Handicappers' Racing Form

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Kentucky Downs
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KD-1   Win (1/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-2   Win (10/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-3   Win (9/10/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-4   Win (8/1/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-5   Win (4/8/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-6   Win (8/11/10/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-7   Win (7/4/6/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-8   Win (1/6/8/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-9   Win (6/9/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-10   Win (8/12/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-11   Win (11/9/2/5/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KD-1   09/08/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T BACKDOWN Jul13 Jun15       (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 8.00 46% 1.20    
PACK A LUNCH         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CRYSTAL HILL Aug18 Aug03       (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
BOLD COMFORT Jul14 Jun23       (perez manny)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
GOLDEN AFTERNOON         (vaccarezza carl)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
HOTLINE BLINK Aug24         (chavez manuel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS Aug17         (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.20    
BILDERBERG         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
DOM TRACES         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  TRAITOUR         (hancock b)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
KD-2   09/08/2024 6930ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGLICAN Aug11 Jul11 May29 Mar10   (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00    
BLACK IRON Aug29 Jul14       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
SPEED INSTITUTE Aug27 Jun06 Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 (salas felipe)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIGGEROO Aug15 Jul11 Jun18 Apr21 Jan19 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00    
BADGE OF WAR Aug08 Jun30 Apr26 Mar01 Nov14 (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 10% 9.30    
WARP NINE Aug25 Dec15 Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
CRUSADER CONRAD Jul28 Jun16 May21     (mcsorley jo)BEALMEAR C 117 50.00    
FORT THOMAS Jul08 Jun08 May10 Apr06 Jan26 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
GREER'S GOLD Aug24         (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
10  DE LA CRUZ Jul20 Jun22 Jun02 Apr13 Mar02 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
KD-3   09/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISNAMEISOKAY Aug03 Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Dec09 (hernandez s)ROCCO S 122 12.00 9% 9.90    
SAMAY (PER) Aug07 Jul31 Jul21 Jul17 Jul07 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
INFINITE DIAMOND Jun20 Jun02 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 (biancone patrick )JARAMILLO E 122 15.00    
SARA MIA Jul21 Jun23 May26 Mar10 Jan21 (pessin neil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
MAXISUPERFLY Aug04 May03 Mar23 Mar01 Feb10 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  ROYAL DAME Jun28 Apr20 Feb24 Jan27 Dec28 (falcone rob)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOVIN' ON UP Aug02 Jun13 Mar23 Mar03 Dec28 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
BIRDIE ROSE Jul31 Jul22 Jun27 Jun15 May22 (salas marcel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
MALLEYMOO Aug16 Jun20 May17 Oct15 Sep02 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  CAROLINE STREET Aug16 Jun13 May03 Aug04   (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
11  MOON RAY (FR) Aug22 Jul21 Apr20 Mar23 Mar03 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 50.00    
12  ROSA Aug02 Jun22 May18 Apr27 Oct15 (attard kevin)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SCR  ZO LEE Aug05 Jun22 May29 May04 Mar30 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  BEST PERFORMER Jul28 Jun20 May19 Feb22 Jan15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  SCHOOL DANCE Jun02 May03 Apr04 Feb25 Aug12 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION May30 Apr20 Jan13 Nov04 Aug31 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
KD-4   09/08/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK HARD ROSE Aug17         (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Aug12 Jul22 Jul13 Jun16   (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 30.00    
MOOCHIE GIRL Jul21 Jun16 May27     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
SCR  BARBARINA Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun28   (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  TEGWAR Aug25 Jul09       (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  J Z'S LAST SCHANCE Jun02         (zawitz joel)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00    
DIAGRAM Aug10         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 16% 5.40    
WILL NOT BE SWAYED Aug07 Jul11       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.40 39% 1.60    
BISA Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16   (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
10  POVERTY WITH AVIEW         (gorder kellyn)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
11  HIGH SUMMER Jul31         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  JEWISH MOTHER Aug17 Jun28 Jun16     (hobby steve)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
13  PARISIAN LIGHT Aug04         (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  QUINTESSENTIALLADY         (holden darragh)LUCILLE GEENA 119 30.00    
SCR  GALA ROSE         (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM Aug29 Aug17 May19 May13 Apr26 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/08/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($190K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLA HAZE Aug10 Jul05 May10 Apr04 Nov25 (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
COZEE RAGS Jul15 Jun26 May18 Apr05 Mar01 (michael bri)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
TRUE PRINCESS Jul12 May05 Apr05 Jan26 Dec14 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) Jul13 Jun28 May12 Apr12 Sep10 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
BETTE DAVIS May30 May09 Apr05 Mar13 Feb10 (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
IRINA'S CHARM Jul27 Oct21 Sep16     (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY BAR Aug05 Jun28 May30 Apr20 Mar21 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 121 20.00    
KEHOE BEACH Jul07 Jun07 Apr12 Jan31   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
CLARET BERET Aug05 Jul04 May25 Apr21 Mar23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
10  BIG TROUBLE Jul29 Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr12 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
11  CHOATE Jun25 Mar13 Sep02     (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
SCR  RED RIVER MAGIC Aug10 Feb18 Dec29 Nov23 Oct26 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
SCR  COME AS YOU ARE Sep07 Jun20 May25     (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MUSTANG LADY Aug10 Jul15 Jun19 Oct18 Sep10 (newton troy)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
15  CAIRO STREET Jul27 May10 Dec09 Oct11 Sep13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMIS SOUND Aug17 Jul20 May12 Apr13 Mar08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
 
