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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - January 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (8/9/7/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/4/3)-(8/9/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/4/3)-(8/9/7/4/3)-(8/9/7/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/4/3)-(8/1/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/7/4)-(8/1/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/5/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/4)-(1/6/2)-(12/10/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(12/10/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(12/10/4/9)-(8/3/11/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (12/10/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/10/4/9)-(12/10/4/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/10/4/9)-(12/10/4/2/9)-(12/10/4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/10/4/9)-(8/3/11/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/10/4/9)-(8/3/11/13)-(9/6/2/11/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-5   WIN (8/3/11/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/11/13)-(8/3/11/4/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/11/13)-(8/3/11/4/13)-(8/3/11/4/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/11/13)-(9/6/2/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/11/13)-(9/6/2/11/7)-(10/6/5/3/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (9/6/2/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/11/7)-(9/6/2/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/11/7)-(9/6/2/11/7)-(9/6/2/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/2/11/7)-(10/6/5/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/11/7)-(10/6/5/3/4)-(2/7/10/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (10/6/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/3/4)-(10/6/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/3/4)-(10/6/5/3/4)-(10/6/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/5/3/4)-(2/7/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/3/4)-(2/7/10/9)-(8/10/9/2/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9)-(2/7/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/10/9)-(8/10/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-9   WIN (8/10/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/2/7)-(8/10/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATING BABE Dec17 Aug13 Jun08 Apr21 Mar26 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 30.00    
1A  KAT'N CHROME Dec16 Oct12       (cravens r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 113 30.00    
BODI ODI Dec17 Nov18 Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 (northrop debra)WALES T 125 6.00    
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Oct06 Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 Jul26 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
PENZIG Apr29 Apr01       (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
DRAMEDY'S BLUR Dec16 Nov14       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00    
SCR  LITTLEDABWILLDOO Mar02 Feb12       (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 30.00    
TRUE EMOTION Dec17 Sep11 Aug14 Jul16 Jun24 (anderson )DE CRUZ 125 4.50 11% 8.30    
MAMBA OUT Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 Jul29 Jul08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
DIFFERENTLY         (combs bentley)JUAREZ NIK 125 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
OP-2   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIPS SAY BLISS Nov24         (medina robert)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
RED LINE OVERDRIVE Dec10 Nov19 Oct15 Sep24 Aug27 (mcknight norman)ZIMMERMAN R 122 5.00    
SIR Dec17 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Feb02 (rone mike)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
EL FRANCO Nov22 Nov02 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (combs bentley)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
REWIRE Nov18 Nov01 Feb17 Jan19 Dec16 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
ZAP MOTION Dec17 Oct11 Sep23 Jul03 Dec17 (durham danel)FUENTES A 126 10.00    
BLACK APPLE Dec17 May14 Apr16 Mar10 Jan21 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
KOBLA MAS Dec15 Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Jun23 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
CABALLO FELIZ Jun17 May29 Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 (martin ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
OP-3   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYQUICK Nov05 Apr02 Mar11     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of OLIVIA'S GREATDANE by GHOSTZAPPER)
CROSSING Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Sep10 Aug27 (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
ARTWELL Dec08 Nov05 Apr15 Mar11   (compton greg)FUENTES A 124 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NOT TAKEN by ARCH)
BEN FRANKLIN Nov16 Oct21 Sep23     (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 1.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of INVENTIVE by DIXIE UNION)
ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR Dec09 Nov18       (miller peter)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HIGH MAINTENANCE by DANEHILL)
MOUNT CRAIG Nov24 Oct21 Sep28 Aug11 Jul14 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
GAME KEEPER Nov16 Oct21 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DELUCA Feb25 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
OP-4   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOGO BOBBYJO Sep11 Aug23       (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
SAILING AWAY Dec01 Nov10       (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
ART QUEEN Dec08 Oct11 Sep23     (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 8.00    
CRY IF I WANT TO Nov18 Nov05 Sep27     (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 8.00 8% 11.00    
DIRTY FLIRT Dec13         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00    
SPITE LITE Nov24 Nov01       (calhoun will)FUENTES A 121 4.50    
CALIFORNIA CODE Dec03 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19   (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
MIWOMAN Nov17         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00    
MADAM LEOTA Dec16 Oct13       (gutierrez faus)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DIXIE RAG Nov24 Oct11 Sep18     (diodoro robertin)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00 13% 6.70    
11  BUMP IN THE NIGHT Nov05 Sep30       (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
12  SHARP FLAME Nov02         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
