)-(5/2/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(5/2/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-9   WIN (5/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9)-(5/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRICKLAYER Dec21         (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HAAS by TIZNOW)
MY MAN FREDDY Jan31         (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BACK TO LOVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SHARON'S PRINCE Jan31 Jan06 Dec06 Oct12 Sep10 (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET STING by AWESOME AGAIN)
ONE FAST MIDDIE Jan06         (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
PRETTY FAST Jan31 Nov01 Oct11 Jul08   (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of NET by CURLIN)
CANDY NUN         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of COCO'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
JUST GUS         (thompson )BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of COLARFUL SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
PRINCE COLTON Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 Jun22 Jun10 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HUMORISTIC by SEFAPIANO)
 
TP-2   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUDY COMMITTEE Jan27 Jan12 Dec07 Nov09 Oct08 (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS Jan18 Sep14 Jul31 Jul15 Jun04 (tomlinson m)PETERSON FERRIN 122 12.00    
WRITEITONTHEICE Jul13 May25 May12 Apr29 Apr13 (fernandez)CORREA L 124 20.00    
ENJOYMENT Dec28 Nov15 Oct20 Dec16 Oct27 (gorosti)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
VAGABOND SHOES Nov24 Nov02 Sep10 Aug13 Feb10 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  EL CUERVO FELIS Jan24 Dec05 Nov02 Oct16   (oviedo jose)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 4.50    
ISOCLINE Jan12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun15 May11 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
FORT LOWELL Jan27 Sep20 Apr13 Feb24 Jan13 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00 8% 12.20    
STUNNEM Feb08 Nov18 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 7% 12.60    
10  DEUS EX MACHINA Jan18 Dec30 Feb04 Jan20 Dec16 (garcia genaro)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-3   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACTUS KEVIN Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 Oct12 Sep11 (walsh d)LEON SONNY 125 10.00    
SHANNONRUN Jan26 Dec28 Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 (perez c)CRUZ JUAN 125 30.00    
NAK NAK BOLT Jun09 Aug18 Jul02 Jun23   (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 125 5.00    
LIAMS LAD Oct03 Sep23 Sep06 Aug04 Jul12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00 6% 17.00    
TAPITBOY Jan25 Jan04 Dec08 Nov11 Sep29 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
FAST FORWARD Jan18 Dec30 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 125 10.00    
REAL NAUGHTY Jan12 Dec16 Sep16 Aug31 May06 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 10% 8.90    
ROBIN'S GIANT Dec27 Nov13 Oct02 Oct11 Sep12 (axmaker peter)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
ALIBI IKE Nov25 Jun18 Apr26 Feb03 Jul22 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 5.00 42% 1.40    
10  RATHCORMAC Jan26 Dec28       (deegan c)MOJICA JR 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
11  NIKKI'STHEFAVORITE Feb22 Nov03       (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00    
12  DOOQ Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Oct13 Sep22 (alvarez nery)ROMAN A 125 20.00    
 
