Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (4/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (6/5/3/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (1/7/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (8/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (1/6/4/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK ISAAC         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
2  SPIRIT PRINCE         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORTUNE SELLER         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
4  NOBLE WAVE Jun22         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
5  UNCLE BO         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BACK BAYOU         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOTED Jun22         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  DORNOCH         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40    
SCR  DETERMINISTIC         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
 
SAR-2   07/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANG TIGHT Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar30 (romero jes)SANTANA JR 125 20.00    
2  DEPUTY CONNECT Jun29 Mar02 Jan27 May03 Mar13 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Jul04 Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 Dec10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
4  PADDINGTON Jun29 May27       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  ICE ROAD Jul03 Jun09 Feb25 Dec02 Nov13 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
6  CENTAVO Jul04 Jun10 May21 May13 Apr23 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
7  WHAT'S UP DOC Jun29 Jun18 Jun04 Jul16 Jun17 (cash l)TORRES A 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
SAR-3   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSSIA         (bond jame)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 ★    
1A  CERRETTA Jul03 Jun03 Apr08 Nov17 Oct09 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  SPOOKY LADY Jun03 Apr22 Mar12 Feb02 Jan22 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
3  LADY FORTUNA Jul02         (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
4  VOLEUSE Dec16 Nov17 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  HEALDSBURG         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
6  ADMIRE MY CROWN May04 Apr08 Nov17 Jul23   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO Jul03 May27 Apr08 Jan08   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
8  SHAMAN PRINCESS Jun16 Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 Jan28 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  BE BEST Jul02 May05 Mar11     (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 3.50    
 
SAR-4   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHILENO Jul13 May28 Apr19 Mar11 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
2  YONO May12 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HUSBAND MATERIAL Jun30 May29 Apr15 Feb25 Jan28 (toner j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  BREAK THE ICE May19 Apr29 Mar24 Feb26 Jan27 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
5  BOYS CODE Jul10 Jun27 Jun02 Apr16 Mar18 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
6  INSPECTOR Jun03 Apr21 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29 (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
7  ACHILLES HEEL Jul03 May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
8  WINNING CONNECTION Jul04 Jun04 May21 Apr27 Apr02 (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
9  STRONG LIGHT Jul09 Jun24 Jun01 May14 Apr22 (younghans william)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
 
SAR-5   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERVALUED ASSET May05 Mar04 Feb04 Nov10   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  CUPID'S HEART Jun23 Nov25 Oct23 Sep05   (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  DEAR LADY Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 Nov26   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00    
4  VIENNA CODE Jul01 Jun03 May18 May06 Jan12 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
5  TO A T Jun23 Apr30 Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE May05 Feb18 Jan07     (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Jul13 Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr21 (persaud randi)TORRES A 119 20.00    
8  ZEITLOS Jun17 Apr15 Sep16 Aug13   (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00    
 
SAR-6   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC12 GOOD Caress Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FLASH DRIVE Jun03 May13 Nov12 Oct22 Aug27 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
2  BUBBLE ROCK Jun09 May07 Apr16 Nov25 Oct28 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jul03 May19 Oct13 Sep21 Jul18 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 17% 4.80    
4  POPPY FLOWER Jun09 May07 Apr14 Sep13 Aug11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  WAKANAKA (IRE) Jun09 May06 Jan28 Nov05 Sep17 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  BANK ON ANNA Jun25 May12 Dec04 Oct06 Aug12 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIETY MAN         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  HAMILTON'S WAY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
2  DAILY GRIND         (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  GENERAL PARTNER         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
4  DANCING GROOM         (sano antonio)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALENTINE CANDY         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  ANNOINTED         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  DIVE BOMBER         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
8  WORLD FAIR         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
9  PROTECTIVE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
10  TRUCKER         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASCENDANCE         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M VERY BUSY Nov04 Oct02 Aug13     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
1A  GRAND GIOMAR STEP (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20    
2  ANTARES Jun06 Sep01       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
3  TAKING CANDY Jun24 May21 Aug20     (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCRAMBLE Jun25 May07 Mar03 Jan21 Nov06 (tagg barcla)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
5  FEARLESS SOLDIER Jun17 Mar12 Feb16     (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
SCR  HEATHGUARD Mar26 Mar16 Feb18     (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
7  WICO (IRE) May21 Apr28 Mar25 Oct28 Sep08 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 27% 2.80    
8  MERCANTE Jun02 Apr13 Jan21 Dec17 Nov06 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  HARRINGTON Jun30 Jan07 Dec10     (moubarak nader)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION Jul01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  NOTAH Jun17 May29 Apr08 Feb12 Jan14 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jun04 Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Sep29 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Coaching Club American Oaks Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHLAWN May05 Mar25 Feb17 Nov20 Oct28 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50    
2  WET PAINT Jun17 May05 Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  SACRED WISH Jun16 May19 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
4  GAMBLING GIRL May05 Apr08 Feb25 Jan14 Dec03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  HOOSIER PHILLY Jun17 May19 Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50    
6  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Jun29 Jun02 Apr01 Mar05 Feb09 (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON BASH Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr01 Feb25 (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH Jul15 May27 Apr14 Aug07 Apr20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Jun17 May29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan15 (klesaris robert )LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  VICTORIOUS WAVE Jun27 Apr20 Mar26 Mar04 Jan07 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
5  BEZOS Jul01 Jun10 May06 Apr21 Mar25 (goberdhan chandra)CANCEL ERIC 124 50.00    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jun22 May29 May05 Feb05 Jan08 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  WHO HOO THATS ME May19 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30 Sep23 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
8  ACCRETIVE Aug27 Jul31 Jun26     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
9  A LA CARTE Jun01 Apr28 Mar12 Feb03   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
 
SAR-11   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHYASOON Jun15 May19 Jan27 Dec17 Nov26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  FLINT RIDGE May12 Apr16 Feb21 Jan15 Dec08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb02 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SCR  WHERE PARADISE LAY Jun03 May04 Mar29 Feb26 Feb11 (downing willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
4  JUST CALL RAY Jun25 May27 May12 Mar10 Feb01 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  AIR SHOW Jul08 Apr29 Mar26 Feb25 Jan21 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
6  SEVEN NATION ARMY Jun15 Apr23 Mar09 Jan28 Jan06 (diodoro roberti)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  SENOR JOBIM Feb12 Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 Jun03 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
8  DIGITAL FUTURE May19 Apr20 Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
9  PRINCE JAMES Jun24 May26 Mar30 Feb26 Feb13 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
10  STEINBECK Jul09 May12 Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 (cash l)TORRES A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  SAINT SELBY Jun10 May20 Apr28 Sep30 Aug12 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Jun22 Jun04 May13 Apr30 Mar25 (reynolds patrick)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.