OP-5   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Dec21 Nov25 Nov15 Oct16 Sep28 (brooks ge)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov24 Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (brooks ge)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
POPULIST Nov17 Oct13 Sep29 Jul29 Jul14 (shirer matt )FUENTES A 121 4.00    
ALVAARO Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Jul07 Jun11 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
WELLMAN Nov22 Oct01 Jul11 May23 May08 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
D TWO Dec28 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 (hewitt michael)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
ROMAN GIANT Dec09 Sep22 Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00    
GOLD BARON Dec17 Nov10 Sep14 Aug19 Jun17 (durham da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
SLAM DUNK SERMON Dec29 Oct18 Jun23 Jun10 May13 (vance thom)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 58% 0.70    
BABY BOOMER Nov24 Nov03 Oct18 Aug20 Apr01 (ward dan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00    
10  VANGILDER Dec15 Dec07 Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00    
11  D' YANK Nov18 Oct31 Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 (martinez a)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  MARTINI BLU Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 Sep17 Aug25 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00    
13  HOME VISIT Oct20 Sep15 Sep07 Jul07 Jun23 (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-6   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC COWBOY Aug12 Jul24 Jun04 Apr22 Mar25 (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00    
CHROME CANDY Nov04 Sep22 Jan13     (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 4.00 10% 9.10    
PREPAREDNESS Dec08         (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
DALTON'S RUTROW Dec30 Apr30 Apr07     (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 5.00    
NATIVE MOONSHINE Nov17 Sep09 Jul24     (tranquili)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00    
DANCIN ROCKET Dec30 May22 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 3.50 17% 4.90    
AMAZING SUCCESS         (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCRIMSHIRE Dec30 Dec08 Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 (villafra)HERNANDEZ J 125 30.00    
THIRD WATCH (GB) Feb17 Jan13       (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
10  MORE MONEY MO Dec16 May05 Apr22 Apr07   (espinoza e)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 15.00    
11  IMPOVERISHED May21 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 10.00 6% 14.70    
12  SIR PEEL Dec08 Apr23 Apr02 Mar05 Dec16 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 6.00    
SCR  TOMMY TRI Feb19 Dec18       (soto fermin)ZIMMERMAN R 125 30.00    
SCR  SECRET HONOR Nov14 Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep05 (bahena fe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 15.00    
 
OP-7   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMESAKE Dec17 Oct17 Jul09 Jun19 Apr08 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 15.00    
ICARUS Dec09 Nov15 Sep17 Aug12 Jun22 (simms ma)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
HOME RUN TRICK Dec15 Nov24 May04 Mar16 Feb11 (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00 5% 18.20    
DEVIL VISION Oct22 Sep09 Aug12 Mar04 Nov13 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMPLY (NZ) Oct12 Aug28 Aug16 Jul20 May10 (rone mike)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
COSMO Sep15 Aug19 Jul07 May14 Apr15 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
HUGE BIGLY Nov09 Oct13 Jul27 Jun14 May13 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
ANTIGRAVITY Nov11 Oct01 Aug13 Jul22 Jun17 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00    
GREATHEART Dec09 Oct04 Sep02 Aug23 Jul23 (green ike)JORDAN R 120 5.00    
10  MYSTERY MO Dec09 Oct20 Sep16 Aug03 Jul06 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
11  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Dec13 Dec07 Dec01 Nov15 Oct27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00    
12  DEEP STATE Nov29 Aug19 Jul23 Dec16 Nov25 (cangemi daniel)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00    
SCR  TEST PILOT May25 May13 Apr21 Feb28 Jan21 (kenneally eddi)CHUAN MARTIN 120 20.00    
 
OP-8   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR BLUE Dec16 Oct25 Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
EASY ACTION Nov11 Sep22 Jul29 Apr14 Mar23 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  GO WEST Nov26 Nov17 Jul22 May29 Apr28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
TEXAS RED HOT Dec02 Nov11 Oct01 May14 Apr16 (morse randy)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 20.00    
LARK'S MISCHIEF Nov12 Sep20 Jul30 Jun23 May28 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50    
COUNT DE MONET Dec16 May22 Apr29 Mar05 Dec31 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 20.00    
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Dec16 Nov23 Oct26 Feb25 Jan27 (sanchez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TAPATIO LEO Dec10 Sep30 Sep10 May28 Apr09 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50    
SPEND BENJAMINS Dec09 Nov26 Nov04 Jul09 Jun10 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jun09 May06 Apr08 Sep23 Aug27 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
OP-9   01/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE NOISE Dec08 Oct19 Sep04 Jul27 Jul16 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 20.00    
POLTERER Oct04 Sep08 Aug26 Jul21 Jul06 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
NEPAL UP Oct20 Sep27 Aug18 Jun17 May06 (van thomas)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
R DOC Nov08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 (durham danel)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
NEXT REVOLT Nov08 Sep30 Sep15 Jul21 Jul01 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
CITY LEGEND Dec08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 Jul27 (altamira)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
COACH ADAMS Dec02 Nov04 Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00 11% 8.10    
TIGER MOON Oct20 Sep27 Sep08 May06 Mar31 (schultz lind)FUENTES A 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
INDIAN GULCH Nov16 Oct10 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 15% 5.90    
10  T BONES TRICK Nov29 Nov08 Sep15 Jun25 Jun10 (rarick wad)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  COLOSI Dec08 Nov01 Sep27 Aug31 Jul02 (petalino joe)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00    
SCR  TRUCULENT Dec09 Oct09 Aug25 Aug10 Jun24 (combs ben)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00    
13  CHAPEL BARN Dec29 Dec09 Oct28 Oct12 Jun30 (altamirano e)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.