TP-4   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING RUTH Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 Dec08 Oct07 (danner doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
BOTOX KATIE Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 Nov16 Sep13 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
ATLANTIC STRIKE Feb07 Jan11 May28 Apr29 Mar30 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
PRINCESSTAPITURE Feb03 Jan11 Dec28 Sep16 Aug12 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH KITTEN Feb03 Jan03 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 6% 14.50    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Feb03 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
SHIP IT Jan11 Dec27 Nov24 Nov09 Oct15 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50    
ROLLESTON Feb01 Dec08 Oct07 Aug29 Aug02 (cano muno)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
QUEEN OF CHILL Feb03 Jan05 Dec21 Oct25 Oct03 (heath dest)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 
TP-5   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROOME (IRE) Jan25 Jan11 Sep27 Sep02 Aug19 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 15.00    
KOBE BEACH Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Dec06 Oct07 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 20.00    
FACTUM'S STAR Jan11 Oct02 Sep14 Aug18 Aug11 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
COG Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 Nov17 Oct25 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 123 5.00 5% 18.50    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Jan06 Nov18 Nov04 Aug28 Aug16 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
SUNSIGN Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Nov17 Oct03 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00    
JAHEZ Feb08 Jan25 Jan05 Sep16 Sep09 (fernandez)CORREA L 126 5.00 9% 10.10    
PAST IMPERATIVE Jan11 Dec06 Sep27 Aug19 Jul19 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 30.00    
KING OF TRUTH Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Dec01 Nov17 (adams nancy )TERRAZA GERMAN 116 30.00    
10  DON'T CROSS JACK Jan25 Dec28 Dec06 Nov01 Sep19 (tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00    
SCR  ROYALLY FLUSHED Feb03 Dec28 Nov22 Nov07 Oct24 (short travi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 20.00    
12  I NINETY FIVE Jan18 Jan06 Dec29 Aug29 Aug18 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
13  MAGNA RULER Jan24 Jan06 Dec29 Sep02 Aug20 (fernandez)CORREA L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-6   02/17/2024 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGOI Feb02 Dec23 Dec09 Sep17 Aug27 (hiles ri)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00 19% 4.30    
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Dec08 Aug19 Jun25 May27 Apr29 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
AVENUE Dec23 Nov23 Nov02 Feb05 Jan08 (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  BARBERINI Jan05 Nov30 Mar04 Feb04 Dec17 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 124 6.00    
NICHOLAS JONES Jan04 Dec16 Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 30.00    
FEBRUARY SON Dec23 Nov02 Sep01 Aug12 Jul11 (granitz)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
BIRD KING Dec09 Nov10 Oct19 Sep27 Aug29 (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Dec23 Nov17 Nov05 Oct19 Sep02 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
UNDERDRESSED Dec23 Nov18 Oct19 Oct06 Sep07 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
10  SPLIT THE WICKETS Dec22 Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 Mar16 (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 7% 13.10    
11  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Dec30 Dec02 Aug31 Aug18 Jun24 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00    
12  REALLY GOOD Dec23 Nov15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun25 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   02/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dust Commander Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIZARD OF WESTWOOD Nov15 Sep03 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
EL KABONG Jan04 Dec01 Jul09 May20 Apr13 (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
KITODAN Dec16 Nov11 Oct13 Sep09 Aug31 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of DIVINE PRESENCE by A.P. INDY)
SURLY FURIOUS Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 Oct28 Sep18 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
TRANSECT Aug13 Jul08 May22 Mar04 Feb10 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DIVINE ESCAPADE by A.P. INDY)
COMMON BOND Jan25 Jul02 Apr15 Mar11 Feb04 (wittek karyn)LEON SONNY 122 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EMPERESSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SANTORINI Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Sep07 Aug11 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GIANT'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GUNTON ROE Jan05 Aug20 Jul09 Jan21 Dec28 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ONNA BUGEISHA by FIRST SAMURAI)
QUADRA ISLAND Dec23 Nov15 Oct14 Aug18 Mar25 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
 
TP-8   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL BOB Jan18 Dec23 Jan26     (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 5.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of POWHATAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
DISSOLVED Oct21 Aug26 Jul30     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SWEET DREAMS by TRICK ME)
SIDE EYE Apr23 Mar19 Dec17     (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
ROCKY JOY Jan06         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of COLORADO GIRL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ACCIDENT Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Nov17 Jun24 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.50    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
FRENCH BREAD Dec28 Dec09       (bicknell )CORREA L 125 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ZECA DIABO Feb03 Dec23 Dec09 Sep10   (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 125 8.00    
  (by DANZA out of BALA PERDIDA by BADGE OF SILVER)
HINGHAM Feb03         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABUNTIA by OLMODAVOR)
SCR  BAD BOY FOR LIFE Jan06 Nov18       (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 125 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WORLD PEACE by READY'S IMAGE)
 
TP-9   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINS INCHARGE Jan26 Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 May28 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 126 4.00 12% 7.20    
AMERICAN RAIDER Jan25 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 Sep14 (howey quinn)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  DANCING NOAH Jan11 Dec14 Nov26 Oct29   (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  MASTERY N POLISHED Feb01 Jan06 Dec09     (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
THE THUNDERER Dec29 Nov24 Sep23 Aug20 Jun18 (carroll jo)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00 31% 2.20    
WELL SPOTTED Feb01         (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
BOY WONDER Jan26         (barrett a)ORM CORY 126 30.00    
SCR  FIRST FIDDLER         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
CASHMEUP Nov09 Oct06 Dec31 Nov13   (rice linda)CARROLL DECLAN 126 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  BATTLE BORN Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 126 8.00    
11  LOLAS BEAU Nov01 Sep23 Aug18 Jul21 Jun21 (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
12  COAL BOSS Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct15 Aug20 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.