Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(10/7/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-2   WIN (10/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/3)-(10/7/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/3)-(10/7/9/3/4)-(10/7/9/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/7/9/3)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/3)-(7/3/2)-(7/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(7/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(7/5/6/9)-(3/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/9)-(7/5/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/9)-(7/5/6/3/9)-(7/5/6/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/9)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/9)-(3/4/8)-(5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/7/6/8)-(3/4/7/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(5/7/1)-(6/1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/12/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/12/1/9)-(5/7/12/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(6/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(6/1/8/4)-(11/10/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4/9)-(6/1/8/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/8/4)-(11/10/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/4)-(11/10/6/9/4)-(4/6/9/1/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (11/10/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/6/9/4)-(11/10/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/10/6/9/4)-(11/10/6/9/4)-(11/10/6/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/10/6/9/4)-(4/6/9/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/6/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/1/5)-(4/6/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/1/5)-(4/6/9/1/5)-(4/6/9/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL TOUCH Dec08 Aug14 Jul08 Jun04   (creighton )ERAMIA E 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  SISTERSOUTTACHROME Oct05         (cravens r)TORRES A 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  CASHMERE BABY Apr28 Apr15       (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  GRACEFUL MOON Dec17 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 8.00    
5  MISS DOUBLE Apr14 Apr01       (altamirano e)JORDAN R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PINK CHIMES Sep11         (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 125 4.00    
7  MISS JET May14         (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
8  RED SUNSHINE Sep13 Jul29 Jul16     (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 15.00    
 
OP-2   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Jul30 Jun26 May06 Apr16 Mar23 (prather h)WALES T 120 12.00    
2  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Nov24 Oct27 Oct12 Sep09 Aug24 (lund valorie)HARR KELSI 125 12.00    
3  IMMORAL Dec15 Nov14 Oct28 Oct17 Sep09 (jansen ke)DE CRUZ 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COMMANDER REX Dec02 Nov17 Oct28 Sep28 Sep14 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
5  UNBOWED Dec15 Aug11 Jun26 May29 Apr23 (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 6.00    
6  LAST OUTLAW Nov08 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 125 8.00    
7  FORSAKEN Dec29 Dec07 Apr09 Mar24 Mar11 (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 108 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  PASSION OF JOE'S Dec15 Nov13 Apr29 Mar27 Mar12 (rarick wade)JUAREZ NIK 125 20.00    
9  LOVE SPELL Nov15 Sep30 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEIR TO GREATNESS Nov09 Jan28 Jan13 Oct19 Sep01 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 3.00 71% 0.40    
 
OP-3   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD HEART Oct12 Sep02 Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.50    
2  IAN GLASS Dec16 Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 Aug26 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
3  RAYMOND Nov10 Oct19 Sep13 Aug30 Jul30 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  SPOTTED BULL Dec15 Oct28 Oct18 Oct06 Sep09 (ward dan)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00    
5  DRIFTER Nov11 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
6  RECKLESS RED Dec02 Nov21 Sep27 Aug18 Jul01 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00    
7  CREME DE LA CHROME Nov14 Oct08 Sep03 Jul30 Jun25 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
8  RARE STRIPE Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 Sep09 Apr12 (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.00 ★    
 
OP-4   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIOR BUG Dec02 Nov04 Oct11 Sep17 May25 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
2  BORN FLAWLESS Dec15 Nov22 Oct28 Sep27 Sep14 (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 124 5.00    
3  BLOW TORCH Sep04 Aug23 Jul19 Jun26 May31 (rosin cot)TORRES A 119 3.50 ★    
4  GOLDEN LUNA Dec15 Sep18 Sep10 Sep01 Jul28 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 30.00    
5  OTIS OTIS OTIS Oct10 Sep28 Sep07 Aug21 Jul26 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 32% 2.20    
6  SHACKS WAY Dec17 Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
7  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Dec15 Nov14 Oct14 Sep24 Aug24 (broberg karl)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  BEST OF GREELEY Nov16 Nov01 Sep25 Sep05 Aug17 (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50    
9  DEVOTED TO YOU Nov22 Nov03 Oct04 Sep20 Aug24 (vance tho)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-5   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Dec08 Sep09 Aug27 Jul06 Jun11 (wilson melton)HARR KELSI 116 30.00    
2  CHARLOTTES WAY Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 May23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 30.00    
3  TENACIOUS LADY Oct28 Oct06 Sep09 Jul30 Jun11 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  CHAPARRITA Dec08 Nov10 Oct26 Sep22 Sep13 (silva mig)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
5  PREACH IT GIRL Oct21 Oct12 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 (dixon tim)JORDAN R 121 30.00    
6  BALL GOWN Nov23 Oct20 Sep20 Aug01 Jul11 (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.00 ★    
7  TAKING CHARGE DESI Dec08 Sep23 Sep13 Aug03 Jul20 (williams )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 ★    
8  FUNTIMEGIRL Sep09 Jul04 Jun04 May05 Apr14 (prather john)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DODGEBALL Nov20 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug18 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50    
10  THREE CARATS Nov04 Oct18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul21 (ward dan)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00    
11  JERI DAWN Sep18 Sep02 Jul28 Jul10 Jun17 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 116 30.00    
 
