Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/3/2)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3/6/5)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/1)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(1/8/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/8/3/2)-(4/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/2)-(4/5/3)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/3/6)-(3/5/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(5/1/12/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(5/1/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/1/12/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/12/10)-(5/1/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/12/10)-(5/1/12/10)-(5/1/12/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CONTRARY THINKING         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 125 1.00 28% 2.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VALADORNA by CURLIN)
SCR  TREATY OBLIGATION Jul21 Jun22 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
2  LIGHT THE WAY Mar08 Dec09 Oct15 Mar04 Jan21 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  FROSTELLE         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  ALEAH ALEAH Apr06 Mar07 Oct21 Sep14   (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  CAGE MATCH Mar09         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  MANO E MANO         (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZ DIXIE by TIZNOW)
7  DISCREET BNB         (johnson cl)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
  (by TOO DISCREET out of CAPTAIN CAROL by FACTUM)
 
AQU-2   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Mar22 Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  PROPER GRAMMAR Apr07 Mar22 Mar14 Feb18 Dec10 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOVE LIKE CRAZY Mar29 Feb03 Dec28 Dec03   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  SHASI Mar22 Feb19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 (donk david)RIVERA R 124 5.00 ★    
5  GHOSTLY GIRL Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 (toscano j)CAMACHO JR 124 3.00    
6  KEEP IT SEXY Mar15 Mar04 Feb07 Dec23 Nov21 (englehar)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 5.00    
7  ROSEMARY POTATOES Mar14 Feb18 Dec31 Nov25 Aug20 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 119 20.00    
 
AQU-3   04/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS TWEED Apr04         (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MS GRETCHS DESTINY by DANCE TO DESTINY)
2  HEY TOBY Mar28 Aug20       (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 ★    
  (by ALPHA out of DIVADORA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  SILVER SATIN Mar24 Feb17       (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 118 1.20 57% 0.80    
  (by MITOLE out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  TOMACON Mar24         (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LADY CONSTANCE by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  SHORE TIME Mar10 Feb25 Feb03 Jan07 Dec29 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
6  SCHLOMO Mar24         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
  (by FREUD out of IDIDN'TTELLAIMEE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
7  ARTFUL DREAMER Mar16         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
 
AQU-4   04/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EDGE OF GLORY Apr10 Mar08 Feb10 Jan05 Jan23 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 1.60 5% 19.00    
SCR  JEEPER Apr08 Mar12 Feb06 Jan02 Nov25 (ness jamie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.60    
2  STRONG LIGHT Apr07 Mar30 Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
3  UNION LIGHTS Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 Feb18 Feb04 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 ★    
4  ARREBATO Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
5  UNCLE WATER FLOW Mar17 Mar08 Feb17 Jan14 Dec03 (reynolds pa)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 8.00 ★    
6  WINNING CONNECTION Feb29 Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 Oct21 (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 69% 0.40    
7  DISAPPEARANCE Apr07 Mar15 Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00    
 
AQU-5   04/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYOSH Mar03 Jan21       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00 35% 1.90    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ROSIE O'PRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
2  COLORFUL LADY Feb24 Jan07       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAPPING COLORS by TAPIT)
3  JUST ONE MORE         (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MYSTIC CHANT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL (IRE) Jan21         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by KODIAC out of MONTELLO by CAPE CROSS)
5  CHANTILLY ROAD Feb24 Jan13       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
6  WAKE UP LAUREN Feb18 Nov03 Sep17     (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
7  CLASSIC CARA Mar08 Nov18 Oct13 Oct01   (friedman m)RIVERA R 118 50.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  WISH LIST Dec14 Oct28 Sep16     (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00 33% 2.10    
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BLUE THUNDER (IRE)         (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of PUSSYCAT LIPS by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR (IRE))
SCR  JUST MUSIC Apr05 Feb24 Feb18 Jan19 Dec28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.20    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-6   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEPENDENT PAUL Apr05 Mar24 Mar16 Feb10 Jan18 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar15 Mar09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 4.50    
2  WARRIOR RICHARD Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 Jul04 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
3  PINEAPPLE MAN Mar29 Feb24 Aug31 Jul03 May29 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLUBHOUSE Mar24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov09 Oct21 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
5  UPSIDE POTENTIAL Mar01         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  NINETEEN OYSTERS Mar21 Feb03 Jul15 May06 Mar31 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
SCR  LEONIDS Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr20 Mar11 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
8  LOOKIN' SUPER Dec12 Nov20 Oct05 Sep02 Aug20 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
 
AQU-7   04/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER SEEKER Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 Dec02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  LORD CAPTAIN Apr05 Feb25 Feb02 Aug02 Jul23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
2  SYNTHESIS Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 Dec29 Dec02 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
3  ARTORIUS Jul21 Jun17 Oct22 Aug27 Jul29 (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  OURNATIONONPARADE Mar15 Feb19 Feb02 Oct14 Sep10 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
5  BLAZING SEVENS Jul21 May20 Apr08 Mar04 Nov04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
6  FULL SCREEN Mar16 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct01 (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
 
AQU-8   04/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD Danger's Hour Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASEN (GB) Jan27 Nov12 Oct08 Oct08 Aug13 (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by KINGMAN out of CONTINENTAL DRIFT by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
2  TIDAL FORCES Mar30 Feb25 Jan28 Nov19 Sep10 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AIN'T NO TELLIN' by DYNAFORMER)
3  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul20 Jun10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
4  HEAVEN STREET Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 Oct15 Sep02 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
5  EQUITIZE (GB) Feb03 Nov18 Mar15     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WALDLIED by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
6  PIONEERING SPIRIT Nov12 Oct20 Oct07 Sep04 Aug26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FOUNDATION SPIRIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  DAKOTA GOLD Oct29 Aug27 Aug05 Jul03 May29 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by FREUD out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
8  BRING ME A CHECK Jan07 Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 (reynolds pat)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of GIRLSASAINT by SAINT LIAM)
SCR  OUSTER Mar16 Aug09 Jul16 May29 Apr14 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of NORTHERN CITY by CITY ZIP)
 
AQU-9   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH CRUISER Dec09 Nov12 Oct21     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  BUSSIA Feb17 Dec07 Oct12 Jul22   (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
3  CONCERTI Dec14 Aug27 Jul14     (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
4  SCARLET'S DREAM Mar03 Jan19 Dec09 Nov16 Oct22 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
5  ASTONESTHROWAWAY Aug20 Jun15       (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SUCCULENT May05 Apr15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 12.00    
SCR  PAUCILOQUENT Mar22 Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Aug16 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 50.00    
SCR  DUSK Oct29 Oct01 Aug27     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
9  LADY OF THOROTON Nov19 Jul15 Jun10 May12 Apr21 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
10  RUMINT Mar17 Feb18 Jan14     (brion keri)RIVERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LATEST EDITION Oct26 Oct06 Aug12 Sep30 Aug12 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
12  U SHOULD B DANCING Nov19 Aug27 Aug06 Jun10 May14 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BERN ROSEY BERN Feb04 Jan11 Dec15 Nov19 Oct26 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  QUICK POWER NAP Mar16 Feb17 Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 15.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY Mar02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov21 Dec04 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
SCR  GRAM Nov04 Aug20 Jul26 Jun15 May28 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.