Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (1/2/6/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-3   Win (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (1/10/6/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-5   Win (1/4/7/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-6   Win (11/12/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (8/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (8/11/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (4/8/5/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC ARC Oct31 Jun09 May25 May09 Apr12 (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00    
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Oct13 Sep21 Aug21 Jul20 Jun08 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
WINE RESPONSIBLY Oct13 Aug16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 12% 7.70    
YORK TAVERN Oct13 Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.50 10% 8.90    
ICE ROAD Oct25 Sep21 Aug21 Jun28 Apr19 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCOTTO Oct13 Oct03 Jun16 Jun01 May02 (jones eduardo)MARTINEZ R 121 30.00    
DEPUTY CONNECT May17 May05 Apr05 Feb17 Feb03 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 6% 14.70    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct25 Oct13 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
 
AQU-2   11/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLIE JEAN Oct24 Nov05 Sep21 Aug25 Feb18 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
COLETTE'S JOY Apr21 Feb22 Dec07 Oct22 Oct01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
EDDIES ROCKET Oct20 Sep16 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 122 30.00    
CORRI FELICE Oct20 Sep15 Aug18 Jul05 Jun02 (toner j)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Oct13 Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 Jul04 (giddings mel)RIVERA R 122 8.00 5% 18.10    
SHE'S WICKED SMART Aug02 Jun06 Aug26     (falcone n)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
THAT'STHEFACTJACK Oct24 Sep28 Aug11 Jun23 May16 (schettino domin)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
WILD IRIS Oct24 Sep20 Aug06     (duggan p)LUZZI J 124 6.00    
JENAS MERCY Oct19 Sep20 Oct13     (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURE'S CANDY Oct29 Oct11 Sep21 Aug26 Jul08 (padilla o)ADORNO ABNER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIDTOWN LIGHTS Oct21 Oct06 Aug14 Jun09 May11 (david a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 18% 4.40    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 Mar24 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
AUTUMN EVENING Aug31 Jul04 May04 Mar09 Dec20 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
LUNA MOTH Sep01 Jun30 Apr30 Apr05 Mar22 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
WILLOW BEND Oct06 Sep13 Aug11 Jun26 May23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
MS. TART Oct20 Sep15 Aug05 Jul06 May31 (beattie m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-4   11/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN CURTIS RUN Oct05 Sep01 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Oct18 Sep01 Jun27 May23 Apr28 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
TWISTED FILIGREE Nov03 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Aug21 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
RUSSI Oct05 Sep01 Jul14 May25 Apr21 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FEATHERS ROAD Oct25 Oct05 Sep19 Aug14 Jul13 (jacobson david)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
SCR  SCUTTLEBUZZ Oct05 Sep01 Aug15 Aug01 Dec15 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
YARROW Oct05 Sep01 Jul12 Jun08 Apr28 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
ICY FLAVOR Oct05 Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
HEYMACKIT'SJACK Oct04 Aug31 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (begg bent)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
TALL PAUL Oct05 Sep14 Oct16 Sep25 Aug12 (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
10  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Sep21 Aug24 Jul26 Jun23 May11 (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  AGGELOS THE GREAT Oct18 Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 Dec15 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-5   11/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH BETA Sep28         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  TRACKING ERROR Sep21         (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 3.50    
RED SEA (GB)         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
COOPER Nov03 Oct09 Sep14 Jul20   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CONSTITUTION ROAD         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 16% 5.10    
RADAUTI         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
BURN NOTICE Sep27         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
RETEKO Oct03 Aug21 Jul12     (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 18.60    
VOLATILE STORM         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Oct12 Sep27       (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
10  PAPA GOLF Sep14         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  SNOOKIE BEAR Oct12 Sep07       (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
12  NO MERLOT Oct12 Sep14       (kimmel john )RIVERA R 119 15.00    
SCR  INTUITIVE WISDOM Oct12 Sep13       (sacco grego)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 20.00    
SCR  MY MAN MAGOO Oct13 Sep20       (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  IRON MAX Aug30 Aug01 Jul24     (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
 
AQU-6   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUTED Sep29 Jul13 Jun21     (falcone n)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
YO DADDY Oct05 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
PENTATHLON Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jun30 Jun07 (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  ARI'S MAGIC Mar30 Feb03 Jan05     (rodriguez r)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00    
TIMEOUT Sep21 Aug17 Jul19 Jun15 May04 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
ASMODEUS Oct12 Aug03 Jul09 May27 May09 (morey wil)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Oct12 Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Aug25 Jul29       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMIRATES ROAD Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 May27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HERO'S MEDAL May04 Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
11  MASMAK Oct05 Sep01 Dec17 Nov12 Sep22 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
12  EQUIVOQUE Oct05 May06 Apr08     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-7   11/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Forever Together Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARREL Oct04 Sep22 Sep02 Aug16 May11 (ribaudo j)ORTIZ L 121 20.00    
PAYOUT RATIO (IRE) Oct11 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul08 (vera migue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
VENENCIA (FR) Oct10 Sep02 Jun11 Apr27   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
EDICT (ARG) Oct19 Jun16 May24 May12 Mar16 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
BREATH AWAY (GB) Sep21 Aug16 Jun20 May17 Dec23 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  TASS (GB) Jan27 Dec26 Nov19 Oct19 Aug20 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
ROOT CAUSE Sep02 Jul19 Oct14 Sep09 Jun22 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00    
DELAHAYE Aug22 Jul20 Jun02 May04 Mar23 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 0.80 59% 0.70    
CANISY Oct05 Jul13 Jun08 Apr21 Mar23 (delacour arnaud)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Nov03 Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60    
 
AQU-8   11/10/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Long Island Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Oct27 Sep26 Aug25 Nov12 Sep22 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Oct04 Sep01 Aug08 Oct19 Sep22 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING DEAN Oct17 Sep20 Aug16 Jul18 Jun16 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
BLUSH (IRE) Sep14         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
LA MEHANA (FR) Oct04 Jul07 May03 Mar30   (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 10% 9.00    
LADY FIREFOOT Oct04 Sep02 Aug16 Jun29 May19 (giddings mel)RIVERA R 121 30.00    
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Oct05 Aug08 Jun07 Mar03 Dec26 (joseph saff)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00    
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Sep14 Aug24 May19 Jun24 May12 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
THEREARENORULES Oct04 Jul31 Jun10 Oct31 Oct07 (schultz lindsay)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE Oct13 Aug29 Jul31 Apr26 Mar04 (toner j)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  IMMENSITUDE (FR) Oct04 Sep05 Aug14 Jun02 Apr21 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 12% 7.00    
 
AQU-9   11/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAININGATTHEBEACH Oct18 Sep20 Aug07 Jun09 May11 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.00    
BEWILDERED Oct24 Aug11 Jul04 May27 May02 (levine bruce)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
PERMED Oct18 Sep13 Jul17 Jun02 Mar17 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY ARWEN Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 Aug24 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
BIG HAZEL Oct06 Sep19 Aug02 Jul25 Jul07 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAST GLORY Oct24 Sep27 Jul14 Jun20 May19 (arenas ma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
MAGIC EIGHT BALL Oct24 Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jun23 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
VIOLETS SMILE Oct18 Sep27 Aug25 Jul05 Jun01 (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
ACCELERINA Oct18 Sep03 Jul17 Jun15 Apr27 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
10  ALLEY'S SONG Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 Jul19 Jun15 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.