Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
BAQ-2   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 6.40
BAQ-3   Win (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $9.50 $9.50 1.50
BAQ-4   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $49.60  
BAQ-5   Win (10/1/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $26.40 $26.40 16.40
BAQ-6   Win (6/8/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.50 $9.50  
BAQ-7   Win (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
BAQ-8   Win (9/2/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.20 $9.20  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:222 :48 1:134 1:383   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALYZED (FR) 6 1 11 2nk 1nk 11 1nk (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 40% 1.50 1.75 W
JUST SO PRETTY 4 2 21 1nk 2nk 21 2nk (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.30 7.50 P
SELFLESS 3 5 5 5 34 3 3 (antonacci phi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 10.40  
COUNTERINTELIGENCE (GB) 5 7 7 77 5 510½ 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 1.40  
AMENDMENT 2 4 4 4 66 410 510¾ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
SO READY 1 6 6 66 7 614½ 614 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9.30  
GOLDEN NOTE 7 3 31 33 4 714½ 717 (giangiulio miche)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 28% 2.60 24.75  
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.00    
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40    
 
BAQ-2   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAO 5 2 2 21   11 1 (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 13% 6.70 5.20 W
AMY'S LIGHT 3 5 47 42   46 2 (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 108 30.00    
GEOPOLITICS 4 1 1 11   21 3 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.20 65% 0.50 0.05 S
BROOKLYN DANTZ 2 4 58 55   5 4 (arenas ma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 20.00 52.75  
POSEIDON'S MIST 1 3 35 3   34 5 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
SCR  MALU               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:124 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLANDER 3 6 5 4 2½ 11 1 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 15% 5.50 3.75 W
SUERTE 1 1 1½ 1 1½ 21 2 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 3.50  
KAHALA 5 4 6 5 4 35 3 (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 126 12.00 18.70  
BEACHWALKER 7 2 41 6 67 58 4 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
FLAT OUT FLYING 2 5 31 3 34 48 511¼ (padilla-preciado)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00 16% 5.10 7.60  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 6 3 2½ 2 5 6 612 (duggan david)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7.50  
RUNNIN' RAY 4 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 45% 1.20 1.20  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (kantarmaci ilkay)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMIA 7 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 12 1¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 23.80  
TWILIGHT TANGO (GB) 5 3 5 53 55 3 2¾ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.90  
1A  MOONLIGHT GAL 8 5 3 3 32 22 3 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 0.90 S
CHA CHA WREN 3 7 4 42 4 4 45 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 3.90  
STRACA 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 5 510 (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9.70  
IMMIGRATION LAW 4 8 8 8 6 6 610¼ (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
RODEO STAR 6 6 7 65 810 79 711¼ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 7.10  
TELLER TO WIN 2 2 6 75 79 8 812½ (abreu jor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
SCR  PRETTY MAGICAL               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUID SITUATION 2 3 3 2½   1½ 1¾ (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.20 W
SEAVER 8 6 53 7   6 2¾ (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 10% 9.10 26.25 P
STRAIGHT ARROW 7 4 43 42   32 31 (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 7.50  
TIDAL FORCES 5 8 7 63   5 4 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30 6.00  
DUNEDIN 3 9 9 9   8 52 (danner kelsey)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 20.50  
FORE HARP 9 1 11 1½   2½ 6 (reid robert )RIVERA R 121 8.00 7.20  
10  ANACONDA 10 7 6 52   7 7 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.90 7.60  
COAST ALONG 1 2 21 31   42 8 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 24% 3.10 2.10  
RIOT HOUSE 6 5 8 8   9 98 (gargan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 58.50  
GASLIGHT DANCER 4 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
SCR  BIZ BIZ BUZZ               (maker michae)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
SCR  BRAMITO               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  GUN IT               (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORPEDO RUN 4 3 42 32 3½ 12 1 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.00 3.75 W
TRULLI WARRIOR 6 7 2½ 2½ 2½ 22 2 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 23% 3.30 2.55 P
10  CONFABULATION 8 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 35 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 S
BAD BOY BUTCH 5 8 5 54 5 47 411¾ (sacco gregory)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 19.10  
PUJOL 2 4 66 64 4 6 512¾ (ibrahim e)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00 34.00  
BOLT D'PLATA 3 5 76 75 6 5 612¾ (terranova jo)RIVERA R 124 6.00 8% 10.90 4.10  
CHANGE YOUR NAME 7 6 3 4 710¾ 820¾ 738¾ (lee joseph)LUZZI J 120 20.00 32.25  
MITOLE'S DIAMOND 1 1 8 86 811¼ 719¾ 840½ (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00 50.00  
SCR  FORCED ERRORS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  MAGICAL ROAD               (jacobson)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/17/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:161 1:421 2:07 2:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING DEAN 2 810 89 75 63 1 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.60 W
YOUKNOWNOTHING 4 32 3 32 3 3 2 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.00 4.60 P
ELLE EST FORTE 7 5 55 54 4 2 3 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 10% 8.60 4.50 S
ANILEATE 1 79 7 86 8 4 4 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 122 30.00 81.25  
VICTORIA'S DANCER 5 4 44 43 5 55 5 (avila carl)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
I'M A SURE THING 3 6 6 6 7 77 6 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8.50  
LULLABY LAND 8 21 2 21 21 66 711½ (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 45.00  
HERON BAY 6 11 1 11 11 811 820¾ (drysdale neil)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 68.75  
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
SCR  TONED UP               (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIFE STORY 9 8 7 5   3 1 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 47% 1.10 3.60 W
SPOKEN BLUNTLY 2 1 1nk 1½   11 2 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 24% 3.20 6.00 P
COUSIN ED 1 6 4 3   4 34 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
10  SCHERZANDO 10 2 2nk 2½   21 45 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.50 7% 13.10 3.95  
DRIVE THRU 8 7 8 77   56 56 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
TOMSCHICKENFINGERS 7 10 9 9   67 67 (nevin michell)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
STARSINTHECITY 3 5 6 87   7 7 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.90  
AWESOME FORCE 4 4 5 66   910¼ 814¼ (diprima gregory)LUZZI J 124 12.00 36.25  
TAKE THE GOLD 5 3 3 45   8 914½ (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 12.20  
FRANKIE R. 6 9 1011¾ 1013¼   1016¼ 1020¼ (coffey marialice)USKE S 121 30.00 73.00  
SCR  BRACA               (barrera s)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
SCR  CAN'T STAND DISCO               (paragall)GRISALES DANILO 121 30.00    
SCR  FELINE TREASURE               (shivmangal loli)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
SCR  MAXIMUS MONSTER               (reynolds j)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.