KD-6   09/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 2 F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEY ACTRESS         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN Jul21 May31       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 8% 11.30    
HEART'S COMPASS Aug03         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
MARGARITA BLUEBIRD Aug22         (perez manny)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
ARE YOU A SPY Aug25         (bogle fergu)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
TAKE NOTE OF THIS Aug04 Jul06       (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GODDAUGHTER Aug17         (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00    
OCEAN RIPPLE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
LOB Aug10         (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
10  BIG AIR Jul22         (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 9% 9.70    
11  BALLERINA D'ORO Aug04         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
12  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE Aug12         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  ANNA'S PROMISE Aug25         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
SCR  CRUZ CHICA         (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
15  MO ICE FORTHE LADY Aug25         (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00    
SCR  SUMMER AFFAIR Jul30         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 30.00    
 
KD-7   09/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Kentucky Downs Juvenile Mile Purse ($1000K) 2 ALL PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BRIGADE Aug01 May11       (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00    
EMMETT Aug09         (d'angelo f)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
TURNBUCKLE Aug19 Aug05 Jul20 Jun19 May02 (hancock dana)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
REACH FOR THE ROSE Sep01 Aug03 May11     (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
I'M OTTER HERE Aug18 Jul28       (hiles a)TORRES A 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
WEST BEACH Jul27 Jun23       (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
FORGED STEEL Aug11 Jul13       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  THE COUNT IS ON Aug21 Aug01 Jul06     (corrigan jim)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
READY FOR PEACE Aug17         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
10  TIZTASTIC Aug29 Jul27       (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
11  MIKA Jul22 Jun14       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  KIRIN Aug03 May31       (d'angelo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
SCR  HOMIE Jun05         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
14  COAL BATTLE Jul25         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
SCR  LUSH LIPS (GB)         (o'brien donnacha)SAEZ LUIS 115 5.00    
 
KD-8   09/08/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Untapable Purse ($1000K) 2 F PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S ALL CHARM Aug12         (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
ULTIMA GRACE Apr18         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
GIVE LIFE Aug15         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
CIVETTA Aug10         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
WINFINITY Aug03         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Jul05 Jun02       (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
UNCHAINED ELAINE Jul12 Jun01 May11 Apr12   (biancone patrick )JARAMILLO E 120 15.00    
KILWIN Jul27         (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
ABIENTOT Aug18 Jul18 Jun21     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  ANDREA Jul26         (joseph saff)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00    
11  DREAMGIRL Jul11 Jun14       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 20.00    
12  VIGGIEDAL Aug18 Jul11 Jun14     (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 10.00 6% 14.90    
13  COTILLARD May22 Apr26       (seglin e)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
SCR  RUN CAMILA RUN Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 May13 Apr07 (decker ann)RODRIGUEZ A 120 50.00    
SCR  PERFECT FIGURE Jul31         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
 
KD-9   09/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Kentucky Downs Juvenile Fillie Purse ($1000K) 2 F PT- 5:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAVININO Aug29 Jul28       (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
MEAN EILEEN Sep01 Aug08       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
BONNE FILLE Jul11 Jun21       (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
PLAYFUL LASS Aug21 Jul31       (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 13% 6.80    
SORRY NOT SORRY Aug17 Aug01       (lauer michael)TORRES A 118 20.00    
MAY DAY READY Aug04         (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
FLIP FLOPS Jul06 Jun14 Apr26     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
SASHAY AWAY Jul21         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SHE'S GOT WILL Aug15         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
10  SOMETHINABOUTHER Aug04 Jun14       (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  INTO THE FRAY Jul21         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
12  TIGERISH Jun24         (baltas richard)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
SCR  SWEET TREASURE Aug17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  KNIGHTOFCARAVAGGIO Jul30         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  RAMSEY POND Aug29 Jul19       (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
SCR  BESSIE ABOTT (IRE)         (mulvany michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
KD-10   09/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Global Tote Gun Runner Purse ($1500K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUNK ON SAKE Jul27 Jun29 Jun06 May16   (kantarmaci )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  HENRO Aug04 Jul06 Jun05 May05 Apr05 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
HERCHEE Jul27 Jun30       (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 13% 6.90    
ARMY OFFICER Aug02 Jun07 May11 Mar30 Mar08 (cox h)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
IN A JAM Aug11 Jul13 Jun08 May04 Mar09 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
ASPENITE Jul13 May31 May01 Apr07 Jan19 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00    
LUCKY JEREMY Jul13 May27 Apr13 Mar23 Feb18 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRILLIANT BERTI Aug11 Jun29 Jun07 May02 Feb15 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  CALL PROTECTION Aug29 Jul13 Oct22     (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
10  DEPICTION Jun29 May31 Apr05 Jan06 Oct08 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
11  KENTUCKY GO GO Aug13 Jul18 Jun27     (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00    
12  NEAT Aug02 Jun29 May04 Apr05 Jan27 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
13  KARLWITHANARL Aug18 Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 Mar23 (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
 
KD-11   09/08/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCURSION Jul06 Apr26       (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
GUN BARREL Aug10         (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 8.00 22% 3.50    
NA PALI JOE Aug03         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
AINT NO JOKE Nov25 Nov02       (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
THUNDER APPEAL         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC Aug10 Jul20       (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
DADDY'S DINERO Aug13 Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 Sep25 (vaughan edward)SPENCER P 121 15.00    
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF Aug26 Aug01 Jul07 Jun11 Apr29 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00    
RESEARCH RESULTS Jul06 May03       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
10  INDY CHARGE Jul18 Jun27 May08 Apr14 Mar15 (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
11  BORN FLASHY Mar23         (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
12  LONGISLAND LORENZO         (falcone robert)TORRES A 121 15.00    
13  BALTHAZAR Aug23 Jun09 May04 Mar09 Jun17 (drysdale ne)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VELOCIRAPTOR Aug04         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  TECHNE Sep17 Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr13 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 121 50.00    
SCR  GOES THE CLOWN Aug10 Jul13 Jan13 Dec03   (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.