Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/4/1)-(2/6/8/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(2/1/4)-(5/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7/9)-(5/1/2/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(5/7/1)-(5/6/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(5/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(5/6/9/8)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/8)-(5/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/8)-(5/6/9/8)-(5/6/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/9/8)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/9/8)-(4/2/1)-(2/4/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/4/8/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/4/8/3/6)-(6/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/4/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3/6)-(2/4/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3/6)-(2/4/8/3/6)-(2/4/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3/6)-(6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/3/6)-(6/7)-(6/10/9/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(6/10/9/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(6/10/9/11)-(2/5/3/7/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (6/10/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/11)-(6/10/9/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/11)-(6/10/9/11/1)-(6/10/9/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/9/11)-(2/5/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-10   WIN (2/5/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/7/8)-(2/5/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/7/8)-(2/5/3/7/8)-(2/5/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE FINE WINE Dec09 Nov03 Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 (berndt )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
2  COINMAKER Sep09 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May13 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  MYLIES STAR Dec21 Dec10 Nov24 Oct27 Oct12 (dussette al)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 20.00    
4  STAR'S DREAM Dec10 Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 May15 (hargrave kenneth)NAVAS YOEL 113 4.50 ★    
5  KAITLYN'S COURT Dec10 Jul20 May26 May11 Apr13 (constantine c)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
6  SWIZZLECITY Sep04 Jul02 Jun17 Apr26 Jan29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Oct02 Aug18 Jul26 Jul10 May29 (vitali ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
8  SUPER ET Dec01 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TEXAS TIDELANDS Dec17 Aug28 Jul17 Jun25 Jun15 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
FG-2   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACK SHACK Dec10 Nov18 Sep28 Sep03 Aug23 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Dec15 Aug26 Jul21 Jun01 Mar12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  PAT HAND GIRL Dec09 Oct27 Aug28 Jul30 Jun10 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 118 10.00    
4  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Nov25 Oct10 Sep19 Sep03 Aug23 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  IGGY BIGS Oct14 Sep05 Aug12 Aug03 Jul12 (hernandez ar)MURRAY M 121 3.00    
6  KITTENOFTHE COURT Sep09 Jun19 Mar17 Feb11 Jan19 (hargrave kenneth)NAVAS YOEL 113 20.00    
7  SUPORB Dec15 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 ★    
8  WAIT ON ME Dec17 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00    
 
FG-3   01/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DON'T VENMO Dec09 Sep02 Aug21 Jun18 May15 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  LEAD ME Dec10 Mar18 Feb20 Jan29 Jan19 (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.00 6% 16.80    
3  TACTICAL VISION Oct14 Aug11 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
4  MECKES PRIORITY Dec14 Nov08 Oct11 Aug14 Aug03 (dussette alvin)PARKER L 122 15.00    
5  TONTERIA Sep12 Aug19 Jul01     (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
6  WESTERN STAR Sep04 Jul22 Jul10 Jun25 Jun17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
7  STIFF DRINK Dec09 Jul03 Jun18 May15 Mar26 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GO BROTHER GO Dec09 Nov24 May15 Mar26 Feb24 (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
9  SINGLE SHOT Jan26 Dec11 Jun11 May21 Apr08 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00 ★    
10  SNAKEBIT Nov24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
11  VIKING LEGACY Dec14 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr28 (woodley j)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
FG-4   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Nov17 Nov03 Jul28 Jun17 May06 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  COACH KENNY Dec03 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 May20 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
3  HEZA PRIORITY Dec17 Dec03 Nov01 Oct18 Sep12 (husak g)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
4  HALF AGAIN Dec03 Nov23 Sep12 Aug05 Jun25 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 121 4.50    
5  FIERY PLAYBOY Sep05 Jul29 Jun25 May15 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  BOULDERING Dec15 Nov18 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 (wilson shane)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
7  CHARLI MICHAEL Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 Jul03 Jun16 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  YOUNG TUSCAN Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 May27 Mar16 (munoz yova)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
 
