Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00
BEL-2   Win (4/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-3   Win NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00
BEL-4   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-5   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-6   Win (7/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-7   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-8   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-9   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-10   Win (12/8/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-11   Win (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REUNION TOUR Apr29 Mar30 Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 125 10.00    
STAR ATTITUDE Apr29 Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 Feb02 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
BAD WATER Apr23 Mar31 Jan04     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Apr29 Feb25 Jan08 Jun18 May01 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00    
LARZ Mar19 Feb09 Jan01 Dec02   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
RAW COURAGE Apr30 Apr02 Mar10 Feb09 Jan29 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
MOVING PICTURES Oct08 Aug22 Jul17 May21 Apr23 (martin carlos )TORRES A 118 3.00 69% 0.50    
 
BEL-2   05/20/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Paradise Creek Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGING Apr26 Mar26 Feb05     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOLDEN NUGGET Apr16 Mar25 Feb19 Jan21 Dec16 (walsh brendan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
INFLATION NATION (IRE) Apr22 Nov05 Oct09 Sep01 Jul22 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
EYE WITNESS Mar25 Jan01 Sep23     (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
SON OF A BIRCH May05 Jul30 Jul01     (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND May06 Apr08       (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
VACATION DANCE Apr27 Dec17 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
JOEY FRESHWATER May12 Apr08 Mar19 Feb11 Jan01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 9% 10.80    
HEY EUGENE Apr21 Mar25       (maker michael )TORRES A 118 8.00 6% 14.80    
 
BEL-3   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH TIDE Jul14 May13 May06 Apr16 Feb04 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  FRONT MAN Oct23 Sep30 Jul23 Jul01 May29 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
SCR  ORIGINAL Feb05 Jan18 Dec30 Oct27   (terranova john)TORRES A 115 6.00    
CHOWDA May14 Apr20 Jan21 Dec04 May15 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  EYES ON TARGET Apr15 Mar04 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 74% 0.30    
GOLDINI Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 Jan07 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  BE HERE Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
LANDBISCUIT May14 Jun23 May05 Apr13 Mar02 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
HEALING Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Dec11 Nov12 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  MY FRIENDS BEER Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb11 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Feb25 Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.20    
SCR  DATESFREEDOM May05 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 (delauro j)RIDER TBA 120 15.00    
 
BEL-4   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA LOCA Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 Jan06 Nov26 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
HARLAN'S BOND Apr22 Mar17 Feb20     (donk david)TORRES A 115 10.00    
VAX Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov27 Nov04 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
AMANDA'S FOLLY May04 Apr27 Apr08 Mar12 Feb18 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 7% 13.50    
SICILIAN GRANDMA Mar03 Jan26 Dec18 Sep26 Aug21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
BELMAR SUMMER Apr22 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 Jan01 (farro patricia)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 9% 10.80    
CURLINS CHOIR Mar30 Mar03 Jan26 Dec10   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
BEL-5   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS May04 Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 (baker charlton)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
LITTLE DEMON Mar16 Feb11 Jan20 Jan14 Dec28 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
COOL QUARTET Apr28 Apr14 Apr02 Feb26 Feb11 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
SAILOR SPEED May04 Apr06 Mar25 Mar15 Feb22 (persaud randi)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
WINTER POOL Apr06 Jan07 Dec29 Nov18 Sep30 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
JUMPSTER May05 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 120 10.00    
SILIPO Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 Aug03 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 8.00    
 
