Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (2/4/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/9/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (7/9/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-11   Win (7/5/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH TUTOR Aug03         (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
MCHALE Aug17         (hennig mark)RIVERA R 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
PAPA GOLF         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
MOMENT'S NOTICE Aug17 Jul13       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
ALIAS         (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
PURE MONEY         (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
VEKOMA RIDES         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE MONOMOY         (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 119 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCHEDULING DUDE Aug21         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 11% 8.20    
PANDEMIC HERO Jul24         (ward a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
GIMME GIMME         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  KIMBALL UNION         (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA WARRIOR Jul19         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
CHASING COLTON Aug21 Jul19 Jun20     (david ca)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
CLASSIC RUBY Jul24 Jun20       (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIA NERA Aug18 Jul14 May12 Apr05 Mar08 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00    
ANTHRACITE Aug11 Jul21 Apr13 Mar21 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 May19 Apr05 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 11% 8.40    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Aug30 Aug07 Jun29 Jan27 Jan01 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Jul21 Jun16 May18 Apr05 Feb17 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
MONTEBELLO Aug18 Apr12 Feb29 Feb03 Dec03 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
SCR  BORLETTI (IRE) Aug14 Jun23 May11 Apr05 Mar01 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH SESSA Oct12 Sep02 Aug02     (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
ASHDALE         (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
REALTA Jul26 Jun27 May19 Aug10   (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
STARLIGHT DANCER Jul07 May19 Oct29     (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
LADY LAOBAN Jul05 Jun08 Nov17 Aug27 Jul29 (duggan david)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
QUITE CONTINENTAL Jul24 Mar29 Jan28     (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  ADULT ENTERTAINER Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 Jun14 Apr26 (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
SHE IS ALL BUSINES Jul27 Oct12 Sep15     (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
PUREST PERFORMANCE Jul26 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 Nov25 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00    
10  HOLDER CLOSE Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 Feb16 Jan12 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
11  DUBAWI WOWIE Jul04 May04 Apr06     (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
12  GREGORIAN SOLO Aug02 Jul07 Jun16     (lugovich l)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
13  ASSISI Jul27 Jun08 Apr26 Nov02   (bond ryan)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
SCR  THE SPLENDID ONE Aug11 Jul04 Jun09 May11 Mar29 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  LA FIERE Aug17 Jul19 Jun14 Apr13   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  SENDERA Aug23 Jul04 Jun09 May18 May11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Aug15 Jul26 May18 Apr26 Mar30 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.60    
1A  GUT FEELING Aug21 Jul11 Jun22 May02 Apr06 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
CUMBERLAND BLUES Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May18 Sep22 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00    
BRONX BOMBER Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 May05 Apr11 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
PRINCE OF JOY Aug10 Jul12 May25 May17 Apr26 (legall )HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
LORD CAPTAIN Aug21 Jul31 Jun21 May26 May04 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
STRONG LIGHT Sep07 Jun29 May18 Apr20 Apr07 (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
MASTERMIND Aug30 Jun01 May10 Apr19 Apr05 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 2.50    
GOLDINI Aug21 Jul31 Jun29 May11 Apr27 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 124 12.00 5% 17.20    
 
BAQ-6   09/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIN NOMBRE Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 Apr11 Mar21 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Aug16 Jul31 Jun28 Jun09 May17 (paragall)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
VERY STORMY Aug15 Jul18 Jun27     (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
YO BANANA BOY Jul20 Jun14 Apr26 Mar24 Nov19 (heath destin)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
TALL PAUL Oct16 Sep25 Aug12 Jul23   (baffert bob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
FAST FREEZE KAZ Aug30 Jul17 Jun13 May10 Mar15 (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
LAND D'ORO Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jul19 Jun29 Jun21 May27 May11 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 50.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THARHOM Aug29 Jul27       (mott i)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
DAVY CROCKETT Aug17         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
STRATEGIST Aug24         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
