Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/7/2/8)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(4/6/3)-(2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/7/6)-(13/14/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(13/14/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(13/14/10/5)-(5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (13/14/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/14/10/5)-(13/14/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/14/10/5)-(13/14/10/4/5)-(13/14/10/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/14/10/5)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (13/14/10/5)-(5/2/7)-(2/8/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/8/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/8/10/3)-(1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/3)-(2/8/10/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/3)-(2/8/10/3/7)-(2/8/10/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/10/3)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/10/3)-(1/6/7)-(4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(4/3/2)-(11/8/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-9   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(11/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-10   WIN (11/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/2/3)-(11/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/8/2/3)-(11/8/2/3)-(11/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATH TO SUCCESS Jan13 Nov30 Nov04 Sep23 Aug20 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00 15% 5.90    
LIL BRO COOP Jan13 Jul26 Jun23 Jun02 May13 (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
BUBBA CAN DANCE Dec29 Nov30 Oct09 Aug08 Jan22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.80    
KAHALA Dec29 Nov30 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
ABSOLUTE COURAGE Jan13 Nov30 Nov18 Nov11 Aug18 (asmussen s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
MR MIDWAY Dec18 Nov16 Oct26 Oct19 Sep15 (courville )MARQUEZ L 122 10.00    
 
FG-2   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ROSIE         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
C C SENORA Jan13 Dec15       (landry all)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
BAYOU BERTIE Jan13 Nov18       (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  BABY JANE Jan18 Dec18       (perron gerard)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
RADIANT REBEL Jan13         (terre davi)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 3.50 42% 1.40    
HOLY MOLY SHIPMAN Jan18         (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 12.00    
CLEARLY CREEPS         (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
AWREE         (david b)MURRAY M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR HARPER Jan05 Dec01 Aug27 Jul22 Jun03 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 4.50    
SPEEDY DUDETTE Jan05 Dec09 May08 Mar18 Feb26 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
FORT POLK Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Aug05 Jun03 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
A G'S CHARLOTTE Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Aug05 Jul08 (west patric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  CHEAPSKATE DIVA Jan05 Dec09 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 8.00    
HIGHLY WICKED Dec30 Dec01 Jun03 Apr19 Mar18 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
TINCANDANCE Dec29 Dec09 Mar15 Feb24 Feb04 (lara jorge)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE LASSIE Jan07 Nov17 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
LITTLE BLAZE Dec31 Nov19 Oct14 Aug07 Jul15 (vaccarezza c)TORRES A 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Jan04 Nov21 Nov09 Oct25 Oct06 (cravens r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
SCR  THISONESFORLOVE Dec30 Oct07 Dec04 Nov17   (briley lonnie)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
BEDOWNTOFOOLAROUND Dec23 Nov03 Aug14     (munoz yo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 8.00    
SAVAGE DARLING Feb17 Jan28       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
FIRST LOVE Jan11 Dec14 Dec03 Apr01   (amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
FG-5   02/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SINGLE SHOT Jan04 Jan26 Dec11 Jun11 May21 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 6.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G Nov24 Sep02 Jul20 Jun15 May25 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00    
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 Sep09 Jul15 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 121 15.00    
SLICK AND FAST Jan18 Mar11 Feb23 Jan28 Jan12 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
GUITARTUITION PLZZ Jan26 Jan06 Dec08 Sep04 Aug13 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
DUDE DROP KID Dec29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun18 May28 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  MI SOLUTION Jan13 Dec09 Jul20 Jul07 May13 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  SCORING DRIVE Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Aug04 (richards c)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
MALAKI EMPIRE Jan18 Dec02 Sep03 Aug10 Jul03 (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 121 15.00    