OP-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED PRO Jul15 Jun28 Feb25 Dec26 Dec03 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAVEN'S NEST Dec17 Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Jan28 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00    
3  ALL CHOKED UP Oct12 Sep17 Sep02 Jun08 May21 (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 119 30.00    
4  ROCKING ROCKET Dec15 Nov22 Apr14 Apr01 Mar17 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
5  FAVORITE OUTLAW Aug05 Jun23 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 119 2.50 71% 0.40    
6  PASS LINE Dec17 Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 Aug19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00    
7  A LA CARTE Dec17 Nov03 Oct07 Aug19 Jul22 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  STUCK N SNOW Apr08 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 114 15.00    
9  TIM TAL Nov03 Sep22 May03 Apr13 Mar11 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.00 ★    
10  WORK ORDER Nov03 Jan20       (mason ingrid)WALES T 119 20.00    
11  SHUFFLE DANCE Nov24 Nov04 Jan13     (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
12  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Sep04 Aug18 Mar24 Dec16 Sep10 (ward dan)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 ★    
 
OP-7   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDBRICK Dec09 Nov19 Oct07     (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
2  SARPEDON         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HILLABY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  TORNADO ROAD Dec09 Sep01       (lukas wayn)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHECKUPFROMZNECKUP by DIXIE UNION)
4  MIRAGE (IRE) Dec15         (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DREAMCALL by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  FLASHY FAST Sep01         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FLASHY RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  CRUSHED IT Dec08         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 121 1.20 39% 1.60    
  (by DIALED IN out of PINCH HIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  MAJOR MACK Dec08         (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 121 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of D'CATS MEOW by D'WILDCAT)
8  SNOW KING Dec14         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00 9% 9.50    
  (by TAPIT out of FIFTY FOOT WOMAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  RIYADH MOON         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of PRINCESS OF CHINA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  NORTHERN CHILL Dec09         (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of HOMESTEADER by PIONEERING)
11  SPECIAL DISPATCH         (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 121 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JOHANSSON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12  GENO'S MYTH Dec17 Nov15       (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LONGTIME LOVE by SMART STRIKE)
 
OP-8   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($142K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERYLITTLECENTS Dec30 Jul02 May20 Mar26 Feb19 (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  LOVER GIRL Dec16 Nov08 Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 (williams mat)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00    
3  LET'S BE CLEAR Nov22 Nov04 Aug16 Jul08 Jun14 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
4  HEATED ARGUMENT Sep10 Jun09 May13 Apr30 Mar31 (gonzalez n)COURT K 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUNT BECCA Nov22 Oct12 Jun11 Apr22 Mar10 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 2.50    
6  DEMI Dec08 Jun29 May12 Feb11 Jan20 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
7  TWIRLED Nov14 Oct07 Sep07 Jul16 Jun10 (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
8  MEGAN'S CLARA Nov16 Oct01 Jul15 Jun03 Mar25 (casse w)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00    
9  TOLONDA Aug19 Jul01 May20 Apr21 Mar25 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 15.00 7% 13.60    
10  FEE Nov14 Oct06 Aug26 Jul03 Jun08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
11  EFFORTLESSLYELGANT Dec09 Nov08 Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
12  CHARLEE MAE Dec09 Nov06 Sep30 Sep14 Sep03 (cravens r)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
 
OP-9   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T WAIT UP Dec09 Nov19 Oct23 Aug17 Jul07 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
2  B SUDD Dec09 Oct26 Sep23 Aug20 Jan07 (ortiz a)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00    
3  COLD AS HELL Dec08 Nov11 Oct21 Mar24 Mar12 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
4  TEE BURNS Dec09 Nov09 Oct18 Sep29 Aug09 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  ICING Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Sep22 Jun17 (ginter raymon)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZAMBEZI Nov26 Nov11 Sep13 Jul30 Jun25 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 8% 10.90    
7  HUNTSVILLE Dec17 Nov02 Oct12 Apr15 Mar04 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
8  EXXEL Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 May06 Apr29 (lund valorie)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
9  FAITHFUL RULER Dec02 Oct12 Jul19 Jun15 May19 (watkins jam)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  ABSOLUTE CHAOS Feb11 Jan28 Apr24 Apr02 Feb20 (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
11  GUNFLASH Dec09 Nov24 Oct26 Sep24 Sep02 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 4.00    
12  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Dec15 Nov04 Oct17 Sep30 Aug18 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ Dec29 Nov10 Sep14 Aug19 Jul31 (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.