Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/7/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/4)-(6/7/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/4)-(6/7/10/4)-(6/7/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/10/4)-(5/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/10/4)-(5/9/4/1)-(9/1/12/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-2   WIN (5/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/1)-(5/9/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/1)-(5/9/4/1)-(5/9/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/1)-(9/1/12/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/1)-(9/1/12/4/8)-(3/10/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-3   WIN (9/1/12/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/12/4/8)-(9/1/12/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/12/4/8)-(9/1/12/4/8)-(9/1/12/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/12/4/8)-(3/10/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/12/4/8)-(3/10/5/4)-(9/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/10/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/4)-(3/10/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/4)-(3/10/5/4/1)-(3/10/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/5/4)-(9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/5/4)-(9/1/8)-(3/1/9/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/5/3/8)-(9/1/5/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/8)-(3/1/9/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8)-(3/1/9/5/4)-(1/7/3/12/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/1/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/5/4)-(3/1/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/5/4)-(3/1/9/5/4)-(3/1/9/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/9/5/4)-(1/7/3/12/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/9/5/4)-(1/7/3/12/9)-(4/8/2/3/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
CD-7   WIN (1/7/3/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/12/9)-(1/7/3/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/12/9)-(1/7/3/12/9)-(1/7/3/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/3/12/9)-(4/8/2/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-8   WIN (4/8/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3/5)-(4/8/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3/5)-(4/8/2/3/5)-(4/8/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP IT EASY         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOXWOOD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  CASH RANSOM         (james gera)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of CASHMEIFUCAN by CAN THE MAN)
SCR  SUMMER VIBES         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SUMMER SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
4  FIDDLING FELIX         (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of APPEAL TO THE WIN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  THE TONER May09 Apr25       (caramori )TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  MAGNITUDE         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROCKADELIC by BERNARDINI)
7  CONQUERING CAT May16         (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by GAME WINNER out of COY CAT by HOLD THAT TIGER)
8  EL DANDI May19 Apr05       (acevedo isr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TEST OF TIME by CAPOTE)
9  MUNSON         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of REDSHIRT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  SING SING May01         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
 
CD-2   06/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE PALACE May17 Apr30 Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOREVER HOME May17 Apr30 Apr10 Mar02 Feb18 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
3  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Apr30 Mar08 Dec30 Dec08 Nov08 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
4  ABITIBI May17 Apr19 Mar27 Mar09 Feb21 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 7% 13.20    
5  GHOSTLY GAL Jan13 Dec21 Jan27 Dec10 Jan02 (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 38% 1.60    
6  CENTER STAGE May23 Apr27 Feb24 Dec20 Nov05 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
7  MERCY WARREN Feb09 Jan13 Dec23 Nov04 Sep30 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  DREAMSTER Apr30 Apr05 Mar09 Jan27 Dec23 (lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60    
9  FOR THE BISCUIT Dec30 Dec12 Nov28 Nov13 Nov01 (salas felipe)MONCADA IRVING 108 20.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-3   06/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANCAKE HOUSE May11 Apr06 Mar02 Jan25 Nov30 (blair jor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  FIRST PLAYER Oct09 Sep15 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 125 12.00    
3  HIGGINSVILLE Apr07 Mar09 Jan01 Oct26   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
4  SPEED INSTITUTE Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 Jan27 Dec28 (salas felipe)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DJANGO May10 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Nov12 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
6  MO RUM Apr30 Mar24 Mar07 Feb15   (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 8.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD Apr13 Mar16 Feb10     (forster grant )CASTANON L 125 15.00    
8  FEAR OF UNION Apr24 Mar24 Mar01 Sep15 Aug26 (stewart )SANTANA JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MOUNT CRAIG May05 Mar21 Feb25 Nov24 Oct21 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS May04 Apr07 Mar09 Feb24 Feb03 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00    
11  CHARNICO May04 Mar23       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
12  MANDALORIAN May11         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GAGLIARDI Apr13         (mott william)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  LEBOMBO May17 Apr19       (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  OATHBREAKER Apr25 Mar21       (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 118 20.00    
 
