Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/3/4/8)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/8)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/8)-(1/4/6)-(10/1/5/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(10/1/5/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (10/1/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2)-(10/1/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/8/2)-(6/8/10/5/3)-(2/7/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/8/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/5/3)-(6/8/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/5/3)-(6/8/10/5/3)-(6/8/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/10/5/3)-(2/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/5/3)-(2/7/4/5)-(9/2/10/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(9/2/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/2/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/8/7)-(9/2/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/8/7)-(9/2/10/8/7)-(9/2/10/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO READY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  AMENDMENT Aug16         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MO'S LOVE by UNCLE MO)
3  SELFLESS         (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IMPASSE by QUALITY ROAD)
4  JUST SO PRETTY Aug23 Jun16 May18     (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
5  COUNTERINTELIGENCE (GB)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
  (by FRANKEL out of SPECTRE by SIYOUNI)
6  CATALYZED (FR) Aug23 Jun30 Jun01     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of RED LINE by IMPEACHMENT)
7  GOLDEN NOTE Jan20         (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of G MOM by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  THE TACO LADY Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 May18 May04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-2   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S MIST Sep02 Jul21 Jun15 May17 Apr07 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Oct06 Aug07 Jul18 Jun20 May11 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 20.00    
3  AMY'S LIGHT Sep20 Jul17 Jul07 Jun20 May09 (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 108 30.00    
4  GEOPOLITICS Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.20 65% 0.50    
SCR  MALU Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
6  MISS LAO Aug30 Aug01 Jun28 May04 Apr06 (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
 
BAQ-3   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE Sep27 Aug28 Aug08 Jun09 Apr26 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Aug21 Jul25 Jun30 May04 Mar30 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
2  SUERTE Sep13 Aug21 Jul13 Jun08 Mar09 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
3  FLAT OUT FLYING Sep23 Aug27 Jul25 May01 Apr05 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  SKYLANDER Sep19 Aug18 Jul19 Jun21 May25 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  RUNNIN' RAY Sep29 Aug21 Jun28 May31 Jan14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  KAHALA Oct01 Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 May10 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 126 12.00    
7  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jul11 Apr26 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
8  BEACHWALKER Sep14 Jul25 Jun30 Apr19 Apr05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB) Sep20         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1A  MOONLIGHT GAL Aug30         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 ★    
  (by VEKOMA out of FLORIPA by TAPIT)
SCR  PRETTY MAGICAL Aug22         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
3  STRACA Sep20         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  TELLER TO WIN Sep21         (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEAR WILLA by HERE COMES BEN)
5  CHA CHA WREN Aug21         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of WICKED DRAW by WILD AND WICKED)
6  IMMIGRATION LAW Sep20         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
7  RODEO STAR         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of I'M A BIRD by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
8  TIMIA Sep13 Aug14       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORCE MAJEURE by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
BAQ-5   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COAST ALONG Aug23 Jul21 Jun21 May19 Apr21 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  FLUID SITUATION Jun07 Apr20 Jan12 Oct27 Aug24 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUNEDIN Sep11 Mar28 Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 (danner kelsey)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
4  GASLIGHT DANCER Sep15 Aug14 Jun23 May25 Apr27 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
5  TIDAL FORCES Sep01 Jul13 May27 Apr20 Mar30 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  RIOT HOUSE Nov19 Sep10 Apr17 Mar12   (gargan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
7  STRAIGHT ARROW Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug23 (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00    
8  SEAVER Sep01 Aug17 May18 Mar28 Feb24 (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 10% 9.10    
9  FORE HARP Sep21 Aug26 Jul26 Jul06 Apr20 (reid rober)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
10  ANACONDA Sep21 Sep05 Jul15 Jun10 May06 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 May05 (maker mich)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
SCR  THRILL OF IT Jul26 Jun08 May02 Apr05 Mar03 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
SCR  BRAMITO Oct05 Aug30 Jul24 Apr12 Sep24 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  GUN IT Aug22 Jul20 Jun08 May26 Nov17 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH Sep01 Aug18 Jun22 May03 Apr11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
2  MITOLE'S DIAMOND Jun21 Apr26       (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 120 50.00    
SCR  MAGICAL ROAD Sep28 Jul31 Jun27 May29 May09 (jacobs)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PUJOL Sep14 Aug07 Jul12 Jun30 Jun06 (ibrahim)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
5  BOLT D'PLATA Oct05 Aug04 Jul11 May23 Apr11 (terranova )RIVERA R 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
6  TORPEDO RUN Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Sep06 May01 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  BAD BOY BUTCH Aug04         (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
8  TRULLI WARRIOR Sep14 Aug08 Jul14 Jun07   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  CHANGE YOUR NAME Sep01 Aug17       (lee joseph)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
10  CONFABULATION Aug31 Jul31       (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  FORCED ERRORS Oct03 Aug31 Aug02 Jun21   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/17/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANILEATE Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Jul19 Jun14 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 30.00    
2  DANCING DEAN Sep20 Aug16 Jul18 Jun16 Nov18 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.20 56% 0.80    
3  I'M A SURE THING Apr24 Feb21 Jan14 Dec17 Nov05 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
4  YOUKNOWNOTHING Apr28 Mar23 Jan03 Nov19   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.00    
5  VICTORIA'S DANCER Sep20 Aug17 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 (avila ca)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HERON BAY Aug24 Jul31 May01 Mar27 Dec31 (drysdale neil)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
7  ELLE EST FORTE Sep20 Aug08 Jul25 May09 Mar21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
8  LULLABY LAND Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 Jul07 Jun18 (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 May24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
SCR  TONED UP Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun21 Apr18 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN ED Sep13 Jun22       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
2  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Sep13 Jun29 May17 Apr19 Feb15 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  STARSINTHECITY Sep19 Aug25 Jul19 Dec17 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
4  AWESOME FORCE Sep19 Jul05 Jun09 Jul01 May19 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
5  TAKE THE GOLD Aug06         (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
6  FRANKIE R. Apr19 Mar09 Feb23 Dec02 Nov12 (coffey marialice)USKE S 121 30.00    
7  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS Jul18         (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DRIVE THRU         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY LIFE STORY Sep19 Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May03 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
10  SCHERZANDO Apr27 Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH Sep19 Jun29 Jun22 Apr04 Nov04 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
SCR  CAN'T STAND DISCO Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 Jun27 (paraga)GRISALES DANILO 121 30.00    
SCR  FELINE TREASURE Sep27 Jul26 Jun28 May12 Apr26 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
SCR  MAXIMUS MONSTER         (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  BRACA Sep19 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 121 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.