Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/1)-(7/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/1)-(7/1/3/5)-(6/7/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(6/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(6/7/3/2)-(1/2/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/2)-(1/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/2)-(1/2/6/3)-(4/8/5/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/3)-(4/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/3)-(4/8/5/2)-(3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/2)-(3/1/4)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1/7/5)-(5/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPGRADE AL Dec14 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Jan08 Nov06 Sep19 Aug28 Aug12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
3  JOSH'N Jan22 Dec26 Dec07 Nov06 Oct21 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
4  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jul31 Jun06 May06 Mar23 Feb22 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  DASH OF FIRE Jan11 Dec28 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
6  HOPPY GILMORE Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
7  RUN BUBBA RUN Nov28 Sep08 Jan30 Dec27 Dec01 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
8  MCGRAW Jan01 Sep23 Aug12 Jul29 Jul06 (fadlovich mega)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50    
 
MVR-2   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE MARTHA Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 Nov13 Jul27 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  QUARANTINA Jan23 Dec19 Oct31 Sep28 Sep07 (casalinova ti)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
3  SMOOTH JUSTICE Jan11 Dec22 Dec08 Nov15 Oct28 (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
4  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jan23 Dec06 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00    
5  LOVE MY CHERYL Dec05 Nov01 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CEVICHE Jan23 Jan08 Dec06 Nov09 Oct13 (casalinova tina)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
7  EPICUREAN Jan08 Dec06 Nov21 Nov04 Oct25 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-3   01/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYRA FLEENER Dec28 Dec03 Nov22 Nov15 Nov08 (lopez a)VEGA L 124 20.00    
2  FABIOLA PRINCESS Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Sep07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNCAPTURED FAITH Jun14 May23 May10 Apr05 Mar23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
4  STORMIN MELLY Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
5  PEARLINTHEROUGH Dec03 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 Sep20 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00    
6  BIG JAVA Dec28 Dec15 Nov21 Oct11 Jul15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
7  MOONTAP Jan11 Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  PURDY PUMKIN Jan03 Dec28 Dec07 Oct10 Sep21 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M JAC'D Jan09 Dec20 Nov20 Nov08 Oct25 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  PRETTY PATTY Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 Aug12 Jun29 (smith larry)DIAZ I 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  C MORE PRIDE Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Oct06 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DANCE DRAMA Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct04 (salcedo ramo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 1.60    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Dec20 Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
7  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Jan09 Dec20 Oct23 Oct12 Sep21 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON ROCKET Jan18 Jan03 Nov29 Oct20 Mar26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
2  ENZOEXPRESS Jan03 Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EL GAVILAN Oct24 Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Dec28 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
4  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Jan15 Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 Sep03 (skerrett j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  APACHE Jan15 Jan03 Nov26 Nov13 Oct25 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 9% 9.80    
6  MASTER Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 Nov08 Oct24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
7  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Dec14 Nov02 Sep23 Jul26 May19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
8  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Dec30 Nov30 Oct21 Sep12 Sep03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  QUICK ENTRY Jan15 Dec30 Dec06 Nov26 Nov05 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PINK Z Dec28 Nov28 Nov06 Oct23 Sep06 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  SIMON SAYS Jan08 Dec26 Jun24 May17 Dec29 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
3  DARK VADER Jan08 Dec26 Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.40 58% 0.70    
4  LUCKY STREAK Jan08 Dec07 Nov06 Oct03 Jul22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Dec26 Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jan08 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 Sep25 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00    
 
MVR-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLY CRYSTAL Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Sep15   (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  ITSABLINGTHING Dec19 Nov16 Sep15 Aug30 Jul08 (barrett rodd)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 ★    
3  HOT SUMMER DREAM Jan02 Dec05 Oct20 Sep24 Sep06 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
4  SILVER CANDICE Dec19 Dec05 Nov19     (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
5  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY Dec19 Nov01 Oct01 Aug29 Jul30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATCHAFALLNSTAR Dec19 Dec05 Oct31 Sep19 May29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
7  LUCKY COUGAR Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Oct14 Sep27 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
MVR-8   01/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIMISOFA Jan01 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  DAISY JONES Jan18 Dec22 Nov22 Sep27   (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  SKI SLOPE Dec19 Nov13 Oct31 Oct03 Sep16 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  TRICKED OUT Dec19 Oct31 Jul01     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  AVA'S STORM Dec22 Jul04 Jun02 May12 Feb20 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AVA G by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
6  COUNTRY STYLE Sep19 Aug31 Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
7  FAITHFUL STEPS Jan01 Dec19 Nov27     (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
SCR  AUNT JO Nov04 Sep23 Sep07 Jul31   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MEADOW GEM by QUALITY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.