VALUATION METRIC Aug17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
BARRICADE Jul27         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
DAKTO         (mcgaughe)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
SCR  GOT STRIPES         (devaux cheri)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
DON'T GHOST ME         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
WELL SUITED Aug31         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FLAT TO DA MAT Aug17         (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 119 50.00    
11  MORTAL LOCK Aug24         (weaver geo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  NO MERLOT         (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/14/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Jun28 Apr21 Feb23     (brown c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
TOASTED ROLL Aug24 Jul29 Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES Jul20 Jun29 May19 Apr27 Nov09 (lee jose)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
IMPLOSION Aug19 Jul13 Jun03 Apr14 Mar03 (giddings melanie)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
PROUD MARY Aug15 Jun29 May26 Apr20 Dec13 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 9% 9.80    
FANTASTICAL Jul27 Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov16 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
IN OUR TIME Aug04 Jul12 May19 Mar24   (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
LAMORNA Jul27 Jun28 Oct13 Aug20 Jul20 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
LESLIE'S HUMOR Aug15 Jul14 May17 Jan14   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
10  ARTEMIS SOUND Aug17 Jul20 May12 Apr13 Mar08 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET Sep02 Jul20 Feb17 Feb02 Dec31 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
SCR  BRODERIE Jul19 Jun06 May11 Mar31 Feb03 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER Aug05 Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Aug17 Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER J T Aug22 Aug11 Jun16 May19 Apr27 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
1A  SUPER CHIEF Aug18 Jul31 Jun07 Mar16 Jan27 (kantarmaci ilka)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
HONORARY DEGREE Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 121 15.00    
2B  BOURBON'S HOPE Aug29 Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 May05 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
SCR  SCREAMING UNCLE Jul14 Jun23 May26 Apr04 Feb24 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
BEACHWALKER Jul25 Jun30 Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
MILTON THE MONSTER Aug18 Jul13 Oct14 Jul08 May21 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 5% 17.80    
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Aug22 Jul21 May27 Nov26 Sep20 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
PIPES AND DRUMS Aug08 Jun29 May31 Jul02 Jun04 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
PAPA ROCKET Aug28 Jun26 May25 May04 Apr19 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
AIR SHOW Jan12 Dec09 Nov03 Sep16 Aug30 (rodriguez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
BAQ-10   09/14/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Jockey Club Oaks Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGYPTIAN CANDY Aug24 Jan05 Nov29 Oct27   (leitch daniel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS ROBERTS (GB) Aug18 Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 Apr27 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Aug25 Jul15 Jun09 May24 Mar17 (cox h)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
BEAUTIFUL LOVE (IRE) Aug17         (appleby charles)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTDENY Aug22 Jul25 Jun20 May18 Apr05 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR) Aug04 Jul08 Jun01 Mar10   (walsh p)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
LADY MARY         (sisterson jack)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
LADY MADONNA Aug17 Jul20 Jun02 May11 Apr06 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
MIXOLOGIST Aug16 Jul18 Jun09     (cox h)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
10  MACANGA Aug02 Jun22 May05 Mar02 Feb03 (dutrow e)LUZZI J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  AMERICANDREAMMAKER Aug31 Mar15 Jan20 Dec26   (hemingway )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-11   09/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULLI WARRIOR Aug08 Jul14 Jun07     (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
MANO E MANO May19 Apr20       (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
FLICKER (GB) Aug04 Jun29 May03     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
VICTORY DASH Aug10 Jul05 May04 Apr07 Mar08 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
POKER JOKER Jun30 May19 Apr14     (clement )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
PUJOL Aug07 Jul12 Jun30 Jun06 May12 (ibrahim )GRISALES DANILO 124 15.00    
OUT OF FAVOR (IRE) Jun02 Apr26       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
SALACIOUS Aug17 Jul31 Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Aug31 Jun21 Apr19 Apr03 Feb02 (paragallo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  COUNTER ATTACK Aug04 May30 May04 Apr06   (bernardini j)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
SCR  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Aug29         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Sep01 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 Jan01 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY Jul15 Jun16 Mar24 Mar07 Nov30 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  RAMESSES Aug17 Jun30 May10 Mar23 Feb10 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 4.50    
SCR  GLINT Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART Jul31 Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.