FG-5   01/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUTLER CABIN Dec07 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 (wilson shane)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
2  DEVIL'S HARVEST Nov15 Sep28 Sep07 Jul13 Jun24 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
3  MY ROMEO LIMA Dec07 Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 May28 (camejo jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
4  SUMMER LOVER Dec16 Dec07 Nov21 Oct21 Oct12 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 8.00    
5  LUNAR MODULE Dec16 Oct06 Sep05 Jul30 Jun19 (broberg karl)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
6  HARD RYE GUY May24 May06 Mar10 Feb17 Jan25 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
7  FLAWLESS RULER Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct09 Sep02 (flint steve)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
8  RUNNING LATE Nov29 Oct14 Nov24 Sep14   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 9% 9.70    
9  MICROPHONE (IRE) Dec22 Nov23 Nov02 May19 Apr27 (west w)PARKER L 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SINGLE RULER Nov10 Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
FG-6   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREMIUM Dec17 Nov23 Oct28 Sep10 Jul31 (hargrave )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
2  COMMUNICATION MEMO Nov25 Nov14 Oct11 Sep02 Aug04 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Nov26 Aug23 Jul22 Jun24 Mar22 (barnett c)MELANCON G 121 20.00    
4  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Dec07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct01 Jul18 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  GUNNER BAY Dec07 Nov02 Sep16 Aug03 Jul07 (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 124 5.00    
6  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Nov10 Sep30 Sep13 Aug02 Jun29 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00    
7  INDULGE Oct12 Aug12 Jun23 May05 Apr02 (schultz lind)TORRES A 121 4.50 ★    
 
FG-7   01/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR UNIT Oct01 Sep06 Aug02 Jun13 May24 (vitali ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
2  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Dec21 Nov23 Nov04 Oct11 Sep09 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  SISTER SEEK Aug12 May21 May10 Mar08 Sep18 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 8% 11.90    
4  MISS TAPPY TONE Nov04 Oct12 Apr14 Mar25 Feb23 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  BLAME NELLIE Aug05 Jun29 May25 Feb19 Jan30 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
6  LILY'S CREED Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb28 (scherer t)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00 5% 18.80    
7  CAHUILLA Oct26 Mar10 Feb15 Nov19 Oct29 (romero gerald )GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
8  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Nov21 Nov09 Oct25 Oct06 Sep24 (cravens ron)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
9  PRIZE DEBATE Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jun15 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
10  CATHERINE BLAZE Dec21 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 Aug01 (leonard geor)TORRES A 122 8.00    
11  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT Nov09 Nov02 Sep22 Sep07   (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 114 20.00    
SCR  ESPERE Oct19 Sep20 Jul01     (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 114 6.00    
 
FG-8   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER PAID Jun23 Jun03 May21     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  FLAT OUT RUNNER Dec01 Oct21       (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
3  CRAKEN JAX Dec07 Nov03 Oct13     (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
4  RISING KOTO STAR Dec09 Nov18 Oct13 Aug05 Jul20 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE POWER Dec09 Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Aug05 (gelner j)PARKER L 119 2.50    
6  COUNTRY GUY Nov30 Aug29       (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 49% 1.10    
7  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Dec19 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06   (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
FG-9   01/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE SCARS Dec07 Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 ★    
2  PROUD CIVILIAN Dec07 Oct24 Sep15 Aug19 Jul27 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
3  PEPPER JACK Dec17 Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Oct13 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00    
4  FLEET OF HOOF Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Sep01 Jul28 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 30.00    
SCR  TRUST DADDY Nov18 Oct26 Jun23 May19 Apr21 (murphy conor)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
6  SIMPLE LOGIC Dec07 Oct09 Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 (block chris)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
7  MESA SPIRIT Dec07 Oct22 Sep08 Dec04 Oct16 (ducoing sturges)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
8  MUSICAL SPELL Aug13 Jun25 May28 Jul31 May29 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
9  SON OF A BIRCH Dec07 Nov09 Aug13 May20 May05 (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
10  GILDED RULER Dec07 Oct26 Jul15 May19 Mar10 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
11  WESTERN COMMAND Dec07 Oct25 Sep13 Aug11 Jun18 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  KING OF SONG Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jun02 May19 (brinkma)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  BENCH         (vaccarezza carl)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  BLACKTECA Dec15 Nov23 Jun17 Jun03 Apr13 (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 116 10.00    
 
FG-10   01/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUPPETEER (GB) Dec19 Nov25 Oct20 Jul20   (castille carrol)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
2  HANDSOME HAROLD Dec09 Nov17 Sep09 Aug19   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  TABLEAUX RESEAUX         (gelner jayde)TORRES A 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
4  CAT COUNTY Nov25         (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
5  SKINNY BOBBY Dec07 Nov25 Oct06 Aug13 Jul23 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  KICKIN CHIP Dec23         (duhon o)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
7  CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
8  MUNCLE Dec07         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  SPEIGHTFUL ONE Dec07 Nov17       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SCR  KAH NIGH Dec21         (dussette a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.