BEL-6   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Apr29 Apr02 Feb11 Dec08 Nov10 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  MISPELLED MOOON Oct28 Sep25 Aug28 Aug04 Jun25 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
SCR  FREE SHOT Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Jan11 Dec28 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
DEVILLY Apr28 Feb20 Jan28 Dec17 Dec02 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
EVER GRACEFUL Apr16         (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  CANDY MONET Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 Apr29 Apr03 (persaud eddie)MARTINEZ R 123 12.00    
BLAME IT ON PARIS Apr14 Mar02 Aug26 Jul31   (brisset rodolph)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
QUICK POWER NAP Apr29 Oct07 Sep03 Jul23 Jun25 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
MOSTLY HARMLESS Apr29 Apr02 Jan26 Jan01 Dec08 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00    
SCR  ATTACHED Apr28 Sep25       (duarte jr)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
11  I'M NERVOUS NOW Apr19 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 15% 5.90    
12  PREDETERMINED Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 Feb24 Feb11 (sciacca gary)SAMUEL L 123 50.00    
SCR  HANDLE THE TRUTH Apr27 Mar26 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 5.00    
SCR  AERON WARRIOR Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 Jan12 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BEL-7   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBILIS Sep29 Sep05       (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 8% 12.20    
WHAT A MESA         (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
ALWAYS POSITIVE         (de horaci)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
FREUDMEIN Apr27 Apr01       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
KERN RIVER         (mccarthy michae)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SEIZE THE CITY Apr27         (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00    
REFUAH Apr21 Mar26 Feb17 Jan19 Nov27 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 8% 11.90    
UNION TRAIL Mar12 Feb11       (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
 
BEL-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRANNYS CONNECTION Mar19 Feb25 Jan15 Dec16   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00    
BEGUINE Dec10 Nov13 Oct07 May20 Apr02 (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.40 70% 0.40    
ROYAL POPPY Feb05 Dec15 Nov20 Oct14 Sep17 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
AWILLAWAY Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jun10 May07 (friedman m)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
AMARETTI Apr12 Jun05       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 7% 12.80    
CHASING CARA Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
 
BEL-9   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON May04 Apr02 Feb09 Jan06 Dec15 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 8% 12.00    
LA AGUILILLA Apr28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 Oct22 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
DOLCE SERA Apr28 Mar31 Feb24 Jan15 Dec18 (delauro edwar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00    
MERAVIGLIOSO Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 (dutrow richard)TORRES A 120 1.80    
BUSTIN LULU Apr23         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
TRUE EMPRESS Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 Feb09 Jan28 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00    
MY SWEET SUMMER Mar19 Sep02       (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 32% 2.20    
ICY REPLY May04 Apr20 Mar25 Mar17 Mar05 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 5.00    
 
BEL-10   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACK RING LUCK Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Feb05 Nov05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS May04 Apr27 Apr01 Feb10 Nov18 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 2.00    
SCR  MOMOS May04 Mar17 Feb18 Jan16 Dec21 (trombetta mich)TORRES A 116 12.00    
ROYAL TRYST Apr30 Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 Feb11 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
SCR  AFTER FIVE Apr20 Mar11 Feb12 Dec17 Nov20 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE Apr13 Jan28 Jan01 Oct08 Aug07 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  PINE KNOLL Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 May21 Apr20 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
LOBSTA Apr30 Feb20 Jan22 May22 Apr29 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
KING ANGELO Mar30 Feb18 Jan13 Dec17 Nov20 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ALOGON Jan20 Dec30 Nov20 Oct22 Feb20 (allard edward)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN Apr13 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jul04 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00    
11  H P MOON Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 Jan29   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
12  SECRET RULES Apr23 Mar24 Jan18 Nov25 Sep25 (falcone robert)TORRES A 116 2.50 25% 3.00    
13  SAINT SELBY Apr28 Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 Jun16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SCR  BLACK BELT Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 Dec23 Oct16 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
15  SCOCCIATORE Apr30 Mar30 Feb10 Apr07 Mar19 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
BEL-11   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLOBAL STAGE Apr14 Feb10       (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50 13% 6.70    
FIRST MONEY Apr22 Mar25       (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW Mar25 Feb11       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI         (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
EXUDE Apr22 Mar03       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
MAJESTIC MICHAEL Apr21         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
OCASEK Mar26         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
MISTICAL CURLIN Apr08 Feb02 Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 125 15.00    
RIDE UP Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.