Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(5/2/3)-(8/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(8/5/6/2)-(2/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/2)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/2)-(2/5/7)-(9/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(9/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(9/4/7/8)-(7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/7/8)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/8)-(7/2/6)-(7/6/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(7/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(7/6/2/9)-(6/8/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/9)-(6/8/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/8/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5)-(6/8/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Oct24 Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul18 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 2.50 13% 6.90    
2  ONLYATTHESHOE Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
3  MAXIMIZER Oct31 Oct21 Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  PERCENTAGE Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50    
5  EXALTED JOY Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 Sep18 Sep02 (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
6  MORE THAN GOOD Nov02 Oct18 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.00 45% 1.20    
7  POWER SONG Oct21 Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING IN STYLE Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 Sep26 Sep18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Oct13 Sep18 Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  O ROMEO Nov01 Oct05 Sep25 Aug24 Jul31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  FALK Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 Aug23 Jul11 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
5  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Oct31 Aug20 Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  TOYI Nov09 Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
7  HALLOWEEN Sep13 Aug04 May02 Apr01 Mar17 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIDSTREAM Nov13 Oct13 Sep27 Sep11 Aug31 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.00    
2  GEH SCHNELL Oct13 Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 Jul03 (manning c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIDNIGHT J J Sep23 Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.50    
4  DEBDURITE Nov01 Oct13 Oct04 Sep05 Aug16 (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
5  SAY HEY KID Nov01 Oct13 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
6  MONTAUK COVE Oct10 Sep18 Aug16 Aug01 Jun24 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  HIGH POWERED Nov01 Oct05 Sep15 Aug05 Jul22 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
8  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Oct31 Sep18 Aug08 Jun01 May16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 41% 1.50    
9  LEXATOGA Nov01 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jun21 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   11/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABIOLA PRINCESS Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Aug01 Jun17 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
2  DONNARUMMA Oct16 Sep12 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 59% 0.70    
3  STORMIN MELLY Nov07 Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 Aug07 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.50    
4  SOULSTONE Nov07 Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 Sep07 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00    
5  MOONTAP Nov07 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 5% 18.10    
6  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 Jun17 (silva fernan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 5.00    
7  PEARLINTHEROUGH Nov07 Oct17 Sep20 Jun21 Apr30 (tumblin an)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   11/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO MUNNY Oct30 Oct09 Aug19 Jul11 May22 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Nov08 Oct28 Sep28 Sep19 Sep04 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
SCR  BABA LOOEY Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
4  SPIN DOCTOR Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  NAMBITI Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
6  RED HOT POWER Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
7  OL' L B Oct30 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 5.00 8% 11.30    
8  WEEKEND BUZZ Oct11 Sep18 Aug28 Jul18 Nov12 (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Oct28 Oct11 Sep11 Jul10 Jun20 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
10  SHOW SLIDING HOME Oct13 Sep04 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-6   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKATYA Oct22 Aug27 Jul14 Jul06 Jun15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
2  SIMPLY VALID Nov06 Oct06 Sep13 Aug15 Jul14 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  LAST COOKIE Nov01 Sep30 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 15.00    
4  PATIO PARTY Nov06 Oct24 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
5  HOUSEBUILDER Nov09 Oct22 Oct09 Sep21 Aug22 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
6  HOPPY GILMORE Oct30 Oct11 Sep12 Aug28 Jul20 (rone mik)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
7  CRYO Nov08 Sep24 Sep01 Aug02 Jun11 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-7   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JAVA Oct11 Jul15 May03 Mar25 Feb26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
2  LIAM'S LASS Oct15 Sep12 Aug06 Jul06 Mar22 (reed r)HALDAR J 124 4.50 10% 8.60    
3  MAGIC PALACE Oct31 Sep29 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
4  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00    
5  BIG BANG BLUE Oct31 Sep04 Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
6  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Nov02 Sep29 Aug24 Aug06 Jul12 (reavis)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
7  SPRING MAGIC Oct30 Oct05 Jul27 Jun16 Sep19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  WILDCAT DREAM Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 Jul26 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
9  REACHING STRIDE Oct30 Oct17 Oct01 Sep06 Aug17 (morzan e)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROWDY DAISY Nov01 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTOOSH Oct23 Oct06 Jul20     (dalton michell)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
2  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 Aug01 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
3  MISS BUMBUM Oct05 Aug30 Dec15 Nov15 Oct31 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 12.00    
4  HERE COMES DOLLY Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 Jun24 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
5  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Nov07 Oct23 Sep30 Sep15 Aug14 (ramos francis)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOLCE MARIE Nov06 Oct21 Oct04     (urieta johann)BRACHO A 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
7  DANCE DRAMA Oct25 Oct04 Sep11 Aug09 Jul25 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
8  MOBIL MEMORY Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Oct29 Aug31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
9  QUEENIE ROSE Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 4.00 7% 12.40    
10  SHAKA'S LYRIC Nov07 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
11  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (romero jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.