CD-4   06/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUSNESS May18 Mar14 Feb13 Jan18 Dec17 (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 8.00 ★    
2  SIERRA SKY Dec24 Nov29 Oct04 Sep03   (casse mar)TORRES A 118 12.00    
3  KALISPERA (IRE) May03 Feb11 Jan07     (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
4  BIG TROUBLE May11 Apr12 Feb18 Jan21   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WEIGH THE RISKS May03 Mar09 Sep03 Aug06   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
6  PURLOIN Apr12 Feb09 Nov25 Oct14   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
7  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Apr07 Sep25 Aug30 Jul17   (kintz ma)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
8  MODERN SOUND Mar07 Dec31 Nov17 Oct19 Sep10 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
SCR  BUTTERCREAM BABE Apr05 Jan06 Dec09 Nov03 Oct08 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
10  SIMPLY IN FRONT Apr06 Nov04 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
11  CHEYENNE MOON Apr26 Apr06 Mar02 Nov26 Nov11 (brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
SCR  PENDULUM May01 Mar31 Jan07 Dec10 Oct11 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  CAIRO STREET May10 Dec09 Oct11 Sep13 Aug13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BELLA HAZE May10 Apr04 Nov25 Oct06 Sep10 (santamar)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  BELLA CRUELLA May10 Apr12 Mar13 Feb09 Jan20 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) May12 Apr12 Sep10 Jul20 Jun11 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   06/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARCOURT Apr27 Mar23       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  U AIN'T THAT LUCKY         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
3  UP THE CREEK Apr18 Feb14 Dec14 Nov16   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 ★    
4  SWAG SHOP         (correas i)TORRES A 118 12.00    
5  CLASSIC CLAIRE Feb29 Feb01 Dec14 Nov01   (foley greg)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 ★    
6  LEAMETATRAINER         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
7  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE Dec29 Oct06 Sep16     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
8  AMY Z May12 Apr20 Mar09 Feb02 Dec31 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  DARK FURY Apr27         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
10  MISS ENCHANTED Feb18 Jan04 Nov18     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
 
CD-6   06/06/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED BIAS Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Oct28 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ESCAPOLOGIST Mar30 Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 Nov11 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
3  PHILEAS FOGG Apr30 Mar15 Jan25 Jan04 Oct12 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  PROVE WORTHY May03 Mar30 Jul16 Jun10 May02 (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Mar29 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 Nov11 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 15.00 6% 15.00    
6  HURRY HURRY May10 Dec22 Nov16 Oct11 Aug19 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
7  NYQUICK Apr28 Mar23 Jan27 Nov05 Apr02 (cox brad )TORRES A 124 8.00    
8  GUNTOWN May18 Apr20 Mar21 Feb23 Dec29 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
9  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Apr12 Mar07 Nov24 Sep28 Sep03 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
10  BANISHING Apr19 Feb12 Jan13 Nov30 Nov02 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER May31 May01 Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 (medina rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
12  KING ICE May01 Oct28 Oct04 Aug23 Aug02 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
SCR  HUGE BIGLY Apr05 Mar21 Feb02 Nov09 Oct13 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
 
CD-7   06/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN STASH May13 Apr14 Feb16 Jun17 May19 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SALUTE THE STARS Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 May14 Aug27 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00    
3  CAMP HOPE May09 Feb17 Aug06 Jul01 Jun01 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 6% 14.90    
4  BIG BLUE LINE Nov04 Sep13 Aug13 Jun30 Mar24 (mcgee paul)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
5  TUT'S REVENGE Apr07 Jan27 Dec30 Nov11 Oct15 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
6  BARBERINI May02 Mar02 Jan05 Nov30 Mar04 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00    
7  CASH EQUITY (FR) Jan27 Nov02 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  JOHNY'S FIREBALL May09 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov18 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
9  FUERTEVENTURA Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  POINT PROVEN Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Dec30 Nov23 (cohn g)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
SCR  LEADING THE CHARGE Aug24 Jul11 Jun23     (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
12  BAY STREET MONEY May09 Jun17 May20 Apr01 Feb18 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY May11 Apr25 Nov04 Oct20 Sep02 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH May11 Apr13 Nov18 Oct07 Aug09 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
CD-8   06/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD AS HELL May02 Apr07 Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 123 20.00    
2  MASTER OF ARMS Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 Jan01 Dec15 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  TIVY Apr26 Mar22 Feb24 Jan26 Dec29 (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 11% 8.30    
4  GLOBAL STAGE Apr30 Apr06 Apr14 Feb10   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  FAN THE FIRE May18 May01 Apr11 Mar09 Feb04 (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUNIOR BUG May12 Mar07 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
7  TIGER'S LEGACY May09 Apr24 Mar16 Apr20 Mar12 (davis christop)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
8  ATTACHE Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 Sep16 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 19% 4.10    
9  CATHEDRAL BEACH May04 Apr14 Mar24 Feb23 Feb02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00    
10  SAINT IN THE CITY Apr28 Mar16 Apr29 Feb25 Jul24 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
SCR  LUNDBERG May12 Mar08 Feb04 Dec30 Nov09 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.