Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(4/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/2/1)-(7/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/2/3)-(2/9/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(2/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(2/9/7/3)-(2/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/9/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/7/3)-(2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/3)-(2/3/6/7)-(4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/7)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/7)-(4/6)-(8/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(8/4/7)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/7)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7)-(4/1/2/3)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3)-(3/5/6)-(5/10/9/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-10   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/7/4/6)-(3/5/7/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/10/9/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BAQ-11   WIN (5/10/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/9/8/1)-(5/10/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/9/8/1)-(5/10/9/8/1)-(5/10/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITER'S REGRET May27 Apr28 Mar10 Feb04 Jan01 (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
BRAZILLIONAIRE Feb25 Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 Aug02 (barker ed)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
HOT ROD RUMBLE May04 Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 Jan05 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
VICTORIOUS WAVE May19 Mar21 Feb04 Dec09 Nov11 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
PRINCE JAMES May27 Apr27 Mar28 Jan26 Dec30 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HATCH (GB) Apr11 Mar09 Feb25 Feb03 Jan05 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
HONORARY DEGREE Jun14 May27 May17 Apr27 Apr05 (jones eduardo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BADLANDS RULER May09 Mar21 Feb19 Jan28 Nov10 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
HEARD ON THESTREET Jun07 Apr28 Apr19 Mar30 Mar03 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS May27 May05 Apr12 Mar08 Feb03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS May18 Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Mar10 (persaud r)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00    
RETAIL MAN Jun16 May27 Apr19 Mar24 Mar07 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
BUCKORTWO May25 Nov16 Oct05 Aug16 Aug10 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
GUM ISLAND May02 Feb16 Dec08 Nov24 Oct01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONX BOMBER May05 Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 Jan12 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 18.00    
BUSTIN SHOUT May04 Apr11 Mar21 Feb04 Jan04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jun14 Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 Jan11 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00    
COLONEL VARGO May27 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Apr28 Apr13 Jan26 Mar24 Feb18 (rodriguez gusta)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar21 Mar01 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 118 8.00    
SCR  HIGH HEAT Jun23 May19 May02 Apr05 Mar22 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   06/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
RUSSIAN REALM May11 Mar24       (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
BAD LARRY Jun09 May25 May05 Apr28 Feb25 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MANNY PENNY May25 Apr21 Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00    
THETHRILLOFVICTORY Jun20 Mar16 Feb15 Jan10 Dec16 (walder pete)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
BOYS CODE May25 May02 Nov18 Oct20 Sep24 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
VETTRIANO (IRE) May18 Aug11       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-5   06/29/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jun01 May25 Nov19 Sep22 Aug19 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
ART OF COURAGE May26 Apr26 May29 Mar18 Feb09 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
PROVEN GOOD         (terranova )RIVERA R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRISH TIDES         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
TWISTED WHISKER         (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
PRICE IS TRUTH Jun22 Apr04 Nov04 Oct04 Aug24 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
MIZTERTONIC Apr29         (brion )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
SPOKEN BLUNTLY May17 Apr19 Feb15     (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
NANO MAN May26 Nov18 Oct04 Sep03   (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
BAQ-6   06/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR Jun21 May27 May11 Apr25 Mar30 (jones eduardo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 10.00    
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH May27 Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan11 (synnefias p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 43% 1.40    
GOLDINI May11 Apr27 Mar24 Mar02 Jan28 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 8% 11.00    
WINNING CONNECTION May05 Apr20 Feb29 Feb04 Jan01 (noda orla)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
CHEEKY TICO Jun16 May25 May11 Mar22 Mar02 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00    
VALENZAN DAY May25 May19 Jul14 Jul03 Apr23 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 8% 11.00    
DISAPPEARANCE Jun08 May04 Apr20 Apr07 Mar15 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG LIGHT May18 Apr20 Apr07 Mar30 Mar08 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   06/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Manila Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MATTINGLY May19 Apr07 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 (orseno jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
DRUNK ON SAKE Jun06 May16       (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of DRUNK PHILOSOPHY by SCAT DADDY)
NEAT May04 Apr05 Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
MOVE TO GOLD Jun01 Mar09 Oct28 Aug31   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PLEASE ADVISE May31 May04 Nov04 Oct26 Sep13 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
DETERMINISTIC May11 Apr06 Mar02 Aug12   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GIULIO'S JEWEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-8   06/29/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Sep10 Aug12 May12 Aug25   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
CYNANE May26 Oct27 Sep10 May11   (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
LADY FIREFOOT May19 Apr06 Mar16 Aug20 Dec02 (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
KERRY May26 Apr27 Dec30 Nov25 Nov05 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
MASTEROF THE TUNES May19 Apr27 Nov09 Oct13 Sep17 (lee joseph)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
EPIC MISS JUSTICE Jul15 May29 Apr16 Sep11   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50    
LOW SOCIETY May26 May09 Mar28 Feb17 Jan01 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PROUD MARY May26 Apr20 Dec13 Oct22 Aug31 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  RISK FREE May05 Apr27 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 (delauro j)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP May24 May03 Apr13 Feb28 Dec20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
SCR  FANCY AZTECA Jun16 May09 Apr18 Feb24 Feb02 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-9   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REPO ROCKS May03 Jun10 May05 Apr08 Feb25 (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
RUNNINSONOFAGUN May26 Apr20 Mar04 Nov26 Oct29 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
FACTUALLY CORRECT May10 Apr05 Mar02 Feb09 Dec07 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUBROGATE Jun08 Apr12 Jul22 Jun17 May06 (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
SHERIFF BIANCO Jun09 May02 Nov26 Oct29 Oct01 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
HOWGREATISNATE Jul22 Jun17 May13 Mar18 Mar04 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER May09 Apr07 Feb09 Dec23 Dec02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-10   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDICTED TO YOU Jun07 May04 Nov02 Jul26 Jun25 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
AZ U CHASE ME Jun09 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Dec23 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) May11 Feb25 Jan21 Dec26 Dec02 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
INTO IT May04 Apr05 Feb11 Jan14 Oct06 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 4.50    
COVERT KAT Jun01 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 28% 2.50    
HEATHGUARD Apr27 Mar30 Dec01 Oct28 Oct04 (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
YO DADDY Jun07 Apr14 Mar02 Feb09 Jan12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
SKELLIG ISLAND Jun07 Apr28 Sep30 Sep09 Jul27 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
JHIRSCH May25 Apr06 Mar02 Feb03 Nov03 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
10  COLLECT FROM IKE Jun23 May27 May09 Apr26 Mar29 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 126 15.00    
 
BAQ-11   06/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S JOKER May12 Mar10 Feb19 Jan06 Dec17 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
EMIRATES ROAD May27 Feb02 Jan05 Nov17 Jan20 (toner j)CANCEL ERIC 126 6.00    
HARVARD May12 Apr28 Apr04 Feb23 Jul02 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
OFFICER DERICK Mar08 Feb03 Jan14 Nov03 Sep21 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
RELATE Jul26 Jun24 Nov26 Oct29 Aug14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
SHADIZAAR May04 Sep10 May04 Feb03 Jan01 (weaver george)USKE S 124 10.00    
ZAPRUDER Jun01 Apr28 Apr07 Jan13 Dec03 (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 5.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL May27 Sep17 Aug17 Jul20 Jun11 (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
FRONT MAN May26 Nov18 Oct13 Sep17 Aug16 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 8.00 14% 6.40    
10  INDIAN MISCHIEF Apr28 Oct26 Sep03 Jul26 Mar26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.