10  TONTERIA Jan04 Sep12 Aug19 Jul01   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 12% 7.40    
11  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Jan04 Dec09 Nov24 Nov09 Oct18 (fuselier jonah)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  AFLEET ASCENT Dec08 Nov24 Sep10 Aug04 Jul22 (schwandt emile)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00    
13  I DON'T VENMO Jan26 Jan04 Dec09 Sep02 Aug21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
14  PACIFICISLANDTIME Jan13 Aug03 May27 Mar12 Feb21 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
FG-6   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX OF PICTURES Nov17 Aug04 Jun04 Mar18 Feb17 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
WUPKAR Nov17 Oct07 Jun03 May05 Mar18 (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
CARRY ON Dec30 Dec03 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 (tracy tann)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
SCR  MISS SHIPMAN Jan12 Dec19 Feb18 Dec26 Nov19 (briley lon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
SPEEDY TRAVELER Dec31         (bauer a)PARKER L 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
SWEET SHILD O MINE Jun02 May04 Mar25 Feb18   (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50    
COEXIST Dec31 Dec03 Nov11 Oct14 Sep15 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
FG-7   02/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLEMESILVER Dec17 Dec01 Nov17 Oct22 Sep04 (desormeaux j )HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
BENCH         (vaccarezza )CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00 50% 1.00    
WESTERN COMMAND Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Sep13 Aug11 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 Aug13 May20 (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 3.50    
MUSICAL SPELL Jan04 Aug13 Jun25 May28 Jul31 (flint steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SCR  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Jan15 Nov18 Sep22 Aug11 Jul15 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 117 6.00    
TRUE JEDI Jan12 Dec29 Sep27 Aug29 Aug07 (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
CASH FEVER Jan01 Dec01       (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Jan04 Dec07 Aug17 Jun23 May28 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
10  ZIPPIN GIGI May03 Mar22 Feb21 Jan26 Nov25 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 7% 12.80    
11  GUNNER BAY Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Sep16 Aug03 (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
12  MESA SPIRIT Jan04 Dec07 Oct22 Sep08 Dec04 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY AM I Nov19 Oct05 Aug06 Jul01 May28 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE Jan12 Nov25 Sep02 Jul14 Jun11 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
SCR  RASTANI Dec22 Oct20 Sep22 Aug11 Jul09 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Apr12 Mar25 Oct20 Aug13 Jul03 (schultz li)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SANTA FE GOLD Sep23 Aug13 Jul01 May29 Apr22 (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
CHARRIERE Dec22 Nov08 Oct14 Sep12 Aug08 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
ROSE PALACE Jan06 Dec22 Nov18 Oct21 Jul21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-9   02/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MCAVOY Dec15         (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
CAMARO Z Jan13 Dec15 Nov10 Oct07   (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
GORILLA TREK Dec22 Nov25 Oct08 Sep24   (bauer a)PARKER L 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
LE GRIS Dec23 Nov25 Sep15 Aug05   (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 38% 1.70    
MALIBU RAIN Dec23 Nov18 Oct15 Aug26 Jul30 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
MIGHTY KAI Jan07 Oct03 Sep08 Jul31   (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  ST. ARMANDS KEY Nov25 Oct12 Sep07     (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 3.50    
HAWKS CREEK Jan07 Nov23 Oct03 Sep09 Aug11 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00    
 
FG-10   02/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAIT ON ME Jan04 Dec17 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 (hatcher na)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
MISS TULSA Dec30 Nov15 Oct07 Jun04 May06 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
MISS MELODY Jan12 Dec06 Aug17 Jul12 Jun21 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  KYLE BEAUTY Jan06 Dec15 May05 Apr07 Mar22 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 118 12.00    
LILY'S WOOFY Jan12 Nov07 Sep30 Nov11 Oct08 (hernand)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  YOLANDA WHO Jan13 Nov19 Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 4.50    
NEED SOME MONEY Sep21 Aug16 Jul13 Jun01 May20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00    
SIKUM Jan12 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 (bourgeois keith)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
CARSON'S PRINCESS Jan12 Oct07 Sep05 Mar23 Jan15 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 12.00    
10  MADAM HENNY May21 Feb03 Dec08 Jul18 Jun26 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
11  SAINT EROS GIRL Dec14 Apr14 Jan15 Dec17 Nov25 (morley thom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.