Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $8.30 $4.30 108%
CTD-4   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $17.30 $5.30 44%
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6-3 $20.40 $14.40 240%
    DD (4/1)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-4 $19.60 $7.60 63%
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/1)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3/4-4 $29.15 $17.15 143%
CTD-5   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $25.30 $19.30 322%
CTD-7   PK3 (6/2/3)-(6/1/2)-(6/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-ALL-2 $30.60 $3.60 13%
CTD-8   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%
CTD-10   WIN (3/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $22.70 $14.70 184%
    EXA (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $55.60 $31.60 132%
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:231 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOHAYMEN DAY 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 15% 5.60 3.15 W
1  OUT FRONT 1 5 2½ 31   2½ 2½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 6.00 6.55  
5  WILD ARCH 5 3 53 41   31 31¾ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.40 58% 0.70 1.45 S
3  CARRIE'S SUCCESS 3 2 41½ 51½   52 42¼ (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50 4.00  
4  PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE 4 4 3½ 2½   41 56½ (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 3.95  
 
CTD-3   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HARD TO COME HOME 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 11¾ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 48% 1.10 1.20 W
6  NORTH FORK 5 4 3½ 31½   3½ 21¾ (kingston kar)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 5.00  
5  CARSON'S LEGACY 4 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 32¼ (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 3.65  
1  ESCROW STYLE 1 5 54 46½   44½ 44¾ (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 16% 5.20 2.90  
2  JUMEIRAH COAST 2 3 42 510½   59½ 513¼ (smith r)CUMBERBATCH R 125 8.00 9.90  
SCR  STORMY SUMMIT               (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 15.00    
 
CTD-4   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TUCKER TIME 4 6 4¾ 2½   2½ 1nk (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 12% 7.00 2.10 W
6  SMASH FACTOR 6 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.00 P
3  EXPLODE 3 5 61 51¼   33 31¾ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 3.50 28% 2.50 3.10 S
1  MOONSHINE NOW 1 1 5¾ 61¾   55½ 44¼ (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00 8.25  
2  WHITEROSE SPIRIT 2 2 2½ 41   66 57¾ (brown shelley)BRYAN D 122 20.00 41.40  
5  SASSY CINDERELLA 5 3 3½ 31   45 69¼ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 15.00 17.80  
7  REDNECK REMARK 7 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (mcdonald rob)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 10.05  
 
CTD-5   10/21/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:103     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPORTSCARR 3 4 52¼ 2nk   1½ 1nk (heggie ro)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00 22% 3.60 11.65 W
4  THE BEAT 4 3 41¾ 41¾   3½ 2nk (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.00 2.95  
5  RUNNINFORCOVER 5 5 63¼ 63¾   51¼ 31¼ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 16.45  
6  SILVERFOOT 6 6 31½ 52¼   2½ 41½ (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 26% 2.90 1.75  
1  BEAUGATTI 1 1 1nk 1nk   4¾ 54¼ (tingle ken)SIMPSON W 125 12.00 18.80  
2  DANCING WILLIE 2 2 2nk 3.2   61¼ 68¾ (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.00 23% 3.40 1.65  
 
CTD-6   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FLASHFORDANI 5 5 42 21   1nk 11¾ (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 5.10  
1  TOOL TIME 1 1 11 11   2nk 21¾ (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.80 24% 3.10 1.80 P
3  WALKTHELINE 3 4 31½ 31   3½ 35 (mcdonald rob)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 4.55  
4  MOUNT ASGARD 4 6 66 65   66 46¼ (kingston c)BRYAN D 123 10.00 18.75  
6  SLEW'S BAK 6 2 53½ 52   42½ 56¼ (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 41% 1.40 3.00  
2  LINCHPIN STORM 2 3 21 41½   53½ 67½ (reid colton)SIMPSON W 125 15.00 7% 13.60 4.55  
 
