Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - March 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/3/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/3/1/7)-(7/10/8/3/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7)-(7/10/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7)-(7/10/8/3/4)-(3/8/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/10/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/3/4)-(7/10/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/3/4)-(7/10/8/3/4)-(7/10/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/8/3/4)-(3/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/8/3/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(12/10/3/7/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/4)-(12/10/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/4)-(12/10/3/7/5)-(4/10/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (12/10/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/10/3/7/5)-(12/10/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/10/3/7/5)-(12/10/3/7/5)-(12/10/3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/10/3/7/5)-(4/10/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/10/3/7/5)-(4/10/6/1)-(6/3/7/1/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/10/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/1)-(4/10/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/1)-(4/10/6/1)-(4/10/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/6/1)-(6/3/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6/1)-(6/3/7/1/9)-(7/5/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/3/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/1/9)-(6/3/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/1/9)-(6/3/7/1/9)-(6/3/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/7/1/9)-(7/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/1/9)-(7/5/8/3)-(6/9/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-10   WIN (7/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/3)-(6/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-11   WIN (6/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL SLIPPERS Feb27 Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 Apr24 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
OUTSIDE THE LAW Feb01 Jan07 Oct28 May06 Apr22 (campo stacy)REYES R 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
BEYOND AWESOME Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Apr22 Mar25 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 122 1.60    
GRACIE'S A TIGER Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Mar12 (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE STORM Feb27 Jan31 Aug11 Jul22 Jun09 (moreno )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 10% 8.90    
CASH'S CAT Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 (silva-martine)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00    
BARON'S SONG Feb26 Jan31 Dec05 Oct18 Sep15 (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
LITTLE AXE SOUL Feb14 Jan18 May07 Apr13   (mccartney )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
MAESTOSO Feb26         (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 5.00    
RANGER JOE Mar04 Feb13 Jan26 Nov24 Oct27 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.20 39% 1.60    
LIGHTED VESSEL Feb28         (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Three Year Old Sales Final Purse ($35K) 3 C/G PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACK ROBBER         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of ASSYRIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
CAUTION CARDINAL Feb15 Jan05 Nov20 Sep30 Sep09 (story chad)MAWING A 122 12.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Feb15 Nov13       (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TIZ WILD WIND by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
KAE GAE Feb23 Jan19 Nov20     (long vaughn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY OF HARRODS by DUBAWI (IRE))
U CAN DO U Feb15 Nov28 Aug26 Jul08 Jun24 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
BIG MOONIE Sep10 Jul16 May06 Apr15   (villamar candela)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
SARAH'S BIG BANG Feb15 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (evans jus)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
ARIZONA DAVIN Feb15 Jan05       (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
ARIZONA SUMMER Feb15         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SUMMERS PEACE by ORIENTATE)
10  SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Feb18 Jan19 Jan05     (hon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ANGEL OF BATTLE by DUNKIRK)
11  DON JUAN BUBBA Feb15 Sep11 Aug28 Jul17 Jun11 (eikleberry ke)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
 
TUP-6   03/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Dec12 Nov20 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
CAT ON THE RUN Mar05 Feb15 Apr29     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 1.60    
FLATTER ME ZEN Feb07 Dec15 Oct20 Oct06 Aug31 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
JESSICA BLAH BLAH Feb28 Feb15 Jan29 Dec22 Dec01 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
HAUGHTY KITTY Feb13 Jan31 Dec06 Nov19 Nov13 (simpson sh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
BONITA DIXIE Feb26 Feb07 Sep09 Aug21 Sep19 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
OLD WEST Jan04 Nov29 Nov21 Apr08 Mar09 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
OUT OF STARS Feb28 Feb07 Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 (koler steve)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-7   03/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRICKHOUSE Mar05 Feb14 Jan19 Nov13 Oct28 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
SCR  SEAU Feb29 Dec08 Sep05 Jun17 May06 (evans justin)REYES R 124 2.50    
LIL MIRACLE MAN Jan28 Jan05 Nov12 Oct14 Oct08 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
HONKY TONK HERO Oct31 Oct08 Sep10 Jul23 Jun26 (wolf ashlee)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
TAINO HOUSE Feb29 Feb06 Jan19 Dec19 May14 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHAOKOON Feb28 Feb13 Nov23 Oct13 Sep18 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Feb02 Oct13 Sep01 Aug19 Jul17 (long vaughn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RHODIUM RUNNER Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Oct27 Sep04 (christian billy)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
ITS BIG Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 Dec10 (christian)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
10  UPPER ROOM Feb29 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 9% 10.40    
11  TRACK BOUND Feb29 Feb20 Feb06 Jan18 Nov21 (alvarez ser)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
12  BIG SCOTT DADDY Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 54% 0.80    
 
