Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/5)-(4/5/2/3)-(2/9/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(2/9/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(2/9/5/1)-(6/7/1/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/1)-(2/9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/1)-(2/9/5/1)-(2/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/5/1)-(6/7/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/1)-(6/7/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4/9)-(6/7/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4/9)-(6/7/1/4/9)-(6/7/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4)-(2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (10/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/4)-(10/5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/4)-(10/5/1/7/4)-(10/5/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/1/4)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/1/4)-(2/7/6)-(3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(3/1)-(1/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/7/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAVALENCIA Dec27 Nov14 Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
2  SURPRISED GEM Jan09 Dec04 Oct30 Aug23 Aug14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
3  ONACOUNTA Dec10 Nov29 Nov14 Oct14 Sep05 (za)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST Jan09 Dec27 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
5  IMA SURE BET Jan09 Dec27 Nov29 Oct24 Aug23 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS LINDYSUE Dec27 Dec03 Oct30 Oct22 Oct03 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
7  ICEY ANGEL Jan09 Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 Aug28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. ROGER Jan11 Dec13 Oct16 Sep29 Sep13 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
2  FROSTY PAWS Jan11 Jan03 Dec05 Nov09 Nov26 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  PRIVATE CONNIE Jan04 Dec12 Nov06 Sep21 Aug29 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MSHINDI Jan11 Dec27 Nov30 Oct31 Oct16 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  CASH CUSTOMER Jul27 Jul13 Jun22     (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  RIVER FULL Nov05 Oct14 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
7  DOMI Jan11 Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 Nov15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN TAHITI         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00 6% 15.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of CHELSEA STREET by JAZIL)
2  READ THE ROOM Jan04         (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 55% 0.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOOD OMEN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  STEEL LINK Dec22 Jun17       (west w)BRACHO A 122 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
4  Y'ZIN UP Jan04 Dec12       (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PSALM TWENTY THREE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  THIS TIME         (maker j)RIVERA R 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LA QUEBRADA by MORE THAN READY)
6  OVER MY LIMIT Jan04 Dec14       (short thomas)HOUGHTON D 122 12.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
7  MANSION PARTY Jan09 Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  PETINGAS TWIN Nov26         (farrior )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SUMMER PUNCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  SKYPASS Nov07 Oct24 Sep21 Sep05   (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
10  DESTINO Jan09 Dec27 Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 (morales m)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PINCHBECK by MINESHAFT)
 
MVR-4   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORBALINE Jan10 Dec03 Nov21 Feb27 Feb07 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  ALICIA'S WAY Dec10 Nov27 Nov15 Oct30 Oct04 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
3  BLACK BUTTE Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Aug16 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
4  GRAND PRIZE Jan04 Dec14 Nov28 Jul10 Jun12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 8% 11.90    
5  O K BABY Jan04 Dec05 Nov19 Oct24 Sep24 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
6  POLYESTER BRIDE Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct24 Oct03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  ROSY APPLE Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  LUCKY TUESDAY Jan04 Sep28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
9  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Dec03 Oct16 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CROSSTOWN GIRL Jan04 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCHANTED MELODY Jan11 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Sep14 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  BEING CREATIVE Jan03 Nov14 Nov04 Oct24 Feb23 (za)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
3  JUMP INTO SANITY Jan11 Dec13 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
4  C C'S WORLD Jan03 Dec03 Nov22 Nov08 Oct07 (gonzalez a)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FALL CAMPAIGN Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 Oct02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
6  VAVITE Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov01 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
7  BIG BANG BLUE Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Sep04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
8  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Dec11 Nov20 Aug15 Jul25 Jul16 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
9  CANTHO Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
10  MISS SHADY Jan11 Dec11 Dec03 Oct17 Sep24 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 124 4.00 51% 0.90    
 
MVR-6   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHEWEARSMYRING Jan08 Jan02 Dec13 Nov13 Oct31 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
2  LADY LOTTIE Jan08 Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 Oct05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 60% 0.70    
3  RAINBOW SHIP Jan08 Nov02 Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 May26 Apr29 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
5  CAUSE OF LOVE Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 Apr10 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 30.00    
6  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jan04 Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 Oct10 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LA V. Dec13 Nov26 Oct25 Sep21 Aug31 (simms jr)BRACHO A 124 1.80 14% 6.10    
SCR  CUE THE BAND Jan04 Jul13 Jun24 May24 Apr24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY EUGENE Jan01 Dec09 Nov06 Sep25 Aug23 (maker j)RIVERA R 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR AGGRAVATOR Dec04 Jul16 Jun21 Jun06 May22 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
3  OVER THE HILLS Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Oct24 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  WILDCAT EXPRESS Dec26 Nov20 Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 4.00    
SCR  SENSEI LAWRENCE Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Sep23 Aug26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
6  MOESTER Jan08 Dec21 May22 May06 Apr26 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
7  SIMPLY VALID Dec07 Nov21 Nov06 Oct06 Sep13 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
SCR  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Dec28 Nov27 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
 
MVR-8   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V JERSEY BEE Dec28 Nov27 Sep29 Jul23   (salcedo ramon)LEON A 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  YIPPEE KI YAY Dec28 Nov27 Jun15 Feb16 Jan31 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
3  CONSTITUTION COAL Dec28 Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 Oct22 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
SCR  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jan31 Jan16 Dec29 Dec19 Dec01 (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00    
5  MR. BALI Jan12 Aug18 Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  LOTSA MATCHA Oct10 May08 Mar20 Feb21 Jan19 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
7  FAST CLIP Dec28 Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug14 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  CIRO THE BOSS Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
9  I STRONG Dec28 Nov27 Oct25 Oct12 Sep11 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.