CTD-7   10/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Getty Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :452 1:101 1:362   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DECOY 2 6 32 43½ 41 1½ 13½ (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 25% 2.90 2.15 W
  (by AIKENITE out of WINE GLOW by TIZNOW)
3  WHERE'S THE GOLD 3 4 55 57½ 54 43 23½ (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 113 20.00 17.30  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of RIVERMAID DANCING by RIVERMAN)
7  IMPACTO 7 2 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 33½ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 14% 5.90 4.90 S
  (by FIRST DUDE out of RARA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
1  ROCKTILLYOUDROP 1 5 42 33 3½ 31½ 45¾ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 120 10.00 14.65  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of RED HOT ROCKET by MR. EXPO)
5  DRINKING AGAIN 5 3 65½ 68 67 58 512 (frey carson)CUMBERBATCH R 116 15.00 31.90  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STORM SWEPT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  GLAVA 6 1 21 2½ 1nk 68½ 612½ (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 39% 1.60 3.15  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ZENZELDA by REY DE CAFE)
4  RACE HOME 4 7 75¾ 79 715 720½ 731 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 2.50 2.30  
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
 
CTD-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXAMINER 1 1 51½ 53½   31 1¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 25% 3.00 3.70 W
7  BACKSTREET BOBBY 7 4 2½ 2½   1nk 2¾ (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 3.00 2.15  
3  BIG AL'S VISION 3 3 41 43   52 33¾ (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 125 6.00 8.60  
6  LONESOME CAT 6 5 71¾ 89   86¼ 44¼ (ward anderso)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 12.75  
5  SMILIN EVIE 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 54¼ (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 3.10  
8  DON'TTEASETHETIGER 8 7 3½ 31   41½ 67½ (oberholtzer kev)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 8% 11.20 13.60  
2  YOU SPLIT TENS 2 8 82¼ 64   74¼ 714¼ (brown allen)SIMPSON W 125 15.00 9% 9.60 8.80  
4  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 4 6 61¾ 74   64 814½ (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00 24% 3.10 17.30  
 
CTD-9   10/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lynn Chouinard Founders Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:37   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM BLUE 1 7 73¾ 74½ 64½ 34 1½ (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 6.00 2.85  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
6  MISSCZECH 6 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 13 2½ (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.55 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ZAZZ by TAPIT)
4  ORANGE THEORY 4 5 31½ 21½ 21½ 23 33 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 120 20.00 29.05  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
3  TONE IT UP 3 8 83¾ 84¾ 74¾ 49 49 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 119 12.00 9.60  
  (by TONALIST out of ACHIEVER'S LEGACY by CITY ZIP)
2  MINE ME 2 4 21½ 32½ 53½ 59 510½ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.85  
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
5  BURROW DOWN 5 6 63½ 63½ 43½ 610½ 613½ (robertson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 21% 3.90 5.50  
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
7  AFTER A FEW 7 3 42½ 53 86¾ 816 720¾ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 8.00 20.50  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CHIA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  DANCE SHOES 8 2 53 42½ 33 713½ 827 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 19% 4.40 3.55  
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTD-10   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NIGHT FLYER 6 3 21½ 2½   1nk 1½ (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 10.00 6% 17.00 10.35 W
3  BOSS MAN CAN 3 2 33 33½   32 2½ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 58% 0.70 1.05 P
4  LIL ZAPPER 4 1 11½ 1½   2nk 31½ (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50 2.20  
8  AGENT C 8 5 65 55½   44 41¾ (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 122 3.50 13% 6.70 5.50  
1  SNAP COUNT 1 7 710 710½   79½ 54¼ (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
5  SPOT ON DUDE 5 4 43½ 45½   57 67½ (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 6.00 13.50  
7  REBATE 7 6 55 66½   69 77¾ (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 15.00 45.60  
2  JHAWK FLYER 2 8 810½ 811   812½ 813½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00 78.65  
 
CTD-11   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET HAVEN 1 2 11 11½   11½ 11¼ (brown r)SIMPSON W 125 10.00 6.25  
7  SUGAR MOON 6 3 31½ 32   21½ 21¼ (brown shelle)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 18.25  
5  DAZZLING CHIC 5 1 65 64½   66 32 (petro)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00 83.85  
2  VIVIEN'S CHARM 2 4 43 43½   44 43¾ (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 20% 4.00 5.05  
3  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 3 8 75½ 76½   78½ 55½ (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 20.00 32.05  
9  EDGE OF OKOTOKS 8 6 21 21½   32½ 66½ (mcdonald robe)CUMBERBATCH R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
8  NO BAKK TALK 7 5 54 54½   56 77 (smith k)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 22% 3.60 0.95  
10  PONY GIRL 9 7 98 98¾   911 812½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00 12% 7.20 17.15  
4  MARGOT'S GIRL 4 9 86½ 86¾   89 926½ (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00 16% 5.20 8.50  
SCR  MISTY MATT               (coney jaso)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.