TUP-8   03/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S MAN Feb19 Nov14 Sep15 Aug04 Jun24 (alvarez)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 18.20    
JOE DID IT Feb29 Mar13 Feb19 Feb01 Dec17 (o'brien d)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
SEEKET SAUCE Feb23 Feb10 Jan12     (tamayo isidro)REYES R 118 4.00    
WHISKEY VISION Feb27 Feb13 Oct06 Sep17 Aug06 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  BIG IRISH Nov24 Nov03 Apr17     (ch)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
DR. TROTTER         (tubbs scott)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 12.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  HOT ROD JIMMY Feb27 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec26 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
SCR  SECRET RIDDLES Dec19 Dec06       (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 118 6.00    
HUSTO Feb29 Feb12 Apr15     (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 118 15.00    
10  FED GRANT Feb19 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 (birdwel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 27% 2.80    
11  CLASS COMPOUNDS Feb27 Feb19 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-9   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPO Feb28 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Mar05 Feb21 Oct13 Oct06 Sep17 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
BEROLIJEAN (FR) Jan29 Dec09 Oct13 Sep09 Aug13 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50 8% 11.10    
BROOKYS TAPIT Feb14 Dec09 Oct22 Oct06 Aug03 (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 5.00    
FRISCO KID Feb20 Jan29 Dec05 Sep03 Aug13 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
PERFECT COME BACK Feb14 Jan29 Jan11 Mar13 Feb19 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
EAST RAND Feb22 Feb07 Jan31 Nov21 Oct29 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 7% 13.70    
PARTYOFSIXTEEN Mar05 Feb14 Jan29 Dec18 Nov28 (barraza ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Mar05 Feb14 Jan29 Oct17 Sep18 (rojas mur)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 Jan19 Oct29 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  STEALTH MISSION Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Oct29 Oct18 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER SHANDEE Mar01 Jan21 May12 Apr15 Mar05 (fuentes ru)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50    
 
TUP-10   03/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLEETRIDGE Jan12 Dec09 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
FALSELY ACCUSED Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50    
MY MAN BIGGIE Feb15 Nov08 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RACE HOME Oct21 Sep19 Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 (anderson gonzalo)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Jan11 Dec30 Nov29 Aug27 Aug03 (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 26% 2.90    
GRAY MAGICIAN Feb12 Oct21 Sep09 Jul29 Jul12 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Feb21 Feb05 Jan11 Nov21 Oct29 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
BIGFOOT CITY Feb01 Oct21 Oct11 Sep04 Aug06 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
TUP-11   03/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LANA Feb07 Dec10 Nov17 Sep26 Aug30 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
MIDNIGHT FROST Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Oct25 Oct16 (rojas murr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
FLIPLIT Feb07 Oct14 Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 (whitehouse wilto)MAWING A 124 20.00    
SCR  MARY WALKER Feb22 Feb06 Dec30 Sep10 Aug06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
FOLK HERO Feb26 Jan29 Nov05 Oct30 Oct23 (gomez aleja)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
IF YOU WANT IT Jun09 May02 Mar29 Mar08 Feb08 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHES GOT THE POWER Feb12 Jan30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug03 (silva jose )ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
CRIMINAL RECORD Feb22 Nov11 Nov01 Sep13 Sep02 (asprino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
MERINO WOOL Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Oct09 Sep19 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SHERILINDA Feb26 Jan28 Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00    
SCR  METAROSE Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Dec11 Nov14 (hernandez mi)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Mar04 Feb06 Jan04 Oct02 Aug18 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.