Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-6 $15.70 $3.70 31%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.50 $1.50 19%
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $24.40 $12.40 103%
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  6-6-4 $64.25 $16.25 34%
BAQ-5   WIN (10/1/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $26.40 $16.40 164%
    EXA (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-8 $240.75 $220.75 1104%
BAQ-6   DD (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-6 $60.75 $35.75 143%
BAQ-8   PK4 (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3)-(2/7/4/5)-(9/2/10/8/7) 500 $0.50 $250  2-6-2-9 $291.00 $41.00 16%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALYZED (FR)   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 40% 1.50 1.75 W
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of RED LINE by IMPEACHMENT)
JUST SO PRETTY   (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.30 7.50 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
SELFLESS   (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 10.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IMPASSE by QUALITY ROAD)
COUNTERINTELIGENCE (GB)   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 1.40  
  (by FRANKEL out of SPECTRE by SIYOUNI)
AMENDMENT   (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MO'S LOVE by UNCLE MO)
SO READY   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9.30  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GOLDEN NOTE   (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 28% 2.60 24.75  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY   (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  THE TACO LADY   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-2   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAO   (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 13% 6.70 5.20 W
AMY'S LIGHT   (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 108 30.00    
GEOPOLITICS   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.20 65% 0.50 0.05 S
BROOKLYN DANTZ   (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 20.00 52.75  
POSEIDON'S MIST   (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
SCR  MALU   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLANDER   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 15% 5.50 3.75 W
SUERTE   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 3.50  
KAHALA   (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 126 12.00 18.70  
BEACHWALKER   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
FLAT OUT FLYING   (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00 16% 5.10 7.60  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7.50  
RUNNIN' RAY   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 45% 1.20 1.20  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE   (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMIA   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 23.80  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORCE MAJEURE by DIXIELAND BAND)
TWILIGHT TANGO (GB)   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.90  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1A  MOONLIGHT GAL   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 0.90 S
  (by VEKOMA out of FLORIPA by TAPIT)
CHA CHA WREN   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 3.90  
  (by CONNECT out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
STRACA   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9.70  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
IMMIGRATION LAW   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
RODEO STAR   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 7.10  
  (by REDESDALE out of I'M A BIRD by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
TELLER TO WIN   (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEAR WILLA by HERE COMES BEN)
SCR  PRETTY MAGICAL   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
 
BAQ-5   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUID SITUATION   (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20 W
SEAVER   (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 10% 9.10 26.25 P
STRAIGHT ARROW   (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 7.50  
TIDAL FORCES   (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30 6.00  
DUNEDIN   (danner kelsey)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 20.50  
FORE HARP   (reid rober)RIVERA R 121 8.00 7.20  
10  ANACONDA   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.90 7.60  
COAST ALONG   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 24% 3.10 2.10  
RIOT HOUSE   (gargan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 58.50  
GASLIGHT DANCER   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
SCR  BIZ BIZ BUZZ   (maker mich)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
SCR  BRAMITO   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  GUN IT   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT   (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORPEDO RUN   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.00 3.75 W
TRULLI WARRIOR   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 23% 3.30 2.55 P
10  CONFABULATION   (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 S
BAD BOY BUTCH   (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 19.10  
PUJOL   (ibrahim)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00 34.00  
BOLT D'PLATA   (terranova )RIVERA R 124 6.00 8% 10.90 4.10  
CHANGE YOUR NAME   (lee joseph)LUZZI J 120 20.00 32.25  
MITOLE'S DIAMOND   (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00 50.00  
SCR  FORCED ERRORS   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  MAGICAL ROAD   (jacobs)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/17/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING DEAN   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.60 W
YOUKNOWNOTHING   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.00 4.60 P
ELLE EST FORTE   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.50 S
ANILEATE   (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 30.00 81.25  
VICTORIA'S DANCER   (avila ca)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
I'M A SURE THING   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8.50  
LULLABY LAND   (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 45.00  
HERON BAY   (drysdale neil)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 68.75  
SCR  JUST MUSIC   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
SCR  TONED UP   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIFE STORY   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 47% 1.10 3.60 W
SPOKEN BLUNTLY   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 24% 3.20 6.00 P
COUSIN ED   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
10  SCHERZANDO   (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.50 7% 13.10 3.95  
DRIVE THRU   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
TOMSCHICKENFINGERS   (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
STARSINTHECITY   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.90  
AWESOME FORCE   (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 124 12.00 36.25  
TAKE THE GOLD   (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 12.20  
FRANKIE R.   (coffey marialice)USKE S 121 30.00 73.00  
SCR  BRACA   (barrera s)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
SCR  CAN'T STAND DISCO   (paraga)GRISALES DANILO 121 30.00    
SCR  FELINE TREASURE   (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
SCR  MAXIMUS MONSTER   (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.