Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-6 $15.70 $3.70 31%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.50 $1.50 19%
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $24.40 $12.40 103%
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  6-6-4 $64.25 $16.25 34%
BAQ-5   WIN (10/1/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $26.40 $16.40 164%
    EXA (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-8 $240.75 $220.75 1104%
BAQ-6   DD (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-6 $60.75 $35.75 143%
BAQ-8   PK4 (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3)-(2/7/4/5)-(9/2/10/8/7) 500 $0.50 $250  2-6-2-9 $291.00 $41.00 16%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :48 1:134 1:383   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATALYZED (FR) 6 1 11 2nk 1nk 11 1nk (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 40% 1.50 1.75 W
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of RED LINE by IMPEACHMENT)
4  JUST SO PRETTY 4 2 21 1nk 2nk 21 2nk (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.30 7.50 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
3  SELFLESS 3 5 57½ 55½ 34 36½ 33¼ (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 10.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IMPASSE by QUALITY ROAD)
5  COUNTERINTELIGENCE (GB) 5 7 78¾ 77 55½ 510½ 48½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 1.40  
  (by FRANKEL out of SPECTRE by SIYOUNI)
2  AMENDMENT 2 4 46½ 44½ 66 410 510¾ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MO'S LOVE by UNCLE MO)
1  SO READY 1 6 68½ 66 76½ 614½ 614 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9.30  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  GOLDEN NOTE 7 3 31 33 44½ 714½ 717 (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 28% 2.60 24.75  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-2   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISS LAO 5 2 22½ 21   11 15½ (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 13% 6.70 5.20 W
3  AMY'S LIGHT 3 5 47 42   46 25½ (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 108 30.00    
4  GEOPOLITICS 4 1 12½ 11   21 35½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.20 65% 0.50 0.05 S
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ 2 4 58 55   56½ 46¼ (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 20.00 52.75  
1  POSEIDON'S MIST 1 3 35 31½   34 56½ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
SCR  MALU               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:124 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SKYLANDER 3 6 51¼ 41¾ 2½ 11 13¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 15% 5.50 3.75 W
2  SUERTE 1 1 1½ 11½ 1½ 21 23¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 3.50  
6  KAHALA 5 4 61¾ 54¼ 44½ 35 36½ (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 126 12.00 18.70  
8  BEACHWALKER 7 2 41 64¾ 67 58 49¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
3  FLAT OUT FLYING 2 5 31 31½ 34 48 511¼ (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00 16% 5.10 7.60  
7  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 6 3 2½ 21½ 55½ 68½ 612 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7.50  
5  RUNNIN' RAY 4 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 45% 1.20 1.20  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIMIA 7 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 12 1¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 23.80  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORCE MAJEURE by DIXIELAND BAND)
1  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB) 5 3 52½ 53 55 33½ 2¾ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.90  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1A  MOONLIGHT GAL 8 5 31½ 31½ 32 22 32¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 ★ 0.90 S
  (by VEKOMA out of FLORIPA by TAPIT)
5  CHA CHA WREN 3 7 41½ 42 42½ 43½ 45 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 3.90  
  (by CONNECT out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
3  STRACA 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 54½ 510 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9.70  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
6  IMMIGRATION LAW 4 8 86¼ 86½ 68½ 68½ 610¼ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
7  RODEO STAR 6 6 74¾ 65 810 79 711¼ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 7.10  
  (by REDESDALE out of I'M A BIRD by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
4  TELLER TO WIN 2 2 64½ 75 79 89¼ 812½ (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEAR WILLA by HERE COMES BEN)
SCR  PRETTY MAGICAL               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
 
BAQ-5   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLUID SITUATION 2 3 31½ 2½   1½ 1¾ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20 W
8  SEAVER 8 6 53 73½   62¾ 2¾ (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 10% 9.10 26.25 P
7  STRAIGHT ARROW 7 4 43 42   32 31 (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 7.50  
5  TIDAL FORCES 5 8 74¼ 63   52¼ 41¾ (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30 6.00  
3  DUNEDIN 3 9 96¾ 97½   83¾ 52 (danner kelsey)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 20.50  
9  FORE HARP 9 1 11 1½   2½ 62½ (reid rober)RIVERA R 121 8.00 7.20  
10  ANACONDA 10 7 63¼ 52   72¾ 73½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.90 7.60  
1  COAST ALONG 1 2 21 31   42 84½ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 24% 3.10 2.10  
6  RIOT HOUSE 6 5 84¾ 86½   97¾ 98 (gargan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 58.50  
4  GASLIGHT DANCER 4 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
SCR  BIZ BIZ BUZZ               (maker mich)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
SCR  BRAMITO               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  GUN IT               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TORPEDO RUN 4 3 42 32 3½ 12 14¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.00 3.75 W
8  TRULLI WARRIOR 6 7 2½ 2½ 2½ 22 24¼ (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 23% 3.30 2.55 P
10  CONFABULATION 8 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 35 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 S
7  BAD BOY BUTCH 5 8 54½ 54 54¾ 47 411¾ (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 19.10  
4  PUJOL 2 4 66 64 44½ 67¾ 512¾ (ibrahim)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00 34.00  
5  BOLT D'PLATA 3 5 76 75 64¾ 57½ 612¾ (terranova )RIVERA R 124 6.00 8% 10.90 4.10  
9  CHANGE YOUR NAME 7 6 31½ 43½ 710¾ 820¾ 738¾ (lee joseph)LUZZI J 120 20.00 32.25  
2  MITOLE'S DIAMOND 1 1 86½ 86 811¼ 719¾ 840½ (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00 50.00  
SCR  FORCED ERRORS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  MAGICAL ROAD               (jacobs)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/17/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:161 1:421 2:07 2:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DANCING DEAN 2 810 89 75 63 12½ 13½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.60 W
4  YOUKNOWNOTHING 4 32 32½ 32 31½ 33½ 23½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.00 4.60 P
7  ELLE EST FORTE 7 56½ 55 54 41½ 22½ 35¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.50 S
1  ANILEATE 1 79 77½ 86 84½ 44½ 45¼ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 30.00 81.25  
5  VICTORIA'S DANCER 5 45½ 44 43 52½ 55 55¼ (avila ca)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
3  I'M A SURE THING 3 66½ 65½ 64½ 73½ 77 67¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8.50  
8  LULLABY LAND 8 21 21½ 21 21 66 711½ (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 45.00  
6  HERON BAY 6 11 11½ 11 11 811 820¾ (drysdale neil)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 68.75  
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
SCR  TONED UP               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MY LIFE STORY 9 8 74¼ 55½   32½ 11¼ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 47% 1.10 3.60 W
2  SPOKEN BLUNTLY 2 1 1nk 1½   11 21¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 24% 3.20 6.00 P
1  COUSIN ED 1 6 41¾ 32½   42½ 34 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
10  SCHERZANDO 10 2 2nk 2½   21 45 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.50 7% 13.10 3.95  
8  DRIVE THRU 8 7 84¾ 77   56 56 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
7  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS 7 10 95¾ 97¼   67 67 (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
3  STARSINTHECITY 3 5 63¼ 87   77¼ 78¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.90  
4  AWESOME FORCE 4 4 52¾ 66   910¼ 814¼ (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 124 12.00 36.25  
5  TAKE THE GOLD 5 3 31½ 45   88¾ 914½ (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 12.20  
6  FRANKIE R. 6 9 1011¾ 1013¼   1016¼ 1020¼ (coffey marialice)USKE S 121 30.00 73.00  
SCR  BRACA               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
SCR  CAN'T STAND DISCO               (paraga)GRISALES DANILO 121 30.00    
SCR  FELINE TREASURE               (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
SCR  MAXIMUS MONSTER               (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.