Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(7/1/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(8/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/3)-(8/7/4)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4)-(2/3/4)-(3/5/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/5/9)-(8/6/9/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-6   WIN (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/9)-(3/5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/9)-(3/5/4/9)-(3/5/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/9)-(8/6/9/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9)-(8/6/9/5/1)-(1/12/8/4/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (8/6/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/5/1)-(8/6/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/5/1)-(8/6/9/5/1)-(8/6/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/9/5/1)-(1/12/8/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/5/1)-(1/12/8/4/9)-(2/8/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-8   WIN (1/12/8/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/8/4/9)-(1/12/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/8/4/9)-(1/12/8/4/9)-(1/12/8/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/12/8/4/9)-(2/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/10)-(2/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/10)-(2/8/10)-(2/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Dec10 Nov19 Oct01 Jul18   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 20% 3.90    
2  LUPO'S LEGACY Nov18 Nov03 Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 121 10.00    
3  SEEKING SAWYER Aug20 Jun04 Mar24 Feb05   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00    
4  CHARLIE'S CREED Jul29 Jul15 Feb12 Dec29 Nov25 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
5  OVERANALYTICAL Oct11 Sep12 Jul07 Jun04 Apr07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
FG-2   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK STAR ALEX May29 May07 Mar16 Feb11 Jan06 (dandridge cou)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  SHADY GRADY Nov09 Oct13 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
3  PAYOFF CYCLE Nov09 Oct18 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 (demouchet ricky)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Nov24 Oct28 Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 118 6.00    
5  STONE ALLIANCE Jun29 May10 Apr12 Mar04 Feb11 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 121 8.00    
6  MAIN DUDE Nov23 Oct07 Jul10 Jun26 May06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
7  MY LIL DUDE Nov25 Nov04 Aug05 Jun09 May13 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
FG-3   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAKEN JAX Nov03 Oct13       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  HANGIN' TUFF Nov17         (castille carrol)LANERIE J 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  MUNCLE         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  SPEIGHTFUL ONE Nov17         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
5  NOT LIKELY Oct28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug19   (zenon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
6  SKINNY BOBBY Nov25 Oct06 Aug13 Jul23   (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 3.50    
7  CAJUN MISCHIEF Sep09         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
8  TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR         (duhon o)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
FG-4   12/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWORD ZORRO (IRE) Aug27 Jul24 Jun18 May14   (arey antho)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
2  OF THE MOMENT Oct21 Sep27 Oct23 Sep27 Sep03 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
3  MY ROMEO LIMA Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 May28 Apr15 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
4  CLARESTOWN Oct26 Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr14 (schwandt emile)LANERIE J 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  FLAWLESS RULER Nov19 Nov03 Oct09 Sep02 Aug13 (flint steve)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
6  JRUE BREEZE Nov18 Oct20 Sep13 Sep04 Aug16 (scherer gary)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 8.00    
7  BUTLER CABIN Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  WIN WORTHY Nov08 Oct06 Sep12 Feb04 Jan08 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 33% 2.10    
 
FG-5   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNER BAY Nov02 Sep16 Aug03 Jul07 Jun04 (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
2  FAMILY CREED         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
3  YANKEE HUMOR Oct18 Apr05 Mar14 Feb26   (vitali mar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
4  GHENT Nov15 Sep14 Aug30 Aug11 Jun20 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORSAKEN Apr09 Mar24 Mar11 Feb27 Jan22 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
6  FLAT OUT AMERICAN Apr28 Mar18 Feb26 Dec22 Dec08 (williams m)MELANCON G 121 4.00    
SCR  CARTOGRAPHER May06 Apr22       (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
 
FG-6   12/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Nov12 Oct22 Aug13 Jul30 Jun15 (flint steve)MELANCON G 121 8.00    
2  SUMMER LOVER Nov21 Oct21 Oct12 Aug25 Jul01 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 10.00    
3  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Sep18 Sep04 Jun24 Apr26 Mar25 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  EL PERFECTO Nov17 Sep04 Jul23 Jun11 May14 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 ★    
5  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymo)TORRES A 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
6  SIR LIAM May25 May04 Apr13 Feb25   (gelner scott)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
7  LOOKIN AT BETTY Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul10 Jun26 (charles)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
8  EL MUCHO Oct21 Sep24 Aug17 Aug06 Dec30 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
9  HE GOTS TO GO Oct25 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SINGLE RULER Nov10 Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
 
FG-7   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY ABLE Nov09 Oct11 Aug10 Jul15 Jun08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GEORGE ALLEN Nov17 Oct14 Mar25 Mar01 Feb02 (brinkman bre)TORRES A 121 12.00    
3  RANCH BADGE Nov18 Mar24 Mar01 Feb06 Jan15 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
4  MACHO BEANIE Oct14 Jun03 May06 Mar25 Mar03 (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
5  DUVEE Mar10 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 Nov24 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 6% 16.10    
6  CALIBRACHOA KID Jul15 Jun03 May15 Apr28 Mar25 (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  BIG BOO Nov23 Sep11 Aug27 Jul01 Jun04 (singh s)SINGH R 121 15.00    
8  CLEAR AS A BELE Jun03 May08 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
9  TAMBOURINE STAR Aug04 Jul14 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 8% 11.90    
10  GUITAR DOCTOR Nov17 Oct14 Jan20 Dec10 Nov16 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
11  STAR REDEMPTION Nov18 Sep03 Jul21 Jul16   (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
 
FG-8   12/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE LOGIC Oct09 Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (block chris)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  SON OF A BIRCH Nov09 Aug13 May20 May05 Jul30 (morley thoma)TORRES A 118 5.00    
3  PROUD CIVILIAN Oct24 Sep15 Aug19 Jul27 Jul06 (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
4  STARTONAHIGHNOTE Nov05 Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 Mar25 (zeringu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9% 9.60    
5  WESTERN COMMAND Oct25 Sep13 Aug11 Jun18 May20 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
6  CHARGING Nov02 Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 May20 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
7  MONJID May19 Apr27 Mar01 Jan22 Nov30 (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
8  GILDED RULER Oct26 Jul15 May19 Mar10 Dec31 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
9  MESA SPIRIT Oct22 Sep08 Dec04 Oct16   (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORE THAN FIVE Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 Mar26 Feb25 (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
11  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
12  STRAIGHT AND LEVEL Sep02 Jul30       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
FG-9   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CONNECTION Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
2  MUCHO BUENO Aug14         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 57% 0.80    
3  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Sep12 Aug28 Jul31 Feb09 Jan15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  SNAKEBIT Nov24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 (hatcher nat)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 20.00    
5  RUN ON ACES Oct20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug05 Jun24 (perron ger)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  TONTERIA Sep12 Aug19 Jul01     (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Nov01 Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
8  MARVINS' POSSE Oct11 Aug12 Jul06 May27 Apr27 (gelner jayd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 6% 14.70    
9  CROSSING IRIS Sep12 Jul10 Jun25 May15 Feb05 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
10  DOUBLE ON THE RED Nov18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun03 May13 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 121 8